Climate Change to Cause Kidney Stones

Yup, nothing to do with your genetic predisposition, your diet, what you drink, etc. etc. Just Climate Change matters. (Ignore the AC at home, in the car, and at work. If it is hotter outside, you will get stones…)

http://www.chop.edu/news/climate-change-may-bring-more-kidney-stones#.VFkhdPldU3M

Climate Change May Bring More Kidney Stones

July 10, 2014 — As daily temperatures increase, so does the number of patients seeking treatment for kidney stones. In a study that may both reflect and foretell a warming planet’s impact on human health, a research team found a link between hot days and kidney stones in 60,000 patients in several U.S. cities with varying climates.

“We found that as daily temperatures rise, there is a rapid increase in the probability of patients presenting over the next 20 days with kidney stones,” said study leader Gregory E. Tasian, MD, MSc, MSCE, a pediatric urologist and epidemiologist at The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP), who is on the staff of the Hospital’s Kidney Stone Center as well as the Hospital’s Center for Pediatric Clinical Effectiveness (CPCE).

[…]
The study team analyzed medical records of more than 60,000 adults and children with kidney stones between 2005 and 2011 in Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, Los Angeles and Philadelphia, in connection with weather data. Tasian and colleagues described the risk of stone presentation for the full range of temperatures in each city. As mean daily temperatures rose above 50 F (10 C), the risk of kidney stone presentation increased in all the cities except Los Angeles. The delay between high daily temperatures and kidney stone presentation was short, peaking within three days of exposure to hot days.

Link between kidney stones and high temperatures

“These findings point to potential public health effects associated with global climate change,” said Tasian. “However,” cautions Tasian, “although 11 percent of the U.S. population has had kidney stones, most people have not. It is likely that higher temperatures increase the risk of kidney stones in those people predisposed to stone formation.” Higher temperatures contribute to dehydration, which leads to a higher concentration of calcium and other minerals in the urine that promote the growth of kidney stones.

So if it is hot, and folks with kidney stone disease present more, then clearly more heat causes more kidney stones… Eureka! Correlation IS Causation!!! (At least in the land of Global Warming…)

Global warming trend and kidney stone prevalence

The study’s broader context is in patterns of global warming. The authors note that other scientists have reported that overall global temperatures between 2000 and 2009 were higher than 82 percent of temperatures over the past 11,300 years. Furthermore, increases in greenhouse gas emissions are projected to raise earth’s average temperatures by 2 to 8 F (1 to 4.5 C) by 2100.

“Kidney stone prevalence has already been on the rise over the last 30 years, and we can expect this trend to continue, both in greater numbers and over a broader geographic area, as daily temperatures increase,” concluded Tasian. “With some experts predicting that extreme temperatures will become the norm in 30 years, children will bear the brunt of climate change.”

Oh Noes! Not The Children!

From http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/07/29/3464885/new-stone-age-global-warming-kidney-stones/, this graph:

Expansion of Kidney Stones due to Global Warming

Expansion of Kidney Stones due to Global Warming

Growth of kidney stones over time attributed to Global Warming.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
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27 Responses to Climate Change to Cause Kidney Stones

  1. I had to look at the date for this one. No, not April. I found this report from 1996 that correlates kidney stones with various things, and they also found correlations with temperature and sunniness: http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/content/143/5/487.full.pdf . It also correlates more stones with more drinking tea and soft drinks, whereas drinking coffee and alcohol reduces the risk. Could be that people drink another cola when it’s hot and that brings it on…. The correlation stated above may thus be real, and it may well be true that if it warms up we’ll have a higher incidence of stones. It does look like the incidence of stones might therefore go down over the next couple of decades.

    I rarely drink tea, and prefer coffee and (of course) some alcoholic drink. I’m reducing the risk just as much as I can….

  2. Adrian Vance says:

    This is ridiculous several ways, but the most outstanding is that it has been cooling for 17 years! It would appear the people who want to tax anything with carbon in it, including the meat on your dinner plate, and get exorcised over a “trace gas,” which in physical science means, “Forget about it!” are getting ridiculous.

    Google “Two Minute Conservative” for the facts.

  3. punmaster52 says:

    So, to cut to the chase, we are going to die? I knew it! I just knew it!

  4. p.g.sharrow says:

    @punmaster! it is true we are all going to die!

    Living is a terminal disease, 100% fatality rate. There is no hope of cure.

    I guess we will just have to enjoy the pleasant parts, and endure the rest. ;-) pg

  5. Jason Calley says:

    “it is true we are all going to die!”

    Well, maybe all you others are going to die — but checking as many historical accounts as I can find, so far I have not found even one that reliably reports on ME dying. Simply basing my odds on all reported examples (zero, so far) of ME dying, it looks like I may live forever.

  6. p.g.sharrow says:

    Had a kidney stone a few years ago, got VERY tired of that dang thing. I’m fairly sure that my cured olives were the cause. Delicious, ate them by the handful, later found that olives are THE WORST thing if you might make stones. I threw out the last 2 gallons. An old time doctor friend told me about an very acidic tea drink that was used in the old days to dissolve stones, No re-occurrence,
    This happened in the late winter, So the heat had nothing to do with it. pg

  7. punmaster52 says:

    @Jason Calley:

    Whose accounts did you check? Josephus? Bishop Ussher? The Durants? Perhaps I don’t have enough information yet.

  8. E.M.Smith says:

    Some time back there was a statistic floating around (probably no longer valid, though) that as the population had recently more than doubled to something like 6 Billion, and in all of recorded history it was estimated that there were only something like 2 billion dead, it was statistically the case that most people never died…. Would be interesting to re-run that calculation…

    But nobody said we’d have to be stoned on the way… ;-)

  9. Jason Calley says:

    Hey Punmaster! I started with Herodotus and just worked my way forward — but feel free to double check any other sources that might be handy.

    Come to think of it, I don’t remember seeing YOU listed in there either. Keep your fingers crossed — you might be one of the lucky ones!

    :)

  10. DonM says:

    Jason,

    Dying is usually only a one time proposition. I seems that, statistically, you would be better of if you did find proof of your previous death. (If you go the reincarnation route then a previous death would also be a good indicator not being dead in the future)

    I don’t know how the “near death experience” hiatus from life would play into the statistical/logical evaluation of your future prospects, but we can be pretty sure that, with the onset of global warming/climate change/climate disruption, that the tie in would be negative … you would be more likely to die.

  11. DonM says:

    I just realized that climate disruption has faded (but it was fairly solid at one time) so I should be saying “global warming/climate change/climate disruption/climate change”.

    Anybody want to start a pool on what will be next?

  12. E.M.Smith says:

    @DonM:

    You left off Climate Kaos / Chaos and Climate Weirding… ;-)

  13. Jason Calley says:

    @ E.M. “You left off Climate Kaos / Chaos and Climate Weirding… ;-)”

    The irony is, if the CAGW crowd understood (mathematically speaking) more about what that word “chaos” actually means, they would not be nearly so dogmatic about their climate beliefs.

  14. Jason Calley says:

    @ DonM “Dying is usually only a one time proposition. I seems that, statistically, you would be better of if you did find proof of your previous death.”

    Don, you are brilliant! The scales have fallen from my eyes. Yes, of course — since no one is recorded as having died more than once, all I need to do is find a record of me having already died. If that is true, then it is a slam dunk that I will not be dying in the future!

    Of course I may still need to work out just a few conceptual wrinkles…

    :)

  15. punmaster52 says:

    Jason,
    I am not sure DonM has helped you any. It seems to me that finding proof of your previous death does not statistically guarantee you will not die again. In fact, it places you in a category by yourself where all bets are off.

    Since you mentioned not finding any for me, I will be watching you carefully before I become extra adventurous.

  16. punmaster52 says:

    Not finding any record for me, I meant to say.

  17. E.M.Smith says:

    Sadly (or perhaps not so sadly?) as a “Mike Smith” I’ve seen the death of Mike Smith way too many times. (One was on the space shuttle when it blew up…) I even had Mike Smith the reporter reporting on the drowning death of Mike Smith in a boating accident (as I was Mike Smith the viewer of the TV news)….

    Don’t know if I ought to take solice in the 9 lives of Mike Smith… or be fearful of how many times “we” end up dead…

    ;-)

  18. punmaster52 says:

    I would stay out of boats and off tv.

  19. R. de Haan says:

    Dumbing down the ignorant masses: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dumbing_down

    There should be a law against publishing crap at MSM.
    It would completely clean up MSM from their BS publication and introduce a new level of reality.

    A big fine would do wonders.

  20. R. de Haan says:

    Dumbing down the ignorant masses: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dumbing_down

    There should be a law against publishing crap articles at MSM.
    It would completely clean up MSM from their BS climate change publication and introduce a new level of reality.

    A big, very big fine, bigger than the AGW contributions they receive to sell us this kind of crap would work miracles and maybe bring back some of the readers they´ve lost over the past decades who no longer could bear the BS any longer..

  21. p.g.sharrow says:

    @Ron de Haan; My experience with most media people is they are not interested in the facts. Telling a story is the thing. If you write the piece for them they will lose the points, mis-state the facts and invert the conclusions in their rewrite. Then state you are the source for their crap!
    Liberal Arts majors have few employment options. pg

  22. Jason Calley says:

    @ p.g.sharrow As you say, Liberal Arts majors do not make good journalists. Perhaps they should have a slogan, “Liberal With The Truth!”

    I fear they would not understand the irony.

  23. Jason Calley says:

    @ E.M. “I’ve seen the death of Mike Smith way too many times.”

    Chiefio, there may be a lot of people called “Mike Smith” but you are THE Mike Smith. Seriously (and I get no bonus, no gold star, no special seat in heaven for saying this) you really are one of a kind — and the world is better for having you here amongst us.

  24. Power Grab says:

    Does it count if you were just AFRAID you were going to die?

    I let a friend run me around a race track for several laps in a $500 Mustang that he bought that cheap because it wouldn’t go in reverse.

    The whole time, I could only see my kid’s face and ask myself, “Who will take care of my kid?”

  25. punmaster52 says:

    Death? I take Woody Allen’s attitude: I’m not afraid of death. I just don’t want to be there when it happens.

    I want to die like my grandfather, quietly, in my sleep. Not screaming at the top of my lungs like everyone else in the car.
    ( Do you need the poster with an old man asleep at the wheel? )

  26. R. de Haan says:

    @p.g.sharrow says:
    6 November 2014 at 4:55 am

    @Ron de Haan; My experience with most media people is they are not interested in the facts. Telling a story is the thing.

    You´re right.

    What also helps is this approach from Goddard:

    I´m asking, he´s not answering:
    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/11/14/im-asking-hes-not-answering/

    Love it.

  27. Tim Clark says:

    I was expecting this to happen. Reading about climate change for the last few years has already increased my consumption of alcoholic beverages, causing hard BM’s. With continued asinine warming climate health attribution studies, I anticipate that degenerative brain function is in my near future.

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