Tips – October 2015

Since WordPress has decided that comments on Pages, like the Tips pages, don’t show up in recent comments, it kind of breaks the value of it for me. In response, I’m shifting from a set of “pages” to a set of “postings”. As any given Tips Posting disappears or gets full, I’ll add a new one. That will restore the broken function.

I will be keeping the same general format, with the T page still pointing to both the archive of Tips Pages as well as the series of new Postings. With that, back to the Tips boiler plate:

This is an “overflow” posting from prior Tips pages as they had gotten so large it was taking a long time to load. Same idea, just a new set of space to put pointers to things of interest. The most immediately preceding Tips posting is:

The generic “T” parent page remains up top, where older copies of the various “Tips” pages can be found archived. I have also added a “Tips” category (see list at right) and will be marking Tips postings with that for easy location.

While I’m mostly interested in things having to do with:

Making money, usually via trading
Weather and climate
Quakes, Volcanoes, and other Earth Sciences
Current economic and political events
(often as those last three have impact on the first one…)
And just about any ‘way cool’ interesting science or technology

If something else is interesting you put a “tip” here.

You can also look at the list of “Categories” on the right hand side and get an idea of any other broad area of interest.

This ought not to be seen as a “limit” on what is “interesting”, more as a “focus list” with other things that are interesting being fair game as well.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
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186 Responses to Tips – October 2015

  1. Larry Ledwick says:

    David A says:
    8 October 2015 at 6:32 am

    Larry, Do you know of any confirmation to the rumor that the CIA refused a FSB terrorist watch list, and the Oregon shooter was on it?

    Reference the above, no I do not, but would not expect much in the way of confirmation from the government in any case. That assertion does raise a couple of interesting questions though.

    If the original announcement is valid that strongly suggests that the Oregon shooter was in fact connected with a terrorist group as is implied by his face book friends list and subsequent claim of responsibility by ISIL. If the original announcement that he was on an FSB watch list first appeared in one of Russia’s well known distribution channels, wiki leaks, sputnik news or RT, it is very highly likely that it is dis-information by the Russians or he was being handled by the Russian intelligence apparatus and it might have been an intentional distraction to take news coverage off of Russian activities in Syria and to discredit the US government. The shooting occurred on Oct 1 mid morning (ideal time to get wall to wall coverage on the news cycle for the next 2-3 days) as it broke just prior to the noon EDT news cycle.

    News first broke about the Russian beginning airstrikes in Syria on the same day. This included that they appeared not to be striking ISIL targets but perhaps intentionally hitting US supported groups. I find that coincidence interesting. The Oregon shooting essentially took Russia’s air strikes off the news cycle and made them disappear to the average public as old news.

    If I had to guess, I would suggest that he was connected to that terrorist friend on his social media pages, and the FSB either knew about it, or perhaps even controlled the timing and took maximum advantage of it to kick off highly controversial actions in Syria.

    With Russia it is always wise to keep and eye on the guy behind the curtains.

  2. Larry Ledwick says:

    Hmmm just what we need a standing UN police force to shut down resistance movements funded by Russia and China. If this is on the level raises some serious concerns about where this is going.

  3. D.J. Hawkins says:

    Rep Westerman has filed a complaint against the EPA for practicing engineering without a license in the Gold King Mine disaster.

    If you think it’s silly, remember that they never got Al Capone on criminal charges. He went to prison for tax evasion.

  4. RuhRoh a.k.a. OF says:

    Dear Cheifio;
    long time, no lunch…
    the chart on ‘pick an entry point’ doesn’t show up.
    I really want to comprehend what you have written there, but it is hard without the example to which the text refers.
    Also, the links to Maps of EFT and the one before it, (in Racing Stocks) is kaput.
    FinViz has some maps but perhaps not as useful as what once was…

    Gimme a graph with hair….
    Glad to see you got some new machines in your life.

  5. E.M.Smith says:


    Welcome back! OK, I assume you are talking about the “choosing an entry point” posting from back about 2009. Yup, looks like BigCharts changed their URLs and broke the graphs. (Since then I’ve just “bit the bullet” and started to make my own copies of graphs and burn the storage space as the “live graph” links break when they decide to “improve” things…)

    Ditto the “Racing Stocks” page that is all live links. I went through and changed them all the last time they screwed around… I’ll need to decide on a ‘best course’ for this to avoid ongoing maintenance PITA.

    I’ll get on it but it will likely take a little while… (day or two).

  6. E.M.Smith says:

    I lied. Couldn’t bring myself to wait, so I’ve updated:
    with 2 static charts for EWZ for that 2008-2009 time window.

    Interesting to note that the stock ran up for about a year, then did a ‘go flat’ as the Brazilians voted in a socialist and has been horridly down since. So you would get a decent year or so of gain, then need to exit as a clear top formed.

    I’ll likely need to go back and audit all the postings with ‘live charts’ in them as BigCharts has done something to make them not show up (again…) I tried to paste in the new URL, but it didn’t work… so “some work required” to find out how to make live charts show up again. Oh Well.

    I’ve also swapped the heat maps to Finviz as all three of Smartmoney, Marketwatch, and The Wall Street Journal sites had no heat map working anymore (or at least none I could find).

    Oh Well again…

  7. Another Ian says:


    After another round of Microsoft I’m considering that if they were selling a car then the Model T was a great advance – at least the local blacksmith stood a chance of fixing it. Which seems to be beyond Microsoft.

    When it rains and things ease I’ll be ready for a basic primer on the Linux of that time – 101 version first but I did get up to 600’s in other fields so hopefully can do it again

  8. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    I’m happy to do a bit of “Intro To Linux”. I’ve tutored folks in it (as a real contract!) and written up a “how to learn it yourself” work set for a friend. It’s kind of in my DNA now…

    It’s more complicated now, than it was then. Mostly due to the huge expansion of choices and options you get; but there are some common elements that can simplify things a bit. Especially on the question of windows managers and GUIs and what you like. So where “back then” it was basically just the command line in a terminal box or your choice of one X-Windows look and feel, now there’s a few different windows managers with a few different GUIs to choose from and a variety of ‘skins’ to make it look ‘just so’. But… It’s pretty quick to do a little looking around and figure out pretty quick that most folks don’t want to start off on a “tiled’ windowing system, and they want something vaguely familiar in the mouse and click and sliders area.

    That rapidly ends up with folks mostly choosing between Gnome and KDE for their first starter dip in the pond. (For very old systems, due to ‘code bloat’ in Gnome and KDE, most folks now use something like Fluxbox, XFCE or related windows managers.

    Has a write up on them that looks pretty good.

    For many folks, simply the fact that they have to choose what windows manager is a hurdle. I think it a feature that your whole look and feel experience can’t be ripped out from under you at the whim of the seller…

    FWIW, I’ve used KDE and Gnome a fair amount. Both are OK. I’ve also used several of the others a fair amount and moving between them usually isn’t all that hard. Raspbian on the Raspberry Pi uses an LXDE (lighweight x windows manager) that’s basically “Openbox” that is pretty easy to get used to. Of the various light weight options, LXDE is pretty common and easy.

    is pushing Ubuntu / Mint as a replacement. I’ve used Mint and found it a reasonable desktop experience.

    compares a few particulars between Windoz and Linux and is an easy read. The ‘file manager’ is an important part of what is different between the two, so learning things like putting the slash the right way and avoiding spaces in file names matters. ( you can get around it with an ‘escape’ in front of the space but it’s a pain).

    And these folks think Zorin Linux looks like Windows:

    I’ve generally heard good things about Zorin, but I’ve not used it myself.

    FWIW, once you start getting ‘under the skins’ and into the command line they are all more alike than different (other than systems admin where folks seem to like screwing around with it between major providers…) I’m still using commands that I first learned about 1983 … I’ve introduced some of it in postings here and I think it hasn’t looked all that horrible ;-)

    With the terminal server command line you can do anything. Really. Anything. (Even launching graphical interface programs ;-) The biggest problem is that there is so MUCH you can do, and even a common command may have a hundred options to let you customize it to do some particularly arcane thing… But you don’t need to know even 1/10th of it to be functional. Just one at a time learn what you need that day. Over time it builds up…

    So let me know if you get ready to ‘take the plunge’ and I’ll be happy to give pointers.

    FWIW, it can be a reasonable thing to just get an old desktop (generic hardware nothing fancy please as it is the fancy stuff that needs strange drivers that’s a occasional problem…) for $40 and install various Linux releases on it. Pretty quick you know what you are doing… and if you blow an install, just scrub it and start over…

    Also FWIW, I have Windows on a couple of boxes here for “if I need Windows”. So far that’s been a big fat zero in the last couple of years. I do have a Micosoft Outlook mail archive (pst file) that I’d like to restore “somewhere”, and I don’t know if any Linux can read it; but then again my MS boxes don’t have Outlook on them anyway (well, one has the ‘lite’ version but it won’t read in pst files… go figure…) and I’m not going to pop a load of bucks to be able to look at an old irrelevant mail archive… so even there Windows is no help.

    So I’ve lived most of my time on Linux and NOT on WIndoz for the last 30? years, other then when forced to use it by an employer. Not feeling particularly deprived.

    Oh, and as honorable mention: I’d be very happy to use a Macintosh and did for the bulk of my time at Apple and after as my ‘desktop’ ( I supported Unix machines so did a LOT of ‘terminal server on the Mac’ to the Unix machines…) The only reason I don’t use one now is that they cost a bloody fortune and I can get nice Linux computing for under $100 as used hardware and free software… Less than the sales tax on the Mac here in California… But if someone wants to leave MS land and NOT deal with Linux, the Mac is way easy, way secure, and way cool… Just make sure you have way more money than you need…

    So there you go. Welcome to the land of Linux. Every day after the first one gets easier. Unlike the other guy’s ;-)

  9. Steve C says:

    @Another Ian – As someone who had the change rather forced on me a year ago, when my “Anti”-virus chose to update itself and totally bork my main (Windows) machine despite my explicitly setting it to “Ask Me First”, I agree with all E.M.’s comments that I’ve met so far in practice. I went for Linux Mint (Mate), and it’s very, very straightforward to use. No operational headaches at all, the Debian update/install system has worked perfectly every time, and Wine even runs most of my Win programs (mainly electronics/radio calculators) perfectly. If I’m not online, the only network activity is the clock setting itself every five minutes, which is reassuring.

    About the nearest I come to a gripe is that I like a “Windows 95” look (my aging eyesight really appreciates stuff like bold white titlebar text on a dark blue background), and the first 95 “theme” I found was for Metacity rather than the Mint window manager. The slightly different specs mean that if I forget and turn off at night in the 95 theme, the following morning I find that my main menu has an elegant “Black on Black” look (! – easily fixed after a brief curse). ;-)

    My experience of Mint led me to trying CrunchBangPlusPlus (a rather smaller and simpler Linux) on the laptop, on a new HDD. Beautiful. I used to use a very minimal Litestep shell between me and Windows, and CBPP uses (IIRC) OpenBox, which is so similar the whole machine handled perfectly from Day One.

    20 years or so ago, the Linux distros on offer were definitely a bit “enthusiasts only”. 10 years ago, noticeably improving “but”. Now, several of them, certainly including Mint and its daddy Ubuntu, have reached “Wow, why didn’t I do this long ago?” status. The “Welcome to the land of Linux” from our professional host is enthusiastically echoed by this recent citizen.

  10. Another Ian says:


    There are a couple of older computers available. One is still on XP which I need as it still runs my Ref 11 bibliography program (DOS) which at over 10000 references I’m not going to re-enter as I only need it occasionally these days.

    Another (Win 7) has our ranch cashbook program who’s purveyors haven’t discovered Linux as yet and don’t look likely to. And having changed that once I’m reluctant to do that again.

    And a relatively new HP that I inherited due to a dud hard drive.

    So opportunity – if only rain was as easy to drum up as Paris-ite propaganda.

  11. sabretoothed says:

    Interesting journal on Uranus being hit,630.pdf (sorry about the author) :P

  12. David A says:

    Larry L, thanks for the information, and yes, the situation regarding Oregon is cryptic, just as the situation in Sacramento is in a fog, but Leroy Jethro Gibbs, does not believe in coincidences.

    This is sort of my overview of the M.E. Ant additional insights appreciated.

    Iran is Shia dominant, both politically and in population, and Iraq now as well. Syria is/was Shia dominant politically, but Sunni majority. The US backed rebels are Islamist, Sunni mainly, affiliated with Al Qaeda. Yet ISIS is also Sunni based, as are the Taliban in Afghanistan.

    The entire ME is quite the mess, and my only objection to Putin is the support of Shia dominant Iran, not because they are Shia, but because they are a State, and are developing nuclear capacity and with sanctions lifted, can focus on Israel. Yet Putin’s actions have Shia resources, Iran and Hezbollah, focused on Syria instead of Israel. Not certain of Putin’s end game though.

    I think he wants Old Russian greatness minus the serfdom perhaps. (Circa Catherine the Great with respect throughout Europe and the world.) What would he bargain for the lifting of sanctions, leeway in Crimea, and a renewed position in the M.E.?

    Islamists are both Shia and Sunni, and both are indeed best kept killing each other. The thing is Putin knows this, but I guess he wants his water port and access to oil. Yet he knows Jihadists are a great threat to Russia, and many of the Sunni forces in both Syria and ISIS are radicalized Russian citizens, so he is happy to have them dead.

    Shia Hezbollah, sponsored by Iran, and the arm of Iran threatening Israel, but now engaged in Syria, fighting Sunni radicals, and is eagerly awaiting Iranian money with the prospect of lifted sanctions so it can get back to attacking Israel.

    In this manner it makes sense for the western world to keep the Sunni Islamists active against Assad. It also is fine that Shia forces such as Hezbollah are losing some strength.

    In the mist of this mess is Obama, and his actions, like the entire M.E., are contrary as hell. He supports Sunni MB in Egypt He supports Shia Iran with appeasement and allows them monetary resources to both attack Israel, defend Shia Syria, and to develop nuclear weapons. He abandons Iraq to Shia Islamists factions. Ditto now for Afghanistan, but to Sunni Jihadists. And he shows support for Sunni Islamists in Syria, and bows to Sunni Saudi’s.

    Hum? anything in common to unite Obama actions. He appears to oppose any strong arm that represses Islamists, either Sunni or Shia. Where? In Egypt, in Syria, in Libya, and in Iraq. He supports Iran, while countering Iran in Syria. He minimizes the real threat of Sunni Islamists; “Al Qaeda is a small band of men”, and “ISIS is the JV team” and does almost nothing to combat them. No matter where he goes, Islamists gain greater control.

    It is a funny old world.

  13. p.g.sharrow says:

    I have offered up an outline for the solution;
    Wonder if NATO is ready to help? Europe must do something soon or they will be overrun…pg.

  14. LG says:

    Analysis of Rossi US Patent 9,115,913 issued 25Aug15 Part 1

    On August 25, 2015 a US patent issued to Leonardo Corporation on an invention by Andrea Rossi. This US patent, US 9,115,913, is part of a series of applications filed by Andrea Rossi variously in Italy, before the European and United States Patent Offices, and under the Patent Cooperation Treaty.

  15. J Martin says:

    From a comment on WUWT by someone called Javier. I found the overlay of obliquity on global temperatures just stunning.

  16. J Martin says:

    I also found this graph from David Archibald interesting from a WUWT post of his.

  17. p.g.sharrow says:

    Article about servers and their locating to cold climates:
    Second half is more interesting:
    “At the National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), a supercomputer called Peregrine, built by HP and Intel, runs 1,440 of these compact servers powered by eight-core CPUs”
    plus more…pg

  18. Another Ian says:


    Yesterdays Windows 7 update “Operation 1 of 36599”


  19. LG says:

    France’s top weatherman sparks storm over book questioning climate change:
    Philippe Verdier, weather chief at France Télévisions, the country’s state broadcaster, reportedly sent on “forced holiday” for releasing book accusing top climatologists of “taking the world hostage”

    He said he decided to write the book in June 2014 when Laurent Fabius, the French foreign minister, summoned the country’s main weather presenters and urged them to mention “climate chaos” in their forecasts.

    “I was horrified by this discourse,” Mr Verdier told Les Inrockuptibles magazine. Eight days later, Mr Fabius appeared on the front cover of a magazine posing as a weatherman above the headline: “500 days to save the planet.”

    Mr Verdier said: “If a minister decides he is Mr Weatherman, then Mr Weatherman can also express himself on the subject in a lucid manner.

    “What’s shameful is this pressure placed on us to say that if we don’t hurry, it’ll be the apocalypse,” he added, saying that “climate diplomacy” means leaders are seeking to force changes to suit their own political timetables.

    According to L’Express magazine, unions at France Television called for Mr Verdier to be fired, but that Delphine Ernotte, the broadcaster’s chief executive, initially said he should be allowed to stay “in the name of freedom of expression”


  20. Another Ian says:



    but a bit late for there

    “Anyone thinking I’m overstating that, read the Koran and Sharia rulings. No, you can not take the word of your Muslim Friend for it. The Koran specifically says it is just fine to lie cheat and deceive the Infidel to advance Islam… so “On No One’s Word”; just read it for yourself. ”

    So an interview on LSM would be a perfect place to follow this direction wouldn’t it?

  21. Larry Ledwick says:

    Gee wonder if the watch list system is getting hacked?

  22. p.g.sharrow says:

    Valerie Jarrett said American’s freedom of religion is a good thing…………………For now’
    She has been Obama’s most trusted “adviser” for many years and is always at his side. Her Father was a high placed Muslim Brotherhood official…pg

  23. Another Ian says:


    More realisations following from your quote above

    “Or look up the history of Islam invading through Greece to Romania – where Vlad The Impaler stopped them and started the Dracula legend- and through Spain to where France halted them. BTW, the Koran says that they MUST retake those lands. It is now THEIR land forever and must be retaken. Period. No, you can’t ‘negotiate’ about it. Thus the influx of ‘refugees’ and ‘immigrants’.”

    No wonder Israel has a problem them!

  24. Another Ian says:

    Re Another Ian says:

    14 October 2015 at 11:55 pm

    Another Ian says:

    14 October 2015 at 11:55 pm

    Further thinking

    So an interview on LSM would be a perfect place to follow this direction wouldn’t it? In the spirit of “carbon cock points” what a chance to increase your Allah cock points!

  25. Another Ian says:


    I’ve been reminding people that Vlad came out of a previous joust like this.

    Does Putin see himself as Vlad II by any chance?

  26. David A says:

    “Does Putin see himself as Vlad II by any chance”
    Depends on what he really does with Iran regarding weapons technology.
    (Maybe he will sell them advanced mid range rockets, but encode them somehow to be easily hacked and go off course on Russian will, or perhaps even “return to sender”)

    BTW musings geeks, is this techniquely possible to achieve and to hide from Iran?

  27. Larry Ledwick says:

    This is an interesting read on the Iranian view of the JCPOA.
    Special note to this paragraph which looks a lot like an “We can back out of this any time we want to clause”

    Stressing that the JCPOA is based on mutual cooperation and respect, the bill emphasizes that any pressures and threats under any pretexts will lead to a revision of Iran’s cooperation, of course in accordance with the final verdict of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC).

    Looks to me like lots of smoke and mirrors but no real intent to perform, as all they need to “reconsider their agreement” is to assert that pressures or threats exist.

  28. Another Ian says:


    Have you run into this?

  29. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:



    The hard part is not making a nuclear reactor, the hard part is making one that you can control without irradiating yourself in the process…

  30. E.M.Smith says:

    To elaborate:

    Basically get natural uranium. Make big bricks of carbon (aka BBQ Fuel). Stack, slowly.

    When the radiation detector starts to click faster, run away…

  31. E.M.Smith says:

    @J Martin:

    Yup, I saw that too. Really needs a good think and a posting… but I need a 36 hour day… Maybe Mañana… ;-)

    We’re going into one heck of a Solar Funk, and we will shortly get an answer to what that does. The Warmistas know full well their goose is cooked if this drags on more than a year or two more, so expect Paris to be an Incredible Bum’s Rush with enough hysterics to choke a horse.

    Then if THIS winter isn’t already dead cold in the N.H., watch out for the next couple. With the lowered atmospheric height from UV drop off, “cold high places” will be very very cold. Snow will come to lower elevations. The Polar Vortex will be expanded out and squashed down, leading to larger and stronger “mobile polar lows” and a huge flux of frozen air into norther latitudes.


    It takes a couple of decades to heat the ocean with excess deep UV and a couple of decades to cool it as that deeper heat evaporates back out “somewhere else somewhen else”… so there will be some heavy floods as that precipitation engine runs the heat out. Expect screams about Climat Change when it is just natural solar driven cycles with water lag times.


    One of the interesting bits about the Classical Cray machines was that his whole things was really about heat extraction. Yes, he had a vector engine (like the GPU used for calculation in PCs) and a nice fast set of scalar CPUs, but the real magic was heat management. Lets you run the gates faster.

    The Cray we had used metal to liquid. There was a copper core in the boards taking heat to the mounting channels that had water flowing in them. Then a 4 inch pipe to the cooling tower. Yup, cooling tower… We had a 750 kVA transformer feeding 3 motor generators (to make 60 Hz into 400 Hz so the power transformers would be small at the computer …) to power it. Then about a 16 foot by 16 foot water tower to cool the water heat exchanger…

    The next machine, the Cray 2, immersed the boards fully in a “flourinert” coolant liquid. We nicknamed them “bubbles” as small bubbles formed on the boards in the liquid (you could see inside through the transparent box).

    The other thing was the speed of light. It was one clock pulse from one side of the XMP to the other. About 9 feet. The machine could not be any bigger than that and still work. Wires cut based on speed of light and time delay… The Cray 2 cut this down to about 3 feet to get a faster clock. After that, everyone went to massive collections of microprocessors…

    At this point you basically can’t make a single CPU small enough to have a faster clock, nor are you able to get more heat out without melting something. The only path left is MIMD or MISD. (Multiple Instructions Multiple Data or Single Data – basically a gaggle of CPUs all doing different things ore the same thing in step).

    So the emphasis has moved over to software to make massively parallel work well ( and now you know why I did that parallel FORTRAN test on the quad core ARM… and why finding it wanting was such a disappointment…it’s in my DNA now to do this supercomputer stuff ;-)

    There’s still a little way to go with shrinking die size and maybe a little more on active heat extraction, but not much and more slowly than before. But it’s easy to bolt on another cabinet of 1024 CPUs with 8 cores each… Relatively speaking…

    @Another Ian:

    Make sure it isn’t installing Win 10… MS has started aggressively pushing “update against your will” of Win-10 on 7 & 8 users… See article in A Register…


    Yes, the desperation to silence the opposition is palpable… “Then they attack you, then you win”…

    @Another Ian:

    “LSM”? Late Saturday Morning? Latter-day Saints / Mormons? Left Swinging Media?

    Sorry, I’ve lost the thread and I’m too rushed to go hunting…

    @Larry Ledwick:

    EVERYWHERE is getting hacked.

    As soon as Russia, China, and Iran figured out we do nothing about being hacked and that our government was assuring everything had back doors in it; they set up massive state sponsored hacking departments.

    You are 100% guaranteed of being attacked and hacked on every single day. A big part of why I’ve moved to ‘air gap security’ for important things and “rotating shields regularly” for browsing (i.e. using disposable systems much of the time) and why I’m using only Non-Prism-Program software and doing “roll your own” hardware / firmware now that they have moved into that level.

    It is just incredibly Brain Dead to think you can put a back door into software and firmware for our government to use and that nobody else will figure it out and exploit it. Just sooo dumb.


    Interesting… ought to look into that bio…

    @Another Ian:

    Yup. The Koran says it is their most holy of duties to kill all the Israel Occupiers and regain the Holy Land for their private use… Absolutely mandatory.

    And what’s a “cock point”?… (No, never mind ;-)

    @David A:

    Our airplanes and such have IFF gear in them. Identify Friend Or Foe. I’d be very surprised if missiles did not have similar. I’m nearly certain that mil-gear we sell to 2nd tier allies have a ‘defeat function’ in them so we can remotely turn off if needed… It’s not hard to do at all (just hard to keep the opponent from finding it and using against you…)

    @Larry Ledwick:

    JCPOA? Jesus Christ Plane Owners Association? Joint Chiefs Piss On Anyone? …

    And yes, saw that on Al Jazeera, of all places. One guy ( in England I think ) started having eye pain… next day woke up and ‘blue eyes were green’ and ran in for testing. Ebola inside the eye (thus a tinge of blood making green out of blue) but not in tears or saliva… Another had joint pains… ebloa in joint spaces.

    This is not going away any time soon. “We’re going to learn a lot about Ebola from survivors”… No Shit… just don’t kill off half of NYC in the process, please…

  32. Another Ian says:


    Still tells me that I’ve got W7 Pro. Updating shut off as what I used to do on 4 gb/month is now taking more than 8. No leaks that I know of, machine shut down when not in use.

    Seems to me that the updating tree looks like

    1. A couple of major update sources who seem to be churning out more and more and larger updates

    2. ISP’s who are transmit these updates

    3. Customers who get the updates (and need more GB to get them and do their own things) from the ISP’s so the ISP’s increase revenue

    Looks to me like a back scratching or worse opportunity for 1 and 2???

    Re LSM -lLame stream media or prestitutes if that suits better

    Re “- points” – see the urban dictionary

  33. Another Ian says:


    From comments at


    October 18, 2015 at 10:20 am · Reply

    My view is that there is a single party in the US, “The Wall Street” party.

    The Republican/Democrat structure is theatre to impress the people and provide an illusion of participation so that the nature of their serfdom is not revealed.

    Either party will produce a president that will simply implement the policies of the owners of wall street.

    We in the developed west, especially the anglophone countries live in a Neo-Fascist Corporate State derived from the British and US empires, where the policy defining function is located with a Crypto-Feudalist cartel of families/clans that own controlling interests in the major corporates of the world. The State is simply a co-opted legislative, regulatory & enforcement machine to ensure the following.

    [1] The ongoing incumbency of the current cartel centered within the developed world.

    [2] The flow of profits garnered via the large corporates, which then flow to the owners within the cartel

    [3] The blocking and disruption of competition that may come from other smaller businesses, nation states, or international regional blocks.

    [4] The maintenance of a privately owned, monopoly (no pun intended…) monetary and financial system based on a full fiat debt instrument and fractional reserve banking that is designed in it’s operation to guarantee the flow of value from the labors of the many to the ownership of the few.

    [5] The shielding of the cartel from any accountability for their actions – they are above the law – as the law is never applied to them.

    My hypothesis is refutable and provides predictions.

    Prediction [1] – Aligned with point [3] above. Active steps will be taken to block the rise of China and Russia as peer competitors (aka Wolfowitz doctrine) via proxy war (Ukraine, Syria) and attempts at containment (TPP, US not joining the AIIB).

    Prediction [2] – Aligned with Points [2,3 & 5]. The TPP if implemented will minimize competition for already powerful corporates and will increase profits at the expense of the middle classes and the poor.

    Prediction [3] – Aligned with all Points. Agenda 21 Trojan Horse, if implemented will not cause significant reduction in CO2 emission levels or redistribution of wealth to the poor, instead CO2 emissions will be monetized and the already powerful corporates will increase their profits at the expense of the developed world middle class and the worlds poor who will continue to suffer greatly.

    Prediction [4] – Aligned with point [5]. Senior Cartel apparatchiks such as high level US congress members and Wall street CEOs will not by indicted from crimes. (Google “To Big to Jail”)

    All these predictions are easily refutable.

    On the plus side, the Crypto-Feudalist Cartel is not stable – as there is no honor amongst thieves and (from game theory) he who defects first loses the least. There are several big flaws in their globalist agenda.

    [1] Defections within the ranks of the Cartel, other players such as Russia, China, (and on a regional basis) Iran pursuing their own agendas can invite other entities to swap allegiances (i.e. Germany could swing East and align more closely with Russia).

    [2] Architectural flaws within the current debt based monetary system invite system collapse and unmanageable chaos beyond a “useful crisis”.

    [3] Cultural inertia – getting compliance from other players, and long lived/entrenched cultures in the M.E. India, China, etc.

    My thoughts this Sunday.

  34. Another Ian says:

    And see comments below that one!

  35. Another Ian says:


    And somewhat cryptically from the “- points” above

    What does a female Islamic martyr get rewarded with?

  36. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    Escape from the misery that is her present life. The fantasy of a rewarding after life. And on a more practical level, perhaps the survival of her children in the hands of her captors…

    FWIW I generally agree with that comment in broad terms. “Somewhere” I have a US Govt printed book detailing the “interlocking of boards of directors”. It ended up with about 700 people effectively controlling ALL major corporations in the USA (in the early 80s). That’s the lot. Then you blend in that money drives all politics here, season with ‘rotation’ from agency heads to ‘captains of industry’, stir with just a half dozen “to big to fail” banks that can turn on / off the money flow – run in total by about 20 people and with board seat sharing and the quarterly cartel meeting at The Fed…

    The only thing that is glaringly missing is the push to “internationalize” the whole thing. It stopped being an Anglo – Dutch operation when the USA was formed. The Rockefellers and other upstarts like the Fords pushed their way in, and it became more US – Anglo Empire. Post W.W.II the dominance of Europe brought in more of The Old Families as they got their house in order. With the unification of Germany and the rise of the EU, the block expanded to an integrated EU. One can argue over the extent the old Anglo group has merged… I’d argue for a US – Anglo – German aristocracy. (Compete with intermarriages and all just like the good old days) There’s another side bar that’s hard to work out. The Arabs.

    To me this was clearly signaled when the Masons added the Koran to the table. In their initiation ceremony they only require that you ascribe to SOME God of SOME theology of The Book. Originally The Book was The Christian Bible. Now there are three books on the table. Including Jewish Bible versions and the Koran… For an organization reputed to derive from the Crusaders, that’s a very strange twist. At the same time massive oil money was in Arab hands. IMHO the “Arab Aristocracy” was co-opted in about then and this was a ‘token gesture’. ( I’m of the opinion that the Masons stopped being a really functional group for the powers that be just about W.W.i and maybe a bit before, with a small residual into W.W.II but mostly as nostalgia. Now likely abandoned in favor of better means of identification and communications / coordination. Remember that even up to the start of W.W.II a “fellow Mason” could give the distress call and be pardoned on the field by his opponent Mason… That doesn’t hold much sway post W.W.II …)

    Full Disclosure: My Father In Law was a 3rd Degree Mason and a great person. Every Mason I’ve met, I’ve liked. I think them a very honorable, if quirky, group; and I’ve thought of joining them, but memorizing a bunch of stories and mumbo-jumbo and “secret” handshakes is just not attractive to me. If I thought they were still “in use” I’d likely join, but as I’m pretty sure they are now just a “show / distractor” don’t see the point. I have other things that need that brain space. Mostly I just find them interesting as a social method. Ranting about them and stories of them being at the controls of power today are to be discouraged. (Minor mentions and more “scholarly” toned discussion of their history, including potentially as “control surfaces” of influence are reasonably OK, as they were. Strongly influencing the structure and formation of the USA.)

    IMHO since about the 1970s to 1980s there’s been a push from that US – Anglo – German base into a truly global cartel. While the strongest evidence is the addition of the Arabs (IMHO), I think there are other indicia. Take the fall of the USSR. What did The West encourage just after that? The formation of a true Peoples Capitalism? Nope. The Rise Of The Oligarchs. The Western Powers wanted just a few Nuvo-Riche-Russians to add to the pot. Not too many…

    I’m also pretty sure we have other reflections. This isn’t a ‘proved understanding’ for me; just a “speculative bit” that seems to fit all the known facts better. With that said:

    Arabs in, but Iranians out after the fall of The Shaw. He was “in the club” (though arguable as to puppet or local master) but the replacements were not “socially controllable for the good of the Cartel” so have been hard core on the outside. Various puppets were set up around the Arab core to help it ( Saddam in Iraq, the Afghans against the USSR, Kadaffi in Libya, etc) but then those guys decided to stop taking orders and, well, The Group acts and does a take down on them. (This involved having a member or three take ‘direct action’ so the USA had a few wars and “the Coalition” in each was mostly to diffuse the lines of control and interest).

    We are still protecting The Arabs under the ruse of “protecting the oil”. Does anyone doubt at all that if some NutJob took over all the Arab oil fields they would not continue to produce and sell the oil? Does anyone REALLY think it has “protected the oil production” to have effectively shut down production in Libya, Iran, and parts of Syria? To block Iranian production with embargo? It’s more about protecting Arab monopoly pricing, IMHO, and seasoned with pruning some puppets who wanted to go their own way…

    There are many places “outside the collective”. The major axis is North America to Europe with honorable mention for Australia / New Zealand. But South America has always been problematic. They keep getting a good thing going, then some revolution happens and the thing falls apart into Yet Another Local Strongman. Venezuela is one example. Brazil cyclically and with a more ‘warm and fuzzy’ process. Also Argentina a few times and Bolivia in more of that Venezulea-without-the-oil-with-minerals form. In Asia, Japan was ‘in’ post W.W.II and China out. We’ve (“they’ve”) been trying to integrate China ever since Nixon. Success is, er, “unclear at this time, try again later”… India is a bit of a mess. When the Anglo axis left, it was not on the best of terms for those wishing to dominate. Since then, they periodically “play well with others”, yet hold back from full membership in The Club. IMHO it’s an ongoing “work in progress” integration at the sub-national level. Coopting individual players first. Then that whole Muslim World is a PITA to “Them”. Keeps rejecting “western civilization” and reasserting their own culture and religion… (And you could expand the list even more).

    IMHO, where there is a war, on one side you see “The Group” and on the other side, someone who is not accepting the parasites and exterior control. You can see the polite form of that also in financial crisis treatment. Most recently Greece and just before that Cyprus. Assets to be stripped and handed to, surprise surprise, agents of exterior control … (be it banks, central banks, companies, rich individuals, etc.)

    Yet More Full Disclosure: I’m undecided on the question of “Is this good or bad”? There just isn’t enough information to rationally decide. Without some kind of organization and control, the globe descends into chaos and wars. An “Alexander the Great” or a “Caesar” comes along (or a Napoleon or even a Kaiser vs a King in recent wars in France) and we have millions die with untold wealth destruction. The Collective seems to generally keep things peaceful and tidy for those of us inside the pen. Reserving destruction for those outside of it. I’ve pondered what I would do, were I “invited in”, and I can’t think of a system that is guaranteed to do better. I’ve some ideas about it, but all untested. Basically, I’d ask to “read the books on past actions” and learn all the accumulated action / result pairs; then and only then can you say what might be better. It is just as reasonable to think these folks moral and rational actors doing their best to control the uncontrollable and prevent the worst the world has to offer with only poor and indirect controls; as it is to think them corrupt and self serving. IMHO, like most groups, it is likely a mix of all kinds. Though for me that will remain a “thought puzzle” and never really answered as I’m a “nobody” and highly likely to stay that way. The minimal ticket to entry looks to be in the $100 Million range these days, or running a whole country regardless of salary…

    So while I tend to rant about it when observing some of this “non-democratic mechanism”, I’m also well aware that Democracy is the path to Tyranny and even more aware that The Group seems to have done a fair job of localizing massive destruction to just those places with a Petty Tyrant wanting to move into the majors. If the price of that is replacing Monopolists with Collective Oligopolists, I’m not able to voice any better alternative. Monopolists are worse, and Tyrants / Emperors can be seen as a National Monopolist – and that doesn’t end so well for the world…

    So I bitch about it, but if asked to design a solution to Global Wars and Global Chaos, would likely end at the same or a very similar design point. Have I mentioned lately that Economics is called “The Dismal Science” for a reason? 8-\

    Oh Well, as they say…

  37. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item on Mideastern rare seed vaults and current warfare in Syria.

  38. Another Ian says:


    Re “Basically get natural uranium. Make big bricks of carbon (aka BBQ Fuel). Stack, slowly.”

    Instructor in a radiation course (with license to drive a nuke station) pointed out that the first UK nuke stations were graphite moderated and cooled by CO2. And his comment was “And they knew what they were doing”

  39. E.M.Smith says:


    Yes, interesting. Didn’t know Syria had such a seed bank.

    I do think the article is a bit ‘over the top’, though. It uses the term “extinct” about some seeds that are actually demonstrated as ‘in hand’… so they really meant ‘extirpated’ or ‘extinct in the wild’… then there is the obligatory genuflect to “global warming” at the bottom…

    I’d also be VERY surprised if their 10,000 kinds of seeds, many wheat, didn’t have some ascension or other of them in our universities that do wheat research.

    Also, unmentioned, is that seed banks are not places where “seeds check in, and they never check out”… they imply that with phrases like “opening sooner than expected”… In reality, even frozen, seeds have a finite life. It is essential that any given variety be ‘grown out’ every so often and a new ascension added to the stock. Even if the seed doesn’t die entirely in storage, it ends up with ‘reduction of variety’ as, for example, a bean with a natural mix of red, white, mottled, and cream colors in the wild might have the white die out first, then the cream, then the mottled. Just before non-viable status, a grow out might yield all or mostly ‘red type’… Not good for preserving the original nature of that bean…

    (This happens because the color chemicals are often the anti-oxidants that prevent oxygen from damaging the seed DNA… so the ones with the most color last the longest… you indirectly select for both stronger colors and more antioxidant with prolonged storage between growouts).

    But even with those flaws, yes, a good article that points up why seed saving matters. Even by a million amateurs all over the globe… (Many varieties have been recovered from ‘home gardeners’ including the “Moon and Stars” watermelon that has one BIG yellow spot and many small ones on the surface…) Help save the future, put a jar of seeds in your freezer today ;-)

    @Another Ian:

    Interesting phrasing… Implies 2 possibles:

    1) They knew how to do it, don’t you try.

    2) They knew how to do it, it works very well. – if you know your stuff.

    I lean toward #2. You need to know your neutronics to know that natural un-enriched uranium with carbon moderator will “go”.

    Personally, were I designing a reactor, I’d design it as a graphite moderated one. Fuel in tubes as in a CANDU, but with graphite instead of heavy water. I’d also put the graphite inside metal canisters (inside reactor tubes) so as to reduce fire risk (no air need apply) and I’d run CO2 coolant between all the tubes. (Though one might be able to design it such that light water / steam could do that role… it would take a bit of math to work out if that “goes” or not…)

    Add a ‘melt disk’ that lets the moderator canisters drop out the bottom of their tubes and another one to let borated water drop in the top of the fuel tubes and the whole thing has a double safe self quench feature… even if the control rods can’t be pushed in…(which is what you try first). Too hot, you start shedding moderator bundles. More hot, you start quenching fuel bundles. (Even hotter, active emergency systems start going bat shit … but that’s for another longer discussion…)

    I’m pretty sure I could build one without frying myself in the process ;-) Maybe 8-0

    IMHO the desire to suppress things that make it easier to make Special Nuclear Material was what has largely made “Nuclear Power” expensive. There are a load of simple and easy ways to make a nuke power plant. Just many (most?) of them also make breeding “fuel” easy and some of those make paths to “boom stuff” easier.

    OTOH, since we’re about a decade away from EVERY bad actor on the planet who wants one having a nuke already… maybe “pretty soon” They will let go of that issue and we can start making small, cheap, safe, efficient nuclear reactors again…

    Doing a quick web search… looks like water cooled graphite moderated has been done… (though minus my safety ideas).

    Graphite   Water H2O RBMK EGP-6
    by coolant

    The RBMK type was what blew up at Chernobyl when they were playing with running it in experimental ranges of operation (it having a positive void coefficient and carbon tipped control rods that got stuck 1/2 way in so the carbon tip enhanced reaction… was a bit, er, dumb…)

    The EGP-6 reactors are a scaled down version of the RBMK reactor design. Notably, these reactors along with the RBMK designs are some of the few active reactors which still use ordinary (light) water cooled graphite as a neutron moderator.

    The only operating reactors of this type exist at the Bilibino Nuclear Power Plant, commissioned in 1974. The plant design was developed by the Ural Division of Teploelektroproekt together with Izhorskiye Zavody and FEI in Obninsk.

    It is the world’s smallest commercial nuclear reactor.

    IMHO making the carbon moderator into ceramic balls in a ‘drop tube’ would likely avoid all that ‘graphite annealing’ experimentation that keep getting folks into trouble… so you could use the “pebbles” of a pebble bed reactor (but just as moderator) with the graphite covered in a SiC shell, and the fuel in a separate bundle. Lets you rapidly separate fuel and moderator… and avoid some of the “issues” in the “pile of bricks” designs…

  40. Larry Ledwick says:

    On your reactor design, the emergency scram system on the Ft. St. Vrain High temperature gas cooled reactor (since retired) here in Colorado, was slightly different than your design but not much. The FSV HTGR was helium cooled and graphite moderated. Graphite gets stronger at high temperature, and with helium as the coolant. If it ever sprang a coolant leak the very hot helium coolant would naturally disperse quickly (safety feature), no ground hugging clouds. The emergency scram was a system that dropped thousands of ceramic balls with boron in them into the reactor to run down the coolant channels. To “unscram” the reactor you had to use a vacuum system to suck all the boron balls back out of the core (big pain in the rear). Design worked well except for one minor issue the graphite hexagon shaped blocks moved around a bit under operating conditions slightly changing reactivity, and they have big problems keeping the helium under control and dry (ie no water vapor) eventually decided it was more trouble than it was worth and for stock holder reasons retired the nuclear core and converted it to a natural gas fired plant.

  41. E.M.Smith says:


    Interesting… Unfortunately, not the first time I’ve discovered someone else’s Good Ideas all over again…

    I like the ceramic scram, as no vapor pressure problem, but would use a dump gate at the bottom for recovery.

    Maybe combine the two. Tube full of SiC balls as moderator, with Bceramic above reaction zone. If bottom seal melts, the moderator drops out and poison rolls in. Recovery is to eventually drain all balls, replace melt plates, reload balls and reintroduce fuel. Thing can never overheat to core damage temp. Fuel is always isolated. CO2 coolant can still run while scramming. (or maybe swap to non-carbon gas? if desired)

  42. Another Ian says:


    Re UK reactors.

    2. They must have – they ran them for years. As the instructor said

  43. David A says:

    EM says, “Our airplanes and such have IFF gear in them. Identify Friend Or Foe. I’d be very surprised if missiles did not have similar. I’m nearly certain that mil-gear we sell to 2nd tier allies have a ‘defeat function’ in them so we can remotely turn off if needed… It’s not hard to do at all (just hard to keep the opponent from finding it and using against you…)”
    Yes, hiding it is key, and that is the input I was looking for from the bright population here. How hard is that to do? Can it be done different ways, with alternative back up?

  44. Larry Ledwick says:

    It is common for export gear to be slightly crippled versions of the front line non-export versions. Much easier to leave something out than to put something in and hide it. Detailed code examination would allow someone to find it unless very effective tactics were used to prevent decompiling the code or some other method of tamper proofing their avionics. The Soviets always exported slightly obsolete or 3rd tier gear like tanks and fighter jets. Iran is getting their S-300 anti-aircraft missiles, The Russian top AA missile now is the S-400 (NATO code name SA-21 Growler. I have little doubt that the S-300 probably has some “feature” that Russian aircraft can exploit to defeat it. It could be an electronic counter measure bug or a limitation on its maximum turn rate against a specific maneuver etc. I also assume that our export weapons are some how slightly crippled against us by perhaps having a different firm ware version than the top line service units.

    That said our governmental types have recently displayed an astonishing ability to do really stupid things so you never know. In WWII our torpedoes failed to function properly for about 2+ years, the defense department would not believe the submarine crews when they told them they had failures to detonate until one skipper ran a series of tests by firing torpedoes into a net and found they ran much deeper than expected.

  45. Another Ian says:


    Find your self a copy of John Steinbeck’s “Log from the Sea of Cortez”

    In the start piece on Ed Rickets there is a reference to some US Navy testing wrt barnacles on hulls.

    Not much different

  46. Another Ian says:

    And Larry

    One of the fixed ones got the ship that was taking an uncle who had survived the Burma Rail and was being shifted to Japan.

    I’m not after your scalp – it was wartime. There are a lot of my relatives on the local honour boards.

    Another bloke from here survived one of the A tests – he was down a coal mine at the time.

    These blokes still aren’t too happy buying what is on offer today

  47. E.M.Smith says:

    @David A:

    As Larry pointed out, the ‘easy way’ is to just swap out the chips with the special secret magic sauce methods and put in chips with ‘good enough’ methods. So, for example, I’d make mine communicate with intense encryption. Blowfish or AES of many rounds with a processor that can “take it” (i.e. fast multi-core radiation hardened). Then for “export”, I’d have it do 3 DES with an OK processor, maybe not hardened. Now we can build hardware to decrypt 3DES fairly fast, and we can set off a small EMP bomb (little ones exist…) to fry it’s brain, or we can just send it so much stuff to try to decrypt that the processor gets overwhelmed (since we know how to send it stuff…).

    Note how long it took for folks to figure out that the crippled Microsoft 3DES was effectively just DES and real time decryption was possible for not too much money…

    Similarly, one might have titanium parts in, say, a rocket motor vane in the exhaust, that lets you run the motor for 5 minutes while the one you ship has a different metal good only for 4 or 3. You know your fast plane can outrun it for 4 minutes… but not 5. Or you have a different crank arm that only deflects the vane 80% instead of 100% cutting the rate of turn. Or…

    At one air show on Moffett Field I was surprised to see the placard on the air ram of one of our “hot” fighters that the device was not to be operated (opened or closed, forget which) above Mach 3… on a fighter that didn’t DO Mach 3… per public info…

    For the specific case of IFF, you ship with a ‘standard version’ that everyone in NATO uses in practice and all the gear works with just fine. Then, when a Real War ™ happens, you turn on your “enhanced” mode that only your gear understands. Now any NATO rogue can be spotted and stopped while they can’t get your gear to ignore them… (Think about the way early GPS worked. Mil mode was very accurate, public mode was ‘dithered’ to 30 m precision… They just didn’t publish or share the Mil method to undither… but they did let the existence be known, and a lot of smart folks found ways around it ;-) so best to not even admit any such thing exists…)

    As to how effectively it can be hidden:

    That changes over time. What was once very effectively hidden (The Navajo Code Talkers method) is now on Public TV. So is how to make a nuke with a tank gun. So is how to break DES and 3DES. It is always a race in warfare.

    So today I’d wager there are many very very effective ways to “hide it” in use. And we will all know about them in 40 years…

    Personally, I’d put a IFF into things shipped that had a very clear method, nothing to see, really, except that the method would allow a very sparse space of codes to work. I’d know a few of those codes that were just outside “the usual” space, or where my “squawker” could spit them ALL out until one “clicked”. Now looking at the IFF gear you see it works, it has a sparse space for valid keys, and a nice selector to let you choose the one to accept. You maybe don’t notice that a sweep of JUST the ones in the ‘valid pattern’ would take 1 second at computer speed and hit the IFF value… I’m sure what IS done is far more trick than that…


    FWIW, I think this is all due to the Swedes. Back about the ’70s they had a very very nice fighter jet. Some Viggen I think. We had great electronics, but would not sell them for that jet. So the Swedes bought some doggy US fighters… that we were willing to sell, but that were only marginally good if outfitted with the great electronics avionics… and then promptly swapped the pods onto their Viggens… Causing a great uproar as now they had THE best combo in the world and could beat us….

    It is my opinion that along with the “no swapping allowed” contracts that came after that, some kind of remote “defeat” plan was desired (though how far they got is hard to say).

    Also note that much of our gear is designed to need regular parts replacements. Someone doesn’t stay on our side, we stop shipping parts. There’s a load of US jets in Iran that have been mostly grounded due to no parts… (though I’d expect now Russia is shipping them some black market parts… the USA doesn’t care about them that much now as they are not as effective as our current stuff.) Just remember that part of the strategy of control is to control the spare parts flow.

    IFF you really want to know how it works, get a DOD clearance, a “need to know” and a few General Stars doesn’t hurt… then go ask to see the plans.

    FWIW, I’m fairly certain that I could design an encrypted data com package talking to a “binary blob” inside the computerized weaponry of today that would let it work (as long as not opened or probed – i.e. reverse engineering blocked) but would also let us send a ‘defeat code’ in actual use. The problem is not unlike mounting a squashfs file system with encrypted bits in it. Just make it so all systems must be “normal” to do those last steps so you can’t do it on a bench, and until they are done, you can’t see inside the decrypted blob… All of our present “public key encryption” depends on this kind of encryption working, BTW. “No ticky no washy” kind of thing. Put a steganographic second level in the encrypted blob, and the “user” can see the decrypt and the code works. Add the stego layer and it suddenly blows up… All with a change of hidden key. That’s just one idea from a guy not “in that business”…


    Most likely for most gear it is just a “spare parts” logistics leash on it.

    For somewhat fancy gear, it gets an added “hobble” feature set for export and the real max perf is not public.

    For very special gear, you put in the effort to do the ‘remote defeat crypto switch’ and never admit it even exists. Knowing to look for it is itself a risk…

  48. Larry Ledwick says:

    Not all Raspberry Pi’s are manufactured in the UK.
    My second RP B2 just arrived and I realized that the boxes were different between the two devices, one was colored red and the other green. Hmmm I thought that is interesting. Then I poked around and on the back the red box said “Made in PRC” the green trimmed box said “Made in the UK”

    Verrrrry interesting he said to himself.
    Others have noticed this, but if you are trying to avoid Chinese sourced electronics in a high security build you might want to keep an eye out for this.

  49. David A says:

    Thanks E.M.

    So, the O scuttled our east coast missle defense plans. If that had been developed, would you consider barginning with Putin and even allowing him to sell weapons tech to Iran, of you also had the defeat mechanism? (depending of course on what Putin would be willing to do.)

    Currently the O state department is very upset with the Iranian missle test. The O has threatened to sorround Iran with five specially trained jihadists, four pajama boys, three clock boys, two CO2emitting drought threatening Humvees, and one strongly worded letter.

    In light of this I guess all barginning is in vain.

  50. Larry Ledwick says:

    The slide into the next depression?

    Then you add the factor that a large segment of the public has very little liquid cushion to fall back on if times get tight, leaves them to only option of liquidating assets if they have to raise cash. That of course would lead into a death spiral of deflation in value of the things people are most likely to see off. Want a Jet Ski or an RV wait a while they will be dirt cheap if this scenario plays out.

  51. Larry Ledwick says:

    Everthing you need to know to understand Putin

    Putin: “Streets of Leningrad taught me one thing – if fight is inevitable, throw the first punch”

  52. E.M.Smith says:


    China is a worry. The world is about to find out if Extreme Keynesian Economics works… or not. All the central banks are suffering their own form of Orbital Resonance as they cycle in on zero interest rates and unlimited debt. It will be great fun to watch, and educational too… for a while…

  53. Larry Ledwick says:

    And here is the transportation indicator to confirm the contraction in shipping and global markets

    Like you say it will be fun to watch if you don’t get caught in the squeeze, but I suspect most everyone will get tangled up in this one. It is sort of like watching one of those old stage acts where the guy is running around trying to keep all the plates spinning on sticks. You know that sooner of later one of them is going to get away from him or they will have to stop the music and take down all the plates before they get smashed on the floor. Those are the only two possible endings.

  54. Larry Ledwick says:

    NOAA won’t give Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Texas) what he recently subpoenaed about their research on climate change.

  55. Larry Ledwick says:

    In the which nation is going to default first race, Venezuela surges to the front.

  56. omanuel says:

    As noted in the last comment on the AGW debate, Putin admitted today that AGW is a fraud:

  57. Larry Ledwick says:

    Wow really interesting graphic of emigration flow into Europe. Really brings home that this is an ongoing process and the numbers are staggering.

    Would be fun to see the same thing for emigration from Mexico and Latin America into the US.

  58. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting white paper by French Mathematicians calling out global warming as bogus, useless and a waste of money. (I have not had time to read the full paper since I am still at work but looks like worth the time to dig through and its mere existence is useful to counter arguments of consensus)

    English summary.

    Click to access SCM_Global_Warming_Summary_2015_09.pdf

    Full paper 195 pages

    Click to access SCM_RC_2015_08_24_EN.pdf

    also NASA data shows recent warming insignificant

    Click to access BB_End_Global_Warming_2014_04_29.pdf

  59. Larry Ledwick says:

    This may be helpful to wire up in case of EMP or a Carrington class solar storm.
    Schematic is mostly self explanatory but some of the parts are difficult to source and should be stocked ahead of time.

  60. E.M.Smith says:


    Cute… and a “sleeper” if you don’t notice that it is xkcd and does comics ;-)

  61. LG says:

    NASA Study: Mass Gains of Antarctic Ice Sheet Greater than Losses

    Mass changes of the Antarctic ice sheet impact sea-level rise as climate changes, but recent rates have been uncertain. Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat) data (2003–08) show mass gains from snow accumulation exceeded discharge losses by 82 ± 25 Gt a–1, reducing global sea-level rise by 0.23 mm a–1. European Remote-sensing Satellite (ERS) data (1992–2001) give a similar gain of 112 ± 61 Gt a–1. Gains of 136 Gt a–1 in East Antarctica (EA) and 72 Gt a–1 in four drainage systems (WA2) in West Antarctic (WA) exceed losses of 97 Gt a–1 from three coastal drainage systems (WA1) and 29 Gt a–1 from the Antarctic Peninsula (AP). EA dynamic thickening of 147 Gt a–1 is a continuing response to increased accumulation (>50%) since the early Holocene. Recent accumulation loss of 11 Gt a–1 in EA indicates thickening is not from contemporaneous snowfall increases. Similarly, the WA2 gain is mainly (60 Gt a–1) dynamic thickening. In WA1 and the AP, increased losses of 66 ± 16 Gt a–1 from increased dynamic thinning from accelerating glaciers are 50% offset by greater WA snowfall. The decadal increase in dynamic thinning in WA1 and the AP is approximately one-third of the long-term dynamic thickening in EA and WA2, which should buffer additional dynamic thinning for decades.

    Zwally’s team calculated that the mass gain from the thickening of East Antarctica remained steady from 1992 to 2008 at 200 billion tons per year, while the ice losses from the coastal regions of West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula increased by 65 billion tons per year.
    “The good news is that Antarctica is not currently contributing to sea level rise, but is taking 0.23 millimeters per year away,” Zwally said. “But this is also bad news. If the 0.27 millimeters per year of sea level rise attributed to Antarctica in the IPCC report is not really coming from Antarctica, there must be some other contribution to sea level rise that is not accounted for.”

  62. Larry Ledwick says:

    Quick notes on the French paper:
    I started out making a quick index of key points in the paper (it has 195 pages)
    I have given up after 25 pages as it would be as exhausting to read as the paper.

    By the time you get to page 25 you see discussions of the following points:


    Click to access SCM_RC_2015_08_24_EN.pdf

    Note page 8-9-10 history of temperature measurment networks and brief summary of limitations of various temperature measurment methods in use. Note page 10-11 only 226 stations with over 150 year temperature record only 1656 with over 100 year record Note page 14 NOAA only uses 25% of stations claiming difficulty gathering real time data. Analysis of global average conditions does not require real time data, logged data retrieved anually would be prefectly satisfactory mathmatically note page 15 If you assume land base temperature sensors give reasonable representation of conditions within 100 km^2 then we have only 1/1600 of the number of sensors necessary for a meaningful measurement of surface conditions. Note page 16 anamolies computed from changing baseline dates -- ie apples to oranges Various countries and organizations use differing base lines for anomplies and these base lines change so it is impossible to make direct comparisons between data provided covering different times or organizations. Note page 17 averages vary from year to year - evidence of inadequate sensor density Note page 19 poor choice of scaling and presentation of temperature/CO2 data on NOAA website where they for one chart choose not to use anomlies and use a chart which encourages readers to infer a relationship between CO2 and temperature that does not exist. In this case the reference period is yet another date window of 1901-2000 with no rational basis why this interval is chosen over others such as the full duration of record since 1880 to current date. Note page 20 different types of averages and lack of examination of which mean is more appropriate arithmatic, geometric, thermodynamic etc. Note page 21 discussion of temperature and intensive and extensive properties Note page 22 Average temperature of a system as complex as the earth has no physical meaning Page 22 - 25 complexity of measureing means (method chosen changes the results) which is correct Is any of them correct / useful?? Are they really measuring what they say they are measuring? "Our conclusion here is very clear: to calculate the arithmetic mean for the entire planet makes no sense and can only lead to errors" ...

    After only 25 pages I believe this paper will be a very thorough tear down of the basic structure and foundation of global warming calculations and data — well worth the time to plow through.

    I will come up for air every couple hours but it will take time to dig through this huge paper, and even longer to analyze its implications for the “so called science” of global warming.

  63. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting paper, just finished a quick read (skimmed a few sections as it in most cases covers issues long understood in the skeptical community) Issues like the tendency of the IPCC to say one thing in the technical reports and then give a summary of the conclusions which does not fit the data presented. Issues like the huge black hole of exactly how and why certain adjustments are made and assertions devoid of solid data that indicate a crisis when the data is confused, unreliable, poorly presented and in many cases selectively presented to support the assertions. It will be a nice reference that puts many of these issues in one place for reference, but the magnitude of the problems with the models,the data and the science make it a bit of a slog.

    It is plain to any reasonable reading that the “science” of global warming violates dozens of axioms of good practice and makes statements of fact which are really unsupported assertions, or just plain wrong conclusions from the data available.

    The problem is that those who are thoroughly indoctrinated with the propaganda of AGW will blow off the issues presented as nit picking rather than fatal flaws in the analysis.

    It does serve as an independent presentation of points long made in the skeptic community, and demonstrates that there is no such thing as consensus.

    Given it is a work produced by a society of mathematicians should give it weight especially in the areas dealing with appropriate use of data and analysis. Only time will tell if it gets any traction.

  64. omanuel says:

    Thanks, Larry. Better science comes from Chinese fortune cookies than from the UN’s IPCC.

    In a Chinese fortune cookie recently, I received this message: Men are apt to settle a question rightly when it is discussed freely. Thus, the AGW debate will be settled quickly and rightly if ResearchGate continues to encourage open discussion of issues that are now verboten in the mainstream media .

    That is why the following question was posted on ResearchGate tonight: “Does the Sun’s pulsar core induce homo-chirality in the molecules of life and climate change in the planets that orbit it ?”

  65. p.g.sharrow says:

    @omanuel; ” . Better science comes from Chinese fortune cookies than from the UN’s IPCC.”
    It would appear that you have answered your own question. ;-)…pg

  66. p.g.sharrow says:

    Far too much of what passes for science nowadays is based on the “golden rule”, he that provides the gold sets the rules. If you want the Grant you must produce the wanted results.

    Several years ago I was watching a NatGeo documentary on the Sahara Desert. Wonderful presentation on the geography, history, animal life and human occupation of this area over the last few thousand years. In the last few sentences at the very end was the required Money Shot.” All of this could destroyed in a few decades of increased rain from Human Caused Global Climate Change”

    8-0 ….THIS IS BAD! …HOW!

    Such arrogance to think humans can cause Global Climate Change or commit a sin against GOD!. All Religious Dogma of RENT seekers. “Give US your Gold and your virgin children and we will Save you” “Only we know the one true way to Paradise. Don’t listen to those ignorant naysayer deniers!”
    Our proof comes from god, the pope, Al Gore or other authority figures.

    Guess I was born a skeptic. But I wasn’t born in Missouri ;-) Show me the proof! …pg

  67. omanuel says:

    p.g.sharrow The corruption of science is far beyond what any of us could have imagined a few years ago. I wish we could save the next generation from tyranny, but we’ve made little progress

  68. E.M.Smith says:

    Interesting some times to see that others got somewhere before you. Often by several years:

    From 2006. A pretty good write up of how to be anonymous while running a blog…

  69. p.g.sharrow says:

    @LG; Have you examined my offerings on this subject?
    several postings and pages to read, bottom line is that mass/inertia is a creature of matter effects on the fundamental stuff of space,Aether. and not internal to matter. Therefor intense, complex, 3- dimensional magnetic fields will effect mass/inertia and gravity…pg

  70. omanuel says:

    I encourage you and your readers to visit ResearchGate and read responses to “Does the Sun’s pulsar core induce homo-chirality in the molecules of life and climate change in the planets that orbit it?”

    A participant challenging the Sun’s pulsar core is a highly ranked scientist, Dr. Kenneth M. Towe, of the Smithsonian Institution. The Smithsonian Institution is “an establishment for the increase and diffusion of knowledge among men,” and membership of the current Board of Regents: “The Chief Justice, the Vice President, three members of the Senate, three members of the House of Representatives, and nine citizen members appointed by Joint Resolution of Congress.”

    That is exactly the group that needs to hear our message.

    With kind regards,
    Oliver K. Manuel

  71. E.M.Smith says:


    It is interesting, but I’d need to see a much better controlled experiment before I’m ready to overthrow the laws of physics as we know them.

    Two issues right off the bat: Liquid N2 boils off to make the thing cold and keep it there. As it is conical in shape, the liquid flows induced around it by the bubbles could easily cause small asymmetric forces. The other is that the string is swinging. IF there were a static force being made, the string ought to displace and hold. So given the swing, it would be very easy to move the camera slightly ‘off angle’ and turn an oscillation about the midpoint into an apparent oscillation to one side. I.e. camera angle is critical, and they keep moving around. It would require a very precise mechanical jig to assure no displacement was being induced; and I’d like to see it with the string held steady at might line, then a mechanical release. ( I.e. steady the string, then with a non-motion inducing mechanical release look THEN for a displacement…)

    So “interesting” but “with issues”, IMHO.

  72. LG says:

    From US patent 8,952,773 awarded to Nassikas for a device for the creation of propulsive force comprising a magnet:

    A device for the creation of propulsive force comprising a magnet, such as a permanent magnet or a superconductive solenoid, fixedly mounted at the narrow end of a converging nozzle made of a superconductor, such as a type II superconductor, e.g. like the rare earth Ba–Cu–O superconductors Sm–Ba–Cu–O or Y–Ba–Cu–O. The magnetic field generated by the interaction of the magnet with the superconducting nozzle due to Meissner effect, acts in the form of pressure on nozzle thereby producing a propulsive force directed toward the nozzle’s converging end. The propulsive force being developed may be used for propelling or actuating any machine or vehicle, as well as in the production of energy.,952,773.PN.&OS=PN/8,952,773&RS=PN/8,952,773

    Click to access 8952773.pdf

  73. p.g.sharrow says:

    @LG; I examined the patent. As one versed in the art it would appear to me that the device has not been built and tested and would not work in the manner called for. However the external shape and material called for has some promise.

    For a device that has been created and tested, this demonstrates some thrust from EMF effects also do to it’s shape. See;

    Back in the 1990s two Finnish researchers in ceramic super conductors reported gravity anomalies caused by EMF effects on their ceramic disk while under the the influence of pulsed and rotating fields. Their paper on it was published in the German version of Nature but not the English version. Later Russians claimed that they were the ones that did the experiment, not the Fins. Later the Fins denied the whole thing happened. ???? There are indications that magnetic fields do get traction in the Aether as well as in matter so propulsion is possible…pg

  74. E.M.Smith says:


    Hmmm….. Meissner effect is when magnetic fields get forced out of a superconductor at the moment of transition. So to have an ongoing effect, it would need to be due to more force on side than the other. Conical shape on both sides, but one facing toward the end while the other cones away from it… I could see that making a differential force on the superconductor… but why isn’t that compensated by differential forces of the opposite direction on the magnet?…

    Mumph…. murble… GaRUMPFH!

    It looks possible…. Still don’t like the “free energy” aspect of it… The skeptic in me still wants to see some better tests, or at least a decent theory.. Yes, I can look a gift horse in the mouth! ;-)

    Instead of a string, put two both facing clockwise on a bar with a pivot in the middle whole thing free to rotate and put it in the soup. It ought to continuously and slowly turn as it moves through the fluid… Even with fluid drag, it ought to move…

  75. LG says:

    NASA confirms that the ‘impossible’ EmDrive thruster really works, after new tests

    “NASA concluded the RF resonant cavity thruster design does produce thrust “not attributable to any classical electromagnetic phenomenon.” In other words, NASA confirmed Shawyer’s initial prognosis (much like the team of Chinese scientists), but couldn’t come up with a reasonable explanation as to why the thing works outside of, “it just does.” “

  76. LG says:

    Paul LaViolette discusses Nassikas’ claim on Caravan To Midnight:

  77. E.M.Smith says:

    An interesting quote:

    “Distrust and caution are the parents of security” – Benjamin Franklin

  78. Larry Ledwick says:

    In the how to shoot yourself in the foot on computer security front we have this item:

  79. E.M.Smith says:


    OMG! So the central code of the main battle field communications systems was worked on in Russia… that means it must be 100% re-done. The Russians will have the source code, will find and exploit weaknesses, and well be able to develop countermeasures. They will also be able to lever off of it to make a better one for themselves.

    The article makes it sound like easy virus insertion was the whole issue. It isn’t even the start of the issue. Having the source code bundle is THE major issue. That ought to be locked down in a ‘no wires no connections’ site and only worked on by folks with US passports, security clearances, and preferably a green uniform… (my boss for many years was a military coder earlier in life and they can, and do, get good ones like him…)

    The folks in those companies who made those decisions need to be behind bars, not just fined for 1/2 the contract ‘take’…

  80. Larry Ledwick says:

    This is an interesting item on our singular lack of effort to debunk and oppose Russian disinformation. Seems we are not even in the game any more but a cheer leader on the side lines.

  81. Larry Ledwick says:

    Re: source code issue above, does anyone wonder why it seems the bad guys always know what we are going to do before we do it. The idea of having a software mole in all our military code leaking info to the other side it absolutely terrifying for those who understand the threat. In our highly digital centric command and control which paints the locations of all the good guys and bad guys on the battle field, anyone who had the ability to spoof that code and relocate units could easily create situations where good guys ambush good guys in friendly fire incidents, have us chasing phantom units only to drive into ambushes of units we don’t know exist.

    Being inside the decision loop of our operations would give them a step in time to anticipate and react to movements even before the movement begins to execute.

    It makes it easy to see why we were constantly surprised by Russian “little green men” movements in Ukraine as they were able to position troops and supplies right under our noses without us seeing it.

    I agree some life sentences to Leavenworth should be in the wind, but will probably not happen.

  82. E.M.Smith says:


    Not a peep in the news here… We’ll see if Al Jazeera covers it tonight. They usually cover anti-Islam things. (Part of why I like watching them… they cover what the others don’t… Also, they sometimes get good war coverage film from the OTHER side ;-)

  83. Larry Ledwick says:

    Just saw another item that Sweden is now considering the location of those refugee camps classified following these attacks.

  84. Larry Ledwick says:

    Russian internal politics or just a routine death of a foreign citizen in Washington?

  85. Larry – the Swedish attacks on refugee centres have been covered in Europe, but AFAIK only on Euronews and the BBC did not mention them that I recall. I don’t watch many different news channels like EM, so there may have been other coverage. There has been some similar destruction in Germany too. I can see the locals’ point.

  86. omanuel says:

    AGW is an attempt to end economic inequality by limiting the size of the per capita CO2 exhaust around the globe. This noble cause will fail because it is based on a falsehood: THE SUN – NOT CO2 – CONTROLS EARTH’S CLIMATE.

    It may be a Herculean task to return society to contact with reality, but we must try. Yesterday, the Whitehouse finally admitted the biggest threat to the survival of civilization is NOT AGW, but a SOLAR EMP:

    The communications and electrical power grids of modern civilization are NOT NOWshielded from natural eruptions of our pulsar-centered Sun [See: “SOLAR ENERGY”] . . . because politicians wanted to end an inequality by convincing the public AGW causes climate change.

    The communications and electrical power grids of modern civilization must be shielded from eruptions of our pulsar-centered Sun.


    Dr. Kenneth M. Towe of the Smithsonian Institution may have carried that message back to the Whitehouse after a length, and brutally honest, discussion of the lack of convincing evidence for AGW on ResearchGate:

  87. LG says:

    In case one had missed it, David Evans has been developing an alternative “Pipes” climate model leading to new constraints on ECS (Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity ).

    Summary of the exposition to date :

    A Notable comment on the work :

    Yes it has always annoyed me that there is this apparently cyclic signal in world temperatures but no obvious external or internal cause, just a bunch of supposition. Like, maybe it is some oscillation in ocean overturning speed which is self-reinforcing, like an LRC circuit. But something else has to keep driving that, it can’t drive itself, so is that energy source the lunar tides, or is it the sun? I’ve no idea.

  88. p.g.sharrow says:

    Or is it geothermal? watch a lava lamp. There are lots of moving parts here. Many energy sources in play and not all manifest themselves as heat energy measured with a thermometer. Surface temperatures are also a measurement of energy density caused by atmospheric density. The more air in a cubic area, the higher temperature will be measured even though the molecular, energy, temperature has not been changed. The so called “cool sun” paradox of primordial warm earth is an additional proof of the early planets greater atmospheric content. As the sun ages it gets smaller and sheds energy faster. Blowing off an atmosphere that is also thinning due to a cooling core, less volcanic venting. The sun gets more intense and the planets surface gets cooler! Look at Mars! that is the earth’s fate as the sun ages.
    The only sure thing is Change…pg

  89. p.g.sharrow says:

    Blowing off a planets atmosphere that is also thinning.
    is more clear…pg

  90. Larry Ledwick says:

    Bill Ney has another stupid attack only this time it is in the form of a book.
    This interview is just plain scary, he really has no clue about the weakness in the science, he has bought in lock stock and barrel. Unfortunately people think he is a “scientist” (sigh)

  91. Larry Ledwick says:

    The full court press on climate change is starting up now.

  92. Larry Ledwick says:

    On the refugee front looks like Norway is going to be clamping down on refugee requirements and reducing benefits to refugees.

    Try the pre tags to see if the suppress trying to follow the link it is just here for documentation, and anyone who used facebook could go there by cut and paste if interesed.

    Face book page = 

    Since that may not be viewable to all:

    Stricter asylum regulations in Norway
    November 6 at 8:49am ·
    Not everyone who comes to Norway is entitled to protection under the Refugee Convention. People whose applications are denied must return to their country of habitual residence. If you do not leave voluntarily, you will be returned by force. The Norwegian authorities therefore wish to provide information about the current regulations and the planned tightening of Norway's asylum policy.
     Stricter asylum regulations in Norway
    November 6 at 8:48am ·
    Afghans not entitled to residence will be deported
    Anyone crossing the border into Norway must have a visa. If you want to work or study in Norway, you must apply for the relevant permit(s) before you travel to Norway. Applications can be submitted at the Norwegian embassy.
    Norway will return people who are not entitled to residence in Norway to their country of habitual residence. Applications that appear likely to be denied will be given priority and fast-tracked.
    People from safe areas of Afghanistan or who have been granted residence in another country will have their application rejected and will be deported.
    People from areas that are not considered safe may be returned to other parts of Afghanistan. Very many Afghans who have their application rejected will be referred for "internal flight" to Kabul.
    In 2014 and 2015 more than 500 people have been returned from Norway to Afghanistan.
  93. omanuel says:

    The Whitehouse Secret: We Lied:

    This past week the Whitehouse admitted: The greatest threat to the survival of modern civilization is a SOLAR EMP; NOT AGW. -for-emp-that-would-wipe-out-power-render-cellphones-and-internet-useless_11062015

    Today Dr. Kenneth M. Towe of the Smithsonian acknowledged sending the following factual information on Earth’ source of heat to the Whitehouse:

    That is why the Whitehouse admitted to the public: The greatest threat to modern civilization today is a SOLAR EMP, not AGW!

    With kind regards,
    Oliver K. Manuel
    8 November 2015

  94. Larry Ledwick says:

    Dear bureaucrat you are brain dead stupid, please quit thinking!
    You have a negative IQ and suck energy out of the universe when you think.

    @E.M.Smith — Related to your comments on teaching qualifications the other day.

  95. E.M.Smith says:


    One must wonder if “This behaviour is by design”… drive the best out so the average population thinking level declines…

    While that is an extreme example, I’ve seen many others like it. Me included. I’m “fully credentialed” and undoubtedly qualified to teach (as I’ve done it…) but need to do a bunch more hoop-jumping if I want to do what I’ve done many times before… so “no thanks”… let someone less competent and more desperate spend weeks to pass the test I could pass on the first go. I’m sure they will do a better job in The Education System /sarc;

  96. Larry Ledwick says:

    More on the high level of concern for information security in government. It would be really nice if these highly paid government officials would hire a few high school kids to secure their web sites instead of totally blowing off concepts like two factor authentication, compartmentalizing information and measures to limit hacker access like oh something as simple as only accepting inquiries from specific servers which are in controlled access environments.

    Wonder how long it took to brute force the login info a day or two?
    Do they have any lock out protection for multiple login attempt failures from the same source?
    Time outs for login attempt retries, like 5 failures wait 30 minutes before we will talk to you again, to make brute force attacks too time expensive to try.

    It would be fun to know how long the login and password strings were, probably 8 characters alpha only.

    Apparently there is a corollary to the peter principle that in order to be promoted to high government office you must be technologically illiterate (or just plain stupid).

  97. E.M.Smith says:


    And people wonder why I don’t want Government to have my medical records or even my tax return information…

    They are just not competent enough to keep anything secure, and their decision cycle is way too long to be engaged in the arena of cyber-threats.

    As of now, both China and Russia (and anyone with clue and attitude) can find out just about anything they want about our government, the people in it, and their entire computer and phone history. (Including location data. While I have GPS turned off in my tablet, the phone doesn’t let you do that. Folks get cranky at me for not having my phone on and with me 24 x 7 and have no clue even AFTER I try to explain why it is a Very Bad Idea…)

    Our Government has in large part built this system this way (via PRISM and via demands from Law Enforcement) and now they are falling on their own swords. Oh Well.

    I have a Google Device (the Chromebox) and made sure the one I bought can have Linux installed as a replacement. Partly I wanted “instant internet” at the time I bought it, but partly also I wanted to learn what was in the “Google Ecosystem” and what the box did well, and badly.

    After about 1 1/2 years of it, I find it modestly functional for things like web browsing, but a Royal PITA (pain in the…) for much of anything else. The latest is that you can’t even ‘cut / paste’ from a Google Doc into a web page without an “ap”. It HAD worked as a built in. Now that’s been turned off and you must install an “ap for that”. Does that Ap also assure cut / paste sends a copy over the internet to the Google Data Vacuum? Almost certainly.

    I spent about an hour when I first got it just “turning off crap” and getting some degree of control of the device. But at this point it’s largely useless for anything that has any privacy requirement. (Where “privacy” includes not sharing with Google and through them with Government).

    It now sits, turned off, about 90% of the time. I do boot it up to watch Youtube and Netflix as it does a very nice job on them. It is highly likely to be ‘reset’ to factory start conditions, have a Linux installed (the reset is mandatory to install Linux as you must swap to ‘developer mode’ and it flushes all info you have on the box as a ‘security feature’). At that point it will move to the living room as a media station and just run the TV. Should I want to use it for anything else, I’ll boot up the Linux part.

    IMHO, the Google motto of “Don’t do anything evil” really means “Don’t get caught doing anything evil.”

    I no longer use their web search facilities, and the device is headed for a reset / scrub / rebirth.

    Oh, and I’m not interested in buying an Android phone… I’ll hang onto my old stupid ‘flip phone’ to the bitter end, then likely build my own. (It isn’t as hard as you might think…There’s a Linux for that! ;-)

    or you can go kind of retro with a wooden case and minimal phone:

  98. Larry Ledwick says:

    Is this the start of the inquisition and political show trials on global warming?
    I used to joke about AGW being the next inquisition but it is looking more and more like that is where we are headed.

  99. Note that there is a possibility of adding a fingerprint to every CPU or other chip. This may make anonymous browsing somewhat harder.

  100. E.M.Smith says:


    Inventory build before the big Christmas rush is less of a worry than inventory left over after it. The time to worry will be if there is no change come January…

    FWIW, I found this one quite interesting too:

    So front of house ordering is easily automated, and these folks are automating back of house. So staff will be one person loading the machine, one person handing out bags, and the owner?

    Sure, make wages double… and staff will be cut to 1/4 …

  101. Larry Ledwick says:

    Yes so many possibilities difficult to figure out what various signals really mean (until after the fact then everyone will say it was obvious)

    By the way found this interesting item —-
    Does not take much imagination to figure out how some folks would use this.
    Maybe gold bullion products are not what they appear to be. Pass these bars through several hands and you know that somewhere along the line someone will “forget” to tell someone it has a tungsten core.
    Maybe this is how china is going to try and balance its books?

  102. LG says:

    Vizio Smart TVs Track Viewers’ Watching Habits To Work With Advertisers
    In an oxymoronic statement, Vizio said :

    “Non-personal identifiable information may be shared with select partners… to permit these companies to make, for example, better-informed decisions regarding content production, programming and advertising,”

  103. E.M.Smith says:


    Yes, that’s been around for a while. I figured out a way to detect it, I think. Without x-rays…

    Dad taught me how to detect a counterfeit coin ‘back in the day’ of silver money. Toss it on the counter. Real silver has a ring to it unlike any other. Gold too.

    So make a computerized ‘ear’ with a little hammer. Set the bar on felt rails on it. Think xylophone… Laser scan and compute volume, compare to weight, and the striker goes “Bop!” and you listen for the pure ring for that shape of gold (all computer stored). Now read out purity and carat weight…

    If anyone makes $millions off of this idea, I’d appreciate one ;-)


    Golly, and here I thought the only reason not to buy one was that it reminded me of hours of pain with a particular Micro$oft product making slides ;-)

    The Hacker Conferences have had great fun with “smart” TVs… Why I want my TV “smarts” to be in an outboard box I control… No permanent internet connection either. Only when I want it to talk to the internet…

    May end up building my own “TV” out of a R.PiM2, USB disk, very large monitor, and outboard broadcast tuner… (Likely going to ditch the satellite TV now that AT&T has bought them. My experience with AT&T has generally been that things work, but they are a PITA to deal with… somewhat worse now that they are really SBC Communications renamed after a merger.)

    “We’ll see”…

    Oh, and yes, I have an old NTSC TV plugged into a Satellite receiver box. Not exactly state of the art… I’ll NOT have any “smart TV” with a camera and that expects constant internet connection. Just not going to happen. Their security is worse than Microsoft, and that’s pretty bad…

    @Jon K.:

    Oil has been bearish, is bearish, and will stay bearish as long as Saudi continues to try to preserve market share by undercutting tar sands and shale operations globally. OPEC is determined to hang on to market share (and THEN raise prices) and will only learn that is no longer possible via revolution or bankruptcy.

  104. Larry Ledwick says:

    Yes that should work blind people can tell what denomination a coin is (penny or dime) by its characteristic ring if dropped on a hard surface.
    Here is the industrial solution using ultrasonics

    You could also use water displacement and weight to figure if you have a tungsten core gold bar.
    gold in air has a density of 19.30 g/cm^3
    Tungsten in air has a density of 19.25 g/cm3
    When immersed in water their effective densities are:
    Gold 17.31 gm/cm^3
    Tungsten 17.60 gm/cm^3

    There is just enough difference in density that if you have a scale which can detect an error of one part in 386 you should be able to detect a gold bar with a tungsten core as the total displaced volume of the brick would be just slightly too large at a rate of (1/386 * cc^3) of tungsten in the bar.

    If a 1000 cc bar of gold had a 500 cc core of tungsten it’s weight would be off by 500/386 or 1.295336 grams light for its displaced volume. Small but detectable with a scale which can measure to a precision of a fraction of a gram at the weight of the bar.

    caveat emptor

  105. Larry Ledwick says:

    Just stumbled on this video. Has an interesting view of the origin of PC

  106. Larry Ledwick says:

    You need to use google translate on this URL unless you are a fluent French reader:

  107. E.M.Smith says:

    I was wondering where the name DAESH came from for ISIL. This explains it:

    Seems that whenever Kerry is using it, he is insulting them. How “un Democrat” of him… a “micro-agression” ;-)

  108. LG says:

    UN report led by Dr. Rima Khalaf .

    From a Speech given Oct. 20th 2003:

    Yet Arab literary production also faces certain challenges, of which the most
    important are a low readership and the declining purchasing power of today’s Arab
    readers. This is clearly reflected in the number of books produced in the Arab world.
    Although we Arabs represent five per cent of the world’s people we account for just5
    one per cent of the books it produces. Moreover, the relatively few books we do
    produce do not move freely through Arab markets, due to the restrictions imposed by
    twenty-two Arab censors. As a result, our people are frequently denied access to fresh
    ideas and creative work.

    Click to access launchspeech-03e.pdf

    The Report.

    Click to access ahdr2002e.pdf

    On page 78 of the report:

    The figures for translated books are also
    discouraging. The Arab world translates
    about 330 books annually, one fifth of the
    number that Greece translates. The cumula-
    tive total of translated books since the Caliph
    Maa’moun’s time (the ninth century) is about
    100,000, almost the average that Spain trans-
    lates in one year (Galal, S., 1999).

  109. J Martin says:

    If Daesh is derogatory for isis or isil, then Kerry is right and the MSM should switch to using it.

  110. LG says:

    The 2002 NYT article summarizing the UN Arab Human Development

    Study Warns of Stagnation in Arab Societies
    Published: July 2, 2002

    Ablunt new report by Arab intellectuals commissioned by the United Nations warns that Arab societies are being crippled by a lack of political freedom, the repression of women and an isolation from the world of ideas that stifles creativity.

    ¶ The survey, the Arab Human Development Report 2002, will be released today in Cairo.

    ¶ The report notes that while oil income has transformed the landscapes of some Arab countries, the region remains “richer than it is developed.” Per capita income growth has shrunk in the last 20 years to a level just above that of sub-Saharan Africa. Productivity is declining. Research and development are weak or nonexistent. Science and technology are dormant.

    ¶ Intellectuals flee a stultifying — if not repressive — political and social environment, it says.

    ¶ Arab women, the report found, are almost universally denied advancement. Half of them still cannot read or write. The maternal mortality rate is double that of Latin America and four times that of East Asia. .

    ¶ “Sadly, the Arab world is largely depriving itself of the creativity and productivity of half its citizens,” the report concluded.

    ¶ An advisory team of well-known Arabs in international public life was assembled to oversee the study. They included Thoraya Obaid, a Saudi who is executive director of the United Nations Population Fund; Mervat Tallawy, an Egyptian diplomat who heads the Economic and Social Council for West Asia; and Clovis Maksoud, who directs the Center for the Global South at American University in Washington and was formerly the Arab League’s representative at the United Nations.

    ¶ A team of nearly 30 authorities in various fields, including sociologists, economists and experts on Arab culture presented papers. A core group drawn from these authors and representing a wide variety of Middle Eastern and Arab majority African nations then completed the report.

    ¶ Nader Fergany, a labor economist and director of the Almishkat Center for Research in Egypt, was chosen as the lead author. The report was published in Arabic, English and French, with an editorial team in each language. Women were represented at all stages of the formulation and writing of the report.

    ¶ Planning for the report “started over a year ago, when we thought that there was a serious development problem in the Arab countries,” Rima Khalaf Hunaidi, director of the United Nations Development Program’s Arab regional bureau and the driving force behind the survey, said in an interview in her New York office. “There were some very scary signals that were specific to Arab countries and not other regions.”

    ¶ Then came the attacks on the United States, giving the report unexpected new relevance as explanations for Arab anger against the West are being sought.

    ¶ The report, the first United Nations human development report devoted to a single region, was prepared by Arab intellectuals from a variety of disciplines, who do not fault others for what they see as the “deficits” in contemporary Arab culture, Ms. Khalaf Hunaidi said.

    ¶ Ms. Khalaf Hunaidi, 49, a former deputy prime minister of Jordan who led its economic policy team, said that she had asked the authors, “to come and look at this problem and decide: Why is Arab culture, why are Arab countries lagging behind?”

    ¶ “It’s not outsiders looking at Arab countries,” she said. “It’s Arabs deciding for themselves.”

    ¶ There are 280 million people in the 22 Arab countries covered by the report, which was co-sponsored by the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development, a development finance institution set up by members of the Arab League. The number of Arabs is expected to grow to between 410 million and 459 million by 2020.

    ¶ For the Palestinians in particular, the report says, human development is all but impossible under Israeli occupation. Moreover, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict “has been a cause and a pretext for delaying democratic change,” contended Ms. Khalaf Hunaidi, who was born in Kuwait to Palestinian parents. She studied at the American University of Beirut and Portland State University in Oregon, where she received a doctorate in systems science.

    ¶ The report does not directly criticize Islamic militancy and its effects on intellectual and economic growth, although Ms. Khalaf Hunaidi said this was implicit in passages that refer to a less tolerant social environment.

    ¶ Despite growing populations, the standard of living in Arab countries on the whole has advanced considerably. Life expectancy is longer than the world average of 67 years, the report noted. The level of abject poverty is the world’s lowest. Education spending is higher than elsewhere in the developing world.

    ¶ But the use of the Internet is low. Filmmaking appears to be declining. The authors also describe a “severe shortage” of new writing and a dearth of translations of works from outside. “The whole Arab world translates about 330 books annually, one-fifth the number that Greece translates,” the report said. In the 1,000 years since the reign of the Caliph Mamoun, it concludes, the Arabs have translated as many books as Spain translates in just one year.

    ¶ Laila Abou-Saif, an Egyptian writer and theater director whose theater in Cairo was closed in 1979 after she produced a play that satirized polygamy, said in an interview that the Islamic factor must be acknowledged in explaining the condition of the Arab world, which was a center of arts and sciences.

    ¶ Ms. Abou-Saif, a Coptic Christian who now lives in the United States, said that creativity among Arabs now often hewed to religious themes.

    ¶ Books are not being translated, in part because of Islamic pressures, said Ms. Abou-Saif, the author of “Middle East Journal: A Woman’s Journey Into the Heart of the Arab World” (Scribner, 1990). “A whole gamut of religious literature are best sellers,” she said.

    ¶ Fouad Ajami, director of Middle East Studies at Johns Hopkins University and the author, most recently, of “The Dream Palace of the Arabs: A Generation’s Odyssey” (Vintage Books, 1999) said in an interview that there is a pervasive sense that life in the Arab world is repressed by both the state and religious vigilantes.

    ¶ “Arabs today feel monitored,” he said, attributing a decrease in intellectual freedom to the growing power of a lower middle class whose members are literate but not broadly educated.

    ¶ This group shows “its lack of hospitality to anyone of free spirit, anyone who is a dissident, anyone who is different,” he said.

    ¶ Mr. Ajami said that for many Arab intellectuals the only option has been exile. “There is a deep, deep nostalgia today in the Arab world,” he said. “Societies looking ahead and feeling a positive movement never succumb to nostalgia.”

    ¶ Above all, there is no movement in politics, he said. Rulers, even elected, stay in power for life and create dynasties. “People just don’t know how to overthrow, how to reform, how to change them.”

  111. E.M.Smith says:


    This is a very old and very well trod road. The Romans used it with the Jews which is why there are so many Jews with ancestry that passes through Spain. Rome scattered them around. It not only makes the scattered group quiet for a while, it disrupts the main group from having a common bond, so they can’t stand up to you with unity. There is always a large faction you can pit against the others.

    Britain did the same thing all over the Empire. Iraq was designed to have Sunni / Shia / Kurd animosity at the core of it, so it would never be united against the Crown.

    Just now it is being applied by the One Worlders via the UN against “the west” and using Muslims as the “cranky minority” to keep things in chaos and keep people willing to accept a “Benign Police State” instead of freedom (as seen playing out right now in France, and on the stump in Trump speeches…)

    That The Clintons get to pocket $100 Million in the process, well, just wages for a good days work for The Super Rich and Powerful…

  112. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well this is going to get interesting, seems that Anonymous is crowd sourcing their digital war on ISIS, having published some guides for folks who want to participate.

    Not so sure Noobs are the sort of people you want involved in this sort of thing, lots of folks might end up as collateral damage jumping into this deep pool without fully understanding what they are doing. Not to mention that by publishing the guides they will be giving away the key search terms being used to locate accounts so that ISIS can clean their sites of those key words or plan counter actions.

    It may turn into an interesting live test of what a cyber war would look like, and I expect a lot of governments will sit on the side lines monitoring and gathering data for future analysis.

  113. p.g.sharrow says:

    Back in the mid 1980s I tried to impress on a geek friend that he and his friends could always be ahead of the curve in the government vers hacker security thing. The good hackers are guys that are interested in the workings of the software. The bad guys are looking for hacks that give them advantage for quick gains. Government people are only worried about patching problems after the bad guys exploit them. So government security is always the last. Today we are hearing the government agencies demanding the inclusion of back doors for their own use and they are too stupid to realize that this makes all of their front office stuff vulnerable and thereby all the information they gather open to determined outsiders. Security must be built into both the hardware and software, but the hardest part is fixing the operator habits. The World Wide Web is a wonderful thing BUT it is the Wild – Wild West in here…pg

  114. E.M.Smith says:


    Every war has more privates than generals. And every battle plan is great up until it has first contact with the enemy.

    Do not suffer distress. There will be updates.

    The game is afoot, ‘time to be among them’….


    That is my No. 1 Oh You F-ing Idiot complaint.

    IFF you build a back door into anything, you are one network sniffer away from having The Bad Guys see you access it, and activate it. Then it is THEIR back door too.

    Our (USA) government and NSA are so brain dead as to not realize that. They are so full of hubris as to think nobody is as smart as they are or as competent. The reality is that just about every race, color, ethnicity, and culture on the planet has someone as smart or smarter. It’s a God Damned Bell curve. The percentage may change, but not the existence.

    So that makes it a numbers game. Once you are over about 100 Million population, you can find someone out there in the 6 sigma range… and at that point it is ‘game over’ for hidden back doors.

    Bet you would never guess that this is important to me ;-)

    The bottom line is that you can have security built in from the ground up, or you can be hacked.

    Period. Full stop. No exceptions.

    You either put 100% of everything you have into making the whole system secure and unbreakable (and then you have a good chance of having it be secure) or you have an insecure system with global hackers running amok in it.

    Today we have an insecure system with global hackers running amok in it. Therefore…. ???

    (It isn’t that big a leap. I’m sure you, dear readers, can make it…)

  115. Larry Ledwick says:

    No distress here, just slight amusement as I get out the popcorn. The free range hacker community is not limited by “rules of engagement” and might be considerably more effective than the official folks. Too many newbies could also clutter things up and just thrash the system for little or no net gain. Likewise they could end up taking down sites that the government really would rather leave up as an exploitable gateway to their entire social network system.

    It could be really good, amusing but not very effective or destructive of carefully cultivated pathways. No way for outsiders to know. As I mentioned above, it will be a really interesting test case of hacker vs hacker (mind’s eye flash back to Mad magazine and Spy vs Spy). Depending on who gets motivated to play and the amazing power of crowd sourcing properly utilized there could be some very interesting results. I have visions of small teams of top talent hackers munching pizza and chucking Red Bull as they pound out code on new tools to exploit cracks in the armor of terror group IT systems.

    I really would not want to be the target of the top hacking talent in the free world (or the Russian not so free world) if they were pissed off at me and had a green light to go all in.

    On the subject of encryption and security ran across this article this morning, luckily I could still find it in my history because I forgot to book mark it.
    He makes the important point that back doors are not one way passageways as you say it is an all or nothing vulnerability.

  116. E.M.Smith says:


    It can also be “The old white guy” with Earl Grey and munching a hot turkey sandwich…

    Did I mention that I’m rather fond of a particular Ceylon Earl Grey and Hot Turkey Sandwiches?….

    Just Saying….

    Have I ever mentioned the 1/8 or so French Ancestry? No? That’s one of the odd things about Being American…. The “odd bits”. I’m probably about 90% folks from about a 50 mile radius from The Pas De Calais, one side or the other. Yes, Celts and Dutch and Danish Vikings and Britannic’s… God Knows. And, when there’s nobody’s got a good war on, we’ve fought with each other for a few hundred years…. BUT…

    Lord Help The Man who gets between me an my cousin, who I’m busy whomping…. and doesn’t bother to ask “Is this a private fight, or can anyone join in?”….


    Mix in various orders, you get Russia
    Or France
    Or Britain
    Or The USA
    or a few others…

    Now that particular mix just happens to land right on top of The Best cryptographic hacker folks in the world .. don’t even give it a thought…

    Please, just look at the nice pretty pictures of waterfalls and clouds…. Ignore “folks like me”… don’t worry about a thing…

    (For those not adept at ‘reading between the lines’: I am a “hacker sort”. I am 100% going to be spending time working with Anonymous and Russia and France and Britain and all my Brothers, Cousins, and Sisters on this. Let there be no doubt. Je suis parisien, et je suis Belge, et je suis Russe, et je suis Anonyme… )

  117. E.M.Smith says:

    @Jon K:


    We’ve not got just about every possible combination of ally and enemy from all sides to all sides… or so it seems.

    Russia is an ally of France and nominally of the USA against ISIS

    The USA is supporting the Al Nusra Front against Syria, who are an ally of Russia.

    The USA is against the Syrian Government, and Al Qaeda, who are the parent organization of Al Nusra who are also called Al Qaeda in Syria…

    France, a NATO member, is part of a ‘coalition’ with Russia… who just had a jet shot down by Turkey, a NATO member…

    While we support the PKK and Kurds, Turkey is bombing them.

    While we support the Al Nusra Front, they machine gunned the Russian pilots as they parachuted from their burning plane (an act against the Geneva Convention, BTW, but they are not signatories… which also means Russia need not accord them Geneva Convention niceties either…)

    The list just goes on and on…

    It’s a “Mexican Standoff” where everyone is standing in a circle with two guns pointed at two others in the circle and all of them in different “coalitions” in various combinations. Except they are not in a ‘standoff’, they are all firing… Circular Firing Squad comes to mind.

    This whole thing is more complicated and more screwed up than Europe prior to W.W.I starting.

    But don’t worry, raising Taxes in Paris and giving it to the UN for a slush fund will fix it, keep the peace, and “defeat climate change”, our most grave threat to peace … /sarcByTheBucket;

    Oh, and I forgot to mention that many of the parties involved have nukes… but I’m sure that’s nothing to worry about… /sarc;

  118. Larry Ledwick says:

    Side note Russia engaged in a war with Turkey in 1787–1792, and 1877–1878, not to mention WWI where Russia and Turkey (Ottoman empire) were on opposite sides, so there is plenty of historic conflict there to keep things stirred up.

  119. E.M.Smith says:


    I’ve finished part one, starting part two… Fascinating POV in it. The biosci / genetics is familiar and accurate. The projection of it into humans, and then into social types in an interesting thesis, and has a ‘ring of truth’ to it. It will take a bit more think time for me to fully adopt it… but it looks accurate so far.

  120. E.M.Smith says:

    Part Two is painting a perfect picture of why Obama acts as he does. They are not referencing him in particular, but the type. It’s very predictive…

    @ about 40 minutes, it explains the embrace of “hate speech laws” and censorship by the Progressive Left… Again, it isn’t mentioned per se, but what is discussed explains it.

  121. Larry Ledwick says:

    EM not sure which item you are referring to??

  122. E.M.Smith says:


    Sorry, my bad. I was responding to a comment on another thread by Jason Calley that was more of a ‘tip’ kind of comment and ended up here instead, and with wrong attribution:

    His link is the first of 5 videos in a series. The second comment is talking about the second in the series (picked off the nice list YouTube gave me at the right side of the video… auto-play just autoplays the series…)



  123. Larry Ledwick says:

    Ahhh that makes sense and yes those videos lead to a real “light bulb” moment on how social divisions work and where the forces come from that drive those social splits. It also explains why you cannot “reason” with the other view point, they really are “different”. A more important deeper meaning also comes through when you think about it for a bit, both epigenetic traits are critical to long term survival of the species. The K’s prepare and plan for the hard times and preserve the skills and knowledge necessary to weather the hard times and the r’s provide a reservoir of the gene pool that will survive a major die off when things go south (and under those pressures will begin to express the K behaviors themselves). It is vital that a small reservoir of both types exist at all times for long term survival. Each type has a time and place where they are the superior strategy. As much as I hate the thought, we need rabbits and it would not be good if the entire population were K types. You need rabbits to buy all the iPods etc. Not politically correct but it all makes sense, as you mentioned will need some think time to internalize all this.

  124. Paul, Somerset says:

    Raspberry Pi’s latest computer so cheap it comes free with magazine
    Made in Wales and selling for just £4, the Pi Zero comes with any purchase of the £5.99 MagPi magazine

  125. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting video discussion about cultural incentives and such and how it drives what is possible in politics.

  126. Larry Ledwick says:

    Too bad this is not taught in our schools or is common knowledge for the US population.
    The truth about slavery another Stefan Molyneux video

  127. p.g.sharrow says:

    You might find this of interest, about the latest Ecat by an engineer that works for Rossi.
    This is the blog, be sure to read other posts.
    The .com site has a main aim to generate sales of the book by the same name.

  128. Larry Ledwick says:

    And the contrary evidence begins to emerge just in time for Paris climate summit.

  129. Jason Calley says:

    Not at all climate related, but a very nice cartoon by Nina Paley about the death of the first born Egyptians.

  130. Larry Ledwick says:

    File this under Russian space warfare capability development:

    At this rate in just a few years Russia and China will have the technology to completely blind our space based systems in time of conflict, and potentially take down our cyber systems at the same time.
    That would be a bad thing.

  131. Larry Ledwick says:

    File under new materials
    Q-carbon harder than diamonds. It appears to be a carbon analog to amorphous metals where one of the key fabrication requirements are very high temperature change rates to produce unusual physical characteristics.

  132. Larry Ledwick says:

    The city of Denver just had a major stupid attack, and has bought into the whole reduce CO2 global warming thing whole hog.

    By my calculations this is simply impossible. At only a 2% growth rate our energy consumption will increase 2x by 2050 from present levels. I suspect that is very conservative. Just to break even and hold at current energy consumption levels they will need to cut individual energy consumption levels by 50% over that 35 year time span.

    Seriously where does this delusion end?
    Short of 100% nuclear power energy system this is a pie in the sky goal.

  133. Jon K says:

    Climate protesters tearing down a memorial for the Paris terrorist victims to throw at police, in a word… Disgusting

  134. Another Ian says:


    Check the economics item in your email just now.

  135. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian: OK.

  136. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    OK, I’ve read it (but not all the comments attached).

    IMHO it’s “about right”. There is a major commodity collapse in process now. It will get worse. As the “baby boomer” generation goes into retirement, there’s an excess of housing stock generated ( I.E. the two houses my spouse and her twin inherit will be just about what our collective kids need to live in, so why build more?…) Manufacture is headed to China massively, so “good luck” trying to build anything other than exotic stuff outside China (i.e. Australian autos).

    This isn’t just Australia, either. Same thing whacking Brazil and most of South America, along with chunks of Africa. The EU is stagnant on the verge of a deflationary collapse. The USA is “about even” and “not dead yet”; but NOT improving in real terms “on the ground” (only in government cooked statistics).

    Unfortunately, there is no “safe haven” in that kind of global stagflation / deflationary collapse. Currencies turn to dust, financial “assets” collapse, and “real stuff” suffers from deflation. As gold is “just a commodity”, it has price problems too.

    The ony really good news is that the whole thing is likely to be so slow to unfold that many of us will not live long enough to see the end game problems ;-)

    IMHO, we’re headed toward a high probability of W.W.III (if we are not already in it as a ‘slow war’ and ‘clash of cultures’…) and that will not be pretty. I’m actively, if slowly, looking for a nice “hidey hole” to which to retire far enough from anything resembling “civilization” and cities so as to be able to ignore it all for a couple of decades… (on the thesis that will be long enough for me…)

    Eliminate debt. Own outright enough to live on. Go where there is minimal government and maximal freedom. (and thus minimal tax suckage…)

    Don’t know if I’ll make it, but that’s the only thing I think is likely to work well. The demographics are against the Western Nations and we have Idiots On Parade running the place, so the things that might have a chance of working are non-starters. “Duck and cover” is the best plan in that context. Unfortunately.

    I’ve actually been pondering a posting on the commodity collapse and what it means to the world and about China… Maybe this is my round “tuit”…

  137. Another Ian says:


    Thanks – I’ll feed back to my source.

    When looking for hidey holes remember the bloke who decided to move to the Solomon Islands just in time for WW2.

    And I saw a Falklands Island ranching setup advertised here – just in time for that war.

  138. E.M.Smith says:

    I’m more looking at rural Texas or Florida than exotic islands. Something like 2 acres and a mule :-)

    Warm, low or no fuel needed (and growing wood is ok…) with rain fed garden. Small uninteresting house with a fish pond near. Miles of folks with guns between me and the nearest big city…

    Like I said, though, don’t know that I’ll get there. Spouse likes cities, no matter what I point out… or what is in the news…

  139. Larry Ledwick says:

    Would that collapse posting be in addition to the followup part II you mentioned for:
    China, SDRs, World Debt, Unwinds Part 1

  140. Larry Ledwick says:

    Old news for most of us, but an article from CATO institute regarding failure of models to predict long term weather.

  141. Another Ian says:


    Have a look at

    As Bill says just shut the campground and booby trap the road. Heavy in the isolation stakes, not so good for some of your other conditions.

    Not that far from Woomera rocket range so overthrows might be a problem if things were to serious.

  142. Another Ian says:


    Re above post.

    What I totally ignored was internet access. That is in the forgotten area of Australia where you’d better bring your two tomato cans and a long string.

    Other options at great expense.

  143. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    Since neither is done, and the two are POV shifts on the same thing, it could go either way.

    Writing a posting is sort of a “Topic drives the creation” thing for me. I’m sort of just along for the ride as it writes itself… the vehicle not the driver. So I have an idea where to go, but how it gets there is a self evolving process… so one vs two is an “it depends” kind of thing….

  144. Larry Ledwick says:

    Another item on the difficulties that Europe is facing trying to absorb the flood of immigrants and also satisfy their needs for younger workers who can perform jobs the economy needs. Points out the differences in how Europe handles refugees and how America does, where America tries to get them working as soon as possible, while Europe is fixated on standards and certifications which results in new immigrants being prohibited from working (and sitting on welfare) for up to 2 years after they arrive.

  145. Larry Ledwick says:

    Climate agreement draft includes:
    The draft agreement sets a goal for developed countries to dole out at least $100 billion per year by 2020. That loud sucking sound you hear is the developed economies going down the drain.

  146. p.g.sharrow says:

    @EMSmith; @EMSmith; nearly time for the The Church of the Sacred Carbon Yule week festivities to begin. ;-)… pg

  147. Power Grab says:


    I doubt that you are into gaming, but I just stumbled on this video and found it verrrrry interesting:

    I was looking up the word “shovelware” and a link to a sister video was on the first screenful. Then I clicked on this one.

  148. Larry Ledwick says:

    Back door? I don’t see a back door, do you see a back door?

  149. Another Ian says:


    Climate science’s inadvertent growth industry?

    “Climate Change Christmas Cracker Jokes”

  150. p.g.sharrow says:

    you might find this article:
    about grid security, of interest…pg

  151. E.M.Smith says:


    Yes, interesting, but frankly the whole “issue” of things that ought to be secure being subject to ‘internet attacks’ is just an admission of stupid. There are “leased lines” available for ANY private communications needed, be it power grid or electric dams, and there are exactly Zero “needs” for such things to be connected to The Internet. It’s just a matter of being “stupid cheap” to use the internet for such control / data uses instead of leased lines.

    IMHO, it smells of being “stupid for a reason” and an attempt to “prove” the need to “regulate the internet” to “protect us” by being deliberately stupid with things that actually ought to be protected, but by NOT being connected to the internet…

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