Two households, full time job, bi-coastal, and more

Sigh.

Despite my best intent, and a few dozen pages of notes on a dozen topics, I’ve not kept up with postings. What can I say. I’m maintaining 2 households, have a full time job, need to do all my own cooking, cleaning, washing, have a “bi-coastal” lifestyle as we figure out who is traveling to which coast ( I’m now a Floridian, so think the spouse needs to just come here ;-) and more.

Something has had to give, and it’s been a collection of things. First off, reading. I’ve not been able to keep up on things. A half dozen books sit unopened 3 months after buying them. WUWT has been visited as much as I can visit anything, and every time there is a backlog of postings that I haven’t read. More than I CAN read. Sigh. (again)…

A day in the life:

I get up, turn on the news. Only about 1/2 hours worth. Not my prior 3 or 4 hours and not a full sample of {CNN, FOX, Bloomberg, CNBC, Al Jazeera, BBC, …}. No, it’s maybe a bit of the Weather Channel, some Fox, a touch of CNN and off to work. After work, I’m cooking dinner and doing laundry and maybe catching up on CNBC… but more often just feeling like a ‘veg out’ moment with Big Bang Theory or Cooking Channel and not really feeling like engaging the world. After dinner, it’s a phone call to the spouse, or bill paying, or a shopping run or some other support and infrastructure need.

Then it’s time for bed and far too soon the alarm clock is buzzing again. Sometimes after only 5 or 6 hours. and it all starts again.

So what have I pondered? In odd moments I’ve looked into the plunging cost of a large quantity of computes ( I own a Cray X-MP 48 worth of compute power. We bought one for $40 Million in about ’88 or so, now it’s about $400 and that hardware sits unused in my project box…) and what that implies for cryptocracking. The NSA and how they have buggered privacy ( and a particular weakness in Microsoft protocols that looks like an ‘influence’ or maybe just ‘lack of wisdom’… PEAP-MS-CHAPv2 is a broken turkey that can’t be that broken without malice… from the look of things…). The IPCC being ever more out of touch with reality and having ever more histrionic flat out lying – yet being fully enabled by The Powers That Be… can humanity be that dumb? That willing to be lied to for effect? The overall pattern is that of an incipient police state and collapse of liberties. Then I watch a History Channel show on Billy The Kid and find out that he was, essentially, miffed at a good friend being killed by corrupt authority and took revenge. The rest of the year of the war of Lincoln County being just a consequence… and that he has become a cultural Icon in the USA. Somehow it seems appropriate…

Celts in general “have attitude”. Americans have that Celtic attitude as a fundamental. Billy The Kid was just some kid who was loyal to his boss, who was murdered by corrupt Powers That Be, and decided his Cause Was Just, so killed off some of those responsible. And took the consequences. Americans love that kind of thing. We have that “Celtic Thread” (TM) in our culture. The Powers That Be would be well served to look closely at the story of Billy The Kid and realize that they are faced with a few Million potential Billy The Kids. Heck, most of the time I make a living being “Lackey To The Powers That Be”. True to the “Sumner” heritage of my Mothers side. (Sumner is a surname meaning “summoner”: The big hairy guy who summoned you before the Crown. We have a long history of being “Lackey to The Powers That Be”…) Yet on Dad’s side we have Celts. If your cause is Just, anyone may call for a war against injustice. The fight, once engaged, is to the death and for honor. It’s a very bad idea to annoy the Celt… Billy The Kid is a good example of why.

So I’m more than willing to be “bought off” most of the time. As long as The Powers That Be are not too abusive. Yet I’m also quite certain that in the core of my being is a Billy The Kid Wannabe. Someone kills my honor bound friend or boss, well, a switch flips. If the person doing the killing, as in the case of Billy The Kid, does it under the “color of authority” and is corrupt and not ‘Just’, well, that just makes it all the worse. All the more evil. A blood debt has been drawn and it must be paid.

This is a typically Celtic ideal. The Individual decides what is Just. What is right and what is wrong. When a wrong has been done, and when and Evil Wrong that must be avenged has been done. No amount of Royals, or Law, or IPCC, or UN or Congress or whatever makes a damn bit of difference. There is obvious right, and wrong, and abuse of power, or Just Cause. And the switch flips…

There is a gigantic power structure dedicated to wiping out that behaviour. National State Education and Indoctrination. Central Authority. The Legal System (as broken as it may be). And so much more. Yet through it all The Celtic Thread (TM) endures. I can’t really say how, but it does. Perhaps it is due to the power of Ideas. “Beneath this mask there is an idea, Mr. Creedy, and ideas are bulletproof.” So the Idea persists. It tunnels through the oppression of Royals for a few hundred years. It lives in the heart of the Sumner, even as he summons…

So what does this have to do with now?

We have abusive power attempting a global takeover. The UN is the chosen instrument. Corporations are a minor tool. Media and formal education structures are key players, but via proxy and bias setting. (Read your Communist Manifesto. It clearly lays out what levers are to be grasped and pulled, with State Education being one of the big ones…) Is this paranoia writ large? Sorry, but no. The peculiar fact is that I’m mostly ambivalent on politics. IMHO, there are fundamental drivers that can not be changed, and the whole political arena is just a shadow show that can not change the reality. The Economics Laws are immutable. They can not be changed by fiat or will. Summed up in “Demographics are Destiny”. The USA has too few children and young adults to be workers to support a welfare state. Just can’t happen. It makes not one whit of difference if ObamaCare is passed, funded, de-funded, whatever. Go ahead and fund it. That’s just accelerating into the wall. (I’d planned a whole posting on that, but reality bites, then sucks… and time is gone..) So I see a reality where the politics don’t really matter to the reality.

We are $1 Trillion / year “short” right now per year. (Fed Budget) We will be even MORE $ Trillions / year short in future years. It can not be avoided. Too many “Boomers” are retiring and asking to collect “goodies”. Not enough babies born in 1960-80 to pay taxes to support them. “Hello Wall”… So fund it, and we run into the Greek Wall sooner. Don’t fund it, we run into it 3 to 5 years later. Don’t see a whole lot of difference. The Fed can not monetize the debt forever. It can for a decade or so, since it takes that long for the effects to build up (especially when masked by recession / depression / financial crisis / financial panic … to work down the list of euphemisms applied over the ages to the same event trying to hide the reality with prettier words and lies). So The Fed can print money. And for up to about a decade the incipient collapse of the currency can be hidden. Prices try to rise but have trouble doing that while folks are not employed (so businesses slowly erode away) or prices DO rise in a stealth kind of way (gasoline is now $3.50 to $4 where it was $1 and bread is $2 to $3 a loaf where it was $1, or even 10 ¢ when I was a kid). And everything is O.K. the first year, and the second, and the third, and a bit tight the 5th, and the sixth it is a pain but folks suffer through… Yet we have a long history of how this story ends. It NEVER ends well.

NEVER EVER

Folks don’t like to look at Economic History. Inside of “The Dismal Science”, it is the most dull and dismal topic. Yet the facts are clear. From ancient Rome to modern Italy and Greece, to America and the EU of next decade. Debasement of the currency is a constant act of politicians. It is just what they do. The stealth tax of inflation is irresistible to folks driven by power lust, greed, and influence pedaling. It works well, too. For a couple of decades. Yet the end is always the same. Social disorder. Collapse. Eventual Tyranny. Yet if one wishes to be the Tyrant, well…

So a riff on the current budget stupidity, the Debt Lust of the Dimocrats (and the weak kneed Republicrims) was on the cards. But a desire to sleep has held it off for a few weeks. Sigh.

In the UN, folks are still trying to figure out how best to screw over anyone who isn’t on one of the big teams ( “The West” vs “The Ex-USSR” vs “Muslim World” vs “China”… ) via Approved Wars and other manipulations. The Great Game is fully afoot, with the USSR / Russia on one side again, and the UK using the USA by proxy (via an EU leverage) to try and redo the power struggle of the end of the colonial era. Why is the USA willing to commit the blood of its sons and daughters and its (borrowed from China…) treasure on “Overseas Adventures” that largely just benefit the EU / Royals? Damned if I know. My Celtic Thread / blood wants to either “Make it glow in the dark from Morocco to Indonesia and be done” or just leave the EU, Middle East, Africa, and Japan and tell them it’s their problem. In combat there are only two real choices. 1) Kill. Rapidly. Efficiently. Brutally and as much as you can. Or 2) run away as fast as you can. This 1/2 in 1/2 out “police action” crap is just stupid. Unless, of course, it isn’t about righting a wrong, it is about handing over assets to The Powers That Be without too much damage in the stealing of them…

So, at the end of the day, I’m frustrated. So much to say, and so little time to say it.

So many ambiguities in what is happening in the world. So much being done in bad faith for the benefit of a few in positions of power and favor. So little real difference in what will happen, yet so much noise and smoke about it. So many people not understanding the lesson of Billy The Kid. Neither the abusive Powers That Be (that ended up dead on the street from Billy The Kid) nor the Regulators Gang acting to right the wrongs of abusive power, that also ended up dead. The real lesson is not to play the game.

“When two tigers fight, one of them dies and the other is seriously wounded”. That was a mantra in my Karate class. The meaning is simple. NOBODY wins a violent fight. It is only a question of how much each side loses.

So how not to play the game?

Well, it isn’t easy.

First, pick your fights. Be very reluctant to enter one. When you enter one, be fully and totally engaged. Have a LARGE gap between “stay home” and “blood lust”. Be fully on one side or the other, and do not change between them easily. NEVER be a fence sitter nor “nuanced” about combat. It’s a losing strategy and at best you end up frequently “seriously wounded”.

Treat all people and countries with respect and with a sense of justice. No country and no individual is so small that they do not have inalienable rights and are not deserving of respect. Arrogance is sin. A great sin. I may not agree with your opinion, but I ought to defend to the death your right to express it. YOUR opinion is as valid as mine. (But maybe not as correct ;-) We ought to be championing the right of small countries to be heard, diverse methods of governance to be tried in many countries, not telling other countries how to run their country (but showing without embellishment what works and what fails) and respecting the rights, privacy, and liberties of all countries, and all individuals; only violating those rights when those folks would violates the rights of others.

In short, be more like Billy The Kid. He was, at a young age, introduced to Spanish Vaquero culture. He learned and spoke Spanish. He was driven by a profound sense of justice and was NOT a criminal by preference. He avoided violence. Right up until a corrupt power structure committed an act of violence and abused the sense of justice and liberty. At that point, he stepped up and became a leader. Entered into a war to the death with the evil abusive Powers That Be, and killed the corrupt. Yet we need to also recognize that he ‘went off the rails’ when outside Law Enforcement arrived to arrest him for killing the local (corrupt) sheriff. Avoid that final “flip” into being a criminal, even an iconic one, and attacking all authority.

Is it hard? Damn straight. Having killed a sheriff, he ought to have stated his case in a valid court with a fair justice. And accepted the result. Instead he took ALL badges as evil. (In his defense, as a very young man in the old west, the ‘nuance’ of local corruption vs distant justice would be very hard to demand…) As a result, he is seen as a criminal in many versions of history, nothing more. Would he be any less a ‘criminal’ if he had surrendered to outside Authority and stated the case for corruption of local power? We can never know. Yet hard as that path might be, it is the only reasonable course. Sometimes the only moral choice is to personally lose so that the greater good can win.

So what’s the point?

That like it or not, much of American Culture is reflected in Billy The Kid. He saw his cause as “just”; as he fought a war against an evil and abusive local corrupt power. Had he surrendered to outside law enforcement, he would have been either found to be a hero, or now be seen as martyr. Instead he over generalized and saw all badges as corrupt power and died a criminal. In some ways, though, the beauty of America is that we still see in such people their value. We cherish our rebellious cultural icons.

And that is a lesson for The Powers That Be to take home. Be afraid. Be very afraid. Because even a Sumner who is your trusted servant and loyal defender may only be so as long as you are Just. As long as your actions are fair and true.

I rail against Communists, Socialists, and Progressives (what’s the difference? well… it’s nuanced ;-) yet I would stand up and shout at a surly crowed to “Let them speak!”. There is much of value in their criticisms of an Evil Bastard Free Market driven society. What “frosts my shorts” and turns me against them is simply that their policies have been tried and failed. Repeatedly. And that THEY use a variety of devious and despicable strategies to advance their agenda. Character Assassination being one of the most despicable. Is your message so weak you can only attack the messenger? Where is the sense of moral justice? Of fair play? Of fealty to Truth? Frankly, if Socialism worked, I’d be all for it. On an emotional level it has strong attractions. But it doesn’t work. (For reasons far too complicated to put here – but basically because centralized power corrupts and central control of economic activity can never have as much information and processing power as distributed individual processing).

In the end, we have two bad extremes. Evil Bastard Capitalists lusting after monopoly power and Evil Bastard Socialists lusting after all power in a central government. Distributed competing Evil Bastard Capitalists are only a little better than ONE Evil Bastard Dear Leader, but the consequences of One Dear Leader are far worse. So competitive capitalism wins. Not because it is Great! but because it is not as broken and evil. The best solution is a “Mixed Economy” as we had about 1960-1970. But that looks to be unstable to the Socialism / Regulation Nation side.

In Conclusion

So what does this ramble mean?

Probably not all that much.

Mostly it means that what individuals want does not have much effect. Yet it also points out the iconic power of an individual such as Billy The Kid, even if their true story and legacy is corrupted by time and bad history reporting.

To some extent there is a warning to The Powers That Be not to expect that they can be abusive and move to extremes and expect to survive. History says you can do that for a long time, but the end game is always a revolution of the oppressed and a large die off of abusive power. Just look at the French Revolution…

In the end, propaganda and re-writing history and all that crap doesn’t result in stability. It ends in revolution. While nobody wins revolution really, the outcome is usually that Authority gets their clock cleaned. Maybe not the first time, or always, but eventually. Yes, the sociopaths among us preferentially rise to positions of power and authority (not my thesis, an observation of others…); but when taken to extremes, that leads to collapse. The wise sociopath will avoid that and not push too much…

In the end, the Average Joe and Jane just want to live their life in reasonable peace and stability. That happens for a few decades to a century or two once out of every millennium or so. Have I mentioned lately that Economics is called The Dismal Science for a reason? So we have become good at “hunkering down” and “gritting our teeth” to get through the 800 years; and, sadly, to “bucking it up” and “growing a set” and giving a “French Haircut” to The Powers That Be when they get too abusive.

Unfortunately, IMHO, this time will be no different.

We had a good run. The US Constitution was an exquisite document that attempted to limit government and the abuse of power. It’s run for over 200 years relatively well. That’s longer than most. So lately (about the last 60 years, IMHO) we’ve been wandering away from it. OK. The end game is Tyranny. Always has been. Either we find a way to back things off and move it back to were it was, or we take another turn on the wheel. Not my problem, really. I’ll be dead before it enters the final round. (Oddly, I’d like to watch a full cycle. That whole academic curiosity thing ;-) but won’t get the chance since the changes are generational.)

Am I an American Social Liberal (ASoLiberal) or a Classical Liberal (ClassiLiberal) or a Conservative or what? I’m an old guy who wants my kids to have the liberty, privacy, and opportunity that I had. I have no idea what that is. But I do know that the Dimocrats (who have embraced all the Socialist goals and objectives that have failed every time tried) and the Republicrims (who have sold out to Evil Bastard Rapacious Capitalists) have nothing to offer me. As near as I can tell, the Libertarians have embraced the ClassiLiberal message more than most. They are driven by reason and practical ‘what works’ data. Had I a choice, I’d toss the Dimocrats and the Republicrims both in the dumpster. Classical Democrats (such as those that supported JFK President Kennedy and his message of less taxes and more free markets) and Classical Republicans (such as those that supported Reagan and his message of less government and more freedom) need to tell their parties to toss out the extremist trash and start looking at the Joe and Jane Sixpacks of the world.

Why?

Because the “middle of the bird” has it right more than the extremes. Because the simple fact is that when Government (Federal AND State AND county AND local) total burden exceeds 50% collapse soon follows. Because, simply put, most of us (the unwashed masses) can become Billy The Kid any time we see too much abuse of power from our point of view and once that happens, a switch is flipped and “justice will be done”. And that is a very messy process… You see it today in Egypt where the Joe and Jane Couscous folks are saying “NO!” to both the Evil Bastard Strongman and The Evil Bastard Muslim Brotherhood (and will do so as well to the Evil Bastard Capitalist and the Evil Bastard…. )

I find myself in league with the folks in the streets of Egypt. I’m not Muslim. I have very little in common with a Muslim woman in Egypt, nor with a Muslim man in Egypt. Yet they have tossed out an Evil Bastard “leader” who was fond of crony rewards, and got saddled with a religious Fanatic party in power. So tossed it out. What we have in common is far more than religion or language or culture or much of anything else. We both are faced with Evil Bastards trying to use Government for their own power and gain. “A pox on all their houses.” comes to mind. A Man trying feed his family and have some sense of dignity in the process; or a woman trying feed her children while loving her husband and trying to keep some sense of peace and dignity. That’s universal among us near the bottom of the power structure.

What we share is a universal suffering under the stupidity and greed of our “leaders”. A desire to see them limited in the damage they can do. Lord help The Powers That Be should we recognize our similarities as stronger than our differences… (Frankly, it is the Democratic Party strategy of attempting to exploit trivial difference for party gain that drives me away from them. The perpetual Race Card. The perpetual Grumpy Sexism Exploit. The perpetual angry divisiveness. The perpetual gaming of crap.) We, the crapped upon, don’t hate each other as much as we are hating those crapping from above…. Despite the “baiting” going on…

So, with luck, we can get the system to work for a few more decades before the inevitable rise of Tyranny and the equally inevitable rise of revolution against it. If not, do not fear. It just means we get to live through some very interesting writing of history.

Postscript

FWIW, the present histrionics over Obamacare are pretty much pointless.

There are not enough nurses, doctors, and bed pan changers to supply all the desired healthcare. Just not going to happen. With Obamacare or without it.

The simple fact is that we WILL have rationing of health care services. We can ration based on income (as we did in the past – rich folks bought expensive care, poor folks got “good enough” at the County Hospital) or we can ration via Death Panels and Government Approved Services. But ration we will in any case.

All the noise and fury about it is pointless, really.

Personally, having lived during the ‘ration by wealth’ status of the 1950s, I’d be in favor of it. “Market Discipline” has an amazing ability to get doctors to take less, and companies to drive prices down. “Government Pays” tends toward ever higher costs (utility be damned) until it collapses in ruin. Yes, poor folks don’t get heart transplants and MRIs for a head cold. Yes, they need to throw themselves on the kindness of others via the Shriners and Charities. So? Is it really better to have a high school drop out working for The Government saying you didn’t check the right boxes to get that service? Or are too old or too young or too sick or not sick enough? At least in the prior system folks would plead their case and charities would find the money to get treatment for the sickest and most deserving (while letting the donors feel good about donating… something taxes just don’t deliver…) The “March Of Dimes” against Polio to a large extent worked. And folks got to feel good about all those dimes in the process. Taxes are not nearly as effective nor do they feel good.

Yet, in the end, it doesn’t really matter.

There is only so much productive capacity and so many people who can work. You can rearrange the deck chairs on this ship, but it is going to sink more before it floats. Too few “young ones” and not enough productive work for them to do. Too much production of wealth in China, and too much consumption of wealth in North America. Argue all you want about who gets to sit in the best chairs on the Titanic. It’s going down in either case.

Debt is going to sink it, and there is zero effective effort stopping the Debt Mountain from sinking things.

OK, that’s enough of a rant for now. I’m going to give it a good try to get some of the other topics posted.
From the NSA sticking their snout into any and all “private” data to ways you can try to defend against it.
From the futility of debt to the futility of trying ot prevent more of it.
From the stupidity of military adventures to the inevitability of military adventures.
From the stupidity of Congress to the stupidity of Congress…. oh wait ;-)

But for now, It’s time to close. Please bear with me as I try to “ramp up” under the burden of being bi-coastal, with two households to maintain, and with all the “transition” issues. I’m not going to give up, but I might be slow for just a little longer… but take some comfort in the fact that in many ways “demographics are destiny” and in large part we rail against processes that are beyond the control of anyone. Even the folks making it happen.

FWIW, I have a longer term housing solution now. Though the internet connectivity is not as robust as I would like yet… But I’m working on it ;-)

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
This entry was posted in Human Interest, Political Current Events and tagged , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

50 Responses to Two households, full time job, bi-coastal, and more

  1. omanuel says:

    E.M. Smith, we love you, we miss you, and we are pleased that you are okay (just too busy).

    Yes, “We have abusive power attempting a global takeover. The UN is the chosen instrument.” Within the bounds of human power, that task is 99.99% completed.

    However, human power is indistinguishable from zero compared to that at the core of the Sun, as explained in response to the latest UN’s IPCC report that Jeff Condron allowed me to post:

    FEAR of death from nuclear annihilation separated humans from a new reality that might have replaced historical superstitions with knowledge of mankind’s connection with his Creator: The Sun’s pulsar core and powerful, invisible force fields emanating from it.”

    http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/2013/08/10/weaponized-science/#comment-96832

  2. Sera says:

    Dear Mr. Cheifio,

    Please report to your local re-education center immediately for testing to confirm ‘Billy the Kid’ syndrome. Your future is ours.

    Signed,

    TPTB (Evil Bastards)

    PN: Don’t forget to buy the dip!

  3. Ralph B says:

    EM,
    Yes we all long for the days of your Butterfly stove testing and dutch oven cooking. If only those drew the same paycheck. Hopefully California won’t take exception to your working in another state and decide to take some of what they feel they deserve (intellectual property tax).

    I know what the bi-coastal routine is like. Currently doing a bi-continental one, but that will end next week.Very stressful to say the least. Once I get back if you ever need a short break, come on down to Punta Gorda, have some Key Lime pie and some great seafood. Watching the sun set over the gulf will give you a few minutes of solace. Maybe make a sand henge or help me learn how to use my new telescope.

  4. Steve Crook says:

    “History says you can do that for a long time, but the end game is always a revolution of the oppressed and a large die off of abusive power. Just look at the French Revolution”

    No, the end result is a revolution of the oppressed and the replacement of one political class with another. If the oppressed are very lucky, they’ll get a political class that’s inclined to oppress them less, but all too often, it’s new boss same as the old boss. Animal Farm was just about spot on.

    It sounds to me as if you really need to take a decent break, because you sound very worn down. I got stressed and tired to the point where I crashed and burned. It’s taken me the best part of two years to get to the point where I can see out of the impact crater…

    You have a Cray XM-P 48 sat unused in the shed? Wow. That beats my BBC Micro and Atari ST into a cocked hat.

  5. Steve C says:

    It’s hard for a Brit, living in our “small but perfect” islands, to comprehend the sort of “stretch” involved in living on both sides of the US. Even if I lived in John O’Groats and found a job in Land’s End it would “only” be a thousand miles range (and only that much if I went the pretty way). Don’t envy you that yawning gap between your homes one bit. I hope you’re keeping a “commonplace book” (or at least a “commonplace directory”) of notes on stuff to chase up later.

    I would say you should get an autogyro for the transport problems, except that you may have missed the sad news that, sadly, WingCo Ken Wallis, the agreeably eccentric air ace who has been playing with them in public for decades, died recently aged 97. (A quick search will turn up plenty about him at the moment, as his death on Sept. 1st was quite widely reported.) Actually, hang it, what better time for someone else to take up the challenge? Get an autogyro! ;-)

    RIP Ken. You were The Right Stuff.

    On the politics, and making allowances for the differences across the pond, I have to agree with the general thrust of your comments: certainly none of the options available in the UK is any better than your lot. You’re right to point out that “socialism” sounds perfect – the human being is a social animal, who’d want to be an antisocial-ist? – but while its public face insists on building giant power structures ready for some sociopath to seize control of, sorry, fellers, really not interested. The design of a “socialistical capitalism” in which the society encourages capitalism to be as inventive as it likes, whilst ensuring that the workers get a fair deal from the potentially Evil Bastards running the businesses and everybody gets treated decently, “is left as an exercise for the reader”, with the warning that it ain’t gonna be easy. Alas, it’s going to get worse before it gets better, and the full-bore lies from the IPCC yesterday indicate that TPTB still think they can force the issue.

    Minor economic note: I realised recently that the purchasing power of a British ten pound note is currently almost exactly the same as that of a ten shilling note when I was a kid (I grew up when a pound was twenty shillings, and a shilling twelve pence). The factor of 20 is about right for income levels (£20 a week was a reasonable wage then; now we are told that the average is around £400, although few seem to earn that much), but not for everything (a house then was about £2,000, now it’s over £100,000; energy prices have more than doubled in a decade). In contrast, when I was young, there were still plenty of those rather attractive Victorian enamel advertising signs around. They’d happily print on them that the product cost one shilling (or whatever), the sign would go up … and that advertised price would hold for the decades that the sign lasted. Makes you think.

  6. Power Grab says:

    I never knew the story of Billy the Kid. Timely.

    Lately, I keep seeing articles about the T P T B apparently discouraging people (esp. men, esp. white men) from being heroic. I suspect it has been going on for longer than I know, but it seems especially pronounced now.

    I also keep seeing articles that make the point that the third-highest cause of death of Americans (after heart attack and cancer) is medical treatment. So all this emphasis on so-called “universal” “health” care just looks to me like a way to reduce the population quicker. Sorry if that sounds paranoid. ;-)

    My own concern is greater that the gummint, by way of its possession of all your pertinent data via the healthcare database, will come closer to forcing treatments on people that they don’t want, rather than denying treatments they do want. I’m thinking of things like all these goofy new vaccines for (what’s next?) hangnail, or toenail fungus. Did you see the news item this week where they got people in California to sign a petition saying they want birth control added to the water supply? Of course, the same week I also saw articles saying that we (and some other countries) have too few babies being born to support the tax base.) Omigosh! Someone is mighty fearful of babies being born, aren’t they? I’ll bet Pharoah and Herod would have loved to be able to eliminate potential rivals that way!

    I liked this comment of yours: “Is it really better to have a high school drop out working for The Government saying you didn’t check the right boxes to get that service?” Heh. So true. OTOH, the computer will likely be the first to make that call. Then the high school drop outs who are in charge will not even know it happened because their reports don’t show them things that aren’t there. You have to be curious enough to look for things like that. And you have to have software tools that help you do the searching for things like that. I’m not confident that today’s garden-variety IT grad has what it takes. I’m fairly certain that the database tools for doing that are getting rare. Also, you don’t cultivate interest and curiousity like that when you are wearing earbuds all the time and spend the rest of your time texting and checking your social media.

    And this comment: “The best solution is a “Mixed Economy” as we had about 1960-1970.” made me wax nostalgic. I started reading the paper in the mid- to late-1960’s. I often thought think that those days were something of a Golden Age.

    It sounds like you’re carrying a heavy load these days. I hope you get the time to “come up for air” more often.

  7. dearieme says:

    “the UK using the USA by proxy (via an EU leverage) … that largely just benefit the EU / Royals?”

    Come, come; when alluding to the Queen in a conspiracy rant, it’s usual to include The Pope, The Freemasons and The Jews.

  8. PhilJourdan says:

    Stick with Florida. The taxes are less, and the politicians not as stupid.

    And I agree with about 90% of what you said. The sad part is, I believe the Egyptians to be braver than the current crop of Americans.

  9. BobN says:

    Everyone always complains about the ruling elite and in numbers they are a handful. As an observer of society, it always amazes me that some super secret group never formed with the intention of methodically taking the group out. But then I guess that would just make them the elite that everyone worries about.
    I had high hopes that the internet would educate the people and much of the political lies would be exposed, but information available, doesn’t mean they will read and understand. Nothing ever seems to happen until its to late and society must undergo a trauma to right things, only to fall back to sleep. We really need a way to wake up the masses, but that just may be an impossibility.

  10. Jason Calley says:

    Hey E.M., yes, even the mighty (that would be YOU!) only have 24 hours in a day. I think I speak for many when I say, “We miss your frequent posts and thoughts but we understand that life intrudes, and family responsibilities always come first!”

    @ E.M. “This 1/2 in 1/2 out “police action” crap is just stupid. Unless, of course, it isn’t about righting a wrong, it is about handing over assets to The Powers That Be without too much damage in the stealing of them… ”

    Yes, exactly. It is a very painful paradigm shift, but once someone sees it, it becomes obvious. You can’t un-see it.

    @ Ralph B “Maybe make a sand henge or help me learn how to use my new telescope.”

    My personal experience is that the best way to get proficient with a new telescope is to join up with a local amateur astronomy club. The current members will be THRILLED to help out. Check the web to see what is close.

  11. The Quiet Farmer says:

    Sir, even though erratic, your postings are clear, concise and carry enough humor to make them a very interesting read.
    If you ever come “Down under” I would be happy to extend to you and your family a warm welcome to our small farm.

  12. Paul Hanlon says:

    Always great to see you posting, Chiefio. After a non stop run of over 1500 postings over four years, I think you’d be entitled to a break, even if you didn’t have the issues with living in two different places 3000 miles apart, one still not yet ideal, having to work at a highly technical level, and live life as well.

    Your frustration at not being able to post comes out in this posting. Not only are you cut off from the familiarity and people of your life in California, but you’re cut off from your “friends” on the internet as well. And that sort of isolation can really get to a person.

    I think you are right about debt being the thing that will bring most of the West down. Even the mighty Germany owes about €2.5trillion. Ireland, which is 1/20th the size in terms of population, owes nearly €250billion, and that’s without including mandates. Europe as a whole owes something like €13trillion, which is about the same amount as the US, and in pretty much every country, overall government spending is more than 50% of GNP.

    Back in the 70’s, when we had another depression, we raised borrowing to IR£32 billion, which was about 100% of GDP then, yet despite the boom that we had that money was never repaid, in the sense that we continued to have that level of borrowing throughout the boom, while continuing to rack up other debts off the books.

    But inflation had worked its magic in that that borrowing represented a smaller and smaller percentage of GDP, so it became “manageable”. I don’t think we’re going to get away with the same trick now, not with the Euro. The way of calculating inflation here under-reports the reality, but even with that, it could take thirty years before debt becomes “manageable” again. I really wish I knew what the answer is.

    For my own part, I’m bartering where I can, and am continually reducing the bills that come in, along with soaking up as much information on self sufficiency (without the hairshirt) as I can. The funny thing is that at this moment, the very best investment in Ireland is property, and second to that, paying off all borrowings. With a bit of luck, I’ll be “off-grid” in Cork in a couple of years, and that will work for me, but it’s not a recipe for everyman.

  13. omanuel says:

    I recommend information on the food industry by Sally Fallon Morell, President of the Weston A. Price Foundation.

    Totalitarian control of humans has been achieved by totalitarian control of food, information and energy.

    But Big Brother is in for a big surprise. The Creator of every atom, life and world in the solar system is still in contact with its creation by invisible force fields emanating from the solar pulsar.

    All is well,
    Oliver

  14. Zeke says:

    Chief says: ” You see it today in Egypt where the Joe and Jane Couscous folks are saying “NO!” to both the Evil Bastard Strongman and The Evil Bastard Muslim Brotherhood…”

    You need to see this young Egyptian (:

  15. J Martin says:

    Fracking and cheap energy could put off the collapse for quite a few years, perhaps giving a realistic and united and tough government a chance to set the US on a path towards a positive balance of payments. There are a few countries around the World that have done this or have come close, though perhaps none have started from such a depth of indebtedness. A couple of US presidents have had some success in the past, though people seem to disagree over whether their success had in fact been put in train by the preceding president.

    I guess if the USA collapses, then the whole World goes down, but if part of Europe collapses then it’s anybodies guess how many dominoes fall.

    But I wonder what could trigger a collapse, unlikely to be China as they hold so many dollars, seeing the dollar collapse would not be in the interests of China

    Could a cooling climate with associated worldwide food shortages be the trigger ? governments calling their debts in in order to buy food.

    Trouble is I don’t know the first thing about economics, gruesomely fascinating though it is.

  16. omanuel says:

    @Zeke

    The same one-world tyrannical government rules the world by manipulating the greed and selfishness of:

    1. Russian space rockets
    2. International bankers
    3. Pharmeucial companies
    4. Scientific organizations
    5. Hospitals and doctors
    6. International oil companies, etc

    After sixty-eight years of deceit, the UN looks indefeatible. But it will be defeated.

  17. omanuel says:

    CORRECTION:

    1. US military & Russian rockets

  18. Heretic says:

    Welcome back! We’ve missed you.

  19. John F. Hultquist says:

    Always cheerful.

    Most folks I talk to haven’t a clue the “wall” is there and that the US is heading for it. The local university does not have a trained demographer but does have diversity programs and administrators in numbers almost as large as their sports agents. All paid better than the instructors.

  20. Sera says:

    @ Zeke:

    Thank you for that video- amazing!

  21. Zeke says:

    @O Manuel,
    Let’s hope so.

  22. Jason Calley says:

    Zeke! Great video! I admit, I just sent that out to my friends. :)

  23. Reblogged this on The GOLDEN RULE and commented:
    A strange, in a way, addition to my blog. It requires some explanation – why choose it and what is achieved? My reasons are basically personal and I expect few readers will gain much insight from reading it through.
    However, it does reflect closely my philosophy on life and civilization.
    It supports my views, in general, it helps my confidence in what I believe. EM Smith stands out as an independent and very competent thinker. His blog was my first reader experience of the type of intelligence (both senses of the word), available on the internet.
    Mike was kind enough to accept my contributions to his topics and offered much wisdom.
    We didn’t always agree, I am a little more adventurous in my thinking and often place reliance on gut-feeling. Room for error, but I rarely go out on a limb without considerable compelling evidence from somewhere.
    Given the confidence to start my own blog, I am satisfied with the progress but feel the need to show gratitude where it is clearly due.
    So readers may not want to follow this through, but Mike’s wisdom is outstanding and provides a basis for anybody to get a grasp on reality, if that is their desire.

  24. adolfogiurfa says:

    Your rambling is in need of a sound track, like this one: (And don´t forget the Celts were murdered by “those powers that be” Rome & the Thransnational Church Incorporated”:

  25. omanuel says:

    I admire E. M. Smith’s insight into the continuous need to contemplate and review long-range strategy, regardless of the ferocity of the current battle.

    The combined research careers of my mentor – the late Professor Paul Kazuo Kuroda – and me revealed a fundamental truth about the impact of events in 1945 that only became comprehensible after contemplation and repeating the observation to myself many times:

    FEAR separated humans from the reality of mankind’s connection with his Creator via invisible force fields emanating from the Sun’s pulsar core.

    See middle paragraph of the one page synopsis:

    http://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Synopsis.pdf

  26. Zeke says:

    inre: Egyptian young man

    I will give the h/t to my own 13-yr-old who first sent it to me (:

    Regardless of the background, the panorama, the circumstance, the basic element of life on earth is still the individual act. And however events transpire in Egypt, the young man read, thought, and spoke accurately and truthfully about what he saw. If he does not win the argument, on some level, that is not what matters. We see in him the ability to act with thought, intention, and a clear goal in mind. The results may be different than we expect, but I think there will be results from his actions. This we never lose, we only surrender it through discouragement. “Seek and you shall find, knock and it shall be opened to you…”

  27. omanuel says:

    Zeke,

    I agree with your assessment.

    The young Egyptian epitomizes the reason world leaders spend public funds for loyal police officers and “science” advisors.

    Common conclusions of religions tell the outcome: “Truth is victorious, never untruth.”

  28. @ Zeke. Brilliant video.
    This “child” is wise way beyond his years. More intelligent than most people in most countries.
    To see and understand things clearly is apparently a gift.
    It is not an inherent human characteristic these days, if it ever was?

  29. Wayne Job says:

    Mr Smith sir,
    I take this opportunity to formally invite you to emigrate to Australia, we have a climate from cold to tropical depending on your preference and are a country that welcomes people can be of benefit to the general well being of our country.

    Outlaws per sec are held in high regard as bastions of freedom against excesses of government control, such as Billy the Kid, we have Ned Kelly, he also shot a few cops.

    Employment should not be a problem with a man of your intellect, OZ is a continual adventure I am entirely sure you would like it.

  30. Graeme No.3 says:

    Much as I love Australia, I should point out some drawbacks; venomous snakes and spiders, man eating sharks and greenies. The first 3 can be avoided, indeed they mostly avoid you too, it is the last that are most dangerous.
    Fortunately a recent change of government is reducing the numbers of the last threat, and such culling will continue as the funding is turned off.

    As for Ned Kelly, he was a bad man who got a good press after he had been (quite rightly) hanged.

  31. Zeke says:

    I haven’t heard of Ned Kelly, but an Aussie I know sent me this. (If you don’t get a chance to move to Oz, at least get in good favor with an Auss or two. They are good fun, larger than life like Texans, and they do speak English, I have concluded. (: )

    Remus Rudd

    Judy Rudd an amateur genealogy researcher in south east Queensland , was doing some personal work on her own family tree. She discovered that Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s great-great uncle, Remus Rudd, was hanged for horse stealing and train robbery in Melbourne in 1889. Both Judy and Kevin Rudd share this common ancestor.

    The only known photograph of Remus shows him standing on the gallows at the Melbourne Jail.

    On the back of the picture Judy obtained during her research is this inscription:

    ‘Remus Rudd horse thief, sent to Melbourne Jail 1885, escaped 1887, robbed the Melbourne-Geelong train six times.

    Caught by Victoria Police Force, convicted and hanged in 1889.’

    So Judy recently e-mailed ex-Prime Minister Rudd for information about their great-great uncle, Remus Rudd.

    Believe it or not, Kevin Rudd’s staff sent back the following biographical sketch for her genealogy research:

    “Remus Rudd was famous in Victoria during the mid to late 1800s. His business empire grew to include acquisition of valuable equestrian assets and intimate dealings with the Melbourne-Geelong Railroad..

    Beginning in 1883, he devoted several years of his life to government service, finally taking leave to resume his dealings with the railroad.

    In 1887, he was a key player in a vital investigation run by the Victoria Police Force. In 1889, Remus passed away during an important civic function held in his honour when the platform upon which he was standing collapsed.”

    NOW That’s how it’s done, Folks!

  32. mkelly says:

    William Wallace more than Billy the Kid I think.

  33. R. de Haan says:

    William Wallice, Old World verses Billy the Kid, New World.

    On the other hand if William Wallace had a gun….

  34. Luis Sanchez says:

    The arrangement called for McCarty to submit to a show arrest and a short stay in jail until the conclusion of his courtroom testimony. Although McCartys’ testimony helped to indict John Dolan, (one of the powerful House faction leaders), the district attorney defied Wallace’s order to set McCarty free after testifying. Instead, Billy was returned to jail in June, 1879. A natural-born escape artist, McCarty slipped out of his handcuffs and fled.

  35. omanuel says:

    My youngest daughter, 33 years old today, discovered a cookbook by Sally Fallon that challenges the politically-correct diet fads that are killing us and the profit-driven drugs that promise to keep us alive and healthy.

    The cookbook reminded me that in all aspects of life, we wanted to be accepted and were enslaved by our addiction to politically-correct, consensus views because we wanted to be part of the crowd.

    Oliver K. Manuel

  36. adolfogiurfa says:

    What do you think of this?
    http://www.rememberthe13th.com/

    Would it be about this guy?:

    Which is causing all this trouble?:

  37. omanuel says:

    Adolfogiurfa,

    That is a strange message. Perhaps NASA will announce that FEAR of nuclear annihilation from the atomic bombs that ended World War in 1945 scared world leaders and guilt-ridden scientists into hiding measurements and observations over the next 68 years that showed, beyond any reasonable doubt, the core of the Sun is like the cores of the uranium and plutonium atoms that destroyed Hiroshima and Nagasaki on 6 & 9 August 1945.

    The neutron-rich core of the Sun:

    1. Made our elements
    2. Birthed the solar system 5 Ga ago
    3. Sustained the origin and evolution of life on Earth after 3.5 Ga ago, and
    4. Sends out powerful, invisible force fields that can occasionally be seen penetrating the photosphere as sun-spots (magnetic fields from the Sun’s pulsar core).

    The solar pulsar core is literally the Creator and Sustainer of every atom, life and world in the solar system.

    Those who seek to rule the entire globe with a tyrannical new, one-world government do not want the public to know that they too are totally powerless over the Creator and Sustainer of every atom, life and world in the solar system.

    With kind regards,
    Oliver K. Manuel
    Former NASA Principal
    Investigator for Apollo

  38. E.M.Smith says:

    @Dearieme:

    Unfortunately, only the Royals have a long history that is not disputed of guile and manipulation. Besides, my Father In Law (who was one of the most honest and trustworthy folks I’ve ever known, and also a 101st Airborne from W.W.II who was at Bastogne) was a 3rd Degree Mason, and my Aunt married a Jew, so they are my relatives (oh, and I have a kid in Israel somewhere… but that’s a long story…) So can’t see tossing my own family into the Conspiracy Pot.

    As per the Pope: What conspiracy theory? He already runs a lot of the world and one of the largest enterprises on the planet. No need for a conspiracy theory, he clearly has power and money to use for gaining influence.

    BTW, you DO know that one of the young royals was caught out saying they expected to win The Great Game this time? No? https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/11/27/old-ending-for-a-new-great-game/ so it’s not exactly like they are trying to hide their desires and manipulations.

    Such things are usual, customary, and expected of royals. It’s part of the job description.

    @Sera:

    OK, just send directions and air fare…

    @Ralph B:

    Punta Gorda? Florida, not Belize, I presume? Sounds like fun. I get holidays off ;-)

    Sand Henge? Hmmmm….. Maybe some plastic wrappers to make damp sand pillars and…

    @Steve Cook:

    Both statements are true. Many of the “old guard” get killed and the “new guard” then occupy the niche…

    That was a Cray X-MP-48 worth of compute power, not an actual Cray.

    Burned? No. Just frustrated that I don’t get to do as much of what I want to do as I must spend time chasing dollars…. But I’ve resolved to simply pull an all-nighter once a week and see how that work out. Who needs to sleep Friday Night, anyway? ;-)

    (And my happiness level is already rising ;-)

    @Steve C:

    Many folks don’t appreciate how big this place is. 2800 miles “door to door”…

    The good news is that some things are standardizing now. Have a steady place to stay. Equipped kitchen. (Even made a ‘dump cake’ in the new 2 qt. Dutch Oven / American Camp Oven).

    Per a book of ideas: Yes, about 2 dozen now. Including photographs of some things… Hoping to knock out 2 or 3 more this weekend. “We’ll see”…

    40 some years ago I lusted after an Autogyro… now the licensing laws are so extreme that they are killing US General Aviation. So not going to be flying anything any time soon. Besides, the 80+ MPH on the freeway is likely faster than an autogyro can fly…

    Yes, the abandonment of metal money for printed stuff just means it evaporates value. I’ve kept my own inflation index of prices from my youth. It’s about 10:1 to 20:1 depending on article on our side of the pond. Soon to be much worse…

    @Power Grab:

    It has been true since before socialized medicine. Avoiding doctors to live longer has had a long and honored history. Remember that they used to feed you mercury and drain your blood out while doing septic surgery… Believe it or not, it is better now…

    But yes, be very reluctant to get medical ‘care’…

    @PhilJourdan:

    Yes, the Egyptians are clearly braver at the moment. Necessity and all…

    Per the woosification factor: Put women in charge of school and they want the boys to be girls with penises; near as I can tell. No room for a kid to play “Cops and Robbers” with a “finger gun”. (Kid was suspended here for that). It will end when there’s not a lot of folks willing to defend it…

    Not going back to California. Spouse is packing / closing shop / whatever.

    @BobN:

    You desire to change the nature of people, when those people do not wish to change, and when the folks who have power wish them not to change. Not going to happen. (Much as I wish it would).

    So we’ll take a turn on the wheel, same as a thousand times before.

    @Jason Calley:

    I’m trying a ‘new thing’. Instead of stuffing dinner down, then vegging in front of the TV for the (what? 2 hours left?), I’m attempting to leave the box turned off and keep the brain on. We’ll see how well that works after a full day of “mental work”…

    I always found the best way to learn to use a telescope was to go somewhere dark and look at the moon through it… Then Jupiter…

    Per “can’t unsee it”: I think more folks are seeing it sooner. For example, I’ve already talked one of my kids out of supporting the military adventures just by pointing them to look in the right places.

    @Paul Hanlon:

    Yup. I was surprised to see that 1500 mark roll by… Didn’t realize how much I was doing ;-)

    Per the isolation aspect: It’s a “3 fer”. Isolation from home and family and local friends. Isolation from “Net Friends”. And being force fed a whole new social paradigm. Take your entire social paradigm and turn it inside out.

    Add in the loss of creative outlet and it can be stultifying.

    So I’m searching for ways to “overlap and interweave” some more things and get back some “me time” for postings and comments (and maybe even reading other blogs like WUWT a little).

    I’m pretty sure the drive to more debt is “by design”. We had the head of the IMF saying how dire it would be if the USA didn’t go into more debt and it might bring down the world economy. These are the folks that take over when you are in too much debt. I can only presume they want us in enough debt to “call the shots”…

    @OManuel:

    Yes “all is well”. I tend to make much of my own food, and do much of my own “doctoring” of myself. Seems to work. I have far less illness than just about everyone around me. Simply avoiding interacting with “the system” as much as possible seems to be good for health and happiness.

    @Zeke:

    You have given me hope for the Arab World with that video. I hope there are a 100 Million more who can think like that there…

    @J Martin:

    Remember that a collapse of government is NOT a collapse of society nor of economics. The government is shut down here, now, and nobody really notices much (other than the “showcase” shutdowns for news hounds, like weddings at national monuments – and since when were national monuments chapels anyway?…)

    Per economics:

    The essence is just “who makes what for whom”. Demographics is destiny simply because it determines much of the who and whom. So, for example, we have far too few “young ones” to support all the “old ones” who are going to retire and want medical care (where 90% type ranges of medical costs come in old age).

    The answer was Obamacare to rope young ones into paying $2000 each for medical care they will not use so that could be used to subsidize the old ones who need it. Who is the “20 and 30 somethings”. What is medical care. Whom is “50 to 80 somethings”.

    China has had a one child policy for a long time. Right now they have a load of prime working age folks. That “crashes” when they all hit retirement and that “one child” generation has to make everything for 2 old parents. Coming soon to a China near you…. Who is the “One Child”. What is “everything the world consumes from China plus 2 parents worth of consumption” and Whom is “the world plus their parents”. This will break…

    The Muslim world is even worse off. Not a lot of anything being made. Lots of oil money going to a few rich, who put the rest of their countries on welfare. Most are nearing 1.5 to 2 x their natural carrying capacity. Who is “foreign workers” in many cases. What is oil. For Whom is “the powerful with just enough welfare to keep things peaceful”. What happens when the oil runs low?… Where will the food (presently bought with oil) come from then?

    See how the game is played? Who, what, for whom. Then just run it forward….

    Some aspects are a bit more subtle, like the US and Euro debt. We owe most of it to Social Security, China, Japan, and a load of banks all over the world. With every decreasing numbers of worker who are expected to support every more retired “boomers” AND pay all the medical costs, this isn’t going to work. “Who” is the ever dwindling number of 20, 30, and 40 somethings. “What” is everything the society needs including debt service and buying oil. For “Whom” is the increasing mountain of ‘disable’ and retired 50-90 somethings sucking down boat loads of medical care and expecting to retire on social security owed by the younger set to the older set (it is set up as an intergenerational ponzi scheme). Will those 20-40 somethings be able to carry that much? Nope. So the promises will need to be broken.

    The Social Security will be paid, in nominal dollars that don’t buy much.
    The medical care will be given, in rationed minimal cost non-care.

    There simply are not enough bodies to do the work to make the system function as advertized.

    How will the collapse come? Will it be a generational voter revolt? A rabid inflation that just breaks the promises in spirit while keeping them on paper? A revolution? That part is hard to say. But realize that the $Trillion we owe to Japan is expected to pay THEIR retiring boomers. WHEN they redeem that debt, and they will, “Who” will pay it? With “What” will it be paid? Those folks will want to buy rice and cooking oil and their own Japanese medical care and Hondas and things from China. They will not want dollars to keep, but to dump for goods. Where is the “what”? Who will make it? The $Trillions that the Chinese are setting aside with all their present workers will be redeemed when those workers run low (not too long from now). Will they accept “pennies on the dollar” of real value from inflated away dollars?

    That, in a nutshell, is the economics of the problem. There are not enough “Who”s in American and they are not making enough “What”s for all the world “Whom”s with claims on those productive assets. $17 Trillion and rising. And we can’t just “roll it over” forever, as the three major holders (China, Japan, USA Social Security) all expect to use that money to pay retirement promises to “boom” generations…

    So expect to see a LOT of sweating, posturing, and crazy schemes to hide that problem of the Who and Whoms in the next decade. Obamacare is just the start of them.

    I’m going to take a break for some caffeine and be back to finish the comments here..

  39. M Simon says:

    There are some counter trends. “Onshoring” is incipient but expanding rapidly. Why? Reduced labor cost differentials and difficult logistics – not to mention language barriers and education differentials. The education differentials are daunting for the rest of the world. Rote learning vs creative thinking. America (the Celts) are masters of creative thinking because we do less of putting people in boxes than the rest of the world.

    Not enough (quality) workers? Robots. R2D2 coming to a factory near you (and to Foxcon in China). Soon to be C3PO.

    IMO the current Depression is due to workers displaced by machines – sound familiar? It happened in the 1920s. Took about 40 years to fully sort out. People don’t change careers (Tom Joad) – their children do. I am in the fortunate position of being a Maker of the Machines:

    http://spacetimepro.blogspot.com/

    What do I predict? Another die off of the low brain power humans. The average will rise and the standard deviation will narrow. And we still have significant gains to be made in one of today’s major activities – software writing:

    http://www.ecnmag.com/blogs/2013/10/can-software-save-moores-law

    I’m not too pessimistic – but we do live in interesting times.

  40. M Simon says:

    The next frontier in medicine is endocannabinoids:
    http://rockford-for-safe-access.blogspot.com/
    Recognition of their importance by the political establishment (doctors – mostly – already know) will destroy much of the current medical establishment.

  41. E.M.Smith says:

    Well, the “break” turned into another posting and a long nap… back now ;-)

    @Heretic:

    I never really “go away”, just get very slow ;-)

    But yes, it’s good to “be back”…

    @John F. Hultquist:

    Yup. The “Who” being the PC crowd pushing diversity trainers as more important for “self actualization” than things like engineers and sports stars. The “What” being a particular forced world view. The “for Whom” being the next generation (against their will or not…)

    In the end, realty does bite and the pendulum swings back to more reality centered things; but only after those making THIS set of decisions lose the accumulated wealth on follies.

    Cheerful as ever? Hey, it’s not me, it’s the simple fact of the human condition as seen via economics. I’m having a great time! ;-)

    (Really… spent a full hour around noon in the subtropical sun at the 84 F pool. It is killing off some of he skin spots that were resistant to other treatments. in the ’80s and ’90s I could only do 20 minutes at noon. Now it’s a full hour. The UV has definitely crashed… )

    But yes, see the wall or not, it is still there. Too many “promises to pay” and not enough folks to deliver on them. Too many consumers and not enough producers. The drama is started to play out right now, with the fight over Obamacare. It will only get worse as the $1 Trillion / year shortfall turns into $2 Trillion / year then $3 Trillion then… And as this generation of “young ones” looks at that $2000 to $3000 Obamacare bill and not using hardly any medical care and start to say “stuff it”. The underground socializing of medical costs (via Medicare / MediCal / Medicaid / billing personal insurance for indigents / etc.) has finally run out of “other people’s money to spend” and this is the last gasp attempt to force non-consumers of medical care to pay for more of those who do consume it.

    There will be a large ramp up in medical expenses as “Boomers” age. Just a demographic fact (older folks use most of the medical care). That $2000 bill is only the beginning. It will become cheaper for a “20 something” working at a fast food place to just quit and go on welfare and join the takers…

    @Ken McMurtrie:

    Thanks for the kind words. FWIW I don’t like it when everyone is in full agreement. It means there’s little left to discover… So I like different points of view, but mostly on the vague or unclear parts. Once something is pretty much nailed down, endless repeats of the same broken complaints get old. So, for example, the endless carping by warmers about my pointing out their precision was False Precision. Once it’s clear that an average can’t remove structural bias, only random error, it’s no fun to keep plowing that field. Yet if someone has a disagreement on some part that isn’t nailed down, that’s the best fun. Exploring a new point of view.

    Glad to hear you are doing your own blog and making things happen ;-)

    @Adolfo:

    Oh Boy, Celt sound track!

    Speaking of not insisting on folks always agreeing, Adolfo and I are a good example. I think both of us like to grab one end of the bone between us and “shake and pull” in the other direction ;-) I’m pretty sure his worries about the Church and evil rapacious capitalism are a bit “over the top” – on the other hand I think I’ve moved more his way over the years than he has moved mine ;-)

    Then again, he had the help of “facts on the ground” as Snowden and WikiLeaks have shown us The Powers That Be actually were doing evil and immoral things (like the NSA spying on every person in the world… including citizens of the USA). Hard to talk someone into your POV when they have the facts on their side… damn it… ;-)

    Don’t know what that “13th” thing is on about. If it’s a reference to some “Nemesis” planet idea, I looked into that in some depth in a posting a while ago
    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/04/20/sizing-and-placing-nemisis/

    Basically didn’t see how it could be “out there” and close enough to matter, while not being detected. It COULD be out there, but only if so far away it’s thousands of years off. Or we would be seeing it.

    @OManuel:

    Can’t help it. I live in a different “time scope” than most folks. Side effect of the long memory and good imagination. So reading (or watching films) on history extends my “life time point of view” to the thousands of years. Learning to see things in a geological time scale pulls it out to millions of years. When your “synthetic life span of experience” runs out to millions of years, looking at a 20 or even 50 year time scale is about like thinking it will be time for dinner soon…

    So I just absorb information with long duration time scales, and it sticks. That, then, shifts my perspective on what is a ‘tactical issue’… soon long term strategic issues are as ‘present’ as trying to catch a thrown ball “in the moment”. So I “live in the moment”… but see it extending out centuries… or longer.

    @Zeke:

    Yes! The kid simply knows enough to search for truth, and not let go of it once found. To not be shifted by what “someone thinks of him”, but by what is true and accurate. He likely has a bit of Aspe in him (given the willingness to buck social convention). May not last long in a theocracy, though… so I hope he learns a bit of circumspection before he gets old enough to be punished for free thinking…

    @Ken:

    Gift or curse? It’s “the Aspe way”… And you get beaten for it and socially outcast. It is called a social disorder and you are threatened with drugs and “treatment”. Lack of “social skills” when you don’t know to knuckle under and accept lies and deceptions as truth… “Not a team player” when you don’t “go along to get along” and ask inconvenient questions because what is said does not match reality…

    Yes, society is trying to stamp it out, at every turn. Some of us manage to find enough ability to pose as “normal” to not be destroyed by it. But inside we still compulsively see how things really are and have an instinctive grasp of truth and “what is”. We are anathema to the likes of Al Gore who thrive on the shared delusion and social normative pressures.

    @Wayne Job:

    I’d love to emigrate to Australia. Spent a week or two “down under” once and loved it. Sent my son there for a month? something like that… as a “Student Ambassador”. Have relatives there. (If you see a “Sumner”, there is a high odds they are related to Mom’s Uncles who went there as sailors in HM Merchant Marine. There are a lot of Sumners there ;-)

    But when I had the chance to emigrate, I didn’t have the means. Now I have the means, but last I looked “60 somethings” were not on the approved list due to high medical costs ‘soon’ statistically and socialized medical costs.

    Had a great time driving from Sydney to the “Back ‘O Burk” and ending where two dirt tracks faded from view into the horizon…

    But I think my best shot at it is to make a pile of money here and show up as a long duration tourist…

    @Graeme No 3:

    Well, where I grew up in California we had more Greenies than anywhere else (which is part of why I’m not there any more) and I’ve seen my share of rattle snakes. Used to catch Black Widow Spiders in the yard, garage, and occasionally living room as a kid… Now I’m in Florida with the Brown Recluse (IIRC) along with gators, pythons and more. Australia just looks a lot like “home” to me ;-)

    Back in a bit… time for a cup of afternoon tea ;-)

  42. E.M.Smith says:

    @Zeke:
    OMG, I’m having a hard time not spilling my tea! That’s a hoot!

    And I thought I knew how to embellish a resume! Silly me…

    @Mkelly:

    The same “thread” runs through Celts of all sorts and on all sides. The particular body that manifests it at any one time may vary…

    @R. de Haan:

    Now that’ an interesting vision ;-)

    @OManuel:

    This one?

    http://www.amazon.com/Nourishing-Traditions-Challenges-Politically-Dictocrats/dp/0967089735

    Matches what I figured out on my own, so it must be right ;-)

    This well-researched, thought-provoking guide to traditional foods contains a startling message: Animal fats and cholesterol are not villains but vital factors in the diet, necessary for normal growth, proper function of the brain and nervous system, protection from disease and optimum energy levels. Sally Fallon dispels the myths of the current low-fat fad in this practical, entertaining guide to a can-do diet that is both nutritious and delicious.

    Nourishing Traditions will tell you:

    Why your body needs old fashioned animal fats

    Why butter is a health food

    How high-cholesterol diets promote good health

    How saturated fats protect the heart

    How rich sauces help you digest and assimilate your food

    Why grains and legumes need special preparation to provide optimum benefits

    About enzyme-enhanced food and beverages that can provide increased energy and vitality

    Why high-fiber, lowfat diets can cause vitamin and mineral deficiencies

    Topics include the health benefits of traditional fats and oils (including butter and coconut oil); dangers of vegetarianism; problems with modern soy foods; health benefits of sauces and gravies; proper preparation of whole grain products; pros and cons of milk consumption; easy-to-prepare enzyme enriched condiments and beverages; and appropriate diets for babies and children.

    I use mostly butter and coconut, olive or palm oil as cooking fats (with honorable mention for bacon grease as available and some safflower or canola as needed). Mom fed me a lot of liver, onions, cod liver oil, fish, beef, etc. I now tend to prepare much the same kind of food. Roast lamb or turkey or chicken. Fried pork chops, lamb chops, or beef steak (or grilled on the BBQ when weather permits – with nice BBQ chicken and ribs as favorites). Potatoes with gravy or butter. Noodles with Alfredo and similar cream sauces with added cheese on top.

    The folks I know with the worst health problems eat the most PC diets. Those who eat a ‘classical’ diet are healthiest and happiest (provided they are avoiding lots of synthetic fats – hydrogenated or fried foods in ‘mystery oil’).

    http://www.newtrendspublishing.com/SallyFallon/aboutSallyFallon.html has a bit more about her co-author.

    “She teamed with Mary Enig, Ph.D., an expert of world renown in the subject of lipids and human nutrition. Now is its second edition, the best-selling Nourishing Traditions has stimulated the public health and medical communities to take a new look at the importance of traditional foods and preparation techniques, and to reexamine the many myths about saturated fats and cholesterol. ”

    Look at Amish farmers who eat pork, eggs, cheese, saturated fats by the bucket, eggs by the dozen… then compare to folks eating a “modern” diet… pretty clear what works well. It isn’t packaged crap in front of the TV set…

    @M. Simon:

    Despite centuries long efforts to stamp out the independent thinking of Europeans, it persists. The French are notorious for being difficult. IMHO, that reflects their mixed German / Celt origin… Similarly the UK. Similarly Australia, the USA, Canada, etc etc.

    I see this a lot in the place where MY specialty was ‘offshored’. India. Very nice guys. Very good much of the time. Hard to get them to take initiative and they tend to ‘stall out’ when you toss surprise changes at them and the need to “create a new future”. So in many cases it’s best to have a ‘mix’. Off shore the routine and defined, keep here the “wild and crazy stuff” and the things that need “attitude”. Don’t know how much the “attitude” can be transferred…

    With luck, as the € and $US shrink, some more “on shoring” will happen.

    FWIW, I don’t think that robot and machine hypothesis is correct. We simply get more total stuff to consume and enjoy. Also the “low brain power” folks didn’t die off. Average IQ has not been headed up. It takes less IQ to run a nail stamping machine than to make a nail by hand. Less to sell cans of fruit than preserve and sell home farmed produce. Automation is dumbing down jobs more than making them more challenging. Checkers in grocery stores today do not need to count well, do math, or know “10 key”. Just read a number and match the money (often not even that with most purchases on plastic…). Cash registers now can even be bought that “make change” and tell the clerk what to hand over (or have the automated coin dispenser attached).

    Unemployment is typically not caused by more efficient production, but by political stupidity. The 20’s unemployment was more the product of “progressive” policy ideas than mechanics. Oh, and folks DO change jobs. I don’t remember the number, but it’s something like 4 or 5 careers per lifetime. I’ve had at least 6 that I can think of. Dad had 5? Farmer, soldier, home construction / electrician, restauranteur, real estate sales & property manager, … My son has been a food worker, auto parts sales / marketing, now in education marketing management. Oh, and working on a music career for “someday”.

    Left to their own devices, folks find a way to make money and rapidly change jobs as the need arises. Governments get in the way and break that. ( Licensing, certification laws, unemployment payments, etc. etc.) It’s not about the machines. (Somewhat less than 8% of US labor force is in manufacturing as of some long time ago. Less in agriculture. You could 100% automate both of them and not notice if it were done over 10 years.)

    “Who makes what for whom” has nothing about with what machines in it. The “how” is engineering…not economics. As we all get more wealthy, from that produce of the machines, more folks hire private gardeners, private trainers, buy hand custom works of art, etc. etc.

    On software saving Moore’s law: So far it has been consuming Moore’s Law gains with lousy code quality. Consuming all that “double every 18 months” and then some. There’s a lot of room to clean that up and make hand crafted fast efficient code. Part of why I love using Unix / Linux. It doesn’t suck down the hardware growth like Micro$oft does.

    Don’t know what endocanabinoids are… guess I have something to learn there ;-)
    Guess I’ll go read it now….

  43. E.M.Smith says:

    @M. Simon:

    Interesting. Lots of nice biochemical pathway info. Not just flaky “I did this and got better”. (Which is a lot of what I do ;-) but I don’t have a full lab to play with or I’d do more… Honest!)

    Unfortunately for me, any time I’ve tried M.J. it mostly just makes me sleepy and a bit stupid. My reaction is clearly a bit idiosyncratic since folks around me are not having the same behaviour effects. Oh Well… I’m a bit different metabolically it wold seem Hopefully in a good way…

    I’ll have to watch the M.J. as autism treatment videos another time. It intrigues me, but I’ve got “things to do” at the moment…

  44. M Simon says:

    ” Average IQ has not been headed up.”

    Actually it has. See Flynn Effect http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flynn_effect

    So why don’t the numbers change? They get renormalized. What does that tell us? Yesterdays “average” person would be today’s moron. What does that also tell us? That in the broader scheme of things being “smart” does not have much influence on vast swaths of human behavior. Women still want to look pretty and guys still want to get laid.

    ================

    Re: your experiences with “pot”. There are about 60+ cannabinoids in marijuana. Unless you know the mix of those you were getting you have no idea what you were getting. I’m in contact with the lady who is writing the Illinois medical cannabis regulations. I impressed on her the necessity of good assays. She agreed. Full up GCMS or LCMS was my suggestion. She wrote the regulations for North Carolina (IIRC) but was not quite up to speed on the technical aspects I discussed with her. Despite some of the over regulation aspects in the Illinois law I think some bits of the Illinois regulations will be a great improvement on what has gone before.

    The cannabinoids comprise agnonists (accelerators) and antagonists (decelerators). They seem to influence the character of the high. The high itself is dominated by THC. The rest of the cannabinoids do not produce a high. THC is highly effective against cancer.

  45. Steve C says:

    Re those wonderful Western education standards, “Young people in the UK lag behind most of the Western world in their mastering of the basic skills of literacy, numeracy and IT, according to an influential study published today.” This is in the Independent here, and doesn’t make reassuring reading for US citizens either. For both sides of the Pond, message reads: “We’re stuffed”.

    Re cannabinoids, there seem to be so many stories which pop up about their efficacy against almost anything that any rational society would have started research long ago. Some years back, I arranged a supply of “unofficial painkiller” for a friend with MS. I watched him painfully staggering up the stairs on his stick, and I watched him strolling down those same stairs like Fred Astaire when he left an hour or so later. I have never seen any prescription drug work so quickly or so effectively. You can see why Big Pharma want it keeping out of the picture.

  46. CompuGator says:

    What’s going on with your blog’s response time? It’s become consistently much slower than it used to be, even 2 months ago, when I was more frequently posting/commenting. The domain-name shows it still being on a “wordpress.com” server.

    Has WordPress exiled you to a far corner of its network? ‘Ping’ resolves “chiefio.wordpress.com” to “lb.wordpress.com” at the surprising IPA “192.0.80.250″; even with time-out limit specified as 5000 msec., I still get 100% packet loss. I don’t have any saved ‘tracert’ output from 2 or more months ago that I could compare ‘tracert’ new output to.

    In my previous episodes of regular reading, ending in late August, the wait for one of your pages to begin loading or reloading–with Javascript disabled–was too short to be noteworthy. Altho’ your longer “T*” pages did require more time to display the status “Done”, it was only on the order of 1/2 minute.

    Now checking on your blog in mid October, regardless of the day of week or time of day or night–with Javascript also disabled–I get nothing displayed in the browser tab for almost 2 min. (1:50), altho’ I’d seen brief flickers of XMIT/RECV activity on my broadband “modem” about 1/2 min. earlier (1:17, 1:34). The browser didn’t claim its loading was “Done” until after more than 3 min. (3:19). (I’ve not changed nor reconfigured my browser, ISP, nor method of Web access; my Internet-connected PC, “modem”, and router have been repeatedly cold-rebooted. The parenthesized min.:sec. values above are relative to the beginning of a single timing exercise this morning, using a digital clock external to my PC, ca. 09:45 EDT = 13:45 “GMT”.)

    I’m having a difficult time convincing myself that this is not some kind of interim retribution from TPTB. Is there some simple technical explanation instead? IPv6, perhaps?

  47. Steve C says:

    @CompuGator – Since you mentioned it, I checked. (This from the UK.)

    With the default (1000 ms?) timeout, same – 100% loss; it resolved to “lb.wordpress.com [66.155.11.238]”. Rather odd losing everything like that, as this page was open in the browser at the time, but that’s computers for you. That was first. Then pinged wattsupwiththat.com (as Anthony’s site too is hosted on WP servers), and was also surprised to see 192.0.81.250, in this case, come up as its address – time 125 ms. However, repinging Chiefio (with the 5000 ms timeout this time) resulted in an address for lb.wordpress.com of 76.74.254.120 and time of 155 ms. So probably “just another” WP address this time, but who knows where the first pings died. Loading of pages lately hasn’t been noticeably slower than usual for me.

    I’m no expert here, but I’d say (or hope) it looks more likely to be some part of the WordPress master software rattling its IP addresses around for some reason than TPTB suppressing dissent. At a guess, it could just be reacting as you say to the recent lull in activity here due to EM needing to spend more time in the real world. I suppose we *could* start “whois”-ing them all, but it seems a bit OTT to me. (and I say that as someone who trusts the PTB about as far as I could throw the lot of them … ;-)

  48. philjourdan says:

    @SteveC and Compugator.

    I see 6 IP addresses returned (I assume a round robin), and my pings had only 15ms delay. Perhaps wordpress was having issues yesterday.

  49. E.M.Smith says:

    @M. Simon:

    My major issue with MJ is just that most of the time it puts me to sleep and, on those few occasions where I tried more than once in a month, after a few days my memory starts down hill and stays that way for months. In short, it makes me dull and stupid (though happy).

    I know this isn’t true for all folks (many seem to be not so influenced) but many of us are.

    Per the cancer connection: saw a note on that recently. MJ smokers having lower cancer rates. Probably needs a ‘dig here’ …

    @Compugator:

    Networking in the internet is a strange and wondrous thing. I’d suspect personal routing issues most of the time (i.e. local network issues) followed closely by the fact that caching is very important to the internet, so as volume fell as I was doing less, “out of cache” would happen more and a ‘long fetch’ perhaps even to a page that had migrated from disk to “backing store” at the remote server… At least, that’s where I’d start looking…

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