Of Springtime, Flowers, Birds, Snow…

On the news there are plenty of reports of “winter storms” hitting places all over Europe, into Asia, and even in the Eastern USA. There are some pretty grim cold weather stories.

Technically, it is spring. (Yes, different places have different definitions. I’m using mine. ;-) We just past the Spring Equinox.

So how about the snow cover.
Are we in the time of “Snow will just be a fading memory of the past”
that the Warmers promised to us?

FSU Snow Map 19 Mar 2013

FSU Snow Map 19 Mar 2013

Well. It looks like nature is doing a little bit of ‘coloring outside the lines”…. Wonder what the “total” looks like compared to historical norms (“climatology”).

Original Images from here.

FSU Snow 4 months 19 Mar 2013

FSU Snow 4 months 19 Mar 2013

I heard on the TV news that Fargo, S. Dakota, was predicted to have one of the worst flood years in a long time. Due to excessive snow and a later than usual start to melting. Prepare to be entertained by Warm Panic Mongers explaining that it is more cold and covered in snow because it is warmer and that snow melt is starting later due to the warmth…

FWIW, the last time this came around, in 2009, I identified what I think would prevent flooding in Fargo. That town is built where it tends to flood, but a nearby path makes a fairly easy to build bypass of the town possible.

https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2009/03/31/fargo-bypass/

The real reason Fargo continues to flood is that no body is willing to pay for some water control projects.

Send In The Birds – Oh, Bit A Cold…

h/t Crosspatch in T10:

http://www.thelocal.de/national/20130315-48551.html#.UUwE0KNj6uJ

Migrating birds leave frozen Germany

Migrating birds are doing what many people in Germany would dearly love to do – heading back south in the face of the continuing freezing weather.

Huge flocks of migratory birds, such as cranes, lapwings and golden plovers, have been returning to Germany over the last couple of weeks after spending the winter in warmer climes. Many of them have now turned around and left thanks to the cold weather.

A lack of food was driving the birds out of the country, Matthias Werner from the national ornithological institute said on Thursday. Hundreds of them made a brief stop-over in northern Hesse, he added.

You know it’s cold when the birds fly in, take one look, and leave…

But Wait, There’s More!

Yes, a ‘double tip’ h/t to Crosspatch:

http://belarusdigest.com/story/snow-storm-xavier-paralyses-belarus-13393

Snow Storm Xavier Paralyses Belarus

Published: 17 March 2013
Traffic in Minsk stalled

Large parts of Belarus and the Belarusian capital Minsk have spent this weekend under exceptional circumstances.
[…]
It started as simple snow fall on Friday morning, but approximately 20 cm of snow fell in the following 24 hours. The wind was 22 metres per second according to the Belarusian hydro-meteorological centre. Sight was limited to 100 metres in the Minsk region on Friday afternoon because of the heavy snow falls. Although the country is used to severe winters and well equipped to deal with large amount of snow, public life has come to a halt at this weekend.

So folks well equipped and experienced were overwhelmed. Well, Spring will do that to you. /sarc;

Even the BBC have noticed. In addition to the closure of the International Airport above in Belarus, we have:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-21735680

UK snow and ice continue to disrupt travel

Then after a long litany of parts of the UK that were frozen or under snow with prediction of more, hidden down near the bottom:

It is likely to result in a new March snowfall record for Jersey, which saw 9cm of snow recorded in March 1962.

So, was it a warm snow?… Are the children having stories told to them about how it used to be warm, long long ago when people in the UK believed in something called “Global Warming”?

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news

Major Storm Potential Palm Sunday Weekend
March 21, 2013; 9:15 AM

Another storm will cross the nation with heavy snow, flooding rain and severe thunderstorms.

Snow Memphis to Huntsville, Ala., Thursday Night
March 21, 2013; 10:01 PM

Snow will reach from Memphis, Tenn., to Tupelo, Miss.; Huntsville, Ala.; and Rome, Ga.; Thursday night.

Snow Brushing Long Island, Cape Cod Thursday Night
March 21, 2013; 9:42 PM

A bit of wet snow will affect areas from eastern Virginia to Cape Cod into Thursday.

Snow Aims for the Ozarks Thursday Night
March 21, 2013; 9:29 PM

A storm will spread a zone of snow and wintry mix across portions of Missouri and northern Arkansas into Thursday night.

Relentless Lake-Effect Snow to Depart Soon
March 21, 2013; 9:17 PM

Many in the Great Lakes are looking for a break from the snow.

South Severe Weather Threat Palm Sunday Weekend
March 21, 2013; 9:08 PM

There is the potential for severe weather during the Palm Sunday weekend from Houston to Jackson, Miss., and Tallahassee, Fla.

Yes, you read that right. Snow. Deep South. Spring / Palm Sunday.

Surly this must be the mythical warm snow, seeing as it is all over the South in Spring…

Ah, spring, when a mans fancy turns to… snow shovels?

There’s something going on here, but it fer dang sure isn’t warming.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
This entry was posted in AGW and Weather News Events and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink.

23 Responses to Of Springtime, Flowers, Birds, Snow…

  1. R. de Haan says:

    Solar minimum, Negative Arctic Oscillation, a wild meandering jet stream that goes much more South these days, a negative AMO and a negative PDO provide you with some of the answers.
    -20 degrees ºC has been forcasted for major area’s of Germany for the next few days, but don’t worry, it’s just weather.

  2. Steve C says:

    Yep, it snowed here in the English Midlands this morning, though happily it’s stopped now. The ground’s clearing, at almost midday, but it’s still snow on the wrong side of the equinox, very “Climate Change” but definitely not “Global Warming”. Can’t wait for those power cuts our ever-lovin’ Government have organised for a couple of years’ time to go with their prettily inflated energy prices.

    Oh, and in those headlines – “Snow Storm Xavier Paralyses Belarus”? Good grief. Does every meteorological phenomenon have to have a name now? Have I just lived through “Minor Snow Flurry Susan” (or whoever it might have been)?

  3. R. de Haan says:

    This is perfectly normal weather if you accept the concept of cycles. The climate alarmists certainly don’t. http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/03/22/climate-alarmists-repeating-the-same-nonsense-since-nixon-was-president/

  4. Steve C says:

    I spoke too soon. The snow’s back, and according to http://www.meteoradar.co.uk/ it’s regrouping – “Minor Snow Flurry Tabitha”, perhaps – just to the south of us for another try, accompanied by “Freezing Lazy Wind Egbert”.

    R. de Haan says: (12:03 pm) … “This is perfectly normal weather if you accept the concept of cycles. The climate alarmists certainly don’t.” – Sshh! Leave them for a few years until they get back into their “Next Ice Age” phase, then we can all point at them and shout “Gotcha!”

  5. philjourdan says:

    My first exposure to dry ice was interesting. I touched it (I was a kid after all) and thought it was very HOT as it burned me. Perhaps that is what is happening now. McKibben et. al. are being burned by extreme cold – hence proving AGW.

    Around here, this year is not “unprecedented”. We had a winter about 10 years ago where it stayed frozen until April (it actually was a normal winter here through February, just got a very cold March), and others tell me about a historic snow storm in 1971 in late March (i was basking in one of the warmest winters on record in Germany at the time). So the snow (8-12 inches forecast) is not that unusual. But it is also not what I would call a harbinger of global warming. It is weather however.

  6. John Robertson says:

    The team, 2nd edition, will be beating the drums of the coming ice age within 5 years.
    My local warm weather junkies are strangely silent up here, the ice roads are all being used a month past their normal closure dates, the arrival of some -10C weather is a welcome relief, our utility bills are nearly double the norm and the sun is blanked by low cloud still.
    Spring?
    The eco_nutz at our legislature keep subsidizing wind and solar power, when its clear it’s cold with no wind and 3-4 hrs of sunlight.
    When it’s clouded over its warmer (-20 to 0)C no wind. Normal winter weather.
    But they keep pouring the tax dollars into fantasy, local electricity rates have gone from 12c/kW/h to 34c/kW/h and will rise by 7% per annum for next 3 years.
    I expect their next propaganda, here and in your area, will be that the excessive costs are all cause of global warming.
    Cause of extreme climatic disruption, fall starts earlier, spring comes later, and when the suns heat finally breaks thro, it will be ,the unprecedented melt rate that they scream about.
    Ugh.

  7. adolfogiurfa says:

    Spring time is here!…Flowers blossom, bears wake up, and with them Al Baby awakes again…wait for his Global Warming preaches!

  8. John Robertson says:

    Just saw a weather graphic, on Fox I think, the continental USA is currently 10% cooler than average for this day.
    But then the kicker, the weather prediction office, predicts there is a 50% chance that the coming summer will be warmer than average.
    The stupid it burns.

  9. E.M.Smith says:

    @John Robertson:

    Given your cold location, and price per kW-hr you are a prime candidate for swapping to gas lights. Honest. Don’t know your local gas rate, but natural gas anywhere in the USA is “way cheap” (If in the EU, well…)

    They are still being made (several hits on a search) such as this one:

    http://www.neworleansgaslights.com/khxc/index.php?app=ccp0&ns=splash

    So you get 100% efficiency of heat and light (as you are in a cold place…)

    If gas is too expensive / unavailable, you can always use other forms of fuel. As noted, at similar rates here it is now cheaper to use gasoline for cooking and heating, even at retail.

    Once the “cost in $/gallon of Diesel” is less than the Price / kW-hr in cents, the fuel cost covers it. (But capital costs are about $6k for high end, $3k for lower end, Diesel- though with a bit of work you can capture the ‘waste heat’ too and drop the break-even a lot) So check your local “off road untaxed Diesel”. In many places it’s $3.xx to making 30 something cent electricity…

  10. tckev says:

    Thankfully most of the forecasts predict a really hot year just like last year. I particularly like the upbeat forecast in the British newspaper site The Telegraph –

    “The new NASA figures confirm that each decade is getting warmer and recent years have been even hotter. With the exception of 1998, the nine hottest years on the 132-year-old record have all occurred since 2000, with 2005 and 2010 considered the hottest, according to NASA. It has also been pointed out that 2012 is the hottest ‘La Nina’ year, when global weather patterns are supposed to keep temperatures lower.
    Gavin Schmidt, a GISS climatologist, explained each successive year will not necessarily be warmer than the year before, but on the current course of greenhouse gas increases, scientists expect each successive decade to be warmer than the previous decade.
    “One more year of numbers isn’t in itself significant,” he said. “What matters is this decade is warmer than the last decade, and that decade was warmer than the decade before. The planet is warming. The reason it’s warming is because we are pumping increasing amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.”
    Previous figures put out by the Met Office agree that 2012 was the ninth warmest on record.”

    I can’t wait for a bit more natural warmth.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/9806568/British-summer-one-of-hottest-10-on-record-NASA-confirm.html

  11. Gail Combs says:

    Gavin Schmidt looking for his old office as the decades get ‘warmer and warmer’ link

  12. Tim Clark says:

    I can’t believe how gullible and ignorant people can be. Global warming my arse. Nuff said.

  13. Tim Clark says:

    We’re supposed to get 4-8 inches here. If so, it will be the highest snow amount for the month of March AND February. It’s worse than I thought I wanted, but better than what I want to think it is.

  14. philjourdan says:

    @John – they predict a terrible hurricane each year as well, and for the past 7 years (this will be 8), they have been dead wrong. We have had a lot of dust devils (or fish storms as the common vernacular is), but so far, very few have touched land, and none were more than minimal when they did.

  15. tckev says:

    Yes, maybe I should have added a /sarc to the comment.
    As every year for the last 5 years, or so, I keep seeing January forecasts for most of Europe of a very (sometimes alarmingly) hot coming summer. Surely they must get it right soon – this year? The last really hot one I recall was 1974 or 1975.

    I live in hope.

  16. R. de Haan says:

    Gore: The time has come for a Carbon Tax: http://blog.algore.com/2013/03/time_has_come_for_a_carbon_tax.html
    Just put this guy in a strait jacket, lock him up behind a steel door of the closed department of a lunatic assylum and throw away the key.

  17. Roger Sowell says:

    UK nuclear facility closes due to snow, cold, and high winds. The reactor was shut down years ago. Remaining activities are reprocessing and waste fuel storage.

    Silly me, I was told that all nuclear plants are designed to operate safely in all weather. Apparently not. Let’s just close up shop, send the blokes home until the weather clears. Assess the situation afterward.

    http://www.brecorder.com/top-news/1-front-top-news/111974-uk-nuclear-plant-sellafield-closes.html

  18. E.M.Smith says:

    @Roger Sowell:

    As a ‘repurposed’ facility, it is likely that it doesn’t meet the old ‘spec’. I’d also suspect this is more a ‘family and friends convenience’ shutdown. Paying triple time for an operator to run a critical nuclear power generation facility is a storm makes sense. Not so much for a “do it whenever” fuel handling site. Just call it a ‘snow day’ and stay home…

    Saw on the news, another foot or so of ‘white stuff’ for somewhere in the mid-west USA. Kansas? or… So “still coming down”… Nothing like nice foot of spring snow to remind you of what you are missing ;-)

  19. Jon B. says:

    Maybe piling on, but saw this: http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/386129/Blizzards-60mph-gales-and-panic-buying-36-hours-of-snow-chaos-on-the-way

    And pertinent to your gas light analyses, click thru to this: http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/386153/Wrap-up-warm-British-gas-could-run-dry-in-less-than-TWO-DAYS-as-bitter-weather-continues

    Honest question, maybe to your readers in the UK… is 12 inches of snow a huge amount for a single event? I know it’s all relative, and timing is important. Here in New England, 2″ is an afterthought, but 2″ in Georgia is snowmageddon…. Seem to remember something I read about life in the UK, pre-war, lots of snow mentioned…

  20. R. de Haan says:

    Seems the uk is running into an acute energy situation: Energy:Gas Rationing http://www.eureferendum.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=83741 This development was long predicted by the eureferendum over the past years. But hey, with the EU baning system going down the drain and green policies running the country further into the ground who cares. The lunatics who blaim humanity for our dirty consumer society will be happy to know medieval times are just around the corner. I hope their nuts freeze off.

  21. E.M.Smith says:

    @Jon B:

    Don’t forget, these folks have been told for years (decades?) that “snow would become a thing of the past” and “Global Warming” was the only thing to fear. It is even in the planning and preparation (and salt / grit buying) plans of cities. After a long very cold (and abominably normal by historical terms) winter, they are learning it is a 60 ish year cycle.

    Distressing, from that link you gave:

    “SE boss Ian Marchant said the Government was underestimating the problem, as he announced plans to cut back on power generation at five sites because the stations are either uneconomic or coming to the end of their lives.

    He said: “It appears the Government is significantly underestimating the scale of the capacity crunch facing the UK in the next three years and there is a very real risk of the lights going out as a result.

    He said the energy watchdog Ofgem had recently expressed real concern about the tightening of the UK’s generation capacity margin that would follow expected plant closures in the next few years, predicting a 1:12 chance of the lights going out.”

    So it looks like, for the UK, it is a “Two-Fer” Only a couple of weeks of natural gas storage AND the electricity can go out as well. Looks like the individual there can not depend on either electricity or natural gas in prolonged cold.

    OK, I’d be getting a kerosene heater and jug o kerosene. Stores forever if you don’t need it. Pretty cheap and effective. The only risk is that you DO need to provide ventilation and never go to sleep with one running in a closed space. Personally, as long as I had a yard or patio deck, I’d go for a 2 kW generator and an oil filled heater in the house. Keeps one room nicely warm and provides light / communications / entertainment power. A siphon hose and / or install a valve in the fuel line of the (petrol) car and you can “store” a tank of gas in your parked car (so the usual 2 gallon insurance storage limit isn’t a problem). Either of those two solutions would “work for me”. (The first is about $100, the second more like $800 – so likely double that in the UK…)

    Heck, the generator would also power electric blankets to snuggle under ;-)

    FWIW, when Mum was a girl in England, they had a very small coal stove. They would burn ONE lump of coal / day and would await eagerly the allotted time to do so. You might be able to find such coal stoves and coal sacks… and an old flue hiding under the renovation work…

    @R. de Haan:

    From that link:

    Thus do we get the Daily Mail blandly tell us that, “National Grid has protocols for gas shortages, designed to stop households being affected immediately”.

    Power stations which run on gas are the first to be rationed. “They can do that to keep the lights on because we have coal and oil-run power stations which can be ramped up to meet demand”, energy analyst Peter Atherton says.

    “But next month many of the UK’s coal and oil plants come offline to meet green regulations handed down by the EU, and will not be available as a stop-gap if another shortfall arises next winter”, the Mail tells us.

    Oh Dear! So they timed the plant shutdowns / decommissions for the warm weather… Perhaps it ought to be postponed to next February…

    This is just soooo stupid. They do need to get rid of some nuts, but the green kind…

  22. diogenes says:

    @Jon B – some places in Scotland might occasionally see snowfalls of 12 inches but they are almost unheard of down south, near London. I am in my 50s and the worst snowfall I can remember was about 6 inches. And, just to add, snowfall in March is a one-in-50 year event

  23. steve sanger says:

    I recall michigan history classes teaching about the cycles of ice ages and glaciers that formed our state and the great lakes.surely the warm periods between(ice ages) when the glacier melt filled the lake basins were “global warming”,but what would the greenies have blamed then?methane from dinosaur flatulence?btw,it has been 15,000 years or so since the last one,so we are about due.

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