Yes, I’m coining a new “term of art”. “What the Giss?” is in essence “What the Technical Foobar Did You do?”
So in a prior posting we saw that the Arctic temperatures were strongly impacted by The Great Pacific Shift:
And that maybe the PDO had started a shift back and THAT prior shift to a warm cycle would account for a lot of the Blood Red Hot Hot HOTT! in the Arctic.
Yet there is more…
So I started wandering along the Canadian Arctic Coast at NASA GISS and thinking I’d take a look at some stations there to see if they, too, like Barrow, had cooling trends with a Great Pacific Shift signature in them.
I stumbled on a couple pretty quickly (not hard as you just click on the map) that had Something Strange about them.
Well, it’s got “Regime Change” written all over it. Just look at that “Step function higher” in 1995 or so.
But what kind of Regime Change is that? Not in sync with the PDO / Great Pacific Shift. Not in sync with the 1998 Great Stagnation when the world stopped warming.
Just what IS that?
Wolfram Alpha Says?
But But But… that doesn’t show much of anything at all happening!
There is a dive in 1966 or so that contributes to a statistical warming, but the line itself does NOTHING of merit in the 1995 era. WTF? Or, rather WTG?
Oddly, when I went to Wundergound to try doing some “custom” long duration graphs, their site now gives you a “One Year” graph. Even if they have data for many years and even if you can pick out individual years and even if you select specifically longer term graph options. One is left to wonder “who got to whom” at Wunderground…
At any rate, I’ll leave it to others to find similar examples for Canada. Clearly someone Up North is buggering the data and doing it in particularly obvious ways.
Something was done to the Canadian data about 1997. There isn’t much other possible interpretation.
We have not had a raft of “Record Ever” high temperatures out of Canada. It’s been rather cold and frozen up there lately. We’ve got some record rain and snow events all over North America. Whatever is going on, it is not a warm balmy sunny Global Warming world.
The yield of wheat and barley are not reaching record highs. The planting schedule is not moving earlier in the year.
This GHCN / GISS Data is buggered. Canada is in the thick of it. Sharpen your pitchforks and light your lanterns and head North To Canada…
If anyone can explain why with ENSO as it is:
And the rest of North America having a cold fit, that Canada might be claiming such “warmth”: Please, feel free to offer sugestions. All I see is “Rum, Buggery and The Lash” at work…
Update, just a bit later
Curiouser and Curiouser…
From Wunderground, I’ve gotten two images of temperatures. One from 1973-74, and one from 2010-11. Per the GISS graph, the later one ought to be “way hotter”… But when I look at it, I mostly see more “volatility” in the spring when sun hits tarmac now, and not a whole lot of “hotter summers”…
Compare that to the present, and I’m just not seeing all that added heat:
Summers are cooler (10 C vs 16 C) but the late winter is a touch warmer. Perhaps all that added heating in winter and all the growth they had growing from a few dozen to over 1700 people.
In 1946 the population was 32 of which 25 were Inuit. By the 2006 census, the population of 1,728 represented an increase of 14.7% from the 2001 census There are also roughly 1,000 miners that work in nearby mines. There is also potential for a uranium mine, called the Kiggavik Project, which is being proposed by AREVA Resources Canada.
Looks to me like winter UHI and spring Tarmac Solar Heat at the expanded airport, coupled with an overall cooling trend visible in the summer months.