There are now 31 dead. (France 24 news)
Maduro has called for a new constitution. One that enshrines him in power, no doubt. If you can’t run your country right, it must be the constitution that’s wrong… /sarc; Just give ME more power and everything will be better… (well, for me at least…)
Latest update : 2017-05-02
Venezuela’s beleaguered President Nicolas Maduro on Monday called for a new constitution, to be written by a “people’s” body circumventing the opposition-held Congress.
The decree was to “block the fascist coup” threatening the country, he told thousands of supporters in Caracas at a May Day rally.
The new constitution-writing entity would be “a citizen’s constituent body, not from political parties — a people’s constituent body,” he said.
Brazil has called this request for a new constitution a “coup” attempt.
BRASILIA (Reuters) – The Brazilian government on Tuesday called the plan for a constituent assembly announced by the president of neighboring Venezuela a “coup” to change the country’s political rules to his liking.
“President Nicholas Maduro’s proposal for a constituent assembly is a coup d’état. It is another break with democracy, violating the country’s constitution,” Brazilian Foreign Minister Aloysio Nunes said in a statement posted on Facebook.
Nunes said social organizations controlled by Maduro would elect the constituents and draw up a constitution “as he wants it.”
(Reporting by Anthony Boadle; Editing by Peter Cooney)
Mexico has announced it is worried about the move to force a new constitution.
Mexico has become increasingly outspoken in its criticism of Maduro’s government, which it sees as having undermined democracy in the Americas with a series of measures to weaken opposition leaders.
(Reporting by Veronica Gomez)
There is a call for a giant rally against the government for sometime in the next day or so. (France24 via Roku)
IMHO, it’s End Game Time.
Maduro is isolated from The People inside his country. Outside his country, the neighbors as seeing they must choose between him as a very unpopular and potentially nutty-crazy “friend” and their acceptance by their own people – so moving to distance themselves from him. (See how they distance themselves Kohai?) He is running out of money to keep his police and military in the good life (and they will be having ever harder times at home, with relatives, etc.) The economy will NOT be improving while he is in power, and will continue fast decay as long as there is civil disorder and governmental incompetent over-control of money, investment, and production.
The only real question now, IMHO, is the method of his departure.
1) Quiet Assassination.
2) Military coup.
3) Abdication (who would take him?)
4) Mob Revolt and the Spanish version of “The French Haircut”
5) Steps down and calls for elections.
Anything I missed?
I think #5 highly unlikely. Were it on the cards he would have done it already.
I’m not seeing #3 working just because he’s not that kind of guy (or would have called elections…) and not seeing where anyone would want to take him in. Who has he not pissed off? With Cuba getting cuddly with the USA now, where to Old Deposed Socialist Dictators go to live out their “golden years” now?
I don’t know enough about the Venezuelan Military to know if #2 is likely. Similarly, I’m not sure how “willing” the Venezuelan Citizens are for #4 to happen (though it seems to be building steadily in that direction).
Which leaves us with #1. That depends on the relative skill of his protection forces vs the opposition “agencies”. I have no clue on that, either. Not even sure who those agencies would be. The USA doesn’t give a damn about Venezuela anymore since we have oodles of fracked oil and can tell him to go stuff it. Most of South America seems to be just trying to turn up the stereo so they don’t hear the shouting from next door as he beats his national family. Similarly, I don’t see anyone in Europe or Asia giving a damn about him. At best, OPEC is happy to have the supply off-line, so not going to help things along. That takes out essentially the Muslim World and Africa as ‘players’. Frankly, I find myself hearing echos of “Gone With The Wind” and “Don’t give a damn”… So unless it is someone inside Venezuela, not seeing #1 as happening.
In the end, I’d guess that it is a horse race between #2 Military Coup and #4 The People’s Mob. That will depend on what would “flip” the Military and when, and is that faster than the rate at which the Mob realizes it will take a few dozen more dead, but doing nothing will have thousands dead…
I’d give it a time window measured in days, maybe small weeks and certainly not many months. Then again, I’m surprised it has gone this long…
What with the France vote this weekend, and Venezuela imploding, and the Muslim World having internal fights beyond count; global things are quite a bit unpredictable right now. It will be an interesting Spring. IF Spring ever comes… what with Kansas under feet of new snow…
I don’t know which “Disaster in the making” is most compelling to watch right now.