So, who “Didn’t Get The Memo” on Global Warming?
Well, quite a few countries. More than I can practically put into a single posting with graphs (and I’d not want to be accused of ONLY looking at the flat places, so I’ll need to sprinkle the ‘flat’ graphs in with the ‘warming’ graphs over time to be ‘fair and balanced’). We will look at graphs for three countries in this posting.
So some countries didn’t get the memo about Global Warming and are just cruising along on their merry old non-warming way. Oddly, this happens in countries that are sitting right next to other countries that did get the memo.
We will look at graphs for 3 such places in this posting. But first, there is another “case” to cover.
These countries report no temperatures at all. None. Not a one.
These are IN the GHCN v2.country.codes file, so the NCDC folks who compile the “Global” Historic Climate Network data set know they exist and kindof sortof maybe someday intended to gather data, maybe… but never quite got around to it. So, IMHO, these amnesiac countries get a complete Free Ride on the Carbon-Guilt Index. I’ll simply list them here, since there isn’t much more to say about them.
Country Code, Name, Notes:
124 Libya (18 active stations 46 – 73 F per wunderground)
164 Melilla ( and with an annotation of “Spain” as sovereign. 58.1 F per underground)
166 Rwanda ( 70 F, partly cloudy, calm. Per http://www.wunderground.com )
167 Swaziland ( 77 F, cloudy, chance of rain per wunderground… )
235 Maldives ( 82 F, scattered clouds, calm winds. Wow, nice. Per wundergound)
313 Uruguay ( 16 active 66-84 F. Bella Union looks nice 84 and clear 23% humidity.)
426 Antigua & Barbuda ( 82, nice…)
428 British Virgin Islands ( 83 F and Clear winds SSE at 7 mph… God, I wanna go..)
430 Dominica ( 3 stations. 81-84 F. Pick one. Wind only 4 mph at Melville Hall.
437 Saint Vincent & The Grenadines ( 87 F. Almost exactly what Jamaica was 30 years ago when… )
439 Turks & Caicos ( They have a dedicated weather site: http://www.turksandcaicosweather.com/ yet Wunderground use TI for Turks Islands… and seemed a bit odd. They have 77 F showing. Seems a bit cool. But they do say it’s mostly cloudy and with a 3000 ft. deck. So maybe that’s why it’s 4 C cooler than I’d expect.)
507 Papua New Guinea ( Was driving me nuts searching. Looks like Wunderground use “NG” for Papua New Guinea. It’s 78 F 87% humidity in Port Moresby.)
(Not like Papua NG is hot or in a stable equatorial location or anything…)
522 Brunei (79 F but 94% Humidity… and mostly cloudy. I’ll take St. Lucia…)
Ok, so these Ghost Countries are undoubtedly impossible to communicate with, located in far away places with no modern technology. Temperature data simply unavailable. Even with large budgets and the world economy in the balance. Heck, they probably don’t even follow NCDC procedures. Yeah, that’s it… The temperature data are unavailable due to “Procedural Issues”. ;-)
While were on the topic of Tropical Islands…
This is the “Hair Graph” for French Polynesia. (Just because the actual temperature graphs are dreadfully dull…) This graph is the change of temperature month to same month a year later (or the next time valid data show up in that month). All 12 months. I’ve added a “thermometer count” but scaled it to fit in the almost no change range of the dT/yr. Now you can see when temperatures do anything interesting at the moment the thermometer count is changed. ( Note that the vertical graduations are in 1/2 C so this “action” on this chart all fits in about 1.5 C of total range…)
There is a tiny compression of the “low peaks” about The Great Dying of Thermometers in the early ’90s. We’ve gotten almost 1/4 C of “lift” out of it… we’re ALMOST back to the zero line of 1950 or so… Maybe, in a few more centuries, or with a bit more playing with the Duplicate Number ( I’m converting over to calling these “Duplicate Number” rather than Mod Flags – in keeping with NCDC docs) we could get back to the +1 C of the 1930’s and ’40s…. Maybe.
The most interesting thing to me about this graph is the 1990-92 compression of range of the monthly data during the global mod flag changes. Less than 1 C range for a few years. Now THAT’s “Climate Change” I can believe in!
The -1.5 C plummet in 1951 is interesting too, but seems to happen right as 4 thermometers are added. Guess “instrument change” does matter…
But, with a total lifetime negative slope to the temperature dT, and with a temperature range of nearly nothing (something that you could calibrate a planet by): The French Polynesian Islands are granted NEGATIVE Carbon-Guilt Units. Each Dollar, Euro, or whatever currency, spent vacationing in French Polynesia entitles the spender to expend an equivalent number on Carbon-Guilt Rich destinations. Enjoy and “Bon Chance!”. Canadians, but especially French Canadians, are expected to make a best effort to spend winters in French Polynesia. Since the Canadian numbers are dreadful, and especially so in winter, it is your obligation to rack up as many negative Carbon-Guilt units as possible by wintering in French Polynesia. Do it “for the children” ;-)
On To The Koreas
Well this is interesting. They share a peninsula together and have the same water all around them. First up, the D.P.R. Korea:
What can I say. They manage to get a little lift out of The Great Dying of Thermometers in 1991. Up until that point they just look to have a cyclical swing around the -1 C line (I’d guess with the PDO changes). And they have gotten back to the zero line where they were in 1921. There is a tiny bit of rise to the trend line, but not nearly what you would expect from all the work that has undoubtedly gone into getting the data and giving it regular massages.
Next, the Rep. Korea:
The “cumulative change of temperature dT” line and it’s trend line are almost completely buried behind the “hair” of month to month changes. Despite a massive effort and the dropping of 50 or so thermometer records. Nothing. At least in DPR Korea we got some hope of a future rise out of the Duplicate Number flag changes. Here? Heck, it’s as flat as you could ever imagine. About all you have to look at of interest is the strong compression of range in the (roughly) 1991 – 2001 interval. It might be interesting to see what thermometers changed then, but clearly somebody needs to give back the expense report money for those Korea excursions. “Dead Flat” is just not delivering the goods expected from all that thermometer change ;-)
OK, the Korea’s get a pass on Carbon-Guilt. but with that odd volatility and unpredictable swings of 1 C in DPR Korea, we need to keep an eye on them ;-)
We ought to scrap the CRU Crew and put the NCDC staff out to pasture in the Carolinas. Nasa GISS can be sent for Chinese Take-Out and move the office while they are gone. Leave no forwarding address. Just put a few thermometers in French Polynesia and let the physics of all that surrounding water average the energy balance of the planet for you. I will volunteer to guard it and keep the environment in pristine condition. No salary will be needed, just a nice cottage on the nearby grounds, with an ocean view, and an expense account for household goods, food, and medical benefits… Honest. To my dying day… Oh, and satellite TV / Internet would be nice too ;-)
P.S. “Bordeaux” and “Brie” are “household goods” ;-)