Well, it’s that time of year again, with lots of kids the world over eagerly awaiting the arrival of Santa Clause.
All sorts of folks give Santa Weather Reports, and even NORAD gets involved with a radar track of Santa and his sleigh.
Well, I was reminded about my skepticism that the ozone level varied with CFC gasses by a comment in another thread, and thought “maybe it would be interesting to do a Santa Clause Ozone Report, and with it a report on where the Aurora can be seen (perhaps where one could find an Aurora Illuminated Santa as well!)
The aurora have a seasonal variation. Strongest at the equinoxes, weakest at the solstices. (An interesting point to ponder, that one… One could spend a while wondering why both ozone and the Aurora have a cycle around springtime… )
The annual variation of auroral activity has been shown to exhibit maxima at the equinoxes and minima at the solstices.
So this being a Winter Solstice, we can expect fairly low Auroral Activity. Santa will not be dodging too many glowing particles this flight, and our ‘seeing’ against a shimmering backdrop will likely be limited. Guess it’s over to NORAD and their radar!
What does the Ozone look like?
Low levels of ozone at the equator, one modest spot of higher levels over Alaska. Not too bad! Now that was yesterday, how much does it change from day to day? Well, here is the day before:
We can see that local concentrations can change a lot, from day to day, but that large patterns (like that high level over North America) can be somewhat persistent over time. Looks like Santa may want to “Fly Low” over Canada and sneak in below the Ozone! Other than that, and a small arc on the edge of Alaska, it looks like low ozone flying over most all of the globe!
A ‘wag’ might point out that the pattern of ‘bright red eyes’ looks rather like the landing spots made by a Birkeland Current; but Official Dogma says it can’t be so, ozone is controlled by a diffuse, well mixed, inert gas with 50 year residency times; and certainly NOT by something so flighty and variable as charged particles from space that just happen to arrive in the same cyclical pattern as the ozone changes… Heck, if that were the case you might see a bright spot one day and have it fade the next… kind of like that spot over Canada did between the 22nd and 23rd. (Oh Dear… )
(Original in the Birkeland wiki link above)
Here are the same two graphs presented as “deviations” from the average levels. You will need to click on them to get a clean version. For some odd reason this smaller view causes an odd “blocks of data and gaps” look on my machine (but the full image is clean):
These “deviation” or “anomaly” charts can sometimes make things look scary, as they make it look like there is a ‘hole’ in the ozone over Antarctica, but as you can see from looking at the concentration charts above, the ozone is actually at the lowest levels over the equatorial zones. That “Ozone Hole” is actually just a statistical artifact of the ‘baseline’ data compared to the current data. There isn’t any “hole” in the ozone over the poles at all. There is more of a “hole” in the ozone over the equatorial zones than at the poles!
But lucky us, this graph shows very little reduction from the ‘normal’ for ozone at the south pole. The north hemisphere is a bit of a mess, though. We have both a “hole” (that blue spot over Siberia) and a… what to call it… hill? An ozone “hill” over Canada! Golly, that ozone sure can be tricky stuff. It is supposed to be controlled by a ‘globally well mixed and diffused gas’, those CFCs from air conditioners, with a 50 year residency time in the air: Yet we have these kinds of dramatic and rapid variations all over the planet and there is a strong seasonal component. Rather like the Aurora… Almost like both of them might have a common “driver” for change…
What did the Aurora look like last night?
Oh, look at that, a bright Auroral Spot over Canada and toward Alaska, and a smaller one over Greenland, Siberia much less. Gee, almost like those ozone maps… Must be a coincidence…
At any rate, we can see that there is a nice weak spot between Greenland and Canada, just about over the Magnetic North Pole, where Santa can easily slip through the darker area, unseen. We can only hope he takes the brighter path and puts on a nice show tonight! Then again, as Christmas comes first to the International Date Line, he may need to slip out over Siberia and then to the Pacific Ocean.
Here is a South Pole view, just for completion:
Oh, look at that, the Aurora is away from the Antarctic Peninsula. Just like the ozone… So many coincidences, so little causality in the Consensus Model…
And with that, Merry Christmas to All, and to All, a Good Night!