300 Years Cold

Ice Fair To Return?

Ice Fair To Return?

Original Frozen Image

There’s a haunting picture here.

World of awsome
white / black stark.

Take ye a moment
to look and to hark.

It may well your fu-ture be..

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1342515/UK-snow-big-freeze-weather-means-winter-set-coldest-300-YEARS.html

300 years,
a long time it – ’tis

yet none of us
kens how short it is…

What on the ground
did these people see?

Experts are predicting the cold snap that has crippled much of Europe could continue well into the new year, but compared to 1740 the temperatures are almost tropical.

Back then the cold snap hit Ireland the worst – up to 500,000 people died during the Great Irish Frost which lasted an incredible two years.

The bitter weather led to food riots, famine, epidemic and ultimately death. The causes of the extreme weather remain a mystery.

New book Arctic Ireland by Trinity College history professor David Dickson explores the ‘the longest period of extreme cold in modern European history’.

Mr Dickinson said the Great Frost was ‘without known precedent and defied conventional explanation’. It started on December 29, 1739, and ‘introduced a cold so penetrating that liquids froze indoors and ice floes appeared at the river mouths’.

One can only hope
it is not near..

One can only hope
it is not near.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
This entry was posted in AGW and Weather News Events, AGW Climate Perspective and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink.

24 Responses to 300 Years Cold

  1. Baa Humbug says:

    Should it come to pass
    That Cold it shall be
    How will we warm ourselves
    Without cheap electricity

  2. Verity Jones says:

    The Wikipedia article on the Great Irish Frost is worth reading. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irish_Famine_%281740%E2%80%931741%29
    I’d never heard of this before until I found it in that daily mail article.

  3. Adrian Vance says:

    The great irony is that the panic pushers came closer to the truth in 1971 when they were pushing a coming ice age caused by carbon.

    The atmosphere can be modeled by the Le Chatelier Principle and an equation thereon. In that analysis, water vapor, by far the greatest “greenhouse gas” both in absorption and concentration, is also the only gas that can precipitate to adjust the system and keep “K” constant.

    Adding CO2 should then reduce the heating effect of H2O by reducing the amount of it in air. That is exactly what happened from 1930 to 1970 when we geared up for and fought World War II, but the “smart fellers” in white coats missed it and went on to listen to “Crazy Jim” yank chemistry back to pre-Wohler days with intelligent molecules, Divine or Satanic intervention.

    Free conservative thought, science and humor at: http://adrianvance.blogspot.com “The Two Minute Conservative” for radio/TV hosts, opinion page editors and conversationalists. Also on Kindle.

  4. Espen says:

    Manley’s version of the CET: http://www.rmets.org/pdf/qj74manley.pdf

    shows a remarkable drop in January and February temperatures from the very warm preciding winters.

    But January 1795 was colder (but not February), and January+February 1963 wasn’t far away.

  5. Will this time, again, somebody take advantage of “The bitter weather led to food riots, famine, epidemic and ultimately death…”
    to impose or to reinforce the “Illustration” paradigms which some did so back in the days of the Maunder Minimum?
    When the climate is warm and fields flourish everywhere it happens the contrary, just by miracle….
    Then those who know the climate in advance already started to profit from it. Economy and Climate go hand in hand….
    Then one academic question arises for the economist: What will be the consequences of the current minimum on the global economy?

  6. E.M.Smith says:

    @Baa Humbug:

    I think your rhyme is off… here, let me fix it for you:

    Should it come to pass
    That Cold it shall be
    How will we warm ourselves our ass
    Without cheap electricity

    ;-)

    @Adolfo:

    Higher fuel prices, higher insurance costs (so being in the insurance business may not be so good), high food costs, more weapons made and sold.

    The “wild card” will be how many countries decide to have a war… N. Korea will not be able to feed itself. A decade of that and what happens?

    So it’s not just an economic question, but a political one…

  7. John F. Hultquist says:

    Look in the following for the 1740s:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sahel_drought#1740s_and_50s

    And here:
    http://sharpgary.org/1739-1816.html

    1741:The severest winter (1740-1741) on the Atlantic seaboard since 1697-98 rivers frozen until mid-April in Connecticutt with 3 feet of snow.

    Don’t we just love the web and search engines?

  8. George says:

    Everyone here in Phoenix is busy covering their citrus and other tender plants preparing for a hard freeze tonight. The Interstate from Phoenix to Flagstaff is closed, I-40 from Flagstaff to Kingman is closed. Snow level is 2500 feet North of Phoenix and there are avalanche warnings on San Francisco Peak.

    Cedar City, UT is calling for a low of -6F tomorrow morning. Baby, it’s cold in the Southwestern US!

  9. John F. Hultquist says:

    Speaking of the web:

    I don’t usually follow the leads under posts where it says “Possibly related posts: (auto… generated)” but this time you are blessed with

    http://deanom.wordpress.com/2010/01/03/willow-catkins-start-to-open/

    An entry posted on Sunday, January 3rd, 2010

    The writer is posting from the Lincolnshire Wolds, where . . .

    we are having the longest cold snap that I can remember, in the nine years that we have been here. Despite this, signs that Spring is just around the corner are making themselves obvious, . . .

    When will signs of spring appear this year? Hope he posts again. Latest is Dec. 11.

  10. Mike Patrick says:

    A fleeting glimpse of long-past years
    Cast shadows o’er future clime.
    Weather today projects the fears
    Of tomorrow’s end-of-time.

    Ignore the omen’s present storms
    At risk of one’s deepest peril.
    When summer’s sun no longer warms
    Mankind’s children will go feral.

    Mike Patrick

    Hey, look. I’m Nostradamus. A little heavy though, huh?

  11. If you artificially decrease offer (like installing useless electric infrastructure-windmills, etc.-) you increase the demand of the products you sell and so its prices : Oil, gas, plastics.

  12. Pingback: TWAWKI » Coldest in a thousand years

  13. R. Shearer says:

    Wow. Up to 500,000 people died due to the cold. And the warmists want that?

  14. mitchel44 says:

    A VEI 5 volcano would have some effect, Shikotsu in Japan blew in August of 1739. http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/find_eruptions.cfm

    Don’t believe it would be the entire cause, but Pinatubo was a VEI 6 and no one doubts it’s effects.

  15. George says:

    There were many eruptions in the early/mid 1700’s.

    It was a pretty active time for volcanoes compared to today.

  16. George says:

    For example, Nass Valley B.C. Canada was buried under “14 meters” of lava sometime in the 1700’s. The exact data is unknown.

  17. Pascvaks says:

    I believe we need to build a googlebunch of monuments to The Great Men and Women of AGW, London needs about 250 (perhaps twice or thrice that many) strewn all over the City in every little nook and cranny.

    Oh, yes! I nearly forgot to say that they need to be massive and made out of COAL. (I have a feeling they won’t last long into the 21st Century. Vandalism, you know.)

  18. bruce says:

    Pascvaks,

    you do have a wicket streak don’t you.

  19. Baa Humbug says:

    Pascvaks says..

    -Oh, yes! I nearly forgot to say that they need to be massive and made out of COAL. (I have a feeling they won’t last long into the 21st Century. Vandalism, you know.)=

    I wouldn’t call it vandalism. People who can’t afford green electricity (when it’s available) will steal the coal to keep warm in their frozen homes.

    A magistrate may go easy on ’em

  20. Connemara Tom says:

    There was no 2 year period of frost, the journalist writes for the Daily Mail which means that sloppiness is to be expected.

    The Year 1741 was known in Irish as “The Year of Slaughter”

    The great frost started around December 1739 and carried on until May 1740 …too late to plant a summer crop.

    The summer of 1740 was unusually cold , frosty perhaps not.

    The winter of 1740/41 was also cold but the summer of 1741 was unusually hot as it happens….except that there was nothing to plant given the failure of the 1740 crop.

    The mortality rate was 300,000 persons out of around 2.5m or 400,000 out of 3m in those two years, most especially in 1741.

    Relatively the Great famine in the 1840s had a lesser impact, it took 5-6 years to kill as many people as did the 1740/41 event.

    A lesser known famine in 1695 was also significant in terms of mortality but records are not widely available.

    Cormac Ó Gráda wrote an excellent history of famines last year, I commend it as a read.

    http://www.tnr.com/article/world/the-end-hunger

    War and Volcanos are to blame for the vast majority, sometimes both.

  21. Connemara Tom says:

    Sorry I forgot this

    I think it is a Prague or Berlin record, the 1739/1740 Severe Weather Event affected all of Europe and was most likely caused by a volcano in the modern Russian Far East which is nearer Oregon than Ireland.

  22. George says:

    Mount Tarumae erupted in Japan in 1739 as did Klyuchevskoy in 1738. There was also an eruption of Vesuvius in ’38 or ’39

    Russia had bad bubonic plague starting in 1739 and there was a long famine in West Africa starting at about that time, too.

  23. R. de Haan says:

    And there was this volcano named Tolbachik that blew it’s top
    http://www.kscnet.ru/ivs/kvert/volcanoes/Tolbachik/index_eng.html

    I think Joe Bastardi’s “Triple crown of cooling”, sun, oceans and volcano’s provides the correct basis to explain short term cooling events.

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