Well, this is getting to be a pattern…
In Texas they had that flooding drought thing going on, and look where that got them.
Then I was having rain at times when it wasn’t common.
Once again, just to be clear on it: I am quite grateful for the rain. It is welcome, and we are a bit dry on the water in storage. (Though a lot of that is due to a stupid policy of sending about 1/3 of the fresh water out the Gate to ‘s
ave the delta smelt’ when that is not the issue. )
Now, again, today, we have rain.
I was out in the garden and got chased in by a light drizzle. Now the sidewalk is wet. (One can only hope that the Drought Police know what rain is… one can get a significant fine / charge if the sidewalk gets wet from watering…)
So, I wondered, how unusual is this? I thought I remembered it happening once or twice before, but a while ago. Off to Wunderground. ( I know many folks don’t like Wunderground due to their advocacy of the Global Warming propaganda, but I rather like citing their data showing things have not changed much, or are cooler rather than warmer ;-)
History Almanac for June 10, 2015 KSJC Forecast Average * Range * Temperature High 76 °F 80 °F 70 to 90 °F Low 60 °F 56 °F 51 to 58 °F Precipitation Rain 0.07 in 0.00 in 0.00 to 0.00 in Snow 0 in in to in Dew Point Low - 46 °F 31 to 52 °F High - 53 °F 49 to 59 °F
First off, notice the “High” and the “Range” of it. We will be about 76 F and the range is 70 F to 90 F. Now 76 is a lot closer to 70 than to 90. So just where is all that stored up “global warming” heat? Simply put, it isn’t. For things to be hotter they, well, they have to be hotter. Once you go back to cool, the “heat has left the building”. Gone. POOF! No more. Dead Polly. Deceased.
Yes, we are only 4 F below the average, but we are below the average. That is called “colder”, not warmer.
Next up, the low. It’s only 4 F above the average, so it is “forecast” that it was a bit warm last night. Well, it was, as it was much warmer yesterday and it takes time to cool down. Range is 51 F to 58 F typically, so a bit over the norm. Now notice that the daily range can be 58 F to 70 F or 51 F to 90 F. About 12 F to 39 F possible. Today is predicted to be a 16 F range, or just about normal. So it’s a normal, if a bit cool, day, after a hot normal day yesterday. (It was well below 90 F, so well inside normal yesterday).
More interesting is that precipitation number. Forcast is 7/100 inch of rain. Average is zero and range is zero to zero. Basically, it just doesn’t rain here in June unless it is a very special event. (And snow is so unheard of they don’t even bother putting in the zero…)
Clicking on the “almanac” link gives:
Weather History for KSJC Nearest airport to San Jose, CA.See history from more local stations Get Current Weather Wednesday, June 10, 2015 Actual Average Record Temperature Mean Temperature 68 °F 68 °F Max Temperature 73 °F 80 °F 101 °F (1994) Min Temperature 64 °F 56 °F 42 °F (1894) Degree Days Heating Degree Days 0 1 Month to date heating degree days 10 Since 1 June heating degree days 10 Since 1 July heating degree days 1996 Cooling Degree Days 4 3 Month to date cooling degree days 27 Year to date cooling degree days 97 Since 1 June cooling degree days 27 Growing Degree Days 18 (Base 50) Moisture Dew Point 60 °F Average Humidity 74 Maximum Humidity 87 Minimum Humidity 61 Precipitation Precipitation 0.01 in 0.00 in 0.07 in (1976) Month to date precipitation 0.05 Year to date precipitation 9.85 Since 1 July precipitation 14.86
Here we can see that the Record hot temp of 101 F was set in 1994. Today it is 73 F. Once again I ask: “Where is that stored up heat hiding?”. It simply isn’t here. You can not be “warming” when you have gotten colder. Global Warming is a smoke and mirrors game of averaging together a bunch of chaotic weather and calling it a trend. It isn’t.
Notice that the record cold was set in 1894, during the climb out of the Little Ice Age. The “Min” has risen all of 14 F on average, or 22 F on this particular day, from that record low; while the MAX average is 21 F lower than the record and today is 28 F lower than the record.
But the bit that really interests me is the precipitation. The record was set in 1976. I remember that year well as I was learning to ski then. It was cold. It was the New Little Ice Age scare then. We were having a drought, that California tends to get when it is cold, not when it is hot, and there was this odd bit of rain that came. During the cold times. And that just happens to be the same amount of rain as predicted for today. Golly…
Also of interest is that “Since 1 July” number. We measure rain from July to July since it never rains in July. So this rain year we’ve had a bit under 15 inches of rain. Must be a horrible drought, eh?
SAN JOSE, CALIFORNIA (047821) Period of Record Monthly Climate Summary Period of Record : 7/ 1/1948 to 12/31/2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual Average Max. Temperature (F) 58.0 62.1 65.6 69.8 74.4 79.2 82.2 81.8 80.6 74.6 65.1 58.2 71.0 Average Min. Temperature (F) 41.5 44.2 45.8 47.6 51.3 54.8 56.9 57.1 56.2 51.9 46.0 41.8 49.6 Average Total Precipitation (in.) 2.96 2.57 2.25 1.10 0.42 0.09 0.03 0.08 0.19 0.73 1.71 2.53 14.66 Average Total SnowFall (in.) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Average Snow Depth (in.) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent of possible observations for period of record. Max. Temp.: 98.2% Min. Temp.: 98% Precipitation: 98.5% Snowfall: 98.6% Snow Depth: 98.6% Check Station Metadata or Metadata graphics for more detail about data completeness.
you may have to scroll to the right to see it. The total annual precipitation. It’s 14.66 inches.
So, yes, in this horrible end of life as we know it drought, our rain year total is over the average. And it is raining in June. And it is 28 F colder than the record for this day.
These folks have 15.08 inches as the average, so are likely using a different station or a different period. But in any case the rain total now is not significantly different from ‘normal’.
So what I’m seeing is simply an all around normal “cool year” in California. No warming has happened. Our “drought” looks like it is more a question of how water was managed and not a matter of “no rain”.
Yes, snow is low in the mountains. And in the ’70s drought years I got to walk my skis over straw at about 7200 ft elevation 1/2 way down “Mountain Run” at Squaw Valley Ski Resort as there was darned near no snow then, either. Then again, during that cold excursion we were not flushing water out of the lakes to cover up a botched government fish introduction. I do remember Shasta and Oroville lakes being quite low, and some of the pictures today look a lot like those, then. But that is just what happens in California as the 60 year cycle, well, cycles. 1976+30= 2006, with 2006 being about when we swapped out of that 1/2 cycle back to this half.
With that, I think I’ll see if I can go dry off my sidewalk with a blower… don’t want the Drought Police to ticket me for a wet sidewalk. “Ignorance is no excuse” they say… but I’m having trouble forgiving them…