Quakes – Asia to Europe?

Quakes in Eurasia on 6 March 2011

Quakes in Eurasia on 6 March 2011

Original With Clickable Areas

So Far:

The WHOPPER!!!

Magnitude 8.9 – NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011 March 11 05:46:23 UTC

This is a computer-generated message — this event has not yet been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 8.9
Date-Time Friday, March 11, 2011 at 05:46:23 UTC
Friday, March 11, 2011 at 02:46:23 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 38.322°N, 142.369°E
Depth 24.4 km (15.2 miles) set by location program
Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances 130 km (80 miles) E of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
178 km (110 miles) E of Yamagata, Honshu, Japan
178 km (110 miles) ENE of Fukushima, Honshu, Japan
373 km (231 miles) NE of TOKYO, Japan
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.5 km (8.4 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=350, Nph=351, Dmin=416.3 km, Rmss=1.46 sec, Gp= 29°,
M-type=”moment” magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=A
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID usc0001xgp

Magnitude 7.1 – OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011 March 11 06:25:51 UTC

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 7.1
Date-Time Friday, March 11, 2011 at 06:25:51 UTC
Friday, March 11, 2011 at 04:25:51 PM at epicenter
Location 38.074°N, 144.559°E
Depth 26.5 km (16.5 miles) set by location program
Region OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances 322 km (200 miles) E of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
344 km (213 miles) ENE of Iwaki, Honshu, Japan
346 km (214 miles) ESE of Morioka, Honshu, Japan
503 km (312 miles) ENE of TOKYO, Japan
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.7 km (8.5 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=413, Nph=420, Dmin=454.2 km, Rmss=0.76 sec, Gp= 29°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=D
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID usc0001xig

and a smaller one

Magnitude 6.8 – NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011 March 11 06:15:45 UTC

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 6.8
Date-Time Friday, March 11, 2011 at 06:15:45 UTC
Friday, March 11, 2011 at 03:15:45 PM at epicenter
Location 36.126°N, 140.234°E
Depth 30.2 km (18.8 miles) set by location program
Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances 35 km (22 miles) SW (220°) from Mito, Honshu, Japan
67 km (42 miles) NE (40°) from TOKYO, Japan
109 km (68 miles) ESE (106°) from Maebashi, Honshu, Japan
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 12.7 km (7.9 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=187, Nph=191, Dmin=188.1 km, Rmss=1.38 sec, Gp= 25°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=C
Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Event ID usc0001xhz

Original Source with live data and clickable spots

I found this a rather interesting pattern. Not only do we get to see a “red spot” in the ridge north of Iceland, and the “yellow arc” of quakes on the Asia side of the Ring Of Fire (which has been a bit active lately, and has volcanos clearing their throats from Indonesia up to Kamchatka and even a couple in Alaska…) but you also get to see a progression of quakes out of Asia, across Anatolia / Turkey, and on toward Europe.

I forget where I saw it, but on a Nerd Channel on TV was a documentary about quake prediction and they covered the discovery that large quakes tended to migrate East to West across Eurasia. To the extent that is true, folks in Greece, Italy, and perhaps even Iceland ought to get ready from some ‘5 sized’ events..

Though I actually found this 4 sized quake in Poland of interest. Quakes, in Poland? Who knew…

Magnitude 4.3 – POLAND
2011 March 05 04:32:38 UTC
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 4.3
Date-Time Saturday, March 05, 2011 at 04:32:38 UTC
Saturday, March 05, 2011 at 05:32:38 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 51.418°N, 16.197°E
Depth 5 km (3.1 miles) set by location program
Region POLAND
Distances 68 km (42 miles) WNW of Wroclaw, Poland
122 km (75 miles) SSW of Poznan, Poland
135 km (83 miles) ESE of Cottbus, Germany
343 km (213 miles) WSW of WARSAW, Poland
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 5.7 km (3.5 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST= 54, Nph= 54, Dmin=223.2 km, Rmss=0.98 sec, Gp= 83°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=3
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID usb0001ptf

Reminder

Take a look again at the Iceland Volcano Watch Metric posting. The total seismic energy line continues to go ever more vertical.

Live Maps

A live view of Eurasia so you can see if anything happens ‘more westward’:

(In making this posting, I just noticed a 4.9 off the Oregon Coast as a fresh red spot… this image is ‘turned’ just enough to show it)

Quakes in Eurasia

Quakes in Eurasia

Original with clickable regions to zoom in

This is a map of the Australia / Indonesia / New Zealand area:

Australia / Indonesia / New Zealand Quake Map

Australia / Indonesia / New Zealand Quake Map

Original with clickable regions to zoom in

Here is a “live view” of South America so you can watch anything “new” that develops there:

Southern South America Hemispheric View

Southern South America Hemispheric View

South America with “clickable” areas for more details.

Southern Hemisphere

A view of Earthquakes from the South Pole

A view of Earthquakes from the South Pole

Original Image with Clickable Details

Northern Hemisphere

North Polar Earthquake Map

North Polar Earthquake Map

Original Image with Clickable Details

If you click the links to the originals you can not only ‘click through’ to any given area or quake, but by clicking on the little blue diamonds you can rotate the globe to different points of view. It’s kind of fun…

In the Christchurch posting I’d said:

FWIW, at 185 quakes as I post this in the N.H. it doesn’t have a lot of “big ones” right now, but it is sure making up for it in volume…

That count is now at 194 as I’m making this posting. If it hits 200, well, make sure you have a good supply of scotch and popcorn ;-)

Some Volcano Stuff

This page:

http://pangea.stanford.edu/~dsinnett/Pages/Links.html has a nice collection of links to volcano monitor pages. Just click the pictures for the different volcano observatories.

The Smithsonian page:

http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/usgs/

is listing new activity in Guatemala and Kyushu, but is only updated on Wednesdays… while

http://www.geo.mtu.edu/~jaherric/Observatories.html

claims to have an exhaustive list of observatories that does include a Filippino one. That link tells you the original site no longer exists… but assuming the rest of the links are valid, it’s still a nice list to have.

I put that link into a google search and got what I think is the new, valid, address:

http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/

FWIW, it has some nice maps and general information, but does not look to be oriented toward “breaking news”…

At any rate, there’s some volcano links, but looks like the general news is a better source for “It JUST Blew UP!”…

North America

North America and Mid Atlantic Ridge Quake Map

North America and Mid Atlantic Ridge Quake Map

Original with clickable details

In comments on the Christchurch quake posting I’d noted that the Cascadia had a 4.x down at the bottom end and suggested closer watching. It’s now got a 4th quake in about as many days. Watch closely for a while… The 4.9 is almost on top of an earlier 4.8, then the two “bookends” at each end of the zone.

And remember, I have a dedicated CSZ page with closeups

Magnitude 4.9 – OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
2011 March 06 22:23:15 UTC

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 4.9
Date-Time Sunday, March 06, 2011 at 22:23:15 UTC
Sunday, March 06, 2011 at 01:23:15 PM at epicenter
Location 44.334°N, 129.473°W
Depth 10.2 km (6.3 miles)
Region OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
Distances 427 km (265 miles) W (272°) from Yachats, OR
428 km (266 miles) WNW (287°) from Barview, OR
428 km (266 miles) WNW (290°) from Bandon, OR
508 km (316 miles) W (276°) from Eugene, OR
554 km (344 miles) W (259°) from Portland, OR
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 19.8 km (12.3 miles); depth +/- 1 km (0.6 miles)
Parameters NST=225, Nph=232, Dmin=446.4 km, Rmss=1.15 sec, Gp=191°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=6
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID usb0001q90

Magnitude 4.8 – OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
2011 March 06 21:35:47 UTC

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 4.8
Date-Time Sunday, March 06, 2011 at 21:35:47 UTC
Sunday, March 06, 2011 at 12:35:47 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 44.372°N, 129.346°W
Depth 10.9 km (6.8 miles)
Region OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
Distances 422 km (262 miles) W of Newport, Oregon
427 km (265 miles) WNW of Coos Bay, Oregon
477 km (296 miles) WSW of Astoria, Oregon
505 km (313 miles) W of SALEM, Oregon
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 21.4 km (13.3 miles); depth +/- 1.1 km (0.7 miles)
Parameters NST=279, Nph=280, Dmin=438.6 km, Rmss=1.08 sec, Gp=187°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=9
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID usb0001q85

California Map

Action Closer to Me

As I live in California, it makes it easier for me if I keep them in the list where I can see what’s shaking near me.

483 Quakes on this map as I make this posting. I’ll have to look back for any saved old versions to see how that compares, but it sure has a load of colored spots. The close ups show smaller quakes than the hemisphere views, but still…. that’s “a whole lot of shaking going on”…

Current quake map in California

Current quake map in California

Original Image, with captions and description. The original is interactive with clickable regions for ‘close ups’.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
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57 Responses to Quakes – Asia to Europe?

  1. E.M.Smith says:

    Activity a bit more north of the North Island of New Zealand…

    Magnitude 5.4 – KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
    2011 March 06 23:45:00 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 5.4
    Date-Time Sunday, March 06, 2011 at 23:45:00 UTC
    Monday, March 07, 2011 at 11:45:00 AM at epicenter
    Location 30.983°S, 178.691°W
    Depth 101.7 km (63.2 miles)
    Region KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
    Distances 208 km (129 miles) SSW (202°) from Raoul Island, Kermadec Islands
    1146 km (712 miles) SSW (197°) from NUKU’ALOFA, Tonga
    3295 km (2048 miles) WSW (238°) from PAPEETE, Tahiti, French Polynesia
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 19.6 km (12.2 miles); depth +/- 0.3 km (0.2 miles)
    Parameters NST= 74, Nph= 76, Dmin=205.9 km, Rmss=1.33 sec, Gp= 68°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=5
    Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
    World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
    Event ID usb0001q9e

  2. RACookPE1978 says:

    There was a “swarm” of small quakes – all 3.5 or less – in Arkansas in January and February this year.

    Plot those with the 1812-era very large 8+ New Madrid quake, then north east along a “not-ever-discussed” fault through the middle of the North American Plate: That fault would track from Arkansas, through New Madrid, up the Ohio River Valley and Lake Erie/Niagara escarpment/Lake Ontario and out through the St Lawrence River break.

    All these spots have regular and consistent – but small – earthquakes on them. None of the millions living in the cities on this fault line take earthquakes preparations seriously.

  3. E.M.Smith says:

    The Game is Afoot Watson!

    Magnitude 6.6 – SOLOMON ISLANDS
    2011 March 07 00:09:38 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 6.6
    Date-Time Monday, March 07, 2011 at 00:09:38 UTC
    Monday, March 07, 2011 at 11:09:38 AM at epicenter
    Location 10.363°S, 160.759°E
    Depth 30.8 km (19.1 miles)
    Region SOLOMON ISLANDS
    Distances 129 km (80 miles) W (274°) from Kira Kira, Solomon Islands
    133 km (83 miles) SE (138°) from HONIARA, Solomon Islands
    180 km (112 miles) S (178°) from Auki, Solomon Islands
    1488 km (925 miles) E (95°) from PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 14.1 km (8.8 miles); depth +/- 1 km (0.6 miles)
    Parameters NST=336, Nph=339, Dmin=135.8 km, Rmss=1 sec, Gp= 43°,
    M-type=”moment” magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=B
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usb0001q9i

    I had also posted the details of that 6.x one in Chile and in the 6.5 in the Sandwich islands in comments here:

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/quakes-christchurch-again-and-sh/#comment-13760

  4. John F. Hultquist says:

    1. Watch for the really scary quake stories as the date of the “supermoon” approaches:
    http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-albany/march-supermoon-could-bring-chaos-to-earth

    2.. Google is trying to reduce ratings of places that republish material and up ratings of places that have new and better material. The Puffington Host has apparently been knocked down – never look for that.

    This from the WSJ:
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704728004576176802178972510.html?KEYWORDS=google

  5. E.M.Smith says:

    @R. de Haan:

    Per those european googles working ‘better’ from the WSJ link above:

    The changes rolled out to U.S.-based Google users last week, and the effect on websites, will accelerate when Google extends the upgrade to non-U.S. users in the near future.

    so enjoy it while you can…

  6. E.M.Smith says:

    @Verity Jones:

    That’s OK, Verity, I clicked on your link instead of his ;-)

    but it does match with the “more quakes at perigee” theory that says it tidal flexes the crust more then…

    Hmmm… and “18.6 year cycle”… so, Mark you Calendar for 2019 (October) too?

  7. R. de Haan says:

    Quakes, in Poland? Who knew…

    I had a similar response to the Mag 5.0 Quake that hit germany last month.

    14-FEB-2011 12:43:10 50.39 7.88 4.2 5.0 GERMANY

  8. John F. Hultquist says:

    Verity,

    I don’t have a blog to write or monitor.
    LOL

  9. MichaelM says:

    @John F. Hultquist (#1)

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_winter_weather

    Maybe they’ll get that storm your linked article talked about. 30 inches predicted.

  10. George says:

    Interesting speculative article that might be worth watching or might not:

    http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/astronomy/story/46417/extreme-super-full-moon-to-cause-chaos.asp

    One might argue that maybe we have already seen the impact of this, if any, in Chile.

  11. vukcevic says:

    I made a comment in an earlier post about a possible link between the recent solar flares and earthquakes. The link may not be just ‘quackery’, geomagnetic storms affect H component of the Earth’s magnetic field. Few years back Lab for Solar and Space Physics, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, has initiated study on the subject:

    Click to access EGU06-J-01705.pdf


    In order to ascertain is there a link I have started a regular daily (on 24h basis) recording disturbance in the Bh (intensity and duration) as well as number of the earthquakes at 4.5 or above.

  12. George says:

    There might also be the notion that while the flares themselves might not be directly triggering the earthquakes, the same thing might be triggering both.

    I once read a speculative article concerning the notion that as the solar system rotates around the galaxy, we might encounter different densities of strange types of matter that don’t interact strongly with “normal” matter (things like maybe WIMPs or maybe even neutrinos). While these things might not be so likely to interact with matter at the density we find on the surface, maybe they are much more likely to strike something at the densities found deeper inside Earth or the Sun.

    If such an interaction were to result in the generation of a little bit of heat, maybe it changes the nature of what is going on deep inside the Sun and the Earth. And it could take a long time for that extra heat to manifest at the surface. I once made a comment about this over at Anthony’s site but it was deleted instantly without comment so I figured I must have touched on some taboo subject or something and have never brought it up again.

  13. E.M.Smith says:

    We’ve got ANOTHER one on the CSZ (though in the spreading fault, but right on top of a couple of others and larger…)

    Magnitude 5.0 – OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
    2011 March 08 01:26:59 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 5.0
    Date-Time Tuesday, March 08, 2011 at 01:26:59 UTC
    Monday, March 07, 2011 at 04:26:59 PM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 44.246°N, 129.391°W
    Depth 17.8 km (11.1 miles)
    Region OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
    Distances 427 km (265 miles) W of Newport, Oregon
    427 km (265 miles) WNW of Coos Bay, Oregon
    481 km (298 miles) WNW of Brookings, Oregon
    510 km (316 miles) W of SALEM, Oregon
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 20 km (12.4 miles); depth +/- 1.4 km (0.9 miles)
    Parameters NST=198, Nph=206, Dmin=456.4 km, Rmss=0.88 sec, Gp=173°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=A
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usb0001qly

  14. E.M.Smith says:

    Well, it’s a big one! 7.2 near Japan!

    Magnitude 7.2 – NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    2011 March 09 02:45:18 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 7.2
    Date-Time Wednesday, March 09, 2011 at 02:45:18 UTC
    Wednesday, March 09, 2011 at 11:45:18 AM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 38.510°N, 142.792°E
    Depth 14.1 km (8.8 miles)
    Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    Distances 168 km (104 miles) E of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
    193 km (119 miles) SE of Morioka, Honshu, Japan
    216 km (134 miles) E of Yamagata, Honshu, Japan
    413 km (256 miles) NE of TOKYO, Japan
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 12.8 km (8.0 miles); depth +/- 1.8 km (1.1 miles)
    Parameters NST=464, Nph=469, Dmin=390.7 km, Rmss=1.06 sec, Gp= 29°,
    M-type=”moment” magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=B
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usb0001r57

    With a 5.3 aftershock already:

    Magnitude 5.3 – NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    2011 March 09 04:45:54 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 5.3
    Date-Time Wednesday, March 09, 2011 at 04:45:54 UTC
    Wednesday, March 09, 2011 at 01:45:54 PM at epicenter
    Location 38.543°N, 142.740°E
    Depth 27 km (16.8 miles)
    Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    Distances 165 km (103 miles) ENE (78°) from Sendai, Honshu, Japan
    190 km (118 miles) SE (133°) from Morioka, Honshu, Japan
    218 km (136 miles) ENE (65°) from Fukushima, Honshu, Japan
    415 km (258 miles) NE (39°) from TOKYO, Japan
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 19 km (11.8 miles); depth +/- 2 km (1.2 miles)
    Parameters NST=111, Nph=121, Dmin=387.4 km, Rmss=1.57 sec, Gp=122°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=6
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usb0001r77

  15. George says:

    There are roughly 2 M7 earthquakes per month globally on average. That means that even 3 M7 EQ somewhere on the globe during one month doesn’t mean much.

    Roughly 200 M5 per month
    Roughly 20 M6 per month
    Roughly 2 M7 per month
    Roughly 3 M8 per year

  16. George says:

    Magnitude 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
    8.0 to 9.9 1 1 0 1 2 1 2 4 0 1 1 0
    7.0 to 7.9 14 15 13 14 14 10 9 14 12 16 21 4
    6.0 to 6.9 146 121 127 140 141 140 142 178 168 144 151 29
    5.0 to 5.9 1344 1224 1201 1203 1515 1693 1712 2074 1768 1895 1944 315

  17. George says:

    Seems USGS numbers are about half the NRC (Natural Resources Canada) numbers:

    http://earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/info-gen/magfreq-eng.php

  18. E.M.Smith says:

    It may not mean much statistically, but it can mean a great deal to the people involved and can have significant impacts on stock prices…

    Take a company HQ in, oh, San Francisco, then Flatten San Francisco. Stock is going to show it. Also the stock of companies with a large N. California insurance exposure…

    Also, since I have some friends in Korea and Japan (and Australia and New Zealand and Europe and South America and…) it’s also got a significant personal meaning…

    Finally, if a 7.x goes off anywhere from Marin to Hollister, it’s going to have very great meaning to me, personally.

    So “Meaning is in the eye, and location, of the beholder”…

  19. George says:

    There were a lot fewer large quakes in the 20th century in the bay area than there were in the 19th century. I also noticed only a few years difference between quakes on the SAFZ and the HFZ in the 19th century

    1836 – Hayward Fault
    1838 – San Andreas Fault
    1865 – San Andreas Fault
    1868 – Hayward Fault

    But maybe there was no 1836 “Hayward” quake:

    http://bssa.geoscienceworld.org/cgi/content/abstract/88/1/140

    Anyway, the point I am trying to make is that the area has been unusually quiet (if we assume that 19th century was “normal”) and something along the lines of a M6-M7 can happen right now on the Hayward and few are prepared for that.

    Interesting to note on that link:

    “This, and similar evidence from southern California, indicates that M ~ 71/2 San Andreas fault earthquakes can recur at intervals of 68 years or less when they are followed by M ~ 8 earthquakes on overlapping segments of the fault.”

  20. E.M.Smith says:

    @George:

    Yup, that’s part of why I watch it so closely. An “8” would kind of put the lie to the notion of the buidings here being “earthquake proof”…

    I think the whole complex (of about 6?) total faults in the area really ought to be seen as just one large fractured area. Power can travel on whatever is easiest as it finds it. Then again, I’m positioned where both sides will impact me about the same, so don’t care which one goes… Or, put another way, I’m as far from one as I can get before getting closer to the other one 8-{

    So I talk to folks here about a 7.5 and they “don’t get it” and if you even ask questions about an 8 scale event they “find something else urgent to attend”…

    Oh well… The earth will do what it will do… “the Quake will manifest the Quake Spirit” and it’s best to be centered and at peace about it…

    But I still wouldn’t mind a weekend in Vegas if the thing started throwing an escallating series of 5.x to 6.x to…

    FWIW, I’m hoping that your point about N-S slip taking over from subduction implies a diminishing of locking on the faults over time and that the whole thing is loosening up and being more slippy, so less damaging big quakes.

    At least, that’s my carefully constructed delusion that lets me sleep at night… so no factual refutation, if you please ;-)

    Though I have to note that looking at California today that’s quite a line of blue headed toward Mammoth “Lakes” and the line of blue up the San Andreas is getting a bit thick too….

  21. E.M.Smith says:

    Well, in addition to a 6.1 aftershock on that Japan quake, we’ve got another one in Papua….

    Magnitude 6.6 – NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
    2011 March 09 21:24:51 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 6.6
    Date-Time Wednesday, March 09, 2011 at 21:24:51 UTC
    Thursday, March 10, 2011 at 07:24:51 AM at epicenter
    Location 6.022°S, 149.659°E
    Depth 43.2 km (26.8 miles)
    Region NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
    Distances 27 km (17 miles) NNE (31°) from Kandrian, New Britain, PNG
    305 km (189 miles) ENE (75°) from Lae, New Guinea, PNG
    341 km (212 miles) NNE (27°) from Popondetta, New Guinea, PNG
    469 km (292 miles) NE (35°) from PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.6 km (8.5 miles); depth +/- 1 km (0.6 miles)
    Parameters NST= 79, Nph= 88, Dmin=344 km, Rmss=1.37 sec, Gp= 36°,
    M-type=”moment” magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=7
    Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
    World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
    Event ID usc0001wfq

    Kind of gets your attention when you look at the two hemisphere views and each of them has a big red square on it… both inside the same hour…

  22. George says:

    Read a paper this morning that was really interesting. Basically it came to the conclusion that the San Andreas was a sloping fault that slopes down to the East. But the Hayward is apparently fractured completely through the crust nearly straight down.

    So it looks like the Hayward is actually the “real” fault between Pacific and North American plates in the Bay Area and the piece between the San Andreas and the Hayward is a relatively small wedge of material that is going along for the ride but sticks from time to time.

  23. E.M.Smith says:

    @George:

    So I’m sitting on the bit of peanut butter that’s being slowly sucked into the two sliding bits? Oh Joy…

    Or looked at another way, maybe the SAF is the subduction direction and the Hayward is the slip direction, so depending on what dominates you get the two quakes…

  24. tckev says:

    Deaths and injuries from very dangerous earthquake in Yingjiang, Yunnan, China

    Last update: March 10, 2011 at 1:52 pm

    This earthquake has caused at least 24 known fatalities, theoretical estimated economic loss of 200 million to 1 billion US.

    For more –
    http://earthquake-report.com/2011/03/10/deaths-and-injuries-from-very-dangerous-earthquake-in-yingjiang-yunnan-china/

  25. E.M.Smith says:

    Looks kinda small… must be lousy buildings:

    Magnitude 5.4 – MYANMAR-CHINA BORDER REGION
    2011 March 10 04:58:17 UTC

    Earthquake Details
    This is a computer-generated message — this event has not yet been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 5.4
    Date-Time Thursday, March 10, 2011 at 04:58:17 UTC
    Thursday, March 10, 2011 at 11:28:17 AM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 24.710°N, 97.994°E
    Depth 10 km (6.2 miles)
    Region MYANMAR-CHINA BORDER REGION
    Distances 95 km (59 miles) SE of Myitkyina, Myanmar
    246 km (152 miles) WSW of Dali, Yunnan, China
    357 km (221 miles) NNE of Mandalay, Myanmar
    2409 km (1496 miles) SW of BEIJING, Beijing, China
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 16 km (9.9 miles); depth +/- 0.3 km (0.2 miles)
    Parameters NST=122, Nph=122, Dmin=597.8 km, Rmss=1.06 sec, Gp= 43°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=5
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0001wnu

    Both of these are larger, but less “stuff” to damage…

    Magnitude 6.5 – BALI SEA
    2011 March 10 17:08:36 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 6.5
    Date-Time Thursday, March 10, 2011 at 17:08:36 UTC
    Friday, March 11, 2011 at 01:08:36 AM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 6.862°S, 116.765°E
    Depth 508.1 km (315.7 miles)
    Region BALI SEA
    Distances 200 km (124 miles) NNE of Mataram, Lombok, Indonesia
    259 km (160 miles) NE of Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia
    986 km (612 miles) W of DILI, Timor-Leste
    1105 km (686 miles) E of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13 km (8.1 miles); depth +/- 0.9 km (0.6 miles)
    Parameters NST=436, Nph=464, Dmin=338.4 km, Rmss=0.93 sec, Gp= 14°,
    M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=A
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0001x0l

    Magnitude 6.5 – NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
    2011 March 09 21:24:51 UTC

    This is a computer-generated message — this event has not yet been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 6.5
    Date-Time Wednesday, March 09, 2011 at 21:24:51 UTC
    Thursday, March 10, 2011 at 07:24:51 AM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 6.022°S, 149.659°E
    Depth 29 km (18.0 miles)
    Region NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
    Distances 24 km (14 miles) NNE of Kandrian, New Britain, PNG
    75 km (46 miles) SW of Kimbe, New Britain, PNG
    468 km (290 miles) NE of PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea
    2404 km (1493 miles) N of BRISBANE, Queensland, Australia
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.6 km (8.5 miles); depth +/- 1 km (0.6 miles)
    Parameters NST= 79, Nph= 88, Dmin=344 km, Rmss=1.37 sec, Gp= 36°,
    M-type=centroid moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0001wfq

  26. E.M.Smith says:

    Looks like Philippins picked up a 5.x too:

    Magnitude 5.0 – MINDORO, PHILIPPINES
    2011 March 10 19:06:10 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 5.0
    Date-Time Thursday, March 10, 2011 at 19:06:10 UTC
    Friday, March 11, 2011 at 03:06:10 AM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 13.745°N, 120.725°E
    Depth 127 km (78.9 miles)
    Region MINDORO, PHILIPPINES
    Distances 35 km (21 miles) W of Batangas, Luzon, Philippines
    64 km (39 miles) NW of Calapan, Mindoro, Philippines
    99 km (61 miles) SSW of MANILA, Philippines
    129 km (80 miles) SSE of Olongapo, Luzon, Philippines
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 19.3 km (12.0 miles); depth +/- 1.4 km (0.9 miles)
    Parameters NST= 56, Nph= 59, Dmin=909.5 km, Rmss=1.01 sec, Gp=108°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0001x3y

    and Japan continues to get aftershocks…

  27. George says:

    There should be at least three 5.x per day on an average day on the planet. Probably closer to 5 though.

  28. P.G. Sharrow says:

    WOW! a two-fer off of Honshu Is Japan both 7.9 quite deep.
    They have had 38 quakes 4.6 to 7.9 in the last week all about the same spot. pg

  29. George says:

    80 miles deep, though. Probably not a lot of damage from a quake that deep.

  30. George says:

    Take that back, apparently there is some serious damage. Internet traffic to Tokyo is way down. Building fires reported.

    I just heard 8.8 magnitude on Al Jazeera!!!!!

  31. George says:

    Quake upgraded to 8.8 magnitude, that is HUGE.

  32. George says:

    Now adjusted to only 24km depth.

    This is going to be huge.

  33. P.G. Sharrow says:

    just changed to1 8.8 at 35k deep also 6+ 20 min. later pg

  34. boballab says:

    13ft Tsunami reportedly hit the Japan Coast, seeing a huge runoff on Fox right now. They are also reporting multiple buildings on fire in Tokyo

  35. George says:

    Saw a harbor full of vehicles a few minutes ago on the news feed. At least one major fiberoptic landing is out of service.

  36. boballab says:

    Here is a link to a live stream from NHK out of Tokyo. It is an English language world broadcast:
    http://wwitv.com/tv_channels/6810.htm

  37. boballab says:

    NHK says that Japanese authorities has the quake still at 7.9

  38. P.G. Sharrow says:

    Also live on fox news. also 13 foot tsnamii on near shore 90 miles away.

  39. George says:

    Quake felt in Beijing. 7.4 aftershock is largest so far.

  40. George says:

    4 meter tsunami recorded at one location.

  41. George says:

    USGS now says 8.9

  42. boballab says:

    What A shot! Just saw the shot of the wave spreading across the farmland with a burning building smoking on top of it.

    The pictures Fox is carrying is from NHK (I got both up and NHK says it’s their helicopter

  43. boballab says:

    That wave just keeps going inland, you can see it moving for miles and miles.

  44. E.M.Smith says:

    The WHOPPER!!!

    Magnitude 8.9 – NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    2011 March 11 05:46:23 UTC

    This is a computer-generated message — this event has not yet been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 8.9
    Date-Time Friday, March 11, 2011 at 05:46:23 UTC
    Friday, March 11, 2011 at 02:46:23 PM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 38.322°N, 142.369°E
    Depth 24.4 km (15.2 miles) set by location program
    Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    Distances 130 km (80 miles) E of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
    178 km (110 miles) E of Yamagata, Honshu, Japan
    178 km (110 miles) ENE of Fukushima, Honshu, Japan
    373 km (231 miles) NE of TOKYO, Japan
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.5 km (8.4 miles); depth fixed by location program
    Parameters NST=350, Nph=351, Dmin=416.3 km, Rmss=1.46 sec, Gp= 29°,
    M-type=”moment” magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=A
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0001xgp

    Magnitude 7.1 – OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    2011 March 11 06:25:51 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 7.1
    Date-Time Friday, March 11, 2011 at 06:25:51 UTC
    Friday, March 11, 2011 at 04:25:51 PM at epicenter
    Location 38.074°N, 144.559°E
    Depth 26.5 km (16.5 miles) set by location program
    Region OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    Distances 322 km (200 miles) E of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
    344 km (213 miles) ENE of Iwaki, Honshu, Japan
    346 km (214 miles) ESE of Morioka, Honshu, Japan
    503 km (312 miles) ENE of TOKYO, Japan
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.7 km (8.5 miles); depth fixed by location program
    Parameters NST=413, Nph=420, Dmin=454.2 km, Rmss=0.76 sec, Gp= 29°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=D
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0001xig

    and a smaller one

    Magnitude 6.8 – NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    2011 March 11 06:15:45 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 6.8
    Date-Time Friday, March 11, 2011 at 06:15:45 UTC
    Friday, March 11, 2011 at 03:15:45 PM at epicenter
    Location 36.126°N, 140.234°E
    Depth 30.2 km (18.8 miles) set by location program
    Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    Distances 35 km (22 miles) SW (220°) from Mito, Honshu, Japan
    67 km (42 miles) NE (40°) from TOKYO, Japan
    109 km (68 miles) ESE (106°) from Maebashi, Honshu, Japan
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 12.7 km (7.9 miles); depth fixed by location program
    Parameters NST=187, Nph=191, Dmin=188.1 km, Rmss=1.38 sec, Gp= 25°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=C
    Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
    World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
    Event ID usc0001xhz

  45. George says:

    Tokyo Disneyland parking lot hit by tsunami.

  46. George says:

    Yeah, E.M. Smith, those are some pretty big aftershocks.

  47. E.M.Smith says:

    I’ve put up a newer posting with the close up graphic of Japan…

  48. P.G. Sharrow says:

    Tsunami should hit US west coast about 9:00 am

  49. boballab says:

    NHK just showed a chemical plant on fire caused by the quake

  50. boballab says:

    Correction it’s not a chemical plant it’s and Oil refinery near Tokyo that is on fire.

  51. boballab says:

    Senndai regional airport is underwater with cars floating across it.

  52. E.M.Smith says:

    OK, the original topic of this thread in particular was that historically there has been a tendency for quakes to show up on a progression from Asia toward Europe. This process takes months to years, but the thesis was that the energy was being released from a locked segment somewhere in, oh, S.E. Asia, then putting the stresses to be relieved a bit further on into places like Afganistan and Persia, eventually on into Italy / Europe. Along the Eurasian Plate boundary you an see here:

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/03/13/plates-ridges-and-north-america/

    Then we got “distracted” by all that action over in Japan with a 9.0 there…

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/quakes-japan-upgraded-to-9-0/

    Which then caused me to speculate about the potential for a similar “migration of quakes” along the North American plate boundary and would the Cascadia go next?

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/03/15/1707-hoei-49-days-fuji/

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/03/17/quakes-sf-to-cascadia/

    OK, so back on the orginal topic (that may take a year or three to work out) we have this medium sized quake:

    Magnitude 5.8 – HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN
    2011 March 21 09:49:02 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 5.8
    Date-Time Monday, March 21, 2011 at 09:49:02 UTC
    Monday, March 21, 2011 at 02:19:02 PM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 36.519°N, 70.920°E
    Depth 196.7 km (122.2 miles)
    Region HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN
    Distances 69 km (42 miles) SSE of Faizabad, Afghanistan
    113 km (70 miles) NW of Chitral, Pakistan
    117 km (72 miles) SSW of Khorugh, Tajikistan
    277 km (172 miles) NE of KABUL, Afghanistan
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.2 km (8.2 miles); depth +/- 0.2 km (0.1 miles)
    Parameters NST=282, Nph=310, Dmin=278.3 km, Rmss=0.87 sec, Gp= 40°,
    M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=A
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc00027zu

    Yeah, “Only” a 5.8 … my, how a 9.0 can change your perspective, but still will cause “issues”.

    Possible outcomes that would “fit the theory”:

    A bigger quake there, this is just a foreshock.
    A similar or bigger quake in Iran / Persia.
    Perhaps a similar or bigger quake all the way over in Turkey.
    Eventually more volanic activity in Italy / Greece and large sized quakes there.

    Yes, it’s likely that folks will forget about this thread during the several months to years it may take to play out, but I encourage you to keep an ‘eye on it’ as it has great value if shown to be usably correct.

    If the same idea can be ‘generalized’ over to the N.American plate, then we also ought to be able to find a progression of quakes there, too.

    Part of the problem, though, is that on a circle, it can be hard to figure out if things are going clockwise or anti-clockwise as they hop from side to side… and unlike the Urasian linear boundary, the Pacific Plate has a circular boundary, and it may be that the N.A. plate part of it is only a subset of the pattern… We did have this series that has reached Japan begin down in Chile and New Zealand… IF Cascadia goes next, that would fit a “clockwise circular propagation” around the Pacific Plate (and all those little plates it smacks into) rather than a propagation along the N.A. Plate in isolation.

    Also, lets not forget Haiti, on the Caribbean plate, it could be part of this “Circle of (geologic) life” too…

    So, all in all, my money would be on “quakes over the next dozen years heading into Europe and California” with the possible of “in a year or two” in Persia-Turkey and Cascadia.

    So I’m not going to be placing bets on the Turkish stock market nor on Microsoft any time soon… (Yes, everything has a money angle…)

  53. George says:

    I am expecting the next quake to occur North of the most recent one in Japan somewhere off Kamchatka or the Aleutian Islands.

    BUT, it appears that the parts under the Aleutian’s is creeping without being “stuck” and the same appears to be true under Washington state (re: the “slow” silent quakes that seem to be occurring there are regular intervals as material slowly and silently subducts).

    It doesn’t appear to me that a lot of stress is building in the PNW at the moment and in any case, those aren’t Pacific plate subductions. Along the eastern side, the Pacific plate is mostly transform faults, not subduction faults. The plate subducts in the North and West.

  54. Jeff Alberts says:

    Yes, it’s likely that folks will forget about this thread during the several months to years it may take to play out, but I encourage you to keep an ‘eye on it’ as it has great value if shown to be usably correct.

    I use the RSS feed and Google Reader. I get all your posts and all comments. I usually only skim, but sometimes something catches my eye and rips out my retina.

  55. E.M.Smith says:

    Magnitude 5.9 – CRETE, GREECE
    2011 April 01 13:29:12 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 5.9
    Date-Time Friday, April 01, 2011 at 13:29:12 UTC
    Friday, April 01, 2011 at 04:29:12 PM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 35.729°N, 26.455°E
    Depth 77.9 km (48.4 miles)
    Region CRETE, GREECE
    Distances 127 km (78 miles) ENE of Iraklion, Crete, Greece
    178 km (110 miles) WSW of Rodos, Dodecanese Islands, Greece
    180 km (111 miles) SSE of Naxos, Cyclades Islands, Greece
    348 km (216 miles) SE of ATHENS, Greece
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 12.8 km (8.0 miles); depth +/- 7.2 km (4.5 miles)
    Parameters NST=284, Nph=288, Dmin=109.1 km, Rmss=0.84 sec, Gp= 40°,
    M-type=regional moment magnitude (Mw), Version=8
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0002gtc

    with a 3.9 “aftershock” already:

    Magnitude 3.9 – CRETE, GREECE
    2011 April 01 13:45:24 UTC

    This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 3.9
    Date-Time Friday, April 01, 2011 at 13:45:24 UTC
    Friday, April 01, 2011 at 04:45:24 PM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 35.553°N, 26.588°E
    Depth 62.1 km (38.6 miles)
    Region CRETE, GREECE
    Distances 134 km (83 miles) E of Iraklion, Crete, Greece
    177 km (109 miles) SW of Rodos, Dodecanese Islands, Greece
    204 km (126 miles) SSE of Naxos, Cyclades Islands, Greece
    371 km (230 miles) SE of ATHENS, Greece
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 15.4 km (9.6 miles); depth +/- 26.3 km (16.3 miles)
    Parameters NST= 16, Nph= 16, Dmin=52.3 km, Rmss=0.86 sec, Gp=155°,
    M-type=local magnitude (ML), Version=5
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID usc0002gvl

    There is a nice chain of quakes right now from China through Afganhistan to Greece…

    Next stop ought to be Italy… and /or a bigger one in the Turkey / Greece area…

    Tossing in a volcano for spice would be a nice touch too ;-)

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