Tips – July 2016

Since WordPress has decided that comments on Pages, like the Tips pages, don’t show up in recent comments, it kind of breaks the value of it for me. In response, I’m shifting from a set of “pages” to a set of “postings”. As any given Tips Posting disappears or gets full, I’ll add a new one. That will restore the broken function.

I will be keeping the same general format, with the T page still pointing to both the archive of Tips Pages as well as the series of new Postings. With that, back to the Tips boiler plate:

This is an “overflow” posting from prior Tips pages as they had gotten so large it was taking a long time to load. Same idea, just a new set of space to put pointers to things of interest. The most immediately preceding Tips posting is: https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2016/05/22/tips-may-2016/.

The generic “T” parent page remains up top, where older copies of the various “Tips” pages can be found archived. I have also added a Tips category (see list at right) and will be marking Tips postings with that for easy location.

While I’m mostly interested in things having to do with:

Making money, usually via trading
Weather and climate
Quakes, Volcanoes, and other Earth Sciences
Current economic and political events
(often as those last three have impact on the first one…)
And just about any ‘way cool’ interesting science or technology

If something else is interesting you put a “tip” here.

You can also look at the list of “Categories” on the right hand side and get an idea of any other broad area of interest.

This ought not to be seen as a “limit” on what is “interesting”, more as a “focus list” with other things that are interesting being fair game as well.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
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148 Responses to Tips – July 2016

  1. Richard Bellew says:

    Hi Chiefio — This is a request for advice, rather than a Tip. I hope you don’t mind. I live in Southern France where the ADSL connection is of the “two tin cans and a piece of wet string” class. So I’ve recently installed a satellite internet connection via an ISP in Germany. According to Speedtest.net it’s about five to six times as fast as my wet string, but at the price of an extended latency. I expected this, but not (I must admit) as much as it is (Ping of 750+ mS). I remembered your post a while back about a local DNS. So I looked up and read your three posts tagged as ‘DNS’. Based on my reading of these it seems that an R Pi with Pi Hole might be a big win for me. Based on the little I’ve told you above would you agree? Or have I misunderstood what you wrote? Best regards, Richard

  2. E.M.Smith says:

    @Richard Bellew:

    Absolutely! No Doubt About It!!

    Loading a web page with ads in it takes a pause at each DNS lookup. That can be a dozen of them. Each one with a couple of 3/4 second lags. Do the math… Then add in the load / pause / load / pause etc of all those adds. More math…

    The local caching DNS takes out those lags after the first lookup, and the pihole takes them out before the first lookup (and takes out their data load lags). My Pi DNS with just a local nearly empty Apache server on it (It says “It Worked!” to any inquiry… ) speeds things up nicely and I’m on a fast link with DNS very nearby.

    Oh, and the reason for your latency being the distance to satellites in geosync orbit… so it can’t be “fixed”… you must prevent the traffic and bunch things up in larger chunks; so a local DNS then just a big chunk page download without the gaggle of adverts from other servers…

  3. Richard Bellew says:

    Thanks Chiefio! What’s more a one-hour turnaround on my post. Thanks a million! Richard

  4. E.M.Smith says:

    There has been a major shooting in Dallas. 11 cops shot, 4 now dead, still looking for the snipers (plural). no suspects in custody yet. News covering it now, so hit the tv or netvideo.

  5. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item on the earth’s composition/structure.
    I don’t find it particularly surprising that these “blobs” exist as they or something similar probably explains long duration hot spots in the crust like yellowstone.

    It is how ever interesting that they are finally getting to a point that with tomography the can at least image them.

    http://www.foxnews.com/science/2016/07/07/massive-lava-lamp-blobs-deep-inside-earth-have-scientists-puzzled.html

  6. Larry Ledwick says:

    The one thing that concerns me most about Trump is his connections and apparent ease with various Russian connected personalities. Two links for consideration.
    Michael Flynn is rumored to be one of the folks advising Trump and possibly a VP candidate.

    http://www.politico.eu/article/the-kremlin-candidate-donald-trump-us-presidential-election-2016-america-president-vladimir-putin-russia/

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-trump-advisor-idUSMTZSAPEC2Q6G3JRH

    These connections are worth paying attention to.
    It would be even more interesting to follow the money trail for PAC’s and if they are getting money for Trump from Russia friendly front groups.

    If true we might have an electoral choice between a thinly disguised sociopath and marxist (HRC) and a business man who is either being played by or is owned by Russian interests. That would be a bad outcome no matter who wins.

  7. Larry Ledwick says:

    I am not a big fan of VOX either but sometimes you have to look under rocks to figure out who is doing what to whom:
    http://www.vox.com/2016/7/9/12129202/michael-flynn-vice-president-donald-trump
    As always have to keep in mind which view point each source tends to try to sell.

  8. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    I think it is a choice of “owned by Saudi” for Empress Hillary or funded by Russia for others…

  9. p.g.sharrow says:

    History demonstrates that the Clintons have sold out to the Oligarchs and the Communists on more then one occasion. Putin is a head oligarch maybe even The Head Oligarch. So why would he want Trump to win the presidency. Trump would be a dangerous rival on the world stage and have REAL POWER. Hillary would be more of the same old, same old. She would not make waves that might swamp Putins small gun boat.
    The big money G.E.B.s of the world are backing Hillary, they fear Trump. Expect to hear every expert and authority to vilify Trump at every turn. Brexit was the opening salvo in their attempt push their agenda over the top. They lost that argument. Maybe the people are tired of hearing that song!…pg

  10. Larry Ledwick says:

    A little dig here item (pun intended)
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2016/jul/10/philistines-more-sophisticated-than-given-credit-for-say-archaeologists

    Might be interesting to see what they uncover after they have some time to sort through the find and DNA evidence.

  11. E.M.Smith says:

    One idea is that the Philistines were Greeks. Not exactly unsophisticated.

  12. p.g.sharrow says:

    @EMSmith; More likely the Greeks were Philistines. ;-)
    The remnants of the Sea People Empire of traders that included the Minoan.
    Maybe kind of backward when compared to the Egyptian of that era…pg

  13. Larry Ledwick says:
  14. Larry Ledwick says:

    The verbiage in the ad is weird but those sort of mass casualty training events happen all the time.
    They are an essential part of training first responders to deal with the multiple stresses of large numbers of victims and the distractions of a real large scale emergency.

    First responders in most cases only get experience dealing with small numbers of victims at one time. When faced with a large event it can lead to information overload where the EMT, Fire or LEO gets saturated with input and has difficulty directing actions toward the most important problem. We would stage emergency exercises where we intentionally tried to over load the responders with too many problems at one time to “inoculate” them to that experience.

    They would often work with college drama student classes and such to create large numbers of loud graphic patients, and concerned relatives, irate spectators, and obnoxious media types all at the same time, so that the responder understands what will be going on in a real incident.

    That craig’s list ad was obviously posted by someone with an ax to grind regarding government (ie choice of wording), but the sort of event mentioned is very common (actually not common enough in some jurisdictions) and has been a key part of emergency services training for at least 30-40 years.
    I have pictures I took in the early 1980’s of such an event staged in Colorado Springs we had Huey medivac helicopters buses for casualties the whole nine yards. It was a simulation of a plane crash.
    I also have pictures of a similar event taken around the early 2000’s where the Denver Fire dept took over the demolition site for a local sports stadium while it was being torn down for a couple days to simulate a major disaster like 9/11. They had victim rescue and transport exercises out of the rubble areas of the partially demolished stadium. The Fire Rescue folks practiced emergency shoring of collapse and that sort of thing.

    Priceless training that can be accomplished no other way.

  15. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    While it does make perfect conspiracy fodder, it is most likely just one of those training exercise things. They do happen often. We have them for quake preparation from time to time in California. Folks get to be dressed up in bandages and practice their wailing and hollering. Hospitals get to be faced with the prospect of 2000 casualties ‘incoming’ and only 2 ER doctors and a dozen beds. Police get to face the prospect of “you are on your own with a field of rubble, 2 dozen assholes looking to riot, and 500 bodies, some will die if you don’t render aid and you don’t know which ones…” etc. etc.

    Then they season with things like “your radio doesn’t work 1/2 the time” and “main roads are blocked” and “FEMA said stand down and The Mayor said Do It Now!” and more…

    I’d search for a disaster drill about 10 days ago. The ad was 21 days old, and it takes about a week to get the actors signed up and staged.
    http://www.redcross.org/news/press-release/tx/dallas-fort-worth/Red-Cross-DFW-to-Participate-in-Statewide-Disaster-Drill
    Shows they did one in 2014

    Red Cross DFW to Participate in Statewide Disaster Drill

    Posted Jun 05,2014

    DALLAS, TEXAS, June 6, 2014 – Hurricanes, wildfires, thunderstorms and tornadoes are all common occurrences across the state of Texas.

    http://www.nbcdfw.com/news/local/Dallas-County-Prepares-for-Disasters-297541441.html

    has a local one last year:

    Dallas County leaders ran a drill using their new emergency operations center, preparing for the worst tornado imaginable. (Published Wednesday, March 25, 2015)

    Denton is just on the north side of the DFW Dallas Metroplex:

    http://dfw.cbslocal.com/2016/05/01/denton-co-transportation-authority-holds-mock-disaster-drill/

    Denton Co. Transportation Authority Holds Mock Disaster Drill
    May 1, 2016 3:13 PM

    DENTON (CBSDFW) – The Denton County Transportation Authority conducted a full-scale, mock disaster drill Sunday.

    According to Denton County officials, the exercise simulated a DCTA A-train incident with corresponding responses by city, medical, police, fire and DCTA contractors, resources and personnel.

    DCTA is required to conduct a full-scale mock disaster drill once every two years to meet Federal Railroad Administration regulations since the agency operates a commuter rail line.

    And, note, that seems to be a requirement if you have a commuter rail station… so expect to see these often and regularly…

    Hope that helps toss a wet blanket on the conspiracy worries…

  16. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    Thanks for that. Might need more awareness in days of things like

    http://pickeringpost.com/story/waking-up-to-labor-s-dirty-tricks-/6212

    and the UK prime ministership being swung by an incorrect newspaper report

  17. cdquarles says:

    @Larry, in a former life, I was one of those involved in disaster planning and response. You’re correct. What we could not do, economically, is plan for mass casualty outliers. In the small area I was living in at the time, the whole county population was about 13,000. We had more folk passing through than actually lived there, so we did our drills around the railroad (staged a train derailment in town), schools (we had the occasional shooting but no mass shootings … too many folk packing given the state is open carry and you can guess how well the Gun-Free school zone thing went over), the nearby interstate highway, the hospital itself, the nursing home, school bus accident or a bad chain reaction accident involving a bridge or flood. Tornado drills and fire drills were run regularly at the schools, the hospital and the nursing home.

  18. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    Why my only phone is a cell phone and it is turned off about 18 hous a day…

    Oh, and I use a White List on calls… IF you are in my contact list and your name displays, I often answer. IFF only a number shows, you go to voicemail. Leave a message and if convincing, I might call back… maybe… possibly… someday…

  19. Larry Ledwick says:

    http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-persian-gulfs-huge-new-export-debt-1467936328

    You can get to the whole article if you use google to search for the title and follow that link.
    The Persian Gulf’s Huge New Export: Debt

  20. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    A fundamental problem in the world is the disconnect between the production of goods in any one year (most of which are consumed as made) and the need for goods in other years. People put money in debt on the promise of some future year redemption in goods, but without the necessary reality of that future production or labor existing.

    The Middle East now consumes more than they make and more than the value of their annual oil. This is due to excess population growth and cannot be reversed short of massive death or migration. (In theory economic development could fix it, but the governments and populations have not demonstrated that skill, though Qatar is promising. )

    The end result, as oil money declines, will not be pretty. For lender or borrower.

    Much like Japan, the EU, and increasingly the USA, as all of us are borrowing to fund consumption, not production of future goods. The end result of that debt is Greece, Puerto Rico, Venezuela, Brazil (a couple of times), Europe in the 1700 to 1800s (royal debt), etc etc.

    China, for now, has funded this consumption with their cheap labor. Eventually that will end…

  21. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    With your readings of Korans etc how does this fit?

    Given that an Islamic martyr gets 72 virgins on his demise

    And given the status of women therein

    The question was

    What does an Islamic female martyr get.

    First suggested answer was a bigger, blacker burqua

    Latest thought

    A bigger, blacker burqua, a much more sophisticated wife beating regime and has to produce 72 children

  22. Steve C says:

    ^^ Ian – … to each of her 72 husbands …

  23. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    The koran doesn’t say 72 virgins. It gives no number and mostly just says you get a paradise with food, booze, and companion slaves.

    http://www.straightdope.com/columns/read/2329/does-the-koran-really-promise-islamic-martyrs-72-virgins

    It is the hadith that pump it up to virgins and 72 of them (still important to islamic beliefs, the hadith are rulings on the koran. Like papal bulls.)

    The hadith say a woman gets one stud as her husband with whom she will be happy…

  24. Larry Ledwick says:

    And our current administration steps in it again (or still) this is absolutely insane, meddling in foreign election campaigns with public money?????

    http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/jul/12/obama-admin-sent-taxpayer-money-oust-netanyahu/

    http://freebeacon.com/issues/state-department-purged-emails-secret-anti-netanyahu-campaign/

  25. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    Anyone competent to fit ~3,000 atomic rest mass data points to least-squares plots on ~300 Bohr-Wheeler mass parabola, can help end seven decades of public deception disguised as “consensus science.”

    Neutron repulsion will be explained at 10:00 am on September 8, 2016 at the London GeoEthics Conference. A time is scheduled for questions or discussion immediately after the presentation.

    https://geoethicdotcom.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/london-prel-program-3b1.pdf

    Details are given here so anyone familiar with least-squares plots of Bohr Wheeler mass parabolas can confirm or deny neutron repulsion for themselves by comparing values of M/A at Z/A = 0 for A = 1 and A>3. Values of M/A for A>3 are always greater than the value of M/A = M(neutron) at A = 1:

    http://junkscience.com/2016/07/milloy-puts-lie-to-epa-air-quality-science-again/#comment-8317976315264062541

  26. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    Or one could do a spot check by selecting and plotting the atomic mass data at any odd mass number (to avoid even-even vs odd-odd effects), e.g., A = 15, 17, 19., 21, 23, 27, 29, 31, 33, 35, 37, etc.

    At mass 27, you would only need to plot atomic rest mass data from Brookhaven for
    F-27, Ne-27, Na-27, Mg-27, Al-27, Si-27, P-27, S-27, Cl-27,

    Even one such simple check would allow anyone to confirm or deny neutron repulsion.

  27. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    Humility is the first requirement.

    Monkeys with over-inflated egos (a mental illness) may believe their models of reality superior to reality expressed by precise rest mass data of the 3,000 types of atoms that compromise all matter.

  28. E.M.Smith says:

    @OManuel:

    Interesting point… Would be any easy example to code in R. You might consider coding up that example as an illustration both of using R and a simple proof based on rest mass.

    @Larry:

    Clever monkey :-)

  29. Larry Ledwick says:

    No attempts to choose sides on this but this book sounds like a fascinating read, and the hypothesis is interesting to say the least.

    http://cnsnews.com/commentary/david-klinghoffer/undeniable-darwinian-explanations-are-not-just-unlikely-physically

    The thought comes to mind what if both points of view are correct, ie there is a basic preordained design of life upon which the fine tuning of evolution is painted for fine adaption to imposed stresses?

  30. Larry Ledwick says:

    Federal ruling against use of Stingray device to track phone users without a warrant.
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-crime-stingray-idUSKCN0ZS2VI

  31. p.g.sharrow says:

    @Larry, that thumb sucker is just a researcher justifying a grant. Autoimmune response is genetic good and bad. I’ve been dealing with it all of my 70 years, Sucked my thumb, lived on farms and ate a lot of dirt and other crap. You could just as well blame it on my mothers smoking cigarettes a few times as a collage student 4 years before I was born…;-)…pg

  32. E.M.Smith says:

    Allergies are 100% a product of possessing the gene to produce Imunoglobulin E or IgE.

    IgE is protective against things that otherwise “fly under the radar” of the immune system. That is, parasites…

    It is one of the three strategies that the human race is ‘testing out’ against the malaria parasite.

    1) Sickle cell. In Africans, mostly.

    2) Favism – elevated levels of oxidatative stress inside the cell. ANY added stress, such as from Fava beans OR the malaria parasite, the cell dies…

    3) IgE – things that normally do not trigger an immune response, IF exposed continuously for long enough, get a response. As the parasite can’t ‘rotate the shields’ it gets hit. Seasonal food consumption doesn’t get hit. Modern “constant consumption of the same foods” ends up with a plethora of food allergies… plus pollens plus…

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/04/24/of-sweetbreads-with-fava-beans/

    IF you don’t have a gene for IgE, you will not get significant allergy problems like those of us who have it. OTOH, I’m highly likely to survive Malaria and not have it persist in me for decades…

  33. Gail Combs says:

    E.M. Thanks for the info on the IgE gene. I was tested decades ago and the allergists could not believe I was not an asthmatic since I had the highest levels they had ever seen. I was told NEVER to donate blood as I would kill the person recieving it. Nice to know your blood is poison —

    I have found I have a tendency to cycle through food preferences with a heavy emphasis on meats. Meat and rice never bother me but many veggies and fruits do.

  34. Gail Combs says:

    Now that is interesting my coment on allergies disappeared….

  35. Gail Combs says:

    AAARGHhhhh, Now it shows. I think think the computer god hates me.

  36. Gail Combs says:

    Care of waltherppk who does a lot of graphics (or finds them)

  37. p.g.sharrow says:

    A once thought extinct volcano outside of Rome is showing signs of life:
    https://pgtruspace.wordpress.com/2016/07/15/volcano-in-rome-has-signs-of-life/
    The magma chamber is filling and a eruption is LONG over due…pg

  38. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    Yes, they “won”, and now their major customers can’t buy any increased volume of their stuff…

    To keep the impossible 6% to 12% Y/Y growth going when everyone else can see it is at an end, the Chinese Government is doing what all governments do: Print money.

    This either ends in an inflationary rampage (Venezuela) or a liquidity trap (USA, EU, UK, Japan) depending on how much and how fast.

    China is no joining the Global Liquidity Trap at a minimum, devaluing their currency via high inflation at worst.

    @Sera:

    I’d be more impressed if they gave the W-hr instead of the W. That they claim megawatts in a teacup tells me it is for VERY short periods of time (otherwise it would be called a ‘bomb’…) I can get megawatts out of a thin bit of wire, as a very short GHz radar or THz laser pulse…but it won’t warm your tea…

    As it is, it might be something, or it might be not much, and it certainly is hyped. (I don’t think them dumb enough to not know that the W-hr is what matters… so “stupid or hype” ends up on hype…)

    Assuming it IS a bit of something: Then you get the major problem that it is out of control. A process that runs for a couple of minutes and then melts your device to slag is not very useful. “Needs Work” comes to mind…

    But I’m hopeful they can make something of it in a year or two. They just need to find a way to control it and get a stable W/hr out with a measured W-hr gain… and publish a COP over about 5.

  39. Pingback: An Interesting POV on “solidarity” | Musings from the Chiefio

  40. E.M.Smith says:

    Note another mass Police shooting in Baton Rouge… 3 cops dead, 3 wounded at this time. One perp dead, 2 being sought.

    There’s a story somewhere hiding behind this “war on cops” and I think it relates to the attempt to disarm private citizens. Divide and conquer comes to mind… Gets Police on edge about the citizens, gets citizens lined up for disarming, drives folks away from wanting to be Police.

    Compare in the ’50s when the Police in emergencies would grab some locals and deputize them on a BYOG basis… Everyone understood that the Public stood with the Police…

    Someone has decided to drive some “wedge issues” between parts of society and I’m wondering who all is driving that bus… blacks vs cops vs militia vs Joe and Jane Public vs…

  41. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    E.M. Smith,

    Racial or ethnic violence is of greater concern to political leaders now than climate change. The minister of one of the largest churches in Cape Girardeau, MO has disrupted his usual schedule of sermons to discuss race relations next weekend. If politicians are stupid enough to encourage violence to try to stay in power, they will not be able to control it anyway.

    It would be in the best interest of everyone if critics and skeptics of lock-step “consensus science” worked together to restore society to sanity (contact with reality) without further deceit or violence.

  42. Larry Ledwick says:

    Lots of little hints that BLM is a tool being used by Soros affiliated folks (Marxist provocation operation in most likelihood) manipulating the anger of the blacks via and the Muslim Brotherhood.

    It looks very much to me like several agendas with similar goals (destabilize the U.S.) have merged into BLM and probably the New Black Panther Party to engineer a 1968 re-run of a long hot summer this fall.

    Obviously the major media is not touching this discussion at all, but a little searching on the web shows lots of reporting on possible connections and affiliations that remind me of the days in the 1960s when SDS and all the other radical student groups and black groups were being played by the Communists to agitate and prepare the ground for the withdrawl of American troops from Vietnam and destabilize the big cities. Smells a lot like the same game plan with a few minor name changes.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/09/03/cair-joins-black-lives-matter-movement/
    https://www.jihadwatch.org/2016/07/hamas-linked-cairs-nihad-awad-to-muslims-black-lives-matter-is-our-campaign
    http://truthuncensored.net/cair-joins-with-black-lives-matter-and-calls-for-islamic-revolution-in-the-usa-video/
    http://www.infowars.com/cozy-blm-leader-lives-in-home-owned-by-soros-open-society-board-member/

  43. Larry Ledwick says:

    Although not directly related to the above, shows just how complex the war in the middle east is. Now the Muslim cleric Moqtada al-Sadr is calling on his followers to renew attacks on US soldiers in Iraq to fight ISIS. (this would be in effect Iran attacking US troops).

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-usa-idUSKCN0ZX0XL

    About time to tell Iraq to stuff it. If Iraq cannot control him, Just pull the plug on the entire country, block all immigration from Iraq, deport all visitors on Iraq visas, declare all their diplomats PNG (Persona Non Grata) etc.

  44. E.M.Smith says:

    Catching up on some things… way back up above, Larry had some issues about Trump and Russia:
    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2016/07/06/tips-july-2016/#comment-69848

    I’ve read through those articles. My overall take on them is just that “the enemy of my biggest enemy ought to be an occasional ally” is at work.

    Right now, I’d rank “threats to the Western World” in order as:

    1) Expansionist Islam
    2) Expansionist China w/ Economic Hegemony
    3) Resurgent Russia, maybe…

    In that context, teaming up with Russia against the 1st two would make a lot of sense, and saying good things about Putin, who by any measure has done an amazing job of surviving and increasing Russia’s presence in the world despite a horrid starting point, isn’t all that bad.

    Frankly, I’d be happy to work with Russia and Russian on any number of issues. Take the International Space Station for example….

    Yes, you must always watch out for their 4th and 5th levels of the Chess Game, at which they are very good, and always motivated for their own win; but frankly, Russians are mostly European Western in character. With unfortunate holdovers of sporadic Socialism and a thousand year history of strong despotic leaders…

    But the simple fact is that they were our allies in W.W.II, and both the UK and USA did just fine sharing that operation with Russians. I’d happily, for example, work in the I.T. department of a Russian University or Company. I’d not do so in a Chinese one… and I’d not set foot in a Sharia country at any time. (No beer? No thanks!)

    Season with the fact that Trump knows that to do business with various countries one must “kiss the ring” regardless of the despot wearing it, and his “I can do business with him” is absolutely normal. Pepsi is in Russia, after all… Just sayin’…

    So, as a fantasy role play: Were Expansionist Islam to take over Turkey, start a move toward Greece and up toward Georgia and the Caucasus … I’d have zero problem doing joint ops with Russia, even having them land at our bases and / or share aircraft carriers (if their gear is compatible) along with sharing sig-int and radar info. Conduct joint fleet ops off Syria too (and likely even give them a guarantee they can keep their bases there if they take over the place…)

    Ever play Diplomacy? Risk? It’s like that…

  45. tom0mason says:

    Just out of interest I thought I’d park this here if you don’t mind …
    The Sun suddenly looks interesting again --

    Good for seeing aurora in the Southern hemisphere.

    A solar wind stream is expected to hit Earth on July 19th, and this could spark G1-class geomagnetic storms around the poles. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, especially in the southern hemisphere where dark winter skies favor visibility of faint lights.

    Also there is sunspots –

    Solar activity has been low for months. This could change in the days ahead. Two big sunspot groups are directly facing Earth, and one of them has an unstable magnetic field that poses a threat for M-class solar flares.

    Better hope that the unstable spot does not cough anything this way or we’ll kiss goodbye to so much, including this interweb thingy…

    From http://www.spaceweather.com/

  46. Larry Ledwick says:

    @E.M.Smith 18 July 2016 at 12:05 am
    Yes it is complex, I have similar feelings only slightly different weighting. In outright military strength, china is obviously the major threat. The only country in the world with enough manpower to give them pause in a ground combat situation is India. But their technical means is still just a bit behind us in some areas although rapidly closing. I put their window to parity closing about 2030 then they will be a real contender for super power. Their ballistic missiles (new generation) will be on line by then and they will have fleshed out their naval capabilities and have time to mature their operational methods and procedures for the now new technology coming on line.

    Russia on the other hand, has some of the most effective intelligence (both electronic and human) in the world and are simply the class of the field in covert disruption and agitation measures. They do lots of damage under other groups/nations flags by skillfully manipulating events and actors. They will reach effective re-armament sooner than China (around 2020) and they have less of a learning curve to full world wide sub presence although they have lost a lot of hardware, they are rapidly building out a modern nuclear sub fleet and have the benefit of historical experience base from the Soviet era. Their missile technology is at least our equal and in some respects superior (ie heavy lift) and they are in the process of neutralizing both our stealth capabilities, and our antimissile capabilities. Their new Sarmat heavy lift ICBM will drastically change the game. It has enough range >10,000 km and lift capacity to attack long way around from any compass point, largely neutralizing our missile radar systems which would be the key backup if our satellite systems were blinded or taken out.

    I agree Trump is smart enough to give the emperor his due when in court, so much of his Russian rhetoric can be dismissed as that, but there are enough Russian fingers in his pies that I can’t in good conscious completely dismiss the possibility that he is at least influenced.

    (by comparison HRC is bought paid for and owned by Russia, probably China and certainly by militant Islam as all of them have deep hooks in her corrupt organization. Podesta is deeply connected to the Russians for example).

    During WWII and into the cold war era, our government and intelligence community was riddled with Soviet actors (Senator McCarthy was actually right in almost all cases). I suspect right now Russia has even more influence/connections that did the old Soviet Union, both because of the fact Putin is exKGB and values those activities highly and the current and even previous administrations have been clueless about Russian influence and strongly inclined to give them the benefit of the doubt and see them as a new partner. They are a partner only in so far as such actions benefit their long term goals. Since Obama is a closet Marxist he is a fellow traveler to Russian view points and Soros is probably either a Russian agent or a deeply connected opportunist and he also has deep and long term connections with Obama and many of his high ranking people and organizations like Black Lives Matter etc. who are clearly dancing to a Russian tune.

    There are indications that Putin was deeply wounded by the collapse of the Soviet Union and sees as his life’s mission avenging that collapse, and he blames above all the U.S. for that. He also wants to restore the great Russian Empire and I see those as his two long term goals and objectives. Right now he has more intelligence people in play in western countries than the Soviet Union did during the height of the cold war. His people have gotten so blatant about it they don’t even hide that they are doing route reconnaissance and such, they just openly drive out and take pictures of bridges and other infrastructure, and examine details of bridge structure and such in plain view of NATO countries.
    They are acting like the know something we should, and that worries me.

    That said counter intelligence has been nicknamed “a wilderness of mirrors” for a reason, and it is nearly impossible for even the smart players to know who is doing what and why, so like all of us I am just guessing and reading between the lines based on what I know and suspect seasoned with what a reasonably smart bad guy would do in a given situation and see how actual events map to those story lines.

  47. E.M.Smith says:

    What I suspect influences Trump the most vs. Russia:

    http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/donald-trump-planning-skyscraper-in-moscow/489403.html

    Donald Trump Planning Skyscraper in Moscow

    The Moscow Times
    Nov. 12 2013 00:00
    Last edited 18:49

    U.S. tycoon Donald Trump, while in Moscow for the finale of his Miss Universe pageant Saturday, announced that he was planning to build a skyscraper in the Russian capital.

    “I have plans to start business in Russia,” Trump said, Itar-Tass reported, “I am currently in talks with several Russian companies to build a skyscraper on the model of Trump Tower in New York.” The businessman did not name his partners or the size of the investment.

    Trump Tower, located on 5th Avenue, is 58 stories high and contains offices, apartments and a hotel.

    Araz Agalarov, the billionaire owner of Crocus City Hall, the Miss Universe venue, said his company had “started talking about joint work in the field of real estate a few days ago” with Trump.

    I don’t know how much one of those costs. A $Billion? A few $Hundred Million? But the profit and revenue stream for 50 years design life is gigantic…

    Piss off Putin, kiss off that.

    IMHO he’s just playing smart and inoffensive as he knows the likes of Putin.

    Yeah, Russia has folks all over. So do we. So does the UK and China (THE largest immigrant group to the USA now is Chinese…) so does the EU… And so does the 1 Billion+ people of the Muslim Ummah what with Saudi building spy bases mosques globally and shipping in staff for them…

    IMHO, things are worse now that during the Cold War era. At least then we actually knew what the threats were and who was making them. Now not so much…

    Per ranking China higher: We’re just talking now (for me) vs then (for you). In 20 years it will be much different from now and highly likely China will be #1. But, IMHO, too much is going to happen between now and then to say for sure… as you pointed out ‘things are changing’…

  48. Gail Combs says:

    On the cop killings, I posted a lot of links at Tony Heller’s starting HERE

    And yes the cop killings are ‘Astroturf’ with Soros, Obummer and DOJ in the background. Obummer and Lynch had a three hour meeting with the black lives matter leaders. Soros provides the funding.

  49. omanuel says:

    Thanks, another Ian, for a great summary of Islam.

  50. Gail Combs says:

    If you have not seen it, this is a great vid with a lot of history and new archeology.

    Why We Are Afraid, A 1400 Year Secret, by Dr Bill Warner.
    Dr Warner has a Phd in Physics and has studied many different religions. He looks at islam from the point of view of original material and not hearsay.

  51. omanuel says:

    Dr. Warner’s video is blocked.

  52. Gail Combs says:

    I am not surprized, Oliver.
    Try searching for the title Why We Are Afraid, A 1400 Year Secret,

    Joe Dan (Intellectual Froglegs) has another video by Dr Warner at his website:
    https://intellectualfroglegs.com/rational-study-radical-islam-dr-bill-warner/

    Or you can try the series of videos by Joe Dan uploaded at VIMEO

    and back up one video (or go forward) That site keeps crashing my computer and Hubby is on his so I can’t check the direction. That video is the introduction by Joe Dan.

  53. Gail Combs says:

    Or you can try the series of videos by Joe Dan uploaded at VIMEO: h t t p s ://vimeo(DOT)com/172516289

    Seems Word UNIMPRESSED does not like that site.(So what is new)

  54. Larry Ledwick says:

    Looks like ARM just got bought by a Japanese firm, so much for competition to the Asian dominance of computer hardware and technology.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jul/18/sell-off-british-businesses-must-stop

  55. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    Yeah, per ARM, I’m part way into writing a posting about it, with alternatives. The buyer is doing a “rollup” in the IoT (Idiot Things ;-) space and trying to make a dominant position. Unclear on the concept of how FOSS flows like the river…

  56. Pingback: Gluten or FODMAP? | Musings from the Chiefio

  57. Larry Ledwick says:

    Combination of neat technology and Genetic modified organisms
    http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2016/07/19/us-army-eyes-dragon-silk-for-bullet-proof-vests.html

  58. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    Some things just keep coming back…

    Historically, the east Asians wore silk shirts under their outer coats as a way to stop arrows… It worked very well, too. There was some TV show did a test of it that was interesting and effective… Perhaps those Mythbuster guys…

  59. Larry Ledwick says:

    Cool video (too bad it plays much too fast for a human to appreciate the progression of the images)
    Would be nice to watch it at about 1/4 speed. If you go to settings (gear shaped thing to the right of the CC icon) on the lower right you can slow it down to 1/4 speed.

  60. Gail Combs says:

    Given how very very important the next election is, here are some videos of interest.

    Trump Bio video:

    Very long, (over one hour) acceptance speech outlining Trump’s various positions on a long list of important topics.

  61. Gail Combs says:

    Since you can ‘judge a man by his children here is:

    Ivanka Trump’s speech introducing her father

    Eric Trump’s speech (Glad he got a new hair style…)

  62. Gail Combs says:

    And the first up, I did reverse order, Donald Trump Jr

    Melania Trump’s controversial speech

  63. Gail Combs says:

    My two favorite speeches

    Sheriff David Clarke

    Rudy Giuliani

  64. Shooting in Munich, Germany in progress at the moment. This does affect me – I have family there. At the moment no information as to motives, but it seems that the victims are random so terrorism looks the most likely reason. Maybe one shooter, maybe 3. Maybe 3 dead, maybe 6, and quite a few injured. Having shown that guns aren’t needed for a terrorist attack, it is likely that people will prefer them if they are available.

    Meantime, in Nice it seems the attack took maybe 3 months and 6 people to plan.

  65. Larry Ledwick says:

    Current tally seems to be between 8 and 9 confirmed dead, still manhunt in progress for possibly 3 active shooters. Seems a great lack of solid info on this one.
    http://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-europe-36870986

  66. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well it looks like wikileaks (widely believed to be a front for Russian intelligence) just released some 23,000 classified emails from HRC.

    http://usapoliticsnow.com/?p=3661

  67. How does that scan? Do the Russians want Bernie or Trump? If so, why wait to dump until after then GOP convention? On dump-day Friday?

    Sitting at a sports bar drinking my Guinness and N.Y. Strip, one tv is tuned to CNN…where the topic is predominantly asking whom Hillary will pick for VP, with lesser coverage of the German terrorist attack.

    What will it take to wake this country the f… up?

  68. Gail Combs says:

    Larry, I do not think they know yet. Sundance has some alternate sources up though.
    https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/07/22/gunmen-open-fire-in-munich-germany-several-deaths-video-of-one-gunman-surfaces/

    I did find out the name of the businessman whose speech I liked last night. It was Tom Barrack (another Lebanonize grin)
    Intro (about Trump building starts) about 3 hours 15 minutes speech a couple minutes later.

  69. Gail Combs says:

    In other news WIKILEAKS has released a bombshell

    Searchable
    https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/

    DNC worked for Clinton, plotted against Sanders
    http://observer.com/2016/07/wikileaks-proves-primary-was-rigged-dnc-undermined-democracy/

    Sundance and others are having a field day. This is explosive as Climategate.

  70. Regis Llanfar says:

    Looks like my comment got binned by the language filter.

    I am quite angry at CNN for focusing tonight not on the Terror attack in Germany…not on the Friday data-dump from Wikileaks…but on whom Hillary would choose as her running mate (and the decision came in as I was paying my bill).

  71. Gail Combs says:

    Wikileaks Release Shows DNC Colluding With CBS News, Wording Poll Data Against Bernie Sanders

    This is interesting since Sundance mentions Agenda Polling. The idea is to use the polls to gaslight the public and not actually determine public opinion. This is very dangerous since such an agenda poll can be used to show candidate A is neck and neck with candidate B when the facts are candidate B is 10 points behind. This allows B to steal elections without tipping their hand. It is the reason Obama sicced the IRS and other feds on the owner of TRUE the Vote. Can’t have the public discover they have been had.

    “He who casts a vote decides nothing. He who counts the vote decides everything.” —-Joseph Stalin

    (Time for a long discussion on vote counting in the USA.)

    Washington Post and DNC Hold Joint Fundraiser for Hillary Clinton – Lawyers said “illegal”, Did it Anyway

    Seems only about 6% of the population has confidence in the MSM. This will torpeado much of the ‘somewhat confident group’ (Gallop poll)

  72. Gail Combs says:

    This comment by Reality Wins has DNC coordinating with FOX news:

    FOX News telling the DNC that their viewers can be persuaded to vote for Hillary!

    “One last Fox item… Erik Wemple reports (wwwDOTwashingtonpost.com/blogs/erik-wemple/wp/2016/05/17/fox-news-makes-appeal-to-host-last-democratic-presidential-primary-debate/?mc_cid=515c532a5f&mc_eid=%5BUNIQID%5D) that Fox News sent letters (www(dot)washingtonpost.com/blogs/erik-wemple/wp/2016/05/17/fox-news-makes-appeal-to-host-last-democratic-presidential-primary-debate/?mc_cid=515c532a5f&mc_eid=%5BUNIQID%5D) to the Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders’ campaigns today, “requesting their participation in a debate to take place in California before the state’s June 7 primary.” It’s not going to happen, because the Clinton campaign has no political reason to agree to it… And besides, as Fox’s letter notes, “Democrats have not debated on Fox News for the last 12 years…”

    But note the language of the network’s pitch to Dems. I think we’ll hear this again between now and November. “You and Secretary Clinton will reach a vast number of viewers – MANY OF WHOM ARE CERTAINLY OPEN TO PERSUASION – just as we pivot to the general election…” (Caps mine)
    https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/9714

    This really remind me of the Climategate e-mails with tons of people combing through them for the juicy tidbits.

    Already people are tweeting those tifbits and forwarding them to the Bernie Campaign and to Bernie headquarters. Seems the DNC convention is going to get REAL INTERESTING! (Snicker)

  73. Gail Combs says:

    OFF THE RECORD, You didn’t get this from me. They didn’t send it to us before planting the story. We’re operating in good faith…. DNC to Wall Street Journal

    Any illusion that the MSM is not colluding with the DNC just got killed dead. And I used to hold the WSJ in high esteem.

  74. Gail Combs says:

    Ted Cruz and #NeverTrump were colluding with the Democrats.
    First Ted flew from DC to Dallas with Obummer on Air force one.

    Christina Freundlich had been communications director for the Iowa Democratic Party and vote fraudster
    http://granitegrok.com/blog/2015/03/christina-freundlich-self-centered-selfie-snapper

    So that is the DNC link.
    An email linking her to Eric Bennett
    h t t p s://wikileaks(dot)org/dnc-emails/emailid/5350

    And even better Bennett, Eric $42,123 — Democratic National Cmte, Expenditures 2016
    https://www.opensecrets.org/parties/expend.php?cmte=DNC&cycle=2016&txtname=&page=3
    (Freundlich, Christina – $36,997)

    Now the incriminating e-mail

    https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/9203

    Sent from my iPhone Begin forwarded message: From: “ken.c@tedcruz…
    Date: April 25, 2016 at 8:22:11 PM EDT
    To: Eric Bennett
    > Subject: FW: SERIOUS Death threats

    Politico is reporting that one delegate was warned to ‘hide his family and pray he makes it to Cleveland.’ Eric, Ted sent you an email this morning about the danger GOP delegates are facing from Trump supporters, and now I’m emailing you because it’s way worse than we thought. Politico is reporting that one delegate was warned to ‘hide his family and pray he makes it to Cleveland.’ There are hundreds of other delegates receiving similar threats… I wish I could go into more detail, but to do so would further endanger these delegates — and frankly there’s not time. Rest assured — law enforcement is being notified, but that is not enough…so, will you please read Ted’s original email below, and make an IMMEDIATE contribution to the Delegate Defense Fund…

    Also, we’ve rushed to set up a Delegate Defense HOTLINE to receive tips and gather vital information to help keep delegates safe. If you have any information — please call…..

    As always, your thoughts, prayers, and financial support are deeply appreciated!
    Thank you, Ken Cuccinelli
    Cruz for President

    I very much doubt there were ever any threats made. As we ‘Den1ers’ know that is a very very easy accusation to make and impossible to disprove. All the violence has been on the side of the liberal rioters and the one instance of a Trump supporter hitting a guy was after he started the fight.

  75. Gail Combs says:

    Ted Cruz and #NeverTrump were colluding with the Democrats.
    First Ted flew to Dallas with Obummer on Air Force One.

    Christina Freundlich had been Iowa communications director, So that is the DNC link.
    http://granitegrok.com/blog/2015/03/christina-freundlich-self-centered-selfie-snapper

    An email linking her to Eric Bennett
    wikileaks(dot)org/dnc-emails/emailid/5350

    And even better link
    Bennett, Eric $42,123 — Democratic National Cmte, Expenditures 2016
    www(DOT)opensecrets.org/parties/expend.php?cmte=DNC&cycle=2016&txtname=&page=3
    (Freundlich, Christina – $36,997)

    Now the incriminating e-mail

    https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/9203

    Sent from my iPhone Begin forwarded message: From: “ken.c@tedcruz…
    Date: April 25, 2016 at 8:22:11 PM EDT
    To: Eric Bennett
    > Subject: FW: SERIOUS Death threats

    Politico is reporting that one delegate was warned to ‘hide his family and pray he makes it to Cleveland.’ Eric, Ted sent you an email this morning about the danger GOP delegates are facing from Trump supporters, and now I’m emailing you because it’s way worse than we thought. Politico is reporting that one delegate was warned to ‘hide his family and pray he makes it to Cleveland.’ There are hundreds of other delegates receiving similar threats… I wish I could go into more detail, but to do so would further endanger these delegates — and frankly there’s not time. Rest assured — law enforcement is being notified, but that is not enough…so, will you please read Ted’s original email below, and make an IMMEDIATE contribution to the Delegate Defense Fund…

    Also, we’ve rushed to set up a Delegate Defense HOTLINE to receive tips and gather vital information to help keep delegates safe. If you have any information — please call…..

    As always, your thoughts, prayers, and financial support are deeply appreciated!
    Thank you, Ken Cuccinelli
    Cruz for President

    I very much doubt there were ever any threats made. As we ‘Den1ers’ know that is a very very easy accusation to make and impossible to disprove. All the violence has been on the side of the liberal rioters and the one instance of a Trump supporter hitting a guy was after he started the fight.

  76. Gail Combs says:

    ARRRGHhhh,
    Sorry for the double post. It took ten minutes to show.

  77. For the Munich attack, it looks like no IS/Da’esh involvement. He was just enamoured of Anders Breivik and wanted to do his own mass-killing. It was the anniversary of the rampage at Utoya.

    Rather than being a political act, it was just insanity, but the people killed are just as dead. He committed suicide, so we probably won’t know all the reasons.

  78. Jeff says:

    Here in Germany they’re now saying that both parents are Iranian, as opposed to just one, and the perp (according to a young Moslem woman who was in the restaurant at the time) yelled allahu akbar as he stormed out of the bathroom. The information is just dribbling out slowly on this, and the media are bound and determined to make it a “right wing conspiracy” sort of thing. Seems more like a suicide by police to me. Have to wonder where he got that much firepower – had to have been planned for a while.

    Another bit of info is that he’d just failed his Abitur (A-levels? permit to study at university), and was distraught about that. Too bad the kids at McD won’t even have a chance to study anything…

  79. Jeff says:

    Sorry about the formatting – somehow it always splits lines different than my browser.

  80. Larry Ledwick says:

    It is probably splitting lines because you are hitting enter at the end of each line as you type, like you would on a typewriter in the browser. That inserts a carriage return at the end of those lines. If your browser window is not exactly the same width (in characters) as word press display is, it will break the formatting as above. Just let the words wrap naturally in the browser and it will format them correctly.

    Hard habit to break if you grew up typing on physical paper. I still catch myself doing it from time to time due to habit capture of old habits.

  81. E.M.Smith says:

    Not to mention that each browser and display width and style sheet combination will wrap the text at different widths… yeah, just type without CR and let it wrap…

    I’ve removed the CR at the end of each line so you can see what it looks like.

  82. Larry Ledwick says:

    WTF ??? Got that deleting thing down solid.
    http://heaviermetal.net/metallica-visit-hillary-clinton

  83. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    From Faux News Tonight?….

  84. E.M.Smith says:

    @Gail & Larry:

    DNC email AND Wikilinks Hillary server… somebody really doesn’t like her tactics.

    Wonder if it is someone running an Agency with a moral compass and teeth full of sand getting tired of Shit Sandwiches for lunch… or the Russians not wanting the White House owned by the Saudis… that would not work well for them…

  85. Larry Ledwick says:

    Yes I think Russian Intelligence is poisoning the well for HRC, perhaps laying the ground work for a future socialist candidate more electable than Bernie. Also as you say, cutting SA out of the game for their own reasons. Putin is reputed to detest Obama, and I think he sees Hillary as someone so corrupt that she cannot be controlled or trusted. She would be a loose cannon in foreign affairs that could muck up lots of their long term plans with her interest in re-making the middle east.

    He may view Trump as a sufficiently pragmatic person that he can at least work with him, and more importantly understand since they probably already have a feel for how he does business.

  86. Larry Ledwick says:

    I suspect the tale will be told if we see a steady drip drip drip of leaks and exposures which only could come from a National Intelligence actor like Russia. Especially if they get prominent or first coverage in RT, Sputnik or Wikileaks

  87. E.M.Smith says:

    @Regis:
    Found it in the trash folder and restored
    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2016/07/06/tips-july-2016/#comment-70241

    I’ll be pruning the offending word…

    BTW, NY Strip? The Rib Steak is far better ;-)

    @Larry:

    I suspect either the Russians, as they would have seen Guicifer and done a piggy back on his dumps, or our TLAs having extradited Guicifer, getting a look at his saved backup of The Goods, and deciding to bypass an Obama pardon with “other means”… given She likely got some of Them & Theirs killed and captured…

    Putin will know of the Trump Russian tower deal, and that he is predictable and works well with others. He will also know Hillary is an unpredictable emotional open loop who screwed up North Africa & the Levant and might start a nuclear W.W.III … That Trump’s 1st and 3rd wives are Slavic will also mean something to Putin. No prejudice toward Slavs and Slavic language and cultures… Power respects power… and fears the zealot screwup…

  88. E.M.Smith says:

    Think of it as how a US President would think kindly of a Russian President who was married first to an Australian, then a Canadian…

  89. Gail Combs says:

    Larry, I agree

    I can not see Putin wanting Hitlery in the White House. Putin has let slip enough to make me think he sees Trump as someone he could work with easily.

    At this point Islam is the enemy and the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Russia much rather work with the USA rather than China.

    I expect to see some big bombshells from the missing 30,000 Hillary e-mails released in mid October.

    I think Putin has more in common with Trump than many Americans realize. (Aside from both having degrees in economics.)

    Remember this?

    … prominent Russian climate sceptic and free-market economist says that the British HadCRUT global temperature database – much of which has now been released to the public following the “climategate” email scandal – has been manipulated to show greater warming in Russia than is actually the case.

    Andrei Illarionov, a former economic adviser to then-Russian President Putin, is head of his own thinktank in Moscow, the Institute of Economic Analysis (IEA). He is also a senior fellow at the Cato Institute, a libertarian American thinktank. He has always been a climate sceptic, having vigorously opposed Russia’s signing up to the Kyoto protocols….
    http://www.thegwpf.com/climategate-did-cru-manipulate-russian-climate-data/

    Vladimir Putin Speaks Honestly — Paul Craig Roberts
    Every American can get a conclusive lesson about where moral leadership resides by becoming familiar with Putin’s speeches.
    Here are some examples…
    (provides links)

    Besides, Putin is a great horseman so he can not be all bad….

  90. Larry Ledwick says:

    Pretty much matches my feelings, the kind of men that do deals with hand shakes and respect their opponents as strong and worthy adversaries often make great Frenimys. They each respect the others need to do what is right by their people and will not unnecessarily abuse or corner the other. They respect spheres of influence and try not to step on each others toes without good cause. Both also know that if they cross the line the other will push back hard and will back up his words with actions.
    They can separate what is “just business, nothing personal”, from petty and mean spirited behavior.
    That said, it is clear the Putin has little restraint regarding goals he thinks are important, going well beyond recent traditional Russian behavior, and is willing to dip into wet work and black ops when protecting his interests. That makes him dangerous, but more or less predictable if you understand the rules he operates under.

    I also have little doubt that some of the domestic TLA’s will have folks willing to dabble in “other means” to damage her brand, as she crossed the line and hung some of their people out to dry. That is not a sin easily ignored by people who work in that business. You always protect (or at least attempt) to protect your people, and it is a great dishonor for some amoral bureaucrat to treat them as expendable poker chips for no good reason or national interest gain. That could result in a dish of revenge served cold at the most appropriate time.

    No matter how you cut it then next year or two will be very interesting and full of all sorts of surprises. I also suspect Sanders supporters on the far left will be out turning over rocks to find ways to sabotage her run for office, and would not be at all surprised for this years Democratic convention to resemble 1968’s convention, with lots of street action by far left activists.

  91. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    We in Oz have some questions about government funds that seem to have ended up with “Clinton Inc”

    http://joannenova.com.au/2016/07/clinton-cash-movie-available/

  92. Larry Ledwick says:

    It appears the HRC agrees with our assessment of the origin of the leaks.

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jul/24/clinton-campaign-blames-russia-wikileaks-sanders-dnc-emails

  93. Larry Ledwick says:

    Now we are starting to see news items from Russian sources pushing their view on HRC / Trump and DNC links — Problem is how to read and interpret these stories. You have to put on your “read between the lines, and evaluate for disinformation hat”

    ( ie we know they know that we know that they know — so we are going to do exactly the opposite of what they expect us to do because we know —

    It can make your head hurt trying to figure out what the real agenda is, how much is real fact or pure unadulterated propaganda or false leads and sucker plays or bait for some group to bite on a preferred story line )

    Think wilderness of mirrors while reading this stuff and spend a lot of time pondering Cui bono.

    Quite frankly at this early stage, I have no clue at this point but eventually a picture should form of who is doing what to whom for what goal.

    As noted by former NSA analyst

    John Schindler ‏@20committee 38m38 minutes ago
    John Schindler Retweeted Andrew Morse
    We need a very close look here. Effective #dezinformatsiya is largely, or at least significantly, true.

    http://dailycaller.com/2016/07/24/leaked-emails-show-dnc-officials-planned-anti-trump-protests/

    http://sputniknews.com/analysis/20160723/1043532781/trump-putin-hillary-media-propaganda.html

  94. E.M.Smith says:

    @Gail:

    I tend to think of Putin as being like a Mafia Don. Mostly interested in ‘his cut’ and not screwing up the system. Then, The Donald, is the typical building buy from NYC where you just accept that a certain amount of “payola” is needed to assure the unions are happy and the permits get issued and … Each knows how to work with the other. Both know it’s better to “give a little” than start a war, and always be ‘fair enough’ with the other guy.

    BUT, both know how to handle the street fight if it comes to that…

    Kind of like in W.W.II with Lucky Luciano and the Mafia. The USA “cut a deal” – you keep the docks safe and working, Lucky gets out of prison and a ticket to Sicily after we liberate it.

    We didn’t go busting Mafia chops at the ports, and various “problems” with sabotage just ‘went away’. On arrival in Sicily, our troops were met with guides who had complete maps of ALL Axis power installations, staffing, hidden back routes, etc.

    Neither side particularly liked the other, but they knew what was best for both.

    @Larry:

    The problem with “Wiki as Russian Front” is that you can’t tell the difference between a well run front, and someone who just recognizes that “mutual benefit” effect.

    So, were I Julian, who would I trust? China? Never. I’d only ever be a pawn of theirs. A Western Nation? Nope. Once the USA caused Switzerland to knuckle under on bank secrecy laws, it was very clear nobody in the west would or could resist USA pressure. Latin America? Everything has a price there. It would be “fattest wallet wins” and not very fat, at that. Oh, and the USA has a VERY fat wallet. Africa? Not going to find much there that can be trusted, or that works well. Right on down the line, either they are subject to pressure, or bribes, or both. Frankly, the only ones I can think of that dodge both are Russia and Iran. I’d not want to be living in or depending upon Iran…

    On the flip side, Russia would be horridly incompetent if they saw someone willing to act as publisher and did NOT send them goodies…

    Sort of an extreme case of “my enemies enemy…”

    So I’m just not seeing any easy way to separate “sponsored” from “supported” from “sympathetic”.

  95. Gail Combs says:

    I just went to see D’Sousa’s Hillary’s America

    The first thing I notice was ZERO advertisement for the film. Not a poster, not a headliner, Zip Zilch NOTHING. However the movie was much much better than I was expecting. It kept me riveted to my seat. Hubby complained of the people in front talking but I never heard them.

    Tell me what you guy thought of it.

  96. Regis Llanfar says:

    I think the closest to me is in Raleigh. With my wife visiting her sister for the week, I’ll take the opportunity.

  97. Gail Combs says:

    Regis, you must be near me. We are ~40 miles south of Raleigh NC.

  98. wizz33 says:

    as a autistic i see a lot on the internet and would like a zero marginal cost society and electricity seems stuck in the 70s these are some things that are really cheep ea 100k $ is a lot.

    http://focusfusion.org/

    http://sorlox.com/company.html


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-K_GBBspZjs search for SAFIRE and
    Montgomery Childs

    especially sorlox for heat and safire with Boron11 +P for electricity.
    Dr buzzard had some good ideas for getting direct electricity out of Boron11 +P.
    i think that the vacuum vessel the most expensive part of the reactor

    thanks

  99. Cary, NC here. Moved from 20 years in MN as the last impressionable niece and nephew were here (in Durham).

  100. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item on Russian interest in DNC / Trump. A DNC researcher doing op research on Trump apparently tickled he dragon enough to get noticed by major league (nation state) hackers when she started following leads on Trump and Russians.

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-hacked-emails-of-dnc-oppo-researcher-point-to-russians-and-wider-penetration-154121061.html

  101. Gail Combs says:

    Larry do not forget “Marissa Mayer: The Yahoo CEO is as reliably Democratic as they come. She’s given a ton of money to the Democratic National Committee….”

    …“Important action required,” read a pop-up box from a Yahoo security team that is informally known as “the Paranoids.” “We strongly suspect that your account has been the target of state-sponsored actors.”….

    After Chalupa sent the email to Miranda (which mentions that she had invited this reporter to a meeting with Ukrainian journalists in Washington), it triggered high-level concerns within the DNC, given the sensitive nature of her work. “That’s when we knew it was the Russians,” said a Democratic Party source who has knowledge of the internal probe into the hacked emails….

    “They’re having to do serious damage control with the donors right now,” said a party official familiar with the matter.

    How did they know it was the Russians??

    …Democratic Party suspicions about the hackers seemed to be confirmed when CrowdStrike, an outside security firm retained by the DNC, reported that it traced the hackers to two separate units linked to Russia’s security services: the FSB, Russia’s equivalent of the FBI, and GRU, the country’s military intelligence agency. The company noted strong similarities between the attack on the DNC by the suspected GRU hackers and previous cyberintrusions of unclassified systems at the White House, the State Department and the offices of the Joint Chiefs of Staff….

    Color me unimpressed. We already know this admin and the democrats lie when ever their mouths are open and we know that ‘outside consultants’ find what they are told to find.

    If you were to replace Democrat with Republican the MSM would be shouting Tin Foil Hat Conspiracy!!!

    This is actually aimed at Manafort. He is superb at what he does and they want to force Trump to get rid of him just like they took aim at Cory during the primaries.

  102. Larry Ledwick says:

    The back story on all this will probably not come out in any detail for 20+ years. Sometimes you only figure out who stabbed who in the back years later, as people get far enough away from the events that they no longer feel bound by either fear or confidentiality.

    The one clear thing that is very very obvious is that the intrigue at that level of politics is very Byzantine and everybody has some connection to somebody who is shady because they cannot function without those contacts.

    The real question is who is misdirecting who and for what end?
    When you have several players all running their own political dirty tricks operations and building and breaking temporary alliances only insiders can really have much insight into who is playing who.

    As they say if you can’t tell who the sucker at the poker table is, you are the sucker that everyone is playing. Sadly the general public is the gullible fool in this game, and try as he might to get a handle on it even the most astute watchers will only get a key hole view of the game in play.

  103. Larry Ledwick says:

    If I had to make a guess right now, I would be inclined to believe that Trump is inclined to grant Russia control over their local sphere of influence (ie comments about NATO) in exchange for some cooperation on ISIS and them doing the same to us in areas we consider critical. This may be an actual back channel agreement or just the sense of the two leaders.

    That rather than HRC’s bull in a china shop approach to diplomacy would be very much preferred by Russia.

    The bad news is, I am not sure Russia can be trusted to honor that sort of deal. Like a deal between Mafia dons they are honored only as long as they are mutually beneficial and neither feels sufficiently strong to openly challenge the other.

    Right now Putin has nothing to fear from Obama, and nothing to loose and potentially a lot to gain by greasing the skids for Trump, with or without a formal agreement. There will still be a quid pro quo established if Trump knows they put their thumb on the scale to get him elected, and with as many folks as he has closely connected to Russia I have no doubt at least one of them is a mole in his organization so that Putin effectively sits at his right hand in every important meeting.

    Depending on their personal traits that could be a pragmatic live and let live agreement in their own spheres of influence (don’t forget that China and Russia are not all that friendly and Russia has as much worry about them in Asia as we do/should). Putin may be playing a long game to get our cooperation with Russia on China some day in the future when they finish overhauling their military and decide to assert hard control over the South China Sea and all of Asia. Trump has already signaled by his comments about Putin that he is willing to grant Putin/Russia more open respect than any other modern US leader.

    There are simply too many unknowns to make an intelligent guess, all you can do is like a chess game, acknowledge multiple possible end games and keep them in mind as you watch this play out without boxing in your king and queen into a check mate situation if those end games play out.

  104. Gail Combs says:

    I am more inclined towards Putin then I am towards China.

    http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2014/04/china_picks_at_the_scab_to_keep_the_wound_fresh.html

    http://gulfnews.com/culture/books/lessons-of-history-china-s-century-of-humiliation-1.884742

    The Clintons and the globalists were inviting in the wolf when they helped China become a world power with our $$$

  105. Larry Ledwick says:

    Yes I agree in general terms, China’s rearmament is clearly targeted at being able to directly confront the US in the western Pacific and their games with islands show they intend to create a toll gate for shipping through the south china sea that they can shut off at any time. Those actions clearly have a long term sinister look to them. In one respect it is a way to burn up productive capacity to keep their economy from collapsing, but in another as you say a road to redressing long running issues with the US, Vietnam, Philippines, Japan, and South Korea, along with the Russians on their northern boarder and India on their southern.

    Russian rearmament is in contrast more of a case of returning to the status quo of the Soviet Union prior to collapse. In that regard Russian aggression is the more urgent issue, as they only have a small window remaining to bring eastern European countries formerly of the Soviet Union to heel or at least put them on notice.

    Given they used very similar provocations in Ukraine to seize part of that country (ie proof of intent and capability), if they get no meaningful push back from Obama on their tampering in our presidential election it to my mind only leaves two reasonable possibilities.

    Obama is absolutely ineffectual, incompetent in international affairs and incapable of using forceful counter measures against major nation states. That will give Russia a green light and an open door to do what they can before the Jan 20 inauguration of a new president. The eastern European countries have openly discussed expecting a Ukraine like operation against them in Sept of this year from Russia and are actively reinforcing their military and security infrastructure.
    Second possibility, is Obama is in fact a quisling and has always been in their pocket, given his life long affinity for self identified Communists, Marxists and Revolutionaries. His personal history is literally riddled with such connections, far too many to be explained by random chance or coincidence. That ends in the same outcome of inaction on our part if Russia makes a Ukraine style move in eastern Europe on some pretext.

    China on the other hand does not need any specific action to open the door for them they have been very slowly and patiently pushing that door open for about 10 years now, and have almost reached the point where the only way they could be contested is with open warfare in the western Pacific, probably on a Taiwan pretext or some sort of military misadventure between Chinese and neighbor country or US. forces. In their case it is best to wait just a few more years for them to finish bringing on line their new ICBM systems and finish rolling out their blue water navy.

  106. Larry Ledwick says:

    And the door for china gets pushed just a tiny bit farther.
    http://freebeacon.com/national-security/aswan-deals-blow-u-s-nixes-south-china-sea-ruling/

  107. Larry Ledwick says:

    Likewise an interesting summary of possible Russian involvement in the coup in Turkey and an ulterior motive (ie NATO)
    http://freebeacon.com/national-security/putins-sinister-role-failed-turkish-coup/

  108. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    We know for certain that we know almost nothing for certain, except that world leaders

    1. Are less than candid with the public today;
    2. Have hidden from the public the powerful source of energy indelibly recorded in precise rest masses of the 3,000 types of atoms that comprise all matter; and
    3. Will be defeated by the force they denied:

    http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023%2FA%3A1023485018692

  109. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    All humanity suffers from a GeoEthics crisis because for seventy years (1946-2016), the leaders of supposedly independent nations and national Academies of Sciences worked together secretly to hide information from the public that is indelibly recorded in the exact rest masses of atoms: NEUTRON REPULSION in cores of

    1. Heavy atoms like Uranium
    2. Some planets like Jupiter
    3. Ordinary stars like the Sun
    4. Galaxies like the Milky Way
    5. The expanding Universe, . . .

    powers the cosmos and human lives.

    The London GeoEthics Conference on Global Climate Change, 8-9 September 2016, will be the first confrontation of this worldwide issue.

  110. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    In comments at

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/07/26/ugly-why-climate-denial-should-be-a-criminal-offence/

    ” SAMURAI
    July 26, 2016 at 3:17 am

    Ah, yes…. Long live the logical fallacies of argumentum ad populum and argumentum ad verecundiam, with just a touch of post hoc ergo propter hoc to give it a nice robust flavor…

    A recipe for disaster..

    NASA’s motto used to be: “In God we trust.. Everyone else, send data”…

    Of course this old NASA motto is no longer Politically Correct, so it’s been adjusted to: In government funding we trust. Everyone else, send model projections…

  111. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    A valid point IMO


    JJM replied to comment from Rizwan | July 29, 2016 4:22 PM | Reply

    Well, were the Crusades blowback for Islamic meddling in the Middle East 13 centuries ago (i.e., when Muslims invaded what was then a Christian Middle East, North Africa and Spain?

    Just how far back do you want to take the blame game?

    The current surge of Islamic violence is entirely home-grown out of the most extreme fundamentalist fringes of Islam and you know it.

    And in fact – notwithstanding all the extremist attacks on the West – the majority of its victims continue to be Muslims in predominantly Muslim regions.”

    From comments at

    http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2016/07/more-pavilions-194.html

  112. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    As explained in three posts yesterday,

    https://rogerhelmermep.wordpress.com/2016/07/29/post-referendum-debrief-july-29th/#comment-41201

    A tiny, massive object at the center of the solar system can and has controlled
    1. The production of our elements
    2. The birth of the solar system
    3. Life’s origin and evolution
    4. Earth’s changing climate
    5. Human destiny

  113. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    “Rio’s ‘Sustainable’ Olympics Are Just Lipstick On A Pig”

    http://www.breitbart.com/sports/2016/08/05/rios-sustainable-olympics-are-just-lipstick-on-a-pig/

  114. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting archeology find in Utah finds fire hearth dating 12,300 years ago in northern Utah.

    This would have made this site occupied about 800 years before Clovis period, and almost 3000 years prior to Fulsom period. Inhabitants probably among the first to come down the ice free corridor which opened around 13,000 years ago.

    http://bigstory.ap.org/article/3f392a0e67ae46e8a7a058bb9228d706/12300-year-old-fire-pit-found-northern-utah

  115. Larry Ledwick says:

    And what happens if China’s economy implodes, and the money dries up suddenly, or multipart funding suddenly stops. Sounds like trip down a dead end to me, given how shaky China’s economy has been recently.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/new-wave-of-chinese-start-up-investments-comes-with-complications/2016/08/05/2051db0e-505d-11e6-aa14-e0c1087f7583_story.html

  116. Larry Ledwick says:

    Item on the economy and how it changed since the 1980’s and how that has changed the interaction of banks, governments, globalists, and nationalists.

    https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/08/07/two-divergent-platforms-donald-trumps-main-street-vs-hillary-clintons-wall-street/#more-119898

  117. Larry Ledwick says:

    Although I don’t generally pay much attention to Huffington post, they do occasionally make a mistake and come up with a worth while read.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alastair-crooke/isis-wahhabism-saudi-arabia_b_5717157.html

  118. Larry Ledwick says:

    GPS spoofing is coming of age it appears, and is dropping rapidly in cost. This could lead to all sorts of unexpected results as unsophisticated users gain more access to the ability to alter GPS signals locally.

    (PS that place that has crappy cell phone coverage might not be the fault of the cell provider)

    http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/gps-under-attack-crooks-rogue-workers-wage-electronic-war-n618761

  119. Larry Ledwick says:

    In the space reconnaissance field this article has some interesting notes about current state of the art technology and the evolving ability of the US and Russia to monitor ground operations at high photographic resolutions.

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/08/08/vladimir-putin-plots-a-new-fleet-of-spies-in-space.html

  120. Larry Ledwick says:

    Item on the early migration into North America after the ice age supports your (EM) statements about first migrations by boat along the coast. Study finds that although the interior corridor between the ice sheets physically opened up about 13,000 years ago, it was not sufficiently biologically developed to support migrations, with little or no vegetation and animal life to feed the first explorers.

    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2016/aug/10/earliest-americans-could-not-have-arrived-by-dry-land-study-indicates

    This also implies that the fire hearth discovered in the item I posted Aug 7th which dated to 12,300 years ago would have been consistent with when that interior path became useful.

  121. Oliver Manuel says:

    Our first priority now is to get an open discussion at the London GeoEthics Conference on Climate Change (8-9 September 2016) on precise and irrefutable experimental evidence NEUTRON REPULSION is a powerful source of energy that offers humanity powers beyond the dreams of scientific fiction, as Aston promised in the last paragraph of his 1922 Nobel Lecture: NEUTRON REPULSION powers the Sun and the expanding universe.

    On 13 June 1936 a 19-year old student at the Imperial University of Tokyo realized that a 30-year old nuclear physicist did not understand Aston’s nuclear “packing fraction.” That same year a 30-year old nuclear physicist joined forces with Dr. Carl von Weizsacker to produce the well-known Weizsacker-Bethe semi-empirical mass formula to predict nuclear “binding energy.”

    See p.7 of Kuroda’s autobiography: http://www.omatumr.com/abstracts2005/PKKAutobiography.pdf

  122. hillbilly33 says:

    I would think the ongoing extensive investigations into the Clinton Foundation, carried out over the last few months by Australia’s Michael Smith, would be of great interest to your readers, particularly Americans. Anyone interested could start from here,
    http://www.michaelsmithnews.com/2016/08/the-sordid-history-of-australias-deals-to-facilitate-the-clinton-foundations-access-to-asia.html

    Cheers to all from Hobart, Tasmania.

  123. Pingback: Tips – August 2016 | Musings from the Chiefio

  124. E.M.Smith says:

    The next in the series of TIPS pages can be found here:

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2016/08/17/tips-august-2016/

    While historical entries are here:

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/t/

    and the category is:

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/category/tips/

Comments are closed.