Strata-Sphere on Jones – a Must Read

While I think some of the rhetoric is a bit ‘over the top’ (that may just be my generally emotionally flat nature, though…) and some of the conclusions step a bit beyond the strictly provable (there are some interpretations that could make a Jones statement more reasonable – even if a highly unlikely interpretation): the simple fact is that this is a ‘must read’ analysis of a series of the ClimateGate emails.

H/t to Another Ian in T2

Clearly a lot of work went into ‘connecting the dots’ and finding these emails. Gluing together the time line, and figuring out the meaning.

The net meaning is simple:

This is just stunning. He went from pretending to hide data from a scientific critic to admitting he does not have the data. And now we know more about why.

According to ’1′ he threw out (cherry picked?) data that did not fit their expectations and assumptions. That is clear and obvious. ’2′ is an admission all he has is the output of his calculations – not the inputs. So not only is the data he filtered out loss (and why he filtered it) what he has has been ‘adjusted’. It is this “selection” and “adjustment” process nf raw data that drives the gridded products. This is what everyone wants to confirm.

’3′ again indicates he does not even hold copies of the original data, but lets the NMSs overwrite data without any controls.

What a mess. [Strong criticism snipped… read it at the site. -E.M.Smith] All those people who believed Phil Jones was a qualified man of science with a clear audit trail of his work now know he was a shoddy […Um, yeah, hit the link… -E.M.Smith].

If this had been data on medical trials for drugs, structural testing for foundations, buildings or bridges, or safety data on cars, trains or planes the man would be fired and possibly charged with some form of criminal negligence. But this is climate science, where professional rules of conduct are apparently optional.

The article has links to a couple of other links that are also worth reading… I suspect it would be worth spending a day or so wandering through what he’s found…

Like this one where he goes through the “delete the email and dodge the FOI requests” emails:

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
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14 Responses to Strata-Sphere on Jones – a Must Read

  1. Serioso says:

    Here’s an important reminder: Just because people sometimes lie doesn’t mean they don’t usually tell the truth. Under pressure, under attack, people are often less then fully honest. That doesn’t mean they are wrong. I see this everywhere! Try to put yourself in their position… What would you do?

    [ I would do what I always do in such situations of stress and duress. I would grit my teeth. Consult my moral compass. Take a deep cleansing breath. Do what is right, and moral. And state the truth, simply and cleanly. Then prepare to deal with the consequences. Never betraying a trust. Never falsifying data nor facts. Never transgressing ethics. Yes, it is hard. OTOH, I’ve got a long list of folks who have trusted me and entrusted to me things of great importance. They have slept well at night too. Everything from a $40 Million supercomputer, to a several thousand person layoff list days in advance of anyone on it knowing (including some of my friends), to stewardship of the corporate email (and ALL the stuff people put in it that they ought not), to literally “the keys to the company” as Director of Facilities.

    There is NO substitute for a good moral compass and NO time when a position of trust can be just a little untrustworthy and have it be OK. Think that is too harsh? How would you feel if your banker only stole a few or your dollars? Your doctor only told your friends a few of your medical issues / secrets? Your lawyer only sold you out a little bit?

    That’s one of the key things needed to function at an executive level. Jones doesn’t have it. That you defend it is very surprising. Are there times when you must lie? Absolutely. There are trap questions that good interviewers or spies can use to game information out of you, for example. Sometimes ‘no comment’ is enough. Other times, not. When working undercover, my allegiance had to be to the law and the client. In those very restricted cases, lying to spies and perps is acceptable. If you hold the layoff list and a friend asks, “Am I on it”, and you know they are: You must lie with your face by not showing what you know while you say the truth with your mouth of “I am not at liberty to say”. Beyond that, I can’t think of much. Clearly Jones was not in those categories. -E.M. Smith ]

  2. Adrian Vance says:

    All of this nonsense is predicated on the concept that CO2 controls the atmosphere and that is simply not true.

    CO2 is a “trace gas” in air, insignificant by definition, 1/7th the absorber of IR, heat energy, from sunlight as water vapor which has 80 times as many molecules captures 560 times as much heat making 99.8% of all “global warming.” CO2 does only 0.2% of it.

    Carbon combustion generates 80% of our energy. Control and taxing of carbon would give the elected ruling class more power and money than anything since the Magna Carta of 1215 AD. It is just that simple.

    The Two Minute Conservative at for political analysis, science and humor. Daily on Kindle.

  3. Slowly ordinary people are waking up. Too slowly. But the demise of the US carbon market, and now slowly demising European one, is showing that the message is getting through to the money people.
    Keep up the good work on your blog Chief. I read many but yours is the only one I get daily notifications on. That’s because of your variety of interesting thoughts on so many topics.

  4. Mark says:

    This came out during the CRU Climategate leak of last year. Actually it was highlighted on The Daily Show. I remember Stewart included a clip on it from Fox News in his rant on the scandal. I thought Stewart showed that he actually understood science rather well. He said, “Here’s what’s great about science. In any disagreement, we go back and look at the raw data.” The clip he used said, “University scientists say raw data from the 1980s was thrown out.” He made fun of this, but you could tell he was disappointed. The clip he used went on to say, “The scientists say they kept something called ‘value-added data.'” Stewart had a great line for that. He acted befuddled, “Value-added data?? What is that? Numbers fortified with art? Truth Plus, now with lemon?” :)

  5. Pingback: Strata-Sphere on Jones – a Must Read | Cranky Old Crow

  6. A. C. Osborn says:

    As you say it is an excellent article. It needs lots of exposure.

  7. dearieme says:

    “CO2 is a “trace gas” in air, insignificant by definition”: codswallop.

  8. Pascvaks says:

    When we “believe”, and I mean REALLY “Believe”, than anything is possible. Right? Isn’t that what we’ve all heard? We often got very inspirational examples thrown in our face throughout life of folks who “really believed” in something and sacrificed everything for it, didn’t we? There’s a multitude of “good” examples, right? But, the bad examples kind’a get swept under the rug, don’t they? We say these “bad” people are crazy, or criminal, or foolish, or whatnot. Truth is, there’s likely more bad examples out there than good examples of folks who “Really Believed” and did some terrible things to force, or take advantage of, other people and “use” them to get something they ‘really believed’; like money, power, glory, top-billing, a cushy job, etc. I mean there’s Nazis, Bolsheviks, Commies, and Jihadists, right? And there’s “Inquisitors” and “Crusaders” and “Vietcong” and “Klu-Klux-Klaners” and Buffalo Hunters and Coal Mine Owners and Chicago Meat Packers and a whole slew of others. Right?

    For some, Jones was a scum-sucking dog, a filthy opportunist with sleazy motives and an eye for publicity and political and economic revolution, for others he was a true hero, a genius, a “scientist”, a prophet, and as he grew he was beginning to master the trick (so they thought) of walking on shallow water pretty well too. The best and worst thing you can say about people is that they are “Human”. Who knew?

    Who do we blame most for the failure of generals, presidents, senators, industrialists, bankers, stock investors, climatologists, bank robbers, pharmacists, police detectives, garbage collectors, plumbers, bakers, tinkers, tailors, sailors, soldiers, airmen, marines, husbands, wives, mother-in-laws, gold diggers, newscasters, nuclear physicists, fathers, mothers, sons, and daughters? Answer Here (Please Be Specific and Use 5 Words or Less)– ___________________ ;-)

    Ain’t life a beach?

  9. AJStrata says:

    Thanks for the link.

    One reason I am so offended (and therefore hard on Jones) is the cavalier attitude of Jones, et al regarding quality control of their data and conclusions. In NASA (where I plow my trade) we have seen what happens when one underestimates or miscalculates. And those examples are the destruction of the Challenger and Columbia Space Shuttles.

    Well meaning or good intentions are not an excuse for shoddy work. And it is because the agency lost lives because of not being precise or diligent that we take the business of calculation and estimation so seriously.

    As I said, in the post, in many other fields what Jones did with his data and how he lied to cover up his mess would be career ending. The man lied for years about the state of the raw data. I only know this because he and the CRU came clean in 2009 (as I show in HIS email).

    I apologize for anyone being offended by my reaction, but given the stakes at hand and the potential harm to the lives of people on this planet, Jones’ mistakes need to be dealt with seriously so we no longer tolerate such shoddy behavior.

    Anyway, I hope that explains my intensity. Normally I am warm and cuddly (though my elbows can be sharp!)

  10. George says:

    The Bishop Hill blog draws attention to email 3939.txt where Jones apparently takes Keith Briffa’s email, puts it on his own laptop, deletes mail off Keith’s PC, and when Keith wants to use mail, he VPNs into Jones’ machine.

    This keeps Keith’s machine clean so it can pass whatever searches the FOIA people are doing.

  11. George says:

    Nevermind, looks like Tom is lending Keith his computer.

  12. PhilJourdan says:

    The real data is out there, and eventually it will come out. At that time, the fabrications of Mann and Jones will be obvious. It will probably take years, and they will probably be just dust by then.

    We can only hope there is a civilization left after the warmists attempts to destroy it.

  13. George says:

    Have you seen the extent of the data adjustments in the NCDC database at NOAA just since July? They have been adjusting it every month. Temps after 1950 get warmer … before 1950 get colder … every month.

  14. E.M.Smith says:


    I’ve not really looked at NCDC in about a year…


    The world has come through worse before. Besides, I think these folks are about to be faced with a very cold planet and a ‘let them eat cake’ moment. They’ve already screwed up Europe rather badly and the PIIGS are getting restless… Not to mention the Egyptians… and the…


    You are most welcome. Your article deserved it, IMHO.

    FWIW, I used to get a bit ‘hung up’ on ‘why the shoddy work’. I think I now know. They don’t care about shoddy. It is by design. See:


    Who do I blame? “Them”. I think that’s less than 5 words. ;-)

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