Dear UK: Run, do not walk, to the Exit. Now, please.

I’m a bit astounded at the polite “milling about” by Ms. May and the UK Government in general on the whole BREXIT deal.

They seem to think they are negotiating how much tea ought to be poured into each cup and which biscuits are desired on each plate at the afternoon tea with good chums.

Er, no. Dear Ms. May, you are in a combat for your life with a pack of wolves. Run, do not walk, to the EXIT as fast as you possibly can. Do not stop to say good-bye. Do not slow near the flowers, they are for your funeral.

Let’s take just a moment to look at a couple of the “demands” of the EU Government as the terms for your parole:

1) Deposit £50 billion in the slush fund so we can START to “talk”.

2) Please hand the keys to Gibraltar over to Spain on your way out; there, that’s a dear…

3) Ooooh, Mommy, can I have Scotland!!! Seems that the EU would also like to start hiving off slabs of the UK for their own pleasure. Scotland first, but then there’s North Ireland too. (One supposes they’ll be looking for Cornwall and Wales next ( Isle of Man and Jersey once those others are in the bag…))

4) You don’t get any say in things as long as “negotiations” (i.e. chopping off bits of lucre) are underway; having been barred from EU meetings.

5) Any “Trade Deal” is to be held hostage until you pony up EVERYTHING else they want.

6) You are to be Muzzled and may not talk to others about trade. Shut up and bend over. There is a term for folks who muzzle others and have their way with them while bent over. Whips and chains optional. There’s a reason the 3rd Reich theme Leathers, Riding Crop, and Hat are the costume du jour for such things…

7) All those stupid and painful EU rules, laws, and regulations you wish to escape? Well, you are going to drag those with you for God only knows how many decades.

8) The EU’s “Court of Justice” will be the one ruling on things during this exit time. Like they give a damn about UK interests.

Now think about that list for just a moment.

What kind of “partner” acts that way. An abusive spouse comes to mind. One with a penchant for masochism and angry outbursts. What is the advice always given to women in such relationships? (Though it is as important for men who sometimes end up in similar abusive relationships)

The standard advice is to Get The Hell Out! Now! Do not wait to “talk it over” (emergency room visits are not desired). Do not expect the spouse to change. Do not say “What did I do to cause this?”. Just grab your kids, the purse and GO.

Once the spouse has realized that a) They are hungry and must learn how to cook. b) They are not ‘getting any’. and c) That paycheck of yours left with you. Well, THAT is the time to “negotiate” over things like letting them see the kids. (You DID take the kids with you, right?…) At that time you have your solicitor and a nice Bobby show up to “discuss things”.

Yes, it is disruptive to be suddenly in a hotel, or at your sister’s home. But the alternative is worse.

Worst of all is spending the next 2 years trying to “change him” or “negotiate” with a psychopath, being abused the whole time, and THEN end up on the street anyway but now with the kids gone, your stuff burned, your job lost and hurting from the physical assaults.

So please: While he’s off having his Parliament Meeting and boozing it up with his chums, pack your bags, round up the kids, and BOLT for the exit. You have friends who are there for you. We understand and we’ll help with the hurts.

I know you want to think they are the nice guy you remember from when you were dating, but please, be honest with yourself. Just look at what is demanded. Is that the action of a friend? (It certainly isn’t the action of a soul mate, or even a good spouse, so even setting the sights low at The Friend Zone it comes up lacking). So let yourself realize “It’s Over”. Time to move on, and time is of the essence.

Epilogue

The simple fact is that the EU is about 15% of global trade. They have painful rules to cope with and their trade imbalance with the UK means any trade barriers they toss up will hurt them most. It is a big world, full of old friends and new ones in the making.

THE best strategy when in that kind of circumstance is to “bargain from power”. What is your strongest position. That comes when THEY are feeling the hurt, not you. That happens when THEY are outside the UK Free Trade Zone ;-) So put them there as quickly as humanly possible, THEN ask if they want to negotiate.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
This entry was posted in Economics - Trading - and Money, Political Current Events and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

30 Responses to Dear UK: Run, do not walk, to the Exit. Now, please.

  1. philjourdan says:

    I agree. Just walk away. During my divorce, the ex played the part of the EU. Even after the judge ruled, she kept dragging me back to court. Finally the judge told her (he was impartial) that if she or her attorney ever set foot in his courtroom again, he would hold them in contempt.

    Sadly, Britain does not have an impartial court. So just leave! The demands are unreasonable, as is the EU.

  2. gareth says:

    Hi E.M.
    As with all things (especially as with all things one reads in the papers) it’s never that simple*:
    e.g. the “£50 Million” is an as yet not calculated amount, relating to the UK share of commitments that we jointly signed up to with the rest of the EU. And I’d suggest that, as when the route to the exit is through a minefield, running is not always the best choice.
    Yes, the EU and “Ever Closer Union” is a good thing to get out of. But better to have a controlled exit process (think of landing an aircraft) rather than an uncontrolled “event” (plane crash). Unfortunately, Mrs May, driven by the “Hard Brexiters” has backed us into a position where the “Crash” is the likely option. The other option will be a (carefully spun) climbdown into a form of EU “Associate Membership” which was what we were probably looking at under the Spinelli plan anyway (= all the EU without any say).
    I’d recommend a good “dig here” at Richard North’s EU Referendum blog for a lot of well informed and thought through stuff on this subject…
    All the best,
    gareth

    * the UK media is particularly ill informed, vacuous and stupid so are pretty much worthless if you want to inform yourself about anything (except maybe soap operas and ‘celebs).

  3. E.M.Smith says:

    @Gareth:

    I’ve been on the wrong end of sociopaths and their power dynamics demands way too many times. After a while you get a ‘spidey sense’ about it. The EU (government bits) is definitely in the sociopath / abuser category, and potentially in the psychopath group. The only thing you can do then is either THE most rapid escape you can manage, or defeat / kill them in combat. There is no middle ground and there is no “controlled exit”. Police know this and are trained accordingly ( I’ve also had some police training as a law enforcement Eagle Scout – including uniform, MACE exposure, and being traffic cops at the Jamboree! Oh, and firearms training films…)

    BTW, I’m not depending on “UK Media” for any of my opinions, though I did link to them for example quotes and as “British Ambiance” to the article. I’m mostly looking at what I see in the films of the EU Parliament, and in the issued statements of the EU itself. Then mixed with my own decades of negotiations.

    1) Get out of abuse potential situations.
    2) Find your position of power and go there.
    3) Make an example of someone or some point.
    4) Repudiate their demands, but politely.
    5) THEN place an opening gambit to negotiations.
    6) Then Shut Up. The first one to talk loses.

    The UK is doing almost all of those wrong. They are staying in their weakest position. They are NOT using their strength (that trade deficit with the EU – they could even just threaten to impose a trade balance mandate…). They are not making anyone look bad (though almost got there with the repudiation of the Gibraltar ploy – having a Destroyer park in the waters would have been a ‘nice touch’…). Then they just acknowledge any foolish demand out of the EU (repudiating it to your self is a very British thing to do… you must repudiate it into the face of your opponent. A hearty laugh and ripping up the paper is a nice touch.) Then what’s the UK opening gambit? To assume into UK law all the EU crap laws they are attempting to escape. Might as well ask them if they have any hemlock while you are at it. Finally, everybody is talking like crazy. Blabbering to the media at every turn. Endlessly raking themselves over their own coals.

    What I would do:

    Craft a simple and clean / clear Open Trade Agreement. Symmetrical terms. Low barriers and low or no tariffs. Publish it with the statement that any country wishing those terms with the UK need only print off a copy, sign it, and send it in, final round to be concluded at the signing ceremony on BREXIT day.

    Once you have a few in hand (or just a couple of ‘big ones’), notify the E.U. that you have left now, and should they wish to have trade with you, there’s the web site… “Copy, sign, and print”… Otherwise all those Mercedes, VW, and French wine will be subject to WTO rules at the border.

    I’d wager Canada, Australia, New Zealand, the USA and India would be signed on within months. Perhaps weeks.

    At that point you are “Negotiating from strength” and the EU needs a change of pants, a bath, and some deodorant… having crapped themselves.

    Per “agreed commitments”: That isn’t an obligatory bill up front! That, sir, is called “Negotiating Leverage”. You do NOT give away your leverage prior to any actual negotiation. Hand over exactly ZERO anything until you have terms you like, or walk away and let them sue. (Then, in court, offer to settle for no more than 1/2 that amount plus what you wanted in the first place; oh, and don’t use their courts.) Nothing like a good stiff sweating session and the prospect of a decade of litigation to reduce the size of ‘immediate demands’…

    This isn’t a polite tea and crumpets picnic. This is financial and political warfare. You gave them their chance to “play nice” and they have pissed in your tea pot. Time to kick back. Low and fast.

  4. R. de Haan says:

    @ E.M. Smith,
    “I’ve been on the wrong end of sociopaths and their power dynamics demands way too many times. After a while you get a ‘spidey sense’ about it. The EU (government bits) is definitely in the sociopath / abuser category, and potentially in the psychopath group.”

    So did Nigel Farage:

  5. R. de Haan says:

    By the way, Farage calls Junckers an idiot but calling him a sociapath is a better discription.

  6. R. de Haan says:

    According to the latest poll France is going to leave the EU too just like Italy but if you ask me it will no longer matter.
    Just look what is happening on a geopolitical scale as Trump took a 180 on his campaign promises and suddenly tomahawks Syria while the Chinese President is having dinner at his table. This is an incredible step that only a sociopath can make. As a direct result, the Russians went off line and the Chinese mobilized 150.000 troops at the North Korean border. Korea threatened to nuke the US and the US within a matter of a few day’s risks WWIII with Russia, China, Iran, North Korea and what’s left from Syria. Of course the neocons and the the EU apparatchicks including UK leadership support Trumps unexpected actions because they are sociopaths too and really want this war with Russia.
    The fact however is that Europe’s banks and the Euro are on the brink of collapse and without any doubt will take out the global economy so beating the drums of war is the sociopaths galant way to go and create the smoke curtain of diversion for the general public.

    The establishment must believe we’re stupid don’t they.

  7. R. de Haan says:

    How Labour and the EU signed each other’s death warrants:

  8. R. de Haan says:

    The real forces behind the EU: http://www.bilderberg.org/

  9. omanuel says:

    I agree with you, E.M. Smith, and I can only hope R. de Haan’s conclusion is premature in dismissing President Trump’s intentions.

    https://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/2017/04/11/the-illuminati-goal-of-abolishing-private-property-reborn-in-globalism/

    We must allow others to make mistakes, too, even Trump.

  10. Alexander K says:

    EM, as a formerly British New Zealander I agree with you. Well said, Sir!

  11. omanuel says:

    @R. de Haan:

    There is no doubt that leaders of communist, capitalist and socialist nations have worked closely together to hide the source of energy in atomic bombs from the public since 1945.

    1. This is how they generated Fake Science:
    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Nuclear_Energy_Error7.pdf

    2. This is the Reality/Truth/God that they hid:
    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/HIGHER-POWERZ.pdf

    I do not know what game world leaders are now playing, but I sincerely doubt they will risk nuclear war.

    What do you really think they are up to now?

  12. tom0mason says:

    Far too much common sense in evidence here.
    I completely agree, get out QUICK, put up the public tender rules of trading with the UK.
    just one thing
    — the Scotland question —
    Announce the intention to conduct a UK-wide (including Scotland) simple referendum (Question: Should Scotland be allow to stay in the Union? Yes: No). The referendum to be held on the same week as Scottish National Party (SNP) calls their referendum. Effectively asking Nicola Sturgeon (SMP First Minister) would she live with the will of the whole of Britain, if her answer is no, then immediately stop all funding of Scottish projects and treat Scotland as an independent nation.

  13. E.M.Smith says:

    @Tom0Mason:

    Interesting idea on Scotland… make the question symmetrical…

    Not really keen on the prospect of a breakup, but people ought to have self determination… for both sides.

    @Alexandrr K.

    Thanks! Loved my time down under and liked New Zealand – a bit more than Australia (mostly the green and no face flies…). Visited freinds of my Mum from the UK . They went to New Zealand. Mum and one sister to the USA (war brides), another to Canada… I’ve got Aunts, Uncles and Cousins in most English speaking countries… (don’t know about Africa & India).

    Part of why I claim folks would sign deals fast. There’s a lot of shared heritage and families.

    @R. de Haan:

    Yeah, things are hotting up… but Trump is not of the sociopath sort. I’ve watched him closely. LOTS of empathy. Cares about others. Good sence of motivations of “the other”. What he does have is lots of experience dealing with those who are sociopaths. He sizes folks up then knows what strategy will work. If that strategy is faux unhinged, he can do that act.

    Shifting 180 degrees is not diagnostic. Any good game player adjust strategy 180 when context demands it. Gas bombs is such a state change to context.

    What he adds that we don’t see is the behind the sceens deals. So he offered something to Xi that Chna wants; you could see that in the photos /posture. Was it a “I’d like to cut costs in Korea and leave, but Kim keeps us there in force. How about I threaten war, you come in to “keep us out”, then take down Kim. We agree to reunify Korea if the USA leaves and I’ll pack up fast. Win win.”

    I could even see him doing a deal with Rusdia where Putin agrees to keep the peace (from a permanent base…) in exchang for Assad leaving and us breaking off that whole regime change thing in the regions of the Middle East and Asia…. while we both crush Jihadis. Basically, tell Putin he can have all the bases in the country he wants as long as the place is peaceful…

    Trump isn’t about the ego nor the posturing. He is about getting a gain for both sides (his share a big part).Per Junkers and the ECB folks and more. Watching them closely, my People Reader flaggs them as evil to sociopaths. No care about others and significant joy in hurting others. Plays for Win-Lose, but not from stupidity, but because they enjoy the other guy losing…

    They make my skin crawl.

  14. John P Miller says:

    EM, I think your instincts are good re: China and Russia. Russia is as much… no, much MORE… against Jihadi Islam than the West. Russia holding the fort in the Middle East may not be all bad. As for China, your N Korea strategy sounds doable, but that still leaves the South China Sea. That’s a far more difficult kettle of… well, you understand.

  15. R. de Haan says:

    @,E.M.Smith,
    As for Scotland your remark:: “but people ought to have self determination…” That is exactly what people loose if they stay in the EU. Scotland will not survive without the UK and certainly won’t survive in the EU as this project is a dead man walking. Its as simple as that.

    As for Trump:
    Within a few days the US Government will be out of money facing a looming close down: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-11/2017-debt-crisis-looms-congress-will-have-4-days-avoid-government-shutdown-april-29
    It will proof extremely difficult to break the debt ceiling as this is blocked by a law that was introduced by Obama and Boner and does not allow to increase the debt ceiling above 20.5 trillion USD.
    Last week Bannon was kicked out of the security team and suddenly Trump went from “Make America Great Again” to “Tomahawk Mania”. showing a similar behavior as Clinton when he started bombing Serbia out of the blue, Not only to take the public eyes from the pending impeachment procedure over Monica Lowinskky that threatened to end his presidency prematurely but to split Kosovo from Serbia and secure a land pipeline for oil and gas.

    The clash with Syria is about similar shit. Clinton and the CIA started this conflict with the same objectives she had with Libya. The Golan plateau is bulking with oil and gas and the Syrian territory is needed for another pipe line, a dream of the Saudi’s who already paid Clinton for the service. But there is also a US energy company involved that is run by Chaney and his ilk.

    This was not why Trumps followers elected him. The big idea was to elect an outsider who would stop the military interventions, the wars and the terrible waste of money, assets and American lives in useless wars.

    It is my view that Assad was not behind the chemical attack and it is also my view that it wasn’t an Antrax attack but a Chlorine gas attack executed by Al Qaida, read CIA.

    Putin already knows this and even has warned for more chemical attacks taking place in the outskirts of Damascus so the US will have an excuse to level the city.

    We know what will happen if Assad is replaced by an US strawman. We did it in Iraq and Afghanistan and it turned out to be a disaster. Under Secretary Clinton, “We came, we saw and we killed him”, the US robbed all the assets of Libya, gold, cash and confiscated all the military equipment to arm an Al Quida/ISIS opposition to Assad’s Syria which was together with Morocco the only country not involved in an Arab Spring revolution. I know Assad is not a softy but as we know today you can’t combine democracy and Islam without conflict and in a war all the gloves come off.

    Why Trump decided from one week to another that Assad has to go and why it is ok to Tommahawk a military airport without any respect of the Constitution, International Law and the Souvereignty of Syria while at the same time risking a really big (nuclear) conflict with Russia, Iran and even China/North Korea is really something we can only guess but this is where from my point of view the use of the word “sociopath” comes into play.

    Without any doubt Trump now is in the company of the wrong people, Namely the same people who fought him from day one and his agressive approach of foreign policy is not what his “Movement” had in mind.

    Obamacare still has to be killed, the promised tax reduction can’t be realized before Obamacare is replaced and even the wall with Mexico is no longer a reality as funding has become a major problem.

    No one knows what’s next and I am affraid that this uncertainty will remain for a long time.

    Not good.

  16. A C Osborn says:

    tom0mason says:
    12 April 2017 at 3:34 am
    — the Scotland question —
    Announce the intention to conduct a UK-wide (including Scotland) simple referendum (Question: Should Scotland be allow to stay in the Union? Yes: No).

    Give the rest of us in the UK the chance to oust them and we probably would. The English in particular are sick and tired of the noises coming out of Scotland when they have far more Tax advantages than the rest of the UK.
    Read any of the Comments on MSM article’s on Scottish Independence to see it for yourself.

  17. philjourdan says:

    @E.M.

    Not really keen on the prospect of a breakup, but people ought to have self determination… for both sides.

    Does that go for Calexit as well? And before anyone jumps on me, I will say:

    #1 – Good riddance – let them go!
    #2 – I think Lincoln was wrong, but I am glad he did not let the South go.

  18. E.M.Smith says:

    @Phil:

    I’m all for CalExit (and Texit for that matter). The only problem is that unlike in the EU where there is a legal process for it, in the USA it is “settled law” that it is not possible. See “Texas vWhite”
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_v._White

    the court further held that the Constitution did not permit states to unilaterally secede from the United States, and that the ordinances of secession, and all the acts of the legislatures within seceding states intended to give effect to such ordinances, were “absolutely null”

    So you see, it isn’t a question of what I want or like, nor of what the people of Texas and California want and like, nor even what anyone votes to do, or who advocates for it, or what laws the States pass.

    So all the talk of it is just so much noise and lather over nothing.

    Now were we to pass our own constitutional amendment “Article 50” I’d be ready to vote for it!

    @John P. Miller:

    That may well be the trade Item Trump would give them. “Tell you what, you oust Kim, we’ll unify Korea then go home, and you can keep those rocks in the South China Sea. What do you say?…”

    @R. de Haan:

    Trump needed to show he’s not in league with Russia. (check!)
    That he’s not going to back down to twerps like Obama did. (check!)
    That he’s not just about the money. (check!)
    and to put the democrats on their off foot. (check!).

    All in all, nicely done.

    Now he can also have cut some back room deal with China (we’ll know on the 16th…) and likely is talking about ‘win-win’ in Russia via Tillerson today. (Public rant over Assad, back room “how can we both win out of this?”) now that he’s established “street cred” with Putin.

    None of that is sociopath material.

    So take a breath, OK?

    Per running out of money: I have supreme confidence that after every Democrat has had their Camera Time crying over the Republican FAILURE!!!!! they will do what they always do which is vote to spend more money. Don’t be surprised to see a “spending bill” passed with “infrastructure” projects in lots of Democratic districts…

    I’m not even going to bother watching the news about it on that night, just because it is a 10 times warmed over rerun of a remake of a sequel to a pirate copy of a bad play …

    BTW, if they DID refuse to raise the debt limit, I’ll be having a party at my place…

  19. p.g.sharrow says:

    Most of California is quite conservative, we have been gerrymandered out of significance. Both the Democrats and Republicans have conspired to create “safe” districts for permanent re-election of the protected parties. Just look at the quality of the candidates offered up.
    California has the best government money can buy! Unions and mega developers pay very well…pg

  20. Graeme No.3 says:

    “I do not know if the people of the United States would vote for superior men if they ran for office, but there can be no doubt that such men do not run.”
    ― Alexis de Tocqueville, Tocqueville: Democracy in America

  21. Jeff says:

    @Graeme No.3: Very well put, although I think President Trump doesn’t fit this mold, i.e., he is a talented and patriotic man, and not a politician (at least in the traditional sense: all fields of endeavour involve politics at some level or other, even classical music – “behind the screen” auditions, for one, often aren’t). I think of the following comment in terms of the “Clintoons”:

    “The major problem — one of the major problems, for there are several — one of the many major problems with governing people is that of whom you get to do it; or rather of who manages to get people to let them do it to them.

    To summarize: it is a well-known fact that those people who must want to rule people are, ipso facto, those least suited to do it.

    To summarize the summary: anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job.”

    ― Douglas Adams, The Restaurant at the End of the Universe

  22. philjourdan says:

    @E.M. I will point out the obvious – 1869 is after 1861. My point was prior to White v. Texas (which is as good as Dred Scott), there was no “settled” law. Ergo, the secessions were legal.

    That being said, whatever it takes for Cali to be “self determining” I would vote for as well. However, there are NO provisions for amendments to be voted on by the populace. So we will never get the opportunity.

  23. gallopingcamel says:

    From afar it boggles the mind that nothing is settled so long after Teresa May took over as PM. In basketball terms she is letting the EU set the pace of play.

    Time for some bold moves by the Brits. If May is not up to it, perhaps it is time for a “Vote of No Confidence”.

  24. E.M.Smith says:

    @Phil:

    Well, really all it would take is enough States to approve a “right to leave” amendment to the constitution. Between the “LET ME OUT!” States and the “THROW THEM OUT!!!” States we might make it! ;-)

    @G.C.:

    I can only hope that Ms. May is quietly negotiating “Fast Deals” throughout the Commonwealth and FBC (Former British Colonies ;-) such that she can walk in when ready and just plop them on the table with a “By now, do write.” notice… I.e. I hope she is being sneaky not slow and accommodating…

  25. Steve C says:

    EM, I wish I thought you were right about May quietly working away in the background, but TBH I’d be very surprised if that were so. If you look at her record, she is not great at getting things done, so what happens is in the lap of God. Don’t expect the sort of Eurosceptic performance Thatcher would have given.

    Plus, of course, most of the House (and the Civil Service) are still “remainers” in their allegiance (as is May herself) – and, of course, no-one in our current political system has any experience at all of governing an independent country because we haven’t been one for 45 years. And we still have creatures like Blair and Mandelson running around gibbering about spending as many millions as it takes to “reverse Brexit” (and Jeremy Corbyn, bless him, is far too nice a guy to tell them to STFU and stop embarrassing the party, as he really needs to do). It’s not a great situation.

    The one glimmer of hope is that, now May has called a snap General Election in the name of strengthening the UK’s stomach ahead of the main course, the candidates will have to declare their Brexit credentials on the stump. That’s hopeful in that I’ve seen quite a few claims that, if the referendum had been counted constituency by constituency per normal election rather than all lumped together, the margin for Leave would have been more like 70%-30% and, presumably, the bile that much less. Let us pray. For the first time in my voting life, I have no idea at all who I’ll be voting for this time. It’s a strange feeling.

    Love the downloadable trade conditions. The UK Gov should read this blog! ;-)

  26. E.M.Smith says:

    I suppose this is the bits you found good:

    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2016/06/17/fuding-brexit/

    Anyone who looks at the trade patterns can see the British win with Brext and thd EU loses big without a trade deal. The faster that is made into “facts on the ground” the quicker the UK moves from dependent under sociopathic rulers to free and strong nation.

  27. E.M.Smith says:

    Oh, and anyone who can enlighten just what the Snap Election means politically please start enlightening…

  28. catweazle666 says:

    “Oh, and anyone who can enlighten just what the Snap Election means politically please start enlightening…”

    Basically, May has only a working majority of 17 MP’s at the present moment, and as she entered No. 10 as prime Minister after Cameron had resigned, there are those who try to make out that she doesn’t have the political authority or a real mandate to take the UK out of the EU.

    Hence she has chosen to call a snap election to establish a position of strength so as to be able to impose her authority on the numerous irritants such as the Lib Dem dominated House of Lords and to head off legal attacks from the likes of the egregious Gina and her attempts to frustrate and delay Brexit with frivolous and vexatious legal actions via the Euro dominated Supreme court.

    Now, as the opposition is in utter disarray, the Lib Dims having been all but wiped out in the 2015 election due to their poor performance in coalition with the Conservatives and more significantly, from Clegg’s absolute U-turn over student loans, whereby he at a stroke managed to alienate a massive portion of his natural voter base – the “Liberals” and students. The Labour party has been hijacked by the Champagne Socialist self-proclaimed terrorist supporter Jeremy Corbyn and the ‘Momentum’ hard left thugs led by John McDonnell who are effectively the reincarnation of the old ‘Militant Tendency’ who were purged from the party by Neil Kinnock – perhaps the only thing he ever got right as the party leader.

    So Prime Minister May is in a position to win a landslide victory – some predict a majority of at leas 200 seats – which will put her in an unassailable position to negotiate on the one hand without having to keep fighting off spoiling actions from various sore losers in the ‘Remain’ camp, who will do almost anything to frustrate the democratic process of Brexit and on the other, with a strong position to impose a much more favourable set of conditions with the Kommissars in Brussels.

    As you rightly observe, a straight unconditional exit followed by negotiations from a position of strength – something that the United Kingdom undoubtedly possesses whatever the whining Remoaners may have to say on the subject is very clearly the way to go.

    As to your comments about abusive violent relationships, although it is hard to believe, French President Hollande has already proposed that the EU should gang up on the UK and administer a “punishment beating” (his words!) and that the UK must in no circumstances ever be permitted to do as well outside the EU as in, so you can easily see why one of the commoner epithets applied to the Eurofascist kleptocracy is ‘the Fourth Reich’.

    Hopefully, the departure from the EU “Great Experiment” which we joined when it was the Common Market will be the first domino to fall and we will be the first but by no means the last to pull out of an institution that has increasingly obviously become the third attempt in a century by the Germans to impose their hegemony over the other European countries, so it will mark the third time in a century that Great Britain has frustrated the German ambitions, this time without a shot being fired or a drop of blood being spilt.

  29. Paul, Somerset says:

    I agree with Catweazle’s analysis all the way up to the point where he suggests that May is looking for a big majority in order to break free of the establishment’s attempts to keep the UK in the EU by the back door. On the contrary, everything in her career so far suggests that she is the archetypal political survivor – ineffectual, and willing to jump from ship to ship depending on which one is heading for calmer waters.

    She was an uncomplaining member of the campaign to remain in the EU right up to the moment that the electorate voted to leave. Yet within minutes she then popped up on the bridge of the Leave ship, and before the crew realized what was happening she’d somehow grabbed the wheel.

    The course she’s now charting is one where she hopes to nominally “leave” the EU, but only via a never-ending “transitional” deal, whereby there is no change to the inflow of cheap immigrant workers beloved by big businesses and the nation’s army of small-time over-leveraged landlords (indeed, most MPs are leveraged landlords, and will be facing ruin without a million new immigrants from eastern Europe to cram into their Homes in Multiple Occupation every year) . Add to that a “transitional” continuation of the European Court’s rights to rule on UK/EU trade disputes and, hey presto, she’ll get her trade deal with the EU.

    But she can only get away with this as long as she has the huge majority which a general election now will provide her with. That way she’ll have enough acquiescent “cannon-fodder” MPs to support her that she’ll be able to ignore the minority of MPs who wish genuinely to follow through with the voters’ wishes and properly leave the EU.

    My evidence for this? Well, it’s all in the first sentence of the Chiefio’s opening post. Always watch what they do (in this case “polite milling about”), and not what they say.

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