Here is an example of what I have been waiting 1/2 decade to see.
An article where someone says ~”Hang on a minute. Isn’t it cold and snowy? Just how is that ‘warming’?”
It is a remarkable article, both for what it says, and for how. It is well written. But also for something about the “by whom”.
The author clearly says he’s all for more energy efficiency and cleaner air. He also says he’s not got the background to sort out the “science”. Even given that, he is looking at the “Argument from Authority” and seeing the fallacy. He is looking at the cold and snow and saying ~’that is just not right’. He’s seeing the scam of “cap and tax” and “global warming” for what it is.
In short, we are starting to see folks say “But the King has no clothes”…
As this is the TOP of the present sunspot cycle, we’ve got at least another 1/2 decade of colder and snowier to come. Most likely 30 more years of it as that’s what the orbital patterns suggest. There will be an ever increasing flood of folks willing to stand up and say “Hang on a moment! You said it was going to be warmer!” By my read on the ocean timing delays, the Arctic ought to be well into a re-freeze by 2016 (possibly starting as soon as 2014 for more ‘2nd year ice’) so that lame excuse of ‘more open water makes more snow’ can die a frigid death. It’s the “loopy jet stream” that is sending gigatons of wet from more tropical latitudes further north to have the heat shot out into space nearer the poles. That will continue for quite some time. Even after the Arctic is frozen solid.
At this point, the effort to implement the taxes and restrictive control policies will kick into high gear. It’s a race condition with reality, and they know it. One can only hope that “folks” decide it’s time to explain to politicians that they are not needed for weather control…
With that, the article:
Just a couple of tease quotes. You really need to read it ‘entire’ to get the flavor of it:
It’s snowing, and it really feels like the start of a mini ice age
Something is up with our winter weather. Could it be the Sun is having a slow patch?
As a species, we human beings have become so blind with conceit and self-love that we genuinely believe that the fate of the planet is in our hands — when the reality is that everything, or almost everything, depends on the behaviour and caprice of the gigantic thermonuclear fireball around which we revolve.
I say all this because I am sitting here staring through the window at the flowerpot and the bashed-up barbecue, and I am starting to think this series of winters is not a coincidence. The snow on the flowerpot, since I have been staring, has got about an inch thicker. The barbecue is all but invisible. By my calculations, this is now the fifth year in a row that we have had an unusual amount of snow; and by unusual I mean snow of a kind that I don’t remember from my childhood: snow that comes one day, and then sticks around for a couple of days, followed by more.
Several folks in comments speak up about the ’60s and ’70s when they DO remember weather, just like this. It will be very hard for the “Warmers” to make the case that the weather is odd if enough Grannies and Grandads keep speaking up…
But I am also an empiricist; and I observe that something appears to be up with our winter weather, and to call it “warming” is obviously to strain the language. I see from the BBC website that there are scientists who say that “global warming” is indeed the cause of the cold and snowy winters we seem to be having. A team of Americans and Chinese experts have postulated that the melting of the Arctic ice means that the whole North Atlantic is being chilled as the floes start to break off — like a Martini refrigerated by ice cubes.
I do not have the expertise to comment on the Martini theory; I merely observe that there are at least some other reputable scientists who say that it is complete tosh, or at least that there is no evidence to support it.
I like that… “The Martini Theory”… It invokes images of someone who’s had a few too many Martinis too ;-)
I also do have to point out that Southern California is not anywhere near the north pole, and we had freeze warnings there. While I remember them from the ’60s and how they were a threat to California Citrus then, it has been a while. Well, they are back. That’s the same Southern California where many homes don’t have a heater to speak of. Just a little 1 kW or so ‘toaster’ thing built into one wall. ( I looked at renting such a place once, many many years back. A 1 bedroom apartment.)
To try telling those folks that they are cold due to the Martini Theory north of Canada will just not work. Heck, 1/2 of them don’t even know where Canada is… nor do they care. They will just know that it is cold. They were told it would be hot, and now it’s cold. Martinis will be seen as “So last century”…
I am speaking only as a layman who observes that there is plenty of snow in our winters these days, and who wonders whether it might be time for government to start taking seriously the possibility — however remote — that Corbyn is right. If he is, that will have big implications for agriculture, tourism, transport, aviation policy and the economy as a whole. Of course it still seems a bit nuts to talk of the encroachment of a mini ice age.
But it doesn’t seem as nuts as it did five years ago. I look at the snowy waste outside, and I have an open mind.
That is exactly how a properly functioning mind is supposed to work. Even a layman. Look at the facts. Listen to both sides. Notice that one keeps shifting around and making up new stories year to year. Notice that the other has stayed with one explanation “it is natural variation” (though sometimes arguing over which part matters most). Look out the window.
And realizing that “This is not the warm snow we were promised”…
So now Boris is getting assaulted by the Warmers in comments. Some hardy souls stepping in to help fend them off. Over 600 comments.
Boris will now be vilified. Attacked. The classical “shoot the messenger” tactics we’ve all had to deal with. Likely his Editor will be called to task by some Name with Credentials. All I can say is “Stick with it Boris. We are with you. The truth shall set you free.”
As a cold wet snowy frozen winter covers everywhere from Alaska, through Canada, the UK, Germany (EU in general), on down through the Levant where the Holy Land got snow, and on through Russia and even to China where they are having a very hard winter… Finally on to Korea and Japan… All around the globe, the story is the same. It’s the 1950s to 1970s all over again. Yes, there will be some places, and some times, when the Loopy Jet Stream bring excess (Welcome!) warmth. All that cold headed south in some ‘blobs’ has to have counter current warmth headed north to be disposed out the polar IR window. But over time that built up heat will fade, and we will be increasingly left with only the cold.
I hope that the “Warmers” realize quickly that it’s best to get off that Hobby Horse now. If history shows anything, it is that in the cold, a hungry poor mob is not interested in how nice a person you were; only that you were part of the problem. The “Bread Riots” of the French Revolution came out of just such a ‘cold turn’. The time to head for the exits from the “Global Warming” story is now. In a very few years it will be too late, and the doors will be shut while the folks sharpen their pitchforks and start saying “About that ‘cake’ business…”