W.O.O.D. 14 October 2018

Intro

This is another of the W.O.O.D. series of semi-regular
Weekly Occasional Open Discussions.
(i.e. if I forget and skip one, no big)

Immediate prior one here:
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2018/10/03/w-o-o-d-3-october-2018/
and remains open for threads running there
(at least until the ‘several month’ auto-close of comments on stale threads).

Canonical list of old ones here:
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/category/w-o-o-d/

So use “Tips” for “Oooh, look at the interesting ponder thing!”
and “W.O.O.D” for “Did you see what just happened?! What did you think about it?”

What’s Going On?

The Kavanaugh is on the Supreme Court. Now the entire Deep State & Democratic strategy is to take back the House and work on impeachment of Trump and some way to undo Kavanaugh – though I find it hard to think of a “how” since anything they tried would go to the Supreme Court and I think even the Progressives on the Supreme Court would take a dim view of reversing an approved appointment without some finding of real criminality provable in, well, the court. Kavanaugh needs to avoid hunting cabins and road trips for a few years…

Watch the Democrats attempt to run a full on smear campaign against both Trump and Kavanaugh as a way to get out their voters. Republicans need to match their “ground game” with an effective get out the vote process of their own. I hope Team Trump have a bunch of arrests queued up for an October Surprise…next week would be nice. Just a few weeks until it’s all over but the crying. That will dominate the next few weeks. The result will dominate the next few years.

Hurricane Michael is now history, watch for the recovery to be pilloried as a failure no matter now well it’s done.

The markets took a dive last week. Monday, IMHO, will be the “tell”. Is it more massive shorting and continued down? Fed rate hikes rule. Is it back up to the SMA Simple Moving Average Stack and then through it? Normal “correction” and Trumps economy rules. I’m expecting lots of downward pressure from very rich Leftists trying to ruin the market run just in time for the election. There will also be lots of talk about how it’s all Trump’s fault due to the tariffs. That’s wrong, but it is the strategy that will be used by the Dems and the media. Let’s hope it has not been so politicized too…

Excessive snow and cold are all over the West, Canada and Russia. This will be hard to hide, but also hard to demonstrate effectively to the masses. Iceage Now has a pretty good list of cold events up at the moment. Commenters there are worried about grain shortages from lack of ability to harvest in time, yet watching a farm economy show had prices stable to low and no talk of supply shortages. Someone is wrong but I’m not sure which one yet.

https://www.agweb.com/markets/usda-reports/

Says some damage, but not much:

USDA: Weather Damaged Soybeans Eligible For Crop Insurance Claims

10/12/2018 03:44 PM

WASDE: Season-Average Prices Unchanged
10/11/2018 11:26 AM

Crop Production: Corn, Soybeans, Production Down Slightly
10/11/2018 11:26 AM
[…]
Quarterly Grain Stocks: Corn Stocks Down 7%, Soybean Up 45%
09/28/2018 11:05 AM

Crop Progress: North Carolina Farmers Did Their Best
09/24/2018 05:11 PM

USDA Invests More Than $100 Million In Specialty Crop Market
09/19/2018 04:08 PM

Farmers Double Five-Year Soybean Harvest Average
09/17/2018 04:07 PM

One Farmer’s Experience Applying For Tariff Aid
09/14/2018 04:27 PM

Farmers Share Their Thoughts On Tariff Aid
09/14/2018 03:46 PM

Farmer Wins Case After Losing $2.2 Million of Chickens to Bald Eagles
09/13/2018 04:06 PM

So looking down that list of articles, there’s some reductions “Corn, Soybeans, Production Down Slightly” does not get me excited; but also a lot more soybeans held in stocks. I’m just not seeing a reason to get excited about it. The article about a Farmer wining a case about bald eagles looks interesting and I’m going to read it right after posting this ;-) If folks can start holding the EPA & Government responsible for their economic losses from stupid policies, that would go a long way to fixing things.

On the Roku, the FRTV (Farm TV) channel was saying they were running about 10 days late on wheat ripening, in Ohio I think, but they thought the harvest would be fine.

IMHO, if colder seasons have onset over a few years, farmers will be plenty able to adjust when and what they plant and grow. Worst case would be too much rain and mud mixed with rapid swings of temperature in a “loopy jet stream” regimen. Even then, sturdy grains that can take water variation and don’t lodge much, like sorghum, can be used instead of corn – especially in dry places; while faster grains that are more cold tolerant can be used instead of wheat. Grains like barley. More beer, less bread? I can live with that ;-)

In Texas they already decide, season by season, about the corn vs sorghum choice based on the expected rains each year (where corn is sporadic or marginal) so that margin will just move over time. Similarly where corn marched north in the last few decades, it can march back south. I remember in the late ’70s being in Indiana where farmers were talking about planting corn further north than it had been grown prior (shorter season varieties and warming out of the early 70s cold). Farmers know how to do this. They did it after the Great Pacific Shift of the mid 70s to the warm side, then can revert to the pattern of the 50s and 60s just as readily.

I know “fear sells” and you see lots of Horror movies but hardly any “Nothing much will happen” movies – so I’ll never get rich that way… but I just don’t see any reason to panic over a bit of cold coming earlier. Guess I’m a lousy fear merchant.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
This entry was posted in W.O.O.D. and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

158 Responses to W.O.O.D. 14 October 2018

  1. beththeserf says:

    Agree, E,M terrific video to 19’00 re conspiracy. Tricky humans thro’ history
    get together to manouevre, opportunism’s a dynamic of history. Recently,
    Saul Alinsky promoting ‘Rules for Radicals,’ Gramski yr ‘Long march through
    the Institutions’ a case in point. Cru emails, tsk! A recent trial mebbe?
    Conspiricists are quick to deny that conspiracies exist,. Why would they not?

    Like the song says, Lithuanians and Letts do it, even educated chimps do it,
    alliances and game play. Soros does it … Of course there are crazy conspiracy
    theories w/out substance, but that doesn’t discount stuff like afor-mentioned
    Cru emails and political plots in history’s long record… humans can be tricksy.
    Oh Socrates!

  2. Soronel Haetir says:

    I see zero chance that impeachment and removal could actually succeed, however if it did the SC would have nothing to say about it. Impeachment is a political procedure rather than a legal procedure. “High crimes and misdemeanors” is whatever a majority of the House and ceil(2/3 of the Senate) say it is.

  3. E.M.Smith says:

    BethTheSerf said her comment belongs here:
    https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2018/10/03/it-would-seem-ive-been-red-pilled/#comment-102169

    @Soronel:

    Is there any statement in the constitution about impeachment of Supremes? I know I could go dig into it but if someone already knows… You keep hearing “for life” not “For life unless the Senate changes their minds…”

  4. cdquarles says:

    Hmm, I’d have to go look; but we do know that Article III courts that are created by Congress are subject to impeachment. That’s happened a number of times (ask Alcee Haistings). For the Supreme Court itself, that’s never happened as far as I am aware.

    Okay, here we go: Section 1.
    The judicial power of the United States, shall be vested in one Supreme Court, and in such inferior courts as the Congress may from time to time ordain and establish. The judges, both of the supreme and inferior courts, shall hold their offices during good behaviour, and shall, at stated times, receive for their services, a compensation, which shall not be diminished during their continuance in office.

    That sure looks like “good behavior” would allow impeachment. Oh, look here. It has happened once, in 1805. See here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Samuel_Chase . So I have learned something today :).

  5. E.M.Smith says:

    @CDQuarles:

    Thanks for doing the leg work!

    So OK, there’s an existence proof of a House impeachment and Senate then acquitting.

    So the Dims plan of impeaching Kavanaugh ‘has legs’ and it is essential to hold the house and prevent that. Got it.

  6. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting post here on mass hysteria and the mentality that leads to assumptions of guilt instead of innocence.

    https://www.dailywire.com/news/36493/5-signs-youre-midst-moral-panic-ashe-schow

  7. Soronel Haetir says:

    It hasn’t ever succeeded in removal but one SC justice has been impeached, Samuel Chase was impeached in 1803 and acquitted in 1805. Note that while he was an SC justice the articles were all in relation to work involving lower courts (SC justices of the period were much more involved with the day-to-day workings of the courts than is the case today(.

  8. H.R. says:

    E.M.: “So the Dims plan of impeaching Kavanaugh ‘has legs’ and it is essential to hold the house and prevent that. Got it.”

    The CommieCrats (‘Dims’ is kind of soft peddling their agenda) goal of taking the House is so they can run out the clock on two terms of President Trump. The MAGA agenda is directly opposed to the CommiCrats and Uniparty agendas.

    There will be endless harassment via impeachments of everyone (R) – the Senate will acquit as it takes 66 to convict – and there will be congressional investigations with subpoena after subpoena, after subpoena. It’s all to tie President Trump’s hands while the YSM screams “THE MOST SCANDAL RIDDEN ADMINISTRATION EVAH!!!”

    So, yeah, if you support the MAGA agenda, it is essential that the (R)s retain the House in the coming mid-terms.

    The Mrs. and I will be voting next week before we head out to Gatlinburg TN. That way, if things go totally South while heading down a mountain with no brakes, a dead motor, tranny stuck in neutral, the trailer slewing around on its safety chains, and 4 flat tires, at least we will have our votes in. 😜

    (Odd thought popped into my head: If you vote early and the die before election day, does your vote still count? I know Democrat votes do as the dead are a sizable constituency of their party, but I was talking Republicans an Independents.)

  9. p.g.sharrow says:

    @H.R.; We will pray you and your lady survive unscathed! …pg

  10. Larry Ledwick says:

    The CommieCrats (‘Dims’ is kind of soft peddling their agenda) goal of taking the House is so they can run out the clock on two terms of President Trump. The MAGA agenda is directly opposed to the CommiCrats and Uniparty agendas.

    Given the revolutionary action arm of their party does this sort of thing – yeah I think that is a fair discription.

  11. Larry Ledwick says:

    Given how little the current generations understand Communism, this series in twitter is priceless, everyone born after the wall came down, needs to read these. (it is a continuing series so more will likely follow)

    I am breaking the links with square brackets to be sure wordpress does not get stupid and try to blow up all the links.

    A Wonderful Socialist Life – Part I
    [https://twitter.com/i/moments/1026566226145734656]

    A Wonderful Socialist Life – Part II
    [https://twitter.com/i/moments/1026568409712975872]

    A Wonderful Socialist Life – Part III
    [https://twitter.com/i/moments/1026569064565506049]

    A Wonderful Socialist Life – Part IV
    [https://twitter.com/i/moments/1027331859724685313]

    A Wonderful Socialist Life part 5
    [https://twitter.com/i/moments/1029114012795985920]

    A Wonderful Socialist Life – Part 6
    [https://twitter.com/i/moments/1033817827348701184]

    A Wonderful Socialist Life Part VII
    [https://twitter.com/i/moments/1051513604514566145]

  12. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting link on socialism in the Nordic countries embedded in the above series.

    https://stream.org/5-myths-nordic-socialism-mislead-the-american-left/

  13. H.R. says:

    @p.g. – Maybe parachutes are in order when trailering through the mountains.

    I think I’ll look into aftermarket ejection seats. That, or go out west to the USAF airplane junkyard and see if I can get a couple of the ejector seats on the cheap. 😆

  14. E.M.Smith says:

    @H.R.:

    Well you could always go around the mountains… like through Alabama or Maryland…

    Sure it takes a long time and eats twice as much gas and isn’t nearly as pretty to look at, but you really don’t have to go through the mountains… 8-)

    FWIW, while that’s in jest, I have in fact chosen to go around the south end instead of through to avoid snow in the the hills… going from Orlando to Chicago so it wasn’t a big imposition to skip Atlanta… besides, Nashville is a nice place to get dinner ;-0 (he said, slyly starting a BBQ style war)…

  15. Larry Ledwick says:

    Hmmm I wonder how the folks that depend on Oxygen machines feel about this idea?

    http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-pge-fire-weather-20181013-story.html

  16. p.g.sharrow says:

    Don’t know Larry,. we live in the Butte area foot hills, not much wind and power is still on. This is the first that I have heard of this….pg

  17. Larry Ledwick says:

    Over on twitter the question came up about why not all of the F-22’s at Tyndall AFB were flown out prior to hurricane Michael’s arrival. Respondents pointed out that aircraft in major over haul or waiting for critical repair parts would not be movable.

    http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/24204/setting-the-record-straight-on-why-fighter-jets-cant-all-simply-fly-away-to-escape-storms

    Apparently such aircraft were moved into the hanger that had the highest wind rating but it had part of its roof stripped off by the winds.

    I made the suggestion that perhaps they could work out a shelter in place method for such aircraft – sort of an in place revetment shelter that could surround the aircraft even if inside a hanger to protect it from damage due to wind blown debris or even collapse of the structure.
    Given these aircraft cost upwards of $185 million each and are no longer in production it would justify some extraordinary protective measures to protect them if they could not be flown to safety.

    I finally found the report I recalled for protection of industrial equipment from nuclear blast effects. It was done as part of the Dice Throw tests and involved taking critical industrial equipment samples and testing methods to bury them in such a manner that earth arching effects protected them from the high blast over pressures and from the blast winds and flying debris.

    http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a042808.pdf

    I originally envisioned a surrounding revetment structure built out of Hesco barriers topped with a bolted corrugated pipe arch strapped down with the straps set under the Hesco barriers before they are filled with dirt or sand. These Hesco barriers are the large square bags with wire reinforcement filled with dirt that were used in Iraq and Afghanistan for quick construction of protected troop positions.

    In thinking a bit more about it, a better solution might be to use standard ISO shipping containers filled with a water filled bladders and welded together and topped with a corrugated roof arch to form a massive revetment wall structure completely surrounding the aircraft that could quickly be placed and filled with water to give them enough weight to resist the wind forces.

  18. Larry Ledwick says:

    Speaking of aircraft how about this pilot and cross wind landing?

  19. Larry Ledwick says:

    So Sen Elizabeth Warren apparently has less Native American genetic heritage than most Americans have Neanderthal genetic heritage.

    https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/10/15/elizabeth-warren-dna-test-3-percent-native-ancestry/

    https://gizmodo.com/humans-have-even-more-neanderthal-dna-than-we-realized-1819182225

  20. H.R. says:

    Larry, Fauxcahontas’ DNA was DOA.

  21. jim2 says:

    It’s gotta be tough being a Dimowit. Every day you wake up and ask yourself how can I ever out-lie the other Dimowits?

  22. John F. Hultquist says:

    @ Larry Ledwick says:
    15 October 2018 at 6:10 am
    Speaking of aircraft how about this pilot and cross wind landing?

    She must have learned her stuff at Ellensburg’s Bowers Field – KELN.

  23. philjourdan says:

    Re: Fauxcahontas. 3% is the high side. The analysis was 6-10 generations. Which means the low side is .1% And what is even more interesting as (as EM has pointed out many times), most (not all, but MOST) Europeans have .18% due to the fact that the east coast Indians came from Europe “many moons” ago. And even more amusing. When Trump said he had more “Native American blood” than Fauxcahontas, he was correct! He probably has .18%. She has .1%

  24. Larry Ledwick says:

    Want to investigate known faults near where you live in the US?
    Interactive map from USGS allows you to zoom into a location to see known fault zones.

    https://earthquake.usgs.gov/hazards/qfaults/

  25. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    I you or I were on the hook for a few hundred $Million we’d have at least trucked in some sand and tossed tarps over it, then set some shipping containers of rocks on the edges of the tarps… but the Government just buys more and newer instead…

    Didn’t see your link about PG&E until I put the story up, but yeah…

    I’d guess that just about anyone in North America with any ancestry here more than 50 years is going to show a trivial amount of Native American DNA. Just the way the math works out with ever increasing “relatedness” each generation back you go.

    100% 50% 25 12.5 6.25 3.125 so about 5 generations back or about 200 years ago, her Great Great Great Grandparents had one who was an indian…

  26. E.M.Smith says:

    Larry:

    More about drawing trend lines on stock charts than anyone would want to know or needs:
    https://www.incrediblecharts.com/technical/trend_lines.php

    I do about 1/4 of that, mostly just hanging a visual trend line along the tops or bottoms and looking for variance from the general behaviour. I don’t get all wrapped up in a “penetration of the trend” if on a return to the trend line the price goes a small bit past it.

  27. E.M.Smith says:

    I just read the link that said 3%, now I find out it’s really 0.1% to 1.6% and really 6 to 10 generations back. So Great Great Great Great Great Great Great Great Grandparent (singular) was Indian? Heck, I’m likely that much Indian. (There’s about 1/4 of the heritage that is “ill known” as to origin and lost in the accounting – it includes some “French and other stuff” and comes from up in the area where the northern tribes looked kind of European and readily mixed into the local French population before the rest of my “heritage” showed up – the English, Irish & Amish parts).

    OK, maybe I will get a DNA study done. It could be fun claiming “I’m a Hispanic Indian!!!” … Then I could claim folks calling me “White” were using a racial slur… (after all, *I* get to decide what is a slur to me…)

  28. Larry Ledwick says:

    Thanks for the charting link – interesting stuff.

    On the humor in uniform catagory we have this tale of when an RAF aircraft involved in Red Flag had to make an emergency landing at Tonopah home of the F-117 before it was acknowledged to the public.

    https://theaviationgeekclub.com/that-time-a-raf-tornado-made-an-emergency-landing-at-f-117s-top-secret-tonopah-air-force-base/

  29. philjourdan says:

    Then I could claim folks calling me “White” were using a racial slur… (after all, *I* get to decide what is a slur to me…)

    Heck, I will join you! I can prove (lineage) 3/64 (so thrice the max of Fauxcahontas) Native American, and I am sure there is some Hispanic in there (other than French, I am the epitome of mutt).

  30. Serioso says:

    And now for something completely different:

  31. Larry Ledwick says:

    Nice little video – brings back memories of times and places long departed.

  32. ossqss says:

    Have not watched the whole thing, but the beginning was quite good on EW. I really think his idea for trump to pay the the proportion of heritage (1/1024 generously) to her charity. Classic stuff unfolding now days

  33. ossqss says:

    You will want to skip forward a minute to skip the money making add for US postage however. That was a bit tough.

  34. E.M.Smith says:

    @Ossqss:

    From your LOL link:

    There’s one huge caveat in Warren’s DNA test… “Bustamante used samples from Mexico, Peru, and Colombia to stand in for Native American” because “there is an absence of Native American DNA available for comparison.”

    Um, while Hispanics have higher Native American (about 16% IIRC) you can just swap in S. American for N. American… That’s bogus.

  35. E.M.Smith says:

    @Serioso:

    Like that video. Reminds me of where I came from and similar feelings when I go back. Every time I go “home”, that home is less the home where I grew up…

  36. Larry Ledwick says:

    France got some flash flooding from heavy rains:
    From twitter:
    FRANCE 24 English @France24_en
    21 hours ago
    Flash floods killed at least 13 people in southwest #France, as the equivalent of five months of rain fell in just under six hours

    FRANCE 24 English @France24_en
    56 minutes ago

    “In just 45 minutes it (the river) rose and broke everything, it swept it all away. The trees were uprooted and at 3:30 the bridge started to go,” said a resident of the

    FRANCE 24 English @France24_en
    38 minutes ago

    #France flash floods: residents question effectiveness of the alert system put in place by @MeteoFrance. Our reporter @chrismooref24 explains 🔽🔽

  37. Larry Ledwick says:

    Item on the fate of F-22’s at Tyndall AFB

    https://freebeacon.com/national-security/air-force-failed-protect-frontline-f-22-jets-storm/

    We should not have stopped production of these aircraft, and should re-open production with a updated version using technology developed since they were first designed and manufactured.

  38. Simon Derricutt says:

    This one’s fun. The range of hate crimes in the UK is being considered, so that it also will include ageism, misogyny, misandry, and maybe a few others. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-45870948 for the details. I can sue anyone who calls me an old white guy, and the penalties for hate crimes are much higher than for public disorder etc…..

  39. H.R. says:

    My wife’s cousin lives in that neck of the woods in France. Mrs. H.R. only reads certain articles here and just few comments containing links that I know she’ll want to follow. I’m sure she’ll want to check in with her cousin.

    @E.M. regarding my hanging out on your blog: My wife says, “It’s nice you found some friends to play with.”

  40. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump responds to news that a caravan of refugees are forming up in Honduras to march to the US.

    Donald J. Trump
    ‏Verified account
    @realDonaldTrump
    Following @realDonaldTrump
    More
    The United States has strongly informed the President of Honduras that if the large Caravan of people heading to the U.S. is not stopped and brought back to Honduras, no more money or aid will be given to Honduras, effective immediately!

  41. cdquarles says:

    So, Ms. Elizabeth Warren wants to use the old one drop rule, in her favor, as a member of a ‘minority’. Heh, well, she’s in the correct party with respect to that “one drop rule” that made lots of folk be ‘black’. I do have “Indian” ancestry. One full blooded Choctaw female, and mom’s dad looked part Indian. That said, I’m not on any tribal rolls and wouldn’t claim it anyway. I am old enough to remember Jim Crow and said “one drop” rule. So I will wear that one as a badge of honor. Now as far as American mutt goes, I’ll challenge philj on that one any day of the week. ;p

  42. E.M.Smith says:

    @CDQuarles:

    Given certain physical attributes indicate a higher than average Neanderthal component in my genome (hip bones, rounder chest, don’t throw well, large non-gracile hands, “Owl Eyes” skull, head bigger than modern cro-magnon types, etc.) I’m going to be at least up in the 4% high end of average for Neanderthal genes and I’d guess significantly more. Now Fauxcahontas is wanting to claim being a Native American based on a fractional percentage to at most 1.5% or so. OK… The necessary conclusion?

    I’m a Neanderthal and can claim it in the “race” box on forms. Given that most of my ancestors originated from the area near Iberia / France that was the last known refuge of the Neanderthals, that would also evidence a higher percentage. (Hey, if you can claim Hispanic on those grounds, it ought to extend…)

    So by their logic, I am clearly a Neanderthal Hispanic. QED.

    BTW, as the first member of my modern Neanderthal Tribe, I demand that ALL specimens of Neanderthal bones be “repatriated” to me for proper honorifics and religious care of my Ancestors. I am offended by all you folks digging up my family and disrespecting them bones.

    Don’t nobody be callin’ me white either… that was those Cro Magnon invaders.

    You know, the other 95% of my genes…

  43. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well since my grandmother was Hungarian I probably have more “Mongol Horde and Genghis Khan” genetic material than she does Native American (siberian land bridge immigrants).

  44. Another Ian says:

    More on Elizabeth Warren – diagramatically

    “Massachusetts’ First Cherokee Senator”

    https://realclimatescience.com/2018/10/new-yorks-first-cherokee-senator/

  45. Another Ian says:

    “How Much Longer Before the Plague Hits California’s Cities?”

    “FredR
    October 16, 2018 at 11:44 am

    Obviously, if plagues do breakout, it will be result of Global Warming(TM). We will need to severely increase taxes and boost immigration levels to cope with these unprecedented threats.

    What I don’t know now is whether I’m being sarcastic or prophetic.”

    http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/index.php/2018/10/16/how-much-longer-before-the-plague-hits-californias-cities/#comment-1152650

  46. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry L:

    From your link:

    1. Chicago
    2. Los Angeles
    3. New York
    4. Washington, DC
    5. San Francisco
    6. Detroit
    7. Philadelphia
    8. Cleveland
    9. Baltimore
    10. Denver

    Quick quiz: Which of these is run by Republicans?… “tick tock”..

  47. Larry Ledwick says:

    The answer is “None of the above”

  48. philjourdan says:

    @CD

    We’re all very different people. We’re not Watusi. We’re not Spartans. We’re Americans, with a capital ‘A’, huh? You know what that means? Do ya? That means that our forefathers were kicked out of every decent country in the world. We are the wretched refuse. We’re the underdog. We’re mutts! Here’s proof: his nose is cold!

    My nose is cold! :-)

  49. E.M.Smith says:

    Per Hungarians:

    “The researchers try to figure out the prehistory of Hungarians by analysing mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) extracted from bone remains.”

    That ought to read “… prehistory of Hungarian MOTHERS by…” as mtDNA only comes from the mother.

    Now, think that the Huns arriving as a conquering army brought mostly women with them? Or that they kill the men in the place they arrived and took the local women as additional wives (as polygamy was more common then).

    That is one of TWO major flaws with ALL of the mtDNA and Y Chromosome DNA studies. It is only the history of ONE sex and can not be generalized to the whole population.

    (The other is the obscure fact that minor types are lost over time. Once you are, say, 40% Smiths and only one Goldendigavitch, you are one “girls only” family way from no more Goldendigavitch members as they all marry Smiths… It’s simple math that the minor types of mtDNA and Y must be slowly lost from the pool due to families of one sex happening sometimes. Thus “mt Eve” and “Y Adam” are more math than truth.)

  50. Terry Jackson says:

    Washington has a carbon tax on the ballot, https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/washington-voters-to-decide-on-first-of-its-kind-u-s-carbon-fee#gs.oeu=TB0
    Early polls look like it may pass. And all the “right” people support it.

  51. E.M.Smith says:

    Hey, Lisa Haven is on Real.video

    https://www.real.video/channel/lisahaven

    I ran into her on the Roku Youtube channel. A bit “out there” in a few videos, but mostly just Conservative w/ Christian lean. Strongly “anti-Globalist” and pro-Patriot. Her stuff is fun to watch, in a ‘creepy where true’ kind of way. I’ve been mostly using the Roku for her stuff, but will be headed over to real.video now instead.

    An example:

    About Ted Cruz questioning a Google exec over Project Dragonfly (their search engine to track folks in China… for the government.)

    https://www.real.video/5841788931001

  52. E.M.Smith says:

    This one is about the Left going BSC when Kavanaugh was confirmed, then at about 7 minutes has a Leftist 10 Commandments walk-through from the American Thinker that’s pretty good:

    https://www.real.video/5846055227001

  53. Larry Ledwick says:

    By the way wordpress has started running a really obnoxious “window shade” ad that automatically pulls itself down at the top of the page in fire fox and you have click on the tab to make it scroll back up. Not going to go there will now view your site on brave browser which blocks that sort of idiotic intrusive advertisement technique.

  54. Larry Ledwick says:

    Hmmm looks like youtube has crashed in some locations – lots of people reporting it is unreachable, but I can get to it and pull up videos.

  55. Larry Ledwick says:

    Now it is down for me too, get errors on any videos I already know the links too, and the main page does not finish loading completely – they are having a bad day.

  56. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    I’m not seeing the ad, then again, I have very wide ad blocking in my DNS server.. so some sites block me for blocking their ads :-)

    Maybe I’ll test it with other DNS…

  57. E.M.Smith says:

    Yeah, Youtube main site bogs for me too.

    So wonder if it is DDS attack for their banning or just a stupid failed update…

  58. E.M.Smith says:

    I’m voting update.

    Clicking on the “music” tab in the part of the top page that loaded gives

    500 Internal Server Error

    Sorry, something went wrong.

    A team of highly trained monkeys has been dispatched to deal with this situation.
    If you see them, send them this information as text (screenshots frighten them):

    APkpgMU_kkBXdCHz1f4vcPDfuncT3aBZu0BD315_BbBQIh_vgmzoXuIU
    JxFZ1u_n_rDJeuqWDYz6XBgO_1jPsB8LFgftVZh4qwW1viewE7FqcCAO
    […]

  59. E.M.Smith says:

    Not surprising, but interesting. Fails on the Roku App as well. It loads and boots, then spins forever unable to load the top level menu / video choices.

    I suspect someone is frantically trying to reset their cloud / cluster to yesterday and restart their VMs ;-)

    It is moments like this that make me happy to not be on call ;-‘)

  60. Larry Ledwick says:

    I was looking for this earlier and could not find it but someone just retweeted it so – – –

  61. E.M.Smith says:

    Real.Video is still working as is bitchute.com ;-)

  62. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump just put out this notice:
    Donald J. Trump

    Verified account

    @realDonaldTrump
    Following @realDonaldTrump
    More
    Anybody entering the United States illegally will be arrested and detained, prior to being sent back to their country!

    7:24 PM – 16 Oct 2018

  63. Larry Ledwick says:

    Live camera feed from Youtube HQ

  64. E.M.Smith says:

    Vimeo is working…

    https://vimeo.com/watch

    I’ve added links to the “alternatives to youtube” at the top of the “TV” page up top. As I discover others I’ll add them too.

  65. ossqss says:

    Youtube took a worldwide dump at 920 EST, and it wasn’t even a Carrington event. This will be a good test of net dependency for much of the population. Get the popcorn! ;-)

  66. ossqss says:

    That is classic Larry, just classic on HQ. LOL!

  67. E.M.Smith says:

    Interesting. https://invidio.us/ will display a video thumbnail when you search on a name (but there are no suggestions at the top level), then click the thumbnail and it gives an error. so Invidious has a cache of thumbnails and a database for local search; but can’t then reach YouTube through the back-end either.

    So whatever it is is local to YouTube and nobody else has any special way in.

    Once the cached servers ran dry, video serving dried up. so either their server farms or their network access. Yet the top page does load the skeleton of the page, just not the rest of the content.

    My conclusion is that the server farm is the screwed part. How long to bring it back up will depend on how messed up it is, how easy their roll-back path is, and how soon they give up on that latest bright idea ;-)

    I’d guess about 2 more hours… (As a manager type who had to guess such “out of thin air” schedules in the past for demanding upper management and clients… )

    That’s assuming they have redundant data centers with redundant power and this isn’t just some structural stupidity where their data center has suffered complete {power network whatever} failure and comes up after wrenching is done… and the power company gets through the snow…

  68. ossqss says:

    @EM, I would guess a failure of a front end video routing database. Fork in the road got spooned.

    Larry, since HR will bust me, I shared your HQ image on other sites, will full truncated credits!

  69. Larry Ledwick says:

    I stole that image fair and square from twitter so no credits needed.

    Some rumors of a hack causing the outage, When it first went down I was seeing all sorts of things videos would try to load the error, got one screen that looked like it out put a hash of some sort, and I have seen people reporting 503 network errors, co worker was getting reports of a power surge at their head quarters (probably just plausible cover).

    Will be interesting to see how long it takes them to check the databases if they pulled power out from under the servers that can take a while to check and repair indexes etc.

  70. ossqss says:

    It was back up a couple minutes ago.

  71. E.M.Smith says:

    Well, YouTube is back up on the Roku, via Invidious, and direct.

  72. Larry Ledwick says:

    Youtube is back up for me.

  73. E.M.Smith says:

    Interesting…

    The “test case” that popped up on the suggestions is a #walkaway “testimonial”. I hope it is genuine, but who knows.

  74. ossqss says:

    I never knew this movie existed until tonight. I thought Zombies would be bad! Just a matter of time, no? Keep your powder dry. ;-)

    This is just a youtube test.

  75. E.M.Smith says:

    I think this guy has got it right. ( I sure hope he’s got it pegged.) The basic thesis is that the Democrats have run so far radical left so fast they have left behind a lot of good Democrats who just want a safe world to live in with some sense of peace and a safe future.

    I do hope it is a “Jump The Shark” moment for the Democrats and they have outed themselves as duplicitous frauds and trouble makers.

    I would love to see the strategy of “break it” (Cloward & Piven) and “never let a catastrophe go to waste” and the Rage Machine (Marxist doctrine) and the “shout down” (Alinsky Method) and all the rest of the violence and hatred and verbal abuse; all of it fall flat on its face.

    Until that happens it will not be stopped.

  76. E.M.Smith says:

    @Ossqss:

    Well it was back up a lot faster than I’d guessed. That does argue more for a network issue than a whole server farm issue.

    The problem is that typically you have multiple ISPs and load balancers and multiple routers and all manner of redundancy so that just can’t happen at the front end.

    Then again, I’m guessing as they must have something very special to shove the massive Gigs they shove / hour.

    I suppose something like a bad lightning strike could fry a key part of the front end in the brains of the operation…

    One data center where I worked at 2 full size UPS boxes (rooms) on 2 completely isolated mains from different parts of the grid. And a metal flag pole in front of the building.

    Flag pole was a few feet away from any underground services. Turns out a few feet of damp sand are not enough in a major lightning strike. Lightning hit the pole, flashed over to the iron water pipe, and raised the entire ground plane of the building to God Only Knows what. Both UPSs blew. After about an hour going WT? and figuring out it was the UPSs out but line power was still there, the UPSs were just bypassed and the data center brought back up on raw line power while expedited replacement UPS parts were shipped in double pronto!

    A city block sized data center with hundreds of servers running a major global corporation and with full redundancy… taken hard down by the water pipe and flag pole.

    Last I heard they have a fiberglass flag pole now and it’s further over…

    So could something like that do it? Uh, yeah… if it happened where requests were round robin out to various alternative sites for serving. ( I’d design it so there were multiple sites and if any one went down the next one just took over, but even then something must do the negotiating and depending on how its brains get scrambled it can still be an issue – until someone just pulls the plug). It is possible to make geographically diverse sites all look like one to the ROW (Rest Of World) but the routers have to agree to play well together and the DNS games have to not get screwed up…

    Absent some Act Of God (as described above) I’d be more inclined to think someone “pushed an automated update” to some key gear and it took a while to realize that it was broke and then figure the fix to push… It went down just after “end of business” Pacific Time so that’s a plausible. OTOH, it’s prime video serving time so ought not to be scheduled update time…

    It will be fun to see what gets published about cause.

  77. Larry Ledwick says:

    Had something like that happen over at IBM turned out someone or some thing trashed the routing tables, Once that was fixed everything was happy again. Everyone was so busy looking for broken hardware they did not think to check for something as simple a bad routing.

  78. Larry Ledwick says:

    Meanwhile here in Denver we have a power outage that has blacked out about 30,000 customers.
    Supposed to be an issue at a single substation.

    https://www.9news.com/article/news/local/colfax-power-outage-affects-customers-in-denver-aurora/605035137

  79. E.M.Smith says:

    @Ossqss:

    I know, just a youtube test, but…

    Since Carrington came up:

    THE key bit is everyone gets excited because old telegraph lines arced and sparked. They were hundreds to thousands of miles long. That couples well to the frequency of a CME spike. Small objects and short wires do not. So your car is just not going to be well coupled at all to the pulse.

    IMHO that means basically all transportation will continue to be just fine (modulo long wire electric trains coupling well and getting sparks).

    Then all the small home sized and portable Diesel Generators will also not couple well to any spikes. All the RVs of the world ought to be fine too. So all those emergency generators and lighting and all the camp generators of the world ought to be just fine. Every RV park will be an island of light, power, and communications.

    Finally, all sorts of work goes into making various important facilities lightning proof. Cell phone towers. Radio & TV transmitters. Nuclear power plants. IMHO all that stuff will do just fine too.

    What is really at risk? I think it’s the stuff hanging on the poles. Distribution system capacitors, transformers, fuses. Perhaps some of the generation if it isn’t well enough isolated (particularly stuff dependent on sensitive equipment plugged into the power supply to run – think computerized control systems on poor isolation – though anything on a good surge protector ought to be fine – worst case the surge protector fries an you just have to remove it from the power feed. (Which means a worst case is a ‘double tab’ where the 2nd pulse arrives just about the time all the gear is bypassed and back up.. )

    Even then, I’m pretty sure lots of “stuff on the poles” and generation will survive. A 2200 VAC capacitor is a pretty tough bit of gear and there are various kinds of lightning arrestors, ground leads, circuit breakers etc. etc. all over the place designed to protect equipment from surges and lightning. My guess would be about 10% to 25% of grid power would be fried. The rest would be back up in a day or two (or not go down). A lot of new TVs and stereos might need buying, depending on what surge makes it into homes (all my stuff plugs into surge protectors or is isolated when off – my office is on a remote relay and I just chop power when I’m not using it) but a lot will be fine.

    In short I think it will be like just after a really really bad lightning storm, but over 1/2 the globe that’s sun facing.

    Then add in a couple of segments of the grid where they can’t come up until new transformers are shipped in or made…

  80. E.M.Smith says:

    @Ossqss:

    You’re on a tear tonight ;-)

    I found this fascinating:

    During a July 5 rally in Montana, Trump said: “I’m going to get one of those little [DNA testing] kits and in the middle of the debate, when she proclaims she’s of Indian heritage… And we will say, ‘I will give you a million dollars, paid for by Trump, to your favorite charity, if you take the test and it shows you’re an Indian.’ And we’ll see what she does. I have a feeling she will say no, but we will hold it for the debates.”

    When asked what he thought of Warren’s DNA test, Trump said “who cares” – while denying that he offered $1 million, adding “I didn’t say that… you better read it again.”

    Clearly it was a hypothetical future possible that didn’t happen. All the folks touting “Trump Lied!” or just quoting the hypothetical statement without the context of “will in the debates” that didn’t happen.

    Even in the same article where it quotes Trump saying “read it again” they didn’t read it again and say “Golly, that’s a future hypothetical, not an actual real promise in the now”…

    Sigh.

    You would think that that folks trained in English could actually parse it and read it.

    Per Lindsey:

    Yeah, he’s found his mojo ;-)

    I suspect a lot of folks may go for a DNA test to prove the point. IF I could get one done privately where it didn’t enter some grand database I’d be doing it… Or I could hunt up my nephew. He’s a blond blue eyed Celt by looks, but his Dad was clearly part Indian (and had the appearance and known ancestry to confirm it) – IIRC about 1/4. So my nephew ought to be able to claim legitimate tribal membership at the 1/8 to 1/16 range. (Except I think their tribe is defunct…)

  81. E.M.Smith says:

    Another brothers just wanting to live a normal life, tired of the Dems game, moving on. They are lovin’ the “Promises made Promises kept”…


    .
    Two clueful dudes…

  82. ossqss says:

    @EM, I think the concern is mostly with long distance power lines well above ground that criss cross the country. Think of it like a conductive big spiderweb receiver. Let alone everything else connected to the grid electrically, that actually is part of the reciever. I would think the electric potential would quite large and varied. We model solar storms for impact. Think about it,,,,, what database do we really have? Maybe a late 80’s storm in the NE, IIRC.

    I just keep thinking about how extensive a network of wire (pounds, miles, density whatever) was in place during the Carrington event in 1859 across the country and how it compares to what we have nowdays. Think about that for a second. That would be a good trivia question.

  83. Power Grab says:

    I didn’t like the idea of ending up in said database, but my sibling was quite insistent….

    We were _told_ that my siblings and I are 1/16 Choctaw, 1/64 Cherokee, and 1/128 Iroquois. Mom did look like at least the 1/8 Choctaw. So did one sibling.

    But when we had our DNA done by Ancestry and 23 and Me, they didn’t give any Native American percentage at all. One interesting point was that our sibling that spent a few years in the Far East had a tiny percentage of Asian DNA. None of the rest of us do. (Now, where is that article that said that a large part of of DNA actually is contained within the critters of our microbiome? IMHO, that would explain that tiny Asian bit for the one of us who spent time in Asia.)

    Another angle along that line is that (IIRC) 23 and Me has notified us of revisions they’ve done to our computations. I just figure it’s a moving target, and will only continue to fluctuate as they acquire more DNA samples.

    My opinion is that there haven’t been enough Native Americans donating their DNA to the databases to have Native American genes reliably come up in the analyses.

    Another part of our story is that our direct Native American ancestors didn’t want to be on the Dawes Rolls; therefore, we can’t claim Native American ancestry.

    From what I have seen of databases that are supposed to contain reliable Native American data, they tend to have almost none that’s useful, or they have slightly different versions of the same person.

    More recently, I have been told that if we can trace our ancestry back to a Dawes-enrolled sibling of a direct ancestor, then we could get on the rolls and be eligible for perks.

    I figured it would take more time than I have to do the legwork to track that down, and it wouldn’t be worthwhile since I already have 2 debt-free degrees….

  84. E.M.Smith says:

    The problem is that all the long distance parts of the grid are running up about 220,000 VAC already. You just are not going to get anywhere near the volts that are already on it being generated in the wires.

    In the days of Carrington, they were running telegraphs on a few tens of volts from batteries. When they got 200 V on the wire it lit things up and caused strange effects.

    Put 400 V extra DC or slow AC bias on a 220,000 V line and you would not even notice. Probably not even be able to measure it with the typical equipment in place.

    That gets converted to 22,000 V for distribution to the neighborhoods, so a transformer is in the way and that turns your 400 V spike into a 40 V increase. That then hits another transformer that turns it into 2,200 V in top wires behind your house and your “spike” is now 4 V… yet that goes into yet another transformer to make the 220 VAC that comes to your home. Now are you really going to notice the 0.4 V “spike” on that wire?

    That’s why I’m not getting excited about it. The part that’s an effective antenna is running at way high volts and the part that connects to my house is not an effectively coupled antenna.

    What can happen is a surge in something like the ground plane over 500 miles that causes some safety gear to trip and dumps a section of the grid off line as the generators trip. (Like happened in Quebec / North USA but on a hemispheric scale). A couple of days to get things back up and running and a hell of a mess during that time, but not catastrophic end of life as we know it.

  85. Power Grab says:

    Re that Youtube outage spoken of above…does anyone else think it was a test, probably one of several leading up to the election in November?

    Oh, and was anyone here in the voter databases that were hacked and put on the market, that were acquired from several states?

    Not Related: Last weekend I watched the most of the movie “Dr. Zhivago” that I’ve ever watched in one sitting. I hope some viewers took notice of who killed the most people and did the most destruction.

    Also last weekend, I went to a showing of “Meet John Doe”. I had never seen that one before. It sort of made one’s head swim to see the many similarities (fake news, anyone?) with today’s situation, and the plot twists that were included.

    Yet Another Unrelated Question: Does anyone else get the idea that the many efforts to legalize pot and make liquor ever more widely available are simply strategies to get people to roll over and fall asleep, as it were?

  86. E.M.Smith says:

    @Power Grab:

    That is correct. In fact, Warren was compared with South Americans not native North Americans (a fact pointed out by the Cherokee) since there are just not enough known good samples of Native North Americans to do any decent comparison. Which is really why I’m very unlikely to bother, I don’t like doing things based on mistakes and it is a mistake to call Colombian natives a suitable stand-in for East Coast origin tribes like the Cherokee.

    FWIW, my brother-in-law was supposedly descended from some minor band in the rural areas of the South West somewhere. (He said the name, I’ve just forgotten it). A band that merged into the general population back before California was a State IIRC. So all the Dawes Rolls and such just don’t apply. I think they came from along the Colorado River near Nevada. (He was all the way into the back side of L.A. near Riverside and that was 4 generations later… so somewhere down there back of L.A. and this side of the Navajo. Out in the big empty + one river ;-)

    Yes, the more people they get in the system (with verified histories) the more accurate the results. They know that the first results they gave were basically Wild Ass Guesses, and as they fix more of the stupid in their method they “revise” the results. Another reason I’m not keen on it. I’m mostly just interested in my Neanderthal %, but even there there are issues with accurately identifying what is and is not Neanderthal. We just don’t have enough Neanderthal samples.

    Take red hair. They claim Neanderthals were red heads, but “it was a different red-head gene” so modern red hair doesn’t mean anything. Except: Over their couple of hundred thousand years of existence, Neanders would have evolved several variations in the gene. Now if one very different individual from, say, the Lavant, crossed their red hair gene in (eventually to become the Edomites) but that individual is not in the fossil record, we claim it was NOT Neanderthal but Cro Magnon and a separate evolution. It’s just not a supportable claim. So now we claim that gene is Cro Magnon so OTHER genes near it must be too.

    It’s a kind of “mission creep” for the Cro Magnon genes based on too little understanding of the variation in Neanderthals.

    I would speculate that since being hairy is essentially a European trait, and the Neanderthals were cold adapted, it likely came from them. Blacks and Asians are very smooth chested. I’m a bit of a fur ball. Presently that is ascribed to local selection. I’m of the opinion it’s a Neanderthal bit. My best guess is that what makes Europeans European is largely the Neanderthal contribution. And what makes Asians Asian is the Denisovan contribution. Yet large swaths of those genes are assigned to normal variation in the Modern Human. All because we only have a couple of samples of DNA from the ancient forms.

    It would be like finding one person from England with brown eyes and the asserting ALL people from Europe had brown eyes and anyone with any other color was a new mutation. But it is what they do. Oh well.

  87. E.M.Smith says:

    @Power Grab:

    Doubt it was any kind of test. Huge buckets of money are lost when they are not selling commercials…

    I’ve seen all of Dr. Zhivago. Autocratic Governments kill far more than all other folks combined. Always have. Always will.

    I don’t know about “Meet John Doe”. I assume it is some new thing? IMDB lists a 1941 film:
    https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0033891/

    I’m quite sure the pot legalization is an attempt at Soma… Sedating drugs have always been desired to dull the masses. (See “Opium Wars” as an example).

  88. H.R. says:

    @wizz33: Q is interesting and entertaining in multiple ways, but Q’s missives are not actionable.

    The MAGA Agenda is known. The Plan seems to be a good one. The actions we, the public, can take are at the ballot box and being supportive of MAGA policies and candidates.

    Q is reassuring for those whose faith is weak. Otherwise, the information Q imparts has no bearing on the actions I, or anyone for that matter, can take.

    Tell me, wizz33; what concrete actions have you taken in response to anything Q has written? Be specific.

  89. cdquarles says:

    Still, ‘drugs’ were ‘legal’ for almost all of human history. ‘Drugs’ were made illegal, in part, in the early part of the 20th century to control people. ‘Drug’ laws should be repealed, with respect to simple sales, use, and possession. To the extent that there are social side-effects from drugs, the laws should be ‘drunk and disorderly’ misdemeanors only, barring the more egregious homicides or forcible rapes.

  90. H.R. says:

    @cdquarles: Agree that drugs shouldn’t be controlled, but there should be consequences for misusing them and causing harm.

    Drugs are a big problem in manufacturing. Drug use greatly increases the probability of industrial accidents that often can be serious or fatal. Drug use is a big no-no in factories from a safety and productivity standpoint.

    People should have the freedom to do as they will with various substances. It’s just as wrong to regulate diet soda as marijuana. But employers have the freedom to control the rules of the workplace and that may mean “No drugs” even though they are legal.

  91. cdquarles says:

    @ H. R., if you are talking workplace safety, and only that; then I agree. That’s separate from criminal statutes. Now for the other hand. If you are disabled due to chronic pain and the only means available for a person to return to a productive life is long term, monitored, use of opiates; then I say that blanket use of overly sensitive screenings should be tempered with full medical impairment evaluations. And then remember this: there is a lot more in-built variation than most people are aware of. I’d apply this to any field sobriety test. Sure, it’d be a lot more expensive; but then, you’d have fewer innocents unjustly punished by the blanket rule.

  92. H.R. says:

    @cd – Current laws screw the manufacturing company if someone is hurt. At the same time, the General Duty clause of the OSHA act requires an employer to maintain a safe workplace free from recognized hazards, which has always been interpreted when assessing fines as, “Well, you should have recognized that.” Manufacturers actually have to protect workers from their own stupidity or risk crushing fines for failing to do so.

    Someone gets on a forklift drunk and kills someone, it’s the employers fault for failing to figure out a way to keep drunks off of their forklifts. Currently that’s just the way it is.

    Those who must take various performance altering drugs, Rx or not, should be barred from jobs that pose a risk to themselves or others. They should work in jobs where the only consequences are typos, wrong change, or other benign goofups.

    The one to assure that drugs don’t affect workplace safety is the employer, as current law makes the employer responsible for workplace accidents.

    Everything is a choice but choices have consequences. If you want to stay stoned all day and work, you have to accept that you may be limited to the sorts of jobs where perhaps all you have to do is say, “Parking is $5.00….. here’s your change” or “Yeah, we have that in a size 10 in the back.”

  93. cdquarles says:

    @H. R.

    Well, yes, current laws do screw manufacturing companies. Heck, they screw all companies, to a greater or lesser extent, depending on the statute(s) in question. Especially since there is no such thing in real life as “no risk”. What does exist in real life is conditional risk. Conditions matter.

  94. cdquarles says:

    Oh, remember that “stoned” is vernacular that means “intoxicated to the point of impairment”, not “I took a toke”. The same applies to any disease that causes impairment. Take a look at someone in diabetic ketoacidosis, enough to be impaired. You’d be hard pressed to be able to tell the difference between that and ethanol intoxication, without some diagnostic testing and training. Heck, even non diabetics can get hypoglycemic enough or dehydrated enough, given the necessary conditions, such that they’re a risk to themselves or others. All I am saying (good luck given that our system is of lawyers, by lawyers and for lawyers of the power-mad kind) is that zero tolerance can be a cure worse than the disease. [And people wonder why machines replace people whenever it is economically feasible to do it.]

  95. Larry Ledwick says:

    On March 13, 1989 the entire province of Quebec, Canada suffered an electrical power blackout lasting 12 hours due to a Geo Magnetic Disturbances ( GMD ).

    Geo Magnetic Disturbances can have strong effects on power grids regardless of their high voltage. The March 13 1989 power outage due to GMD in Canada is a good example. Due to local low conductivity of the ground and proximity to the oceans substantial currents can move on the power lines as they provide a lower resistance path than the ground to dissipate large earth currents induced by the GMD. Strong currents on the lines and large fluctuations in reactive power on the lines can lead to core saturation of critical transformers and damage due to over voltage & transients created as protective trips drop load to try and maintain normal operating conditions. This combined to cause serious over heating of some major transformers and melting of some of their windings.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_1989_geomagnetic_storm

    https://www.nerc.com/files/1989-Quebec-Disturbance.pdf

  96. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    This line is the point that I was dancing around:

    “damage due to over voltage & transients created as protective trips drop load

    It isn’t the volts on the line that matters. It’s a consequence of the automated response that causes “over heating of some major transformers”. It isn’t blowing up TV sets. It doesn’t cause your cell phone to die. Computers didn’t blow their main boards. Cars did not curl up and die, never to run again. Neighborhood distribution systems did not spark fires everywhere and explode into smoke. Etc. etc.

    There are folks asserting everything electrical will be fried and nothing will ever go again.

    It causes the system to crash, and that crash process causes some damage in some large transformers. There will be a Royal PITA finding enough spares to get everything back to perfect order and some area may well be SOL for a couple of months if they are last on the new transformer list and we’ve run out.

    But my assertion is that, just like Quebec was up in a few days, most (not all…) areas will be back up and running in a few days. It will not knock out steel mills. It will not prevent building new transformers. It will not fry the hundreds of large (truck sized) emergency Diesel generators sitting in lots waiting to be deployed to priority places. Life will go on and things will recover very quickly. I’d guess about a week for 80%+ of the area involved. Folks will not be alone in the cold dark with zero communication for months or forever…

    Compare the doomsday scenarios. They pretty much say “End of all electricity and all civilization forever. No recovery possible. Chaos ensues.” IMHO that’s a nice fantasy for making fiction movie scare stories, but hugely divorced from what will be the reality: A few too many transformers fried as the system crashes, then it comes back up with “holes” in the service area and some of them for a long time as new transformers are air-freighted in from the other side of the globe or new manufactured.

  97. H.R. says:

    @cd – I’m not necessarily arguing for or against zero tolerance, but that is what is currently required by the force of government regulation and a bevy of those lawyers you mentioned.

    I’m pointing out that legalization is a very thorny issue for manufacturing and construction. They are currently boxed in by regulations. Shades of gray tolerance is currently off the table.

    The CEO at the place I retired from did inhale in his younger days (so did I way back in the day). I believe I’m safe in saying that he views marijuana as just one sort of buzz among the many choices of buzz. But when it comes to his responsibility to the company, he has to put aside his personal views and act according to the forces at play right here and now and anticipate the impact of legalization going forward.

    As for diabetics, we had one fellow who was on an insulin pump. He operated the cutoff saw! We didn’t find out until he keeled over a couple of times and we had to call the EMTs. He was let go because the evidence was that his diabetes was not controlled and there was no safe job for him. We had two other diabetics who were in control and were still employed as of my retirement.

  98. Larry Ledwick says:

    Yes I had that debate over on whatsupwiththat a while back you really cannot compare EMP and GMD to each other beyond, they both will take the grid down.

    Very different damage profiles, and causes of the damage. The rise time of the EMP voltages and currents is several orders of magnitude faster than the relatively slow GMD effects which are most comparable to the E3 effects of EMP, and peak voltages are high enough to cause significant arching and magnetic induction coupling which are simply impossible with the slower rise time currents from GMD.

    That said, since we have never had a Carrington class GMD in a modern society, there may be some consequences to a really big one, we are not prepared for (or even understand). Likewise no one in the world has conducted a live test of an optimized EMP weapon (so called super EMP devices) on real infrastructure. There are lots of unknowns to the actual level of damages from an effectively executed EMP attack with highly effective devices especially if multiple devices are used in close time with each other.

    There is a bit of info that came out of the Soviet Union from the times they actually conducted EMP tests over land and real built up areas (which no one else in the world has ever done) that indicates if super EMP devices are as effective as they theoretically are believed to be, the effects might be far worse that most assume and we may have exposures no one anticipates.

    As an emergency planner looking at reports about all sorts of disasters I became a very strong proponent of giving due consideration to “unknown unknowns”. There are countless examples of effects and consequences that were completely unanticipated until they bit someone out of the blue.

    As in Puerto Rico the Florida panhandle will basically have to completely rebuild its electrical infrastructure due to the extent of the damages. Most people are not well prepared for days – weeks or – months without power, especially a wide area where there is no easy run to the next town solution to get power.

  99. E.M.Smith says:

    “There are countless examples of effects and consequences that were completely unanticipated until they bit someone out of the blue.”

    Thus my keeping that 38 year old Diesel in my driveway even though I’m certain I’ll never need it after an “event”… All mechanical. NO electricity needed to operate. (It is helpful, but not required, in the starting process. It can be push started in 2nd gear nicely and I’ve roll started on a small incline from cold that way – as a test). Even the ignition switch fuel cut off is vacuum not electrical.

    I know what I know and I’m pretty good at it. What worries me is the surprises I don’t know…

    As in Puerto Rico the Florida panhandle will basically have to completely rebuild its electrical infrastructure due to the extent of the damages. Most people are not well prepared for days – weeks or – months without power,

    Someone was working there way up to a rant about how it would take “maybe a couple of months” to get electric power restored to (Mexico Beach or Panama City or one of them) while behind them on camera in that place was a scene of rubble on top of concrete pads.

    All I could think of was “Just WHAT are you expecting to connect that electricity TO?”

    There’s just no ‘there there’ to use electric service.

    It will be 3 months of debris clearing and construction set-up before there is even a need for “saw power” (the term means a usually flat rate unmetered power service to a “pole” at a construction site so you can run your construction saws and equipment via drop cords from it.) Even then, construction generators would be fine.

  100. Larry Ledwick says:

    It never ceases to amaze me how people who have never had a real physical job think the Feds should be able to just wave a magic wand and put all the critical infrastructure back together after a disaster.

    It takes years for a community to recover from major flooding not weeks or months, it is a classic case of first things first and power to your destroyed apartment complex comes way after clearing the roads and repairing bridges and making wind blown down trees safe.

    They are still trying to find all the dead, it is going to take a while.

  101. Larry Ledwick says:

    Apparently they are now seeing some looting in the disaster area (not a huge surprise)

    https://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2018/10/looters_florida_hurricane_mich.html

  102. Another Ian says:

    “Was There Nothing That Obama Couldn’t Do?”

    http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/index.php/2018/10/17/was-there-nothing-that-obama-couldnt-do-2/#comments

    See comments by HB and Scar

  103. E.M.Smith says:

    @H.R.:

    Being “red pilled” is itself an action. Changing awareness and attitude is an action. There was nothing in that video that I can categorically say was false. There is much that I know is true.

    So somewhere along the line I became “red pilled”. I don’t know exactly when or how, but it happened. The exposures that helped me on that way are clearly tied back to a “vast right wing” independent mass of individuals taking actions and stating things that point “this way to freedom”. Some of them, no doubt, inspired by Q-Anon.

    So “what specific actions”? Those kinds of diffuse actions described above. BTW, that is exactly the way that a “reactionary movement” or a “resistance underground” works. There is no grand action. There is no “one thing you have done”. There is a shift of attitude and gradual movement from unaware to “helpful” to the actors to eventual active action.

    I’ve moved from “Agenda what?” when I started this blog to actively posting articles about the evil done by the UN and specifics of their Agendas. Was that Q-Anon driven? Who knows. Some perhaps. I’m going to re-watch the video above and see if there are clues on interesting things to explore. I no longer even watch the ABC NBC CBS pMSNBC etc. news most days, and when I do it’s a quick survey of the titles and “dip” into just a few of the stories. I’ve removed myself from the bulk of the propaganda. That itself is an action.

    I now do a “dig here!” on the crap shoved at me and verify it, or find it fraud. (Like the video showing Trump promising $1 Million turned out to be a future hypothetical, not a present reality) Then telling friends inoculates them too.

    That’s the point of a distributed self organizing system. Everyone picks their own role. I have my Cowboy hard hat. Will I use it and back up The Proud Boys in the street somewhere? IF I’m in the area and they need it. So almost certainly not.. but I’m ready to if needed. So my specific action was buying a hat… but behind that is a preparation and attitude. The prep and attitude changes matter too. That’s the kind of change that the Q-Anon stuff motivates folks toward. I’m now more likely to be at some rally and be in place with my hard hat and Motor Cycle leathers behind the Proud Boys when some shit happens. 2 years ago that wasn’t even a thought.

  104. Power Grab says:

    @ E.M. re:

    “I don’t know about “Meet John Doe”. I assume it is some new thing? IMDB lists a 1941 film:
    https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0033891/

    They showed that 1941 one. On a big screen, too! The movie was free, and so was the popcorn and bottled water and lemonade.

    They are going to start having a screening of an old movie once a month. Admission is free, but donations are accepted. ;-)

    It looked like most of the audience was “village elders”.

    I guess I’m on their mailing list. I received a phone call (and I even picked it up. even though it was from an unknown number!) from someone reminding me about the movie. They said the opening scene was about this reporter who was writing up a fake news story because she was being let go after new owners took over their newspaper.

    We had some laughs. I told the caller that I was so excited about being able to see an old movie on a big screen that I even showed up 2 weeks early. (oops!)

    One of the things I especially enjoyed was that they had filmed live action; it wasn’t CGI at all. I’m getting tired of the excessively imaginative CGI stuff they cobble together now. Even on the few TV channels I can stomach, the commercials are usually insanely improbable scenes and situations. I guess someone told them that people won’t watch a commercial if it doesn’t present something stupid or impossible, or both!

  105. Larry Ledwick says:

    How to fake a car bombing mass casualty incident.

  106. E.M.Smith says:

    @Power Grab:

    We have a couple of local theaters (one a chain) that show old and foreign films. “Camera One” grew to several and in Palo Alto they just show old films – Classics. It is wonderful to see the old B&W in full size and Technicolor musicals from the golden age are just stunning.

    @Larry L:

    That video is quite something… I suspect more of that (“spy” video outing “games playing”) will happen over time. Especially with the ability of drones to film from 40000 feet…

  107. Power Grab says:

    Speaking of EMPs and GMDs, here is an interesting article about the Quebec power outage in 1989:

    http://www.solarstorms.org/SWChapter1.html

    That site has several interesting articles.

  108. Another Ian says:

    Next round of Hadley data analysis

    “Hadley excuse implies their quality control might filter out the freak outliers? Not so.”

    http://joannenova.com.au/2018/10/hadley-excuse-implies-their-quality-control-might-filter-out-the-freak-outliers-not-so/#more-61183

  109. Larry Ledwick says:

    Isn’t it amazing that the extreme left and the globalists say exactly what the conservatives would say but their real meaning is actually 180 degrees out of phase with what the same words would mean to conservatives.

    It is part of the inherent double speak in misdirection of the left, say one thing do the opposite while claiming it is accomplishing the cover story intent.

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2018/01/27/soros_trump_will_disappear_in_2020_or_ever_sooner.html

  110. Larry Ledwick says:

    A very interesting story of a woman who made her mark in the US Navy and ship design against all odds.

  111. E.M.Smith says:

    I don’t know if I’ll ever teach my Intro To Computers class again, but Ms. Raye Montague will have a spot in the “Women in Computing History” section. That’s a very interesting bio…

  112. Larry Ledwick says:

    A bit more background on Raye Montague

    https://www.stripes.com/news/us/engineer-who-changed-the-way-the-navy-designed-ships-and-fought-discrimination-dies-at-83-1.552025

    This document may be available on line.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raye_Montague
    From the above wiki
    Career

    Montague joined the United States Navy in 1956 in Washington, D.C., as a clerk typist. At work, she sat next to a 1950s UNIVAC I computer, watching the engineers operate it until one day, when all the engineers were sick, she jumped in to run the machine.[4] She took computer programming at night school while continuing to work and learn the job.[5] She was appointed as a computer systems analyst at the Naval Ship Engineering Center, and later served as the program director for the Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA) Integrated Design, Manufacturing, and Maintenance Program, the division head for the Computer-Aided Design and Computer-Aided Manufacturing (CAD/CAM) Program, and deputy program manager of the Navy’s Information Systems Improvement Program.[3]

    In the 1970s, her department was allotted one month to create a computer-generated ship design. By modifying existing automated systems, Montague produced the initial draft for the Oliver Hazard Perry-class frigate in about 19 hours.[3] With this accomplishment, she became the first person to design a ship using a computer system.[5] She later worked on ships such as the Seawolf-class submarine and the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier Dwight D. Eisenhower. Montague retired in 1990.[3]

    Montague died of congestive heart failure on October 10, 2018, at Baptist Health Medical Center in Little Rock.[6][7]

    http://www.encyclopediaofarkansas.net/encyclopedia/entry-detail.aspx?entryID=5565

    This document came out in June of 1978 so only a few years after her first design efforts.
    http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a444995.pdf

  113. Terry Jackson says:

    Angelo on the revolution
    https://americanmind.org/essays/our-revolutions-logic/
    He presents a case that it has started, but the outcome is uncertain.

  114. E.M.Smith says:

    @Terry Jackson:

    That description of the Greek revolution sure does sound familiar:

    Corcyra’s revolution in 427 BC, the fifth year of the Peloponnesian War, is a paradigm of revolutionary logic. Thucydides tells us that the citizens’ divisions had been of the garden-variety economic kind. Its Assembly had taken an ordinary vote on an ordinary measure. But the vote’s losers, refusing to accept political defeat, brought criminal charges against their opponents’ leader. [Mueller anyone? -EMS.] By thus criminalizing differences over public policy, by using political power to hurt their opponents, they gave the revolutionary spiral its first turn. The spiral might have stopped when the accused was acquitted. [IMHO we are about here. -E.M.Smith] But, he, instead of letting bygones be bygones, convinced the assembly to fine those who had brought the charges. After all, they had to be taught not to do such things again. The assembly approved the fine. But the second use of political power to hurt opponents gave the revolutionary spiral its second turn. Had the original wrongdoers paid up, the problem might have ended right there. Instead, outraged, they gave it the third push, bursting into the Assembly and murdering him. That ended all private haven from political strife. Civil war spiraled into mutual destruction, until the city was well-nigh depopulated.

    I suspect the Mueller Shoe will drop just after the mid-terms. Had he dirt on the Trumps it would have been issued a few week ago. Holding out to after the mid-terms is to give the Dems a chance to take the house and keep it a secret report while hounding Trump with ghosts and specters.

    There’s an off chance of Mueller finding out Hillary ought to be charged and they don’t want to motivate the Democratic Base (or demoralize it?) and that the DNC is in legal trouble; but that would require Mueller to be non-partisan and not have a grudge about Trump passing him over for the head guy job. “Facts not in evidence”…

    So when that shoe drops, the next “turn” is launched (one way or the other) and then it is off to the races…

  115. E.M.Smith says:

    @Terry Jackson:

    Well, I finished the article and a bit of a think.

    Very well written and finely argued. I see no glaring holes in it. Yet it seems too fatalistic to me. Perhaps just my willingness to think better of folks…

    He does not explore some avenues. For example, the long slow slog of replacing justices over 8 years of Trump putting in place those of a non-Progressive nature. The potential expulsion and defunding of the Soros Complex post mid-terms. The question of 10s of thousands of indictments rumored in the wings. The slow reformation of the Agencies as the worst actors resign, retire, are fired, or just die in office. The effects of a truly conservative Supreme Court on all those lower courts… Or just turning loose the Federal Law Enforcement on terrorist groups like Antifa and their promoters.

    Yes, the 2018 election has the potential to ignite a firestorm; but IMHO only if the Democrats take the House (or worse, it and the Senate). IF the Deplorables (and more of us now think us members of the Deplorable Party than 2 years ago…) manage to hold the line, and perhaps even advance it; then the Democrats and Progressives will have a chance to lick their wounds and consider that this is just not the right way to go.

    Then there is the exogenous angle. The EU and their Progressive Agenda are in near collapse. Italy has just tossed a budget gauntlet on the ground. Austria and the Visegrád Group are pushing toward a conservative stance. Germany is having internal political turmoil. What happens to the USA Progressives when their ideological homeland implodes and Soros Money is demanded elsewhere? They have pushed too far globally and it is all coming apart at the same time. For a Globalist Progressive movement, they own all those problems in one batch.

    Not the least of which potential problem would be what to do as the EU disassembles AND a Nationalist Eastern Block starts to reform on its doorstep. Nothing like an existential threat to get folks thinking conservatively… and nationalistically… The incipient Muslim Civil War inside Sweden, France, etc. will likely blow up in the next few years too.

    So I see pathways that were not addressed, and some of them look to be toward a non-revolutionary outcome in America. The vast bulk of all the violent revolutionary push comes from the Socialist / Progressive / Antifa side of things; and that can be quashed. The bulk of the “resist” movement can be quashed with elections and staffing changes. The bulk of the parasitic funding of socialist / progressive NGOs and such can be similarly pruned with a bit more congressional turnover. Has Trump done it yet? Nope, it has only been under 2 years. But he’s got a few hundred other things done and is reshaping the battlefield. Once he has it shaped to his liking, then we’ll see…

  116. Larry Ledwick says:

    By the way E.M. I stumbled across this high security open source email today, you might be interested in. Between two users that both use this serves the emails are end to end encrypted.

    https://protonmail.com

    It looks to be a much better solution to quicky special use email setups like gmail but with real security. They have both a baseline free service and a low cost paid service.

  117. Another Ian says:

    I hadn’t heard of this duck shove that Willis has found

    “Is Google Even-Handed? Is The Bear Catholic?”

    https://rosebyanyothernameblog.wordpress.com/2018/10/18/is-google-even-handed-is-the-bear-catholic/

  118. Larry Ledwick says:

    Utility scale battery storage project here in Colorado to help handle surge loads and renewable energy otherwise not usable.

    https://www.denverpost.com/2018/10/19/utilities-turn-on-battery-power/

  119. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    IMHO there is zero need to use Google and every reason to avoid them. The example Willis found is particularly interesting as IIRC DDG uses some back end google search results. This implies it is quoting the words to force the right search (or Google only biases the ‘comes from human’ pipeline).

    I mostly give Mojeek first shot at a search – it is often not as effective at narrowing in one what I want, but I enjoy seeing the strange stuff it hauls up. Then I’ll go to DuckDuckGo if I need more. I now have Wiki as a direct search engine choice so if I know I just want the wiki, I pick them off the drop-down. Then there’s Amazon if I want to look up a product or “Startpage” if all else fails.

    Then, and only then, will I even consider a Google search.

    Why no Bing? I’m a bigot against Micro$oft… Don’t want them anywhere near my computer.

    What I don’t understand is why Apple, who have championed privacy, have not launched a search engine and taken 35%+ of Google’s business right out the gate…

    @Ossqss:

    Yes, the comments were very interesting.

    Especially the comment that it didn’t happen in Dutch ( I doubt Google has many Dutch speakers to fiddle the search with…) and the link to this article:
    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/10/stunning_85_page_google_memo_the_good_censor_leaked_to_breitbart_.html

    Stunning 85-page Google memo ‘The Good Censor’ leaked to Breitbart
    By Thomas Lifson

    If you are not worried about the power of Google to shape debate and elections according to its leftist political bias, you’re not paying attention. I congratulate Breitbart.com for the scoop, and I urge everyone – I am looking at you, President Trump and Congress – to read and ponder the fate of the Republic unless this company is defanged, most likely by antitrust action, but possibly also via civil courts. Breitbart is mum about how it came to possess the memo, but I do recall that Google is being sued over its dismissal of James Damore for insufficient adherence to its own ideology, and the discovery process in that lawsuit is almost certainly underway.

    The article:
    https://www.breitbart.com/tech/2018/10/09/the-good-censor-leaked-google-briefing-admits-abandonment-of-free-speech-for-safety-and-civility/

    (I’ll believe it is for safety and civility when Antifa is banned and all the insults to conservatives block articles…)

    I’m not linking to the memo as it is on scribd and you must log in with “social media” to download it. Someone needs to tell Brietbart and American Thinker that using abusive media to complain about abusive media is a bad idea…

  120. E.M.Smith says:

    I’ll believe the battery thing is a good idea when it gets my electric bill below 10 ¢ / kW-hr. Until then it’s just trying to make me use 30 ¢ / kW-hr power more of the time…

    Those Turkish police patrolling Germany is way creepy…

  121. josh warren from sedona, biocybernaught says:

    I can’t seem to get weather stations for antarctica on weather underground anymore…. any idea why?

  122. Larry Ledwick says:

    Immigrant caravan stacked up on a bridge trying to get into Mexico. Mexican police blocking their way after they pushed through barricades.

  123. Larry Ledwick says:

    On the search engine item Startpage or ixquick search engine returns basically the google search results but isolates your personal information from them so they cannot gather anything other than the raw search key and the fact it came through the startpage / ixquick system.

    I generally use them because their results have better relevance if the subject is not politically charged. All though I am not a big fan of Microsoft, I now rank them as less evil than google and will use their bing search engine if I need an alternate reference.

  124. E.M.Smith says:

    Watching a video about Putin vs Soros he’s being interviewed by some guy who I think is German (at least his Russian is somewhat accented) and then right in the middle of the 3rd or 4th time Putin asks to be allowed to finish an answer the guy says “But we have so little time and so many quesitons” and Putin answers him with “No, no, no, we have enough time” in perfect unaccented German. Rapid, fluid, native quality. And gives the guy a laughing sly look… knowing he’s just played him a little bit.

    I find myself liking this Putin guy. He’s smart and he’s got skillz…

  125. Larry Ledwick says:

    E.M. you will like this one.

  126. Larry Ledwick says:

    Slowly but surely it will all come out, Federal Judge says he was lied to, and the State Department signed clearly false affidavits.

    https://www.chicksonright.com/youngconservatives/2018/10/18/federal-judge-drops-bomb-i-was-given-false-statements-to-derail-requests-for-clinton-benghazi-docs/

  127. Terry Jackson says:

    @ E.M
    Yep, he does not do much chin pulling, more of a history, and a bit of reference to historical outcomes and results. It is said that the Progressives are only around 15% of the voters, and I suspect the Anarchist faction is smaller still. They make a lot of noise and tend toward violence, but I remember the hardhats of the Reagan years had a low tolerance for silly hippies.

    If (when) the election results are not favorable to the left, I doubt they will engage in contemplation and analysis, but it may not go to all out riot either. To date they have not shown the capacity to analyze, and they attack anyone who suggests demonizing the middle class as racist and sexist deplorables is not going to produce an electoral victory. If there is violence, it will come from the left. If the right pushes back, they will be the ones prosecuted, not the instigators, as the law business has been schooled and trained by the hard left for upwards of 20 years.

    I will be up late watching the results. We can revisit this after the election.

  128. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    Another for your list

    “There is a new Twitter/Facebook being created by OANN, and it’s much more like Twitter than Gab is. I encourage people to get on there, especially if you’ve been banned and are not a happy Gabber. My name is the same there (@WOLFM00N – with two zeroes in moon). It’s easy to enroll.

    https://freetalk.app/

    https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2018/10/20/october-20th-2018-presidential-politics-trump-administration-day-639/comment-page-1/#comment-6178644

  129. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry L:

    Yeah, nice one! “Amish PAC”, who knew? ;-)

    @Another Ian:

    I’ll take a look at it.

    @All:

    And they wonder why the phrase “Fake news” and the demonizing of the media works…

    On CBS Saturday “News” this morning they showed a clip of the fight where Antifa picked off the last couple of guys coming out of a Proud Boys meeting and then got beaten when the Proud Boys defended themselves. ALL they showed was the last minute where one of the Proud Boys was hitting / kicking someone else. Then said “the most violent of the Proud Boys” was up on felony charges AND said “after a meeting of the racist group Proud Boys”…

    UM, I’ve seen zero evidence of them ever doing or saying anything racist.

    Then, the “fight” was entirely a self defense against a surprise assault on them. The attack on the Proud Boys was launched by The Leftists as a deliberate hunting expedition (they had to come to where the meeting was taking place and lurk…)

    There was also zero historical perspective that the Proud Boys formed as a self defense force for pro-conservative political rallies after the police were told to stand down and not do their job of keeping the peace and arresting rioters like Antifa. After Antifa physically assaulted people including bashing a woman in San Jose (while the police watched through glass doors and would not even open them and pull her to safety).

    One hopes that it is just a horrible error on their part, but I don’t see how it could be. Someone had to edit down the film and in the full episode you can see the main group leave, the stragglers, the attack on them, then the defense of self.

    My fear would be that it does look like the “beat down” response went on a little past the “end of the threat” point. He will be offered a “deal” where he pleads guilty to a violent misdemeanor or face felony jail time. A political lever to get the label ‘violent’ attached. I’d hope they go to trial with some big legal bucks behind them and get Antifa on the hook for the original assault.

    The only thing good out of this particular bit of “news” coverage s that it clearly confirms CBS as a lying lefty propaganda operation and not news. The actual facts and story were not presented; while a political smear was applied without reason or evidence. That’s propaganda.

  130. H.R. says:

    Hey! It turns out we picked a really nice RV park to stay in here in Gatlinburg, TN. Love it!

    About a mile or so from the campground, the GPS had us make a left onto Ridge Road. Did so with no “Recalculating” squawks from the GPS. It turns out that we were on the Old Ridge Road and we should have gone about 50-100 yards further to the new Ridge Road parallel to the old one.

    The old bypassed section was about a quarter-mile long. After turning onto the road, only a hundred or so feet in it narrowed to a one-lane road with no indication that it was one-way. I was just hoping no one was coming the other way because there was no pulling over and no backing up.

    The road climbed at about 15°, then eased a 5° stretch, then a 30° stretch to the crest where it went a couple of hundred yard pretty much level. So at the end of the level portion you can see the descent to the T-intersection and stop sign a little over a hundred yards down the hill.

    WTF?!? The first 30 yards were at 30° declination and the remainder was at 45°!!! No kidding!

    [Pause to reflect on God, the Universe, how I have treated my fellow man over the course of my life and just what the heck I was going to do.]

    I couldn’t back the trailer out of that situation. Not an option unless I was granted a second lifetime. The only way was to go down and hope that all the money spent on brakes went towards 1st quality work.

    Well, we made it – standing on the brakes the whole way down – and there was no one coming so I rolled the stop sign while making my right-hand turn… back to the new Ridge Road.

    I have never, ever faced a descent like that in a car, let alone towing 8.500 lbs of trailer, and I have driven on gravel back-roads in the mountains of Colorado, California, Kentucky, and West Virginia.

    Anyhow, I found it to be… interesting.😜

  131. E.M.Smith says:

    Quite a story! Bet you are glad you had the brakes done!

    That’s one of my RV worries. wrong turn onto narrowing road, no turns…

  132. Another Ian says:

    Around that CBS video

    “Remember To Vote!”

    https://realclimatescience.com/2018/10/remember-to-vote/

  133. Larry Ledwick says:

    In an academic sense it is interesting to watch the slow incremental escalation of violence by the crazies on the left. On a more emotional and personal note it is deeply alarming that such behavior is not generating significant comment and condemnation by the politicians on the left and their media shills who briefly report on it, spin it as understandable outrage for the conservative crime du jour and then basically ignore the legal consequences of the acts so that to those not actively following events the violent behavior appears to be without consequence. More worrying still is that a whole generation of young people see this behavior as desirable or at least an excusable response to their flawed view of Capitalism and America.

    First they had random violence against property and symbols, such as the Antifa Black Bloc assaults on commercial properties and government properties during economic protests.

    Then they moved to gradually escalating violence and intimidation of MAGA demonstrators for wearing the wrong hat or carrying a sign or flag that supports President Trump or that opposed key Progressive (Communist) agendas. Randomly labeling any symbol not of the Left as being a hate symbol, painting with a broad brush anyone who used or condoned that symbol (don’t tread on me flag for example) as being the worst sort of racist evil bastards. In so doing they stripped that opponent group of their humanity they became the hated “other group” and violence or intimidation toward them was “Okay” and Politically Correct virtue signalling.

    Now we are seeing overt physical attacks against political candidates or sitting elected leaders.

    It started with the Representative Steve Scalise shooting, and attack on Sen. Rand Paul, both of which simply evaporated out of the news in recent months. Now we are seeing random direct assaults on people involved in political campaigning and seeking office.

    https://www.nationalreview.com/news/two-minnesota-republican-candidates-assaulted

    http://truthnewsnet.org/category/violence-in-the-streets/

    I worry that this slide in restraint into open physical attacks is slowly normalizing such behavior by the average person on the street, and we are in a long slide into 3rd world politics where such behavior is more the norm than the exception.

    This reminds me of the late 1960’s and 1970’s where the same story line was played out with SDS, The Weathermen Underground, The Black Panthers and Symbionese Liberation Army (SLA) to name a few groups.

    Although most of the leftist protesters are clueless LARPers who are pretending to be revolutionary and are weenies who could not fight their way out of a wet paper bag without their Posse of fellow travelers, you can be assured that there are a few true crazy Che Guevara style sociopaths in their numbers. Folks who like Bernadette Doran and William Ayers who are willing and able to go that last mile and affiliate with true terrorist elements and actually engage in lethal force actions in the name of their twisted agenda.

    The current activities of mob shaming of opponents and creating a class of persons which can be publicly humiliated, assaulted doxxed and otherwise terrorized is literally the early stages of what Mao did with the cultural revolution, what the Nazis did to the the Jews, Gypsies and mentally ill, and the Khmer Rouge did with the intellectual class and racial minorities in the killing fields of Cambodia.

    These are the same sort of total nut bag lunatics as Charles Manson and similar Leftist revolutionary groups.

    If the American People the Media and the Government does not push back effectively against this American Cultural Revolution, we are seeing we will be in for some very bad days ahead, as sooner of later, the crazies on the Left will move toward all out revolution. There are a thousand histories of exactly that happening over the last two centuries, people need to wake up and realize this is not just a group of irritating ass holes but a small group of the radical left which is infecting the entire culture with a predisposition for totalitarian control and violence to achieve their agenda because in their mind, they have a divine right to “fix America” and they are going to do it whether we like it or not, and they have no second thoughts that it may be that they are actually the totalitarian police state, and oppressors, the Nazis they try to see in everyone else.

  134. jim2 says:

    This guy took his story to the same reporter that handled Ford’s breakout. It went nowhere. From the article:

    He claims Booker followed him to the bathroom, touched him inappropriately, and approached him for oral sex.

    The man says he reached out to two lawyers earlier this month disclosing his name, date, location, corroborating evidence, and two possible hearsay witnesses.

    The reported victim also said watching Booker’s defense of alleged sexual assault victims was “laughably ironic, jarringly cringe-worthy, and triggering” leading him to speak out.

    https://www.oann.com/democrat-new-jersey-senator-cory-booker-accused-of-sexually-assaulting-a-man/

  135. Larry Ledwick says:

    Meanwhile in France, a Teacher is robbed at gun point in class?

    I don’t know French so the spoken sound track is lost to me, but the caption information implies that is what is going on.

  136. Larry Ledwick says:

    Okay time to pop some pop corn :

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/economy/trump-says-major-tax-cut-for-middle-income-people-coming-in-10-days

    The $64,000 question is – – – is this trolling the media to force them to discuss taxes and accidentally promote what President Trump has already done on taxes?

    – or –

    Is this a legitimate new proposal October/November surprise which will totally nuke the Democratic positions since several of them have already gone on record that if they get power, they will try to back out of the already approved Trump tax proposals?

  137. Larry Ledwick says:

    Meanwhile China has placed undersea sensors just of the coast near US nuclear submarine base in the northwest. Some are concerned this is more than just academic under sea research but rather a first step toward establishing a Chinese SOSUS, network.

    https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/2169474/canada-installs-chinese-underwater-monitoring-devices-next-us

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SOSUS

  138. Pingback: W.O.O.D. – 21 October 2018 | Musings from the Chiefio

  139. E.M.Smith says:

    Per the Chinese listening stations: would be interesting to send out a submersible and pick one up, leaving behind an I.O.U. ;-)

    On the tax cut: Doesn’t that take congressional action?

  140. Larry Ledwick says:

    Just a little followup on the proton mail secure email application.

    I set up an account on https://protonmail.com as noted in my comments above and have been playing with it a bit. I intend to use it as a secure email (yes I know no email is totally secure) which is only known to a few close friends.

    It as mentioned in its information pages, uses well vetted open source implementations of AES, RSA, and OpenPGP. When sending email between two users that are both on protonmail the communication is end to end encrypted. Being encrypted before it ever hits the network. There is also a means to send an encrypted message to a non-user but you would have to send them the password to decrypt the message. The whole structure is set up to maximize security, to the extent a public business can, they do not record any IP information and even they cannot decrypt your traffic because that happens at the user level. The originators of this application came out of CERN so have a strong background in computers and security.

    https://protonmail.com/security-details

    So far, it seems to be the real deal, opening a private free account (like gmail the low end account is free) takes literally seconds if you already have decided on a username and password.

    The most difficult thing for me, was deciding on what I wanted to use for the user name and password that I was likely not to forget. (if you forget your password your old email messages are lost and are not able to be recovered ). From reading online it appears if you do forget your password, there is a method to reset your password but you will not have access to your old emails after the reset.

    If you buy the paid subscriptions, they also have some additional features like vpn service, or compatibility with tor, so I will probably get a subscription in a little while after I get a feel for what can and cannot be done with the free account.

    If you need a disposable email to make a purchase or subscribe to something, this seems like a much better idea than gmail since the big G will not be able to track who you were connecting too.

    The only hint of vulnerability I have seen is how secure the browser implementation of the web interface is. That is not a big concern to me as it is probably no less safe that 1000 other things you do on your browser and since in my case I will only share this email account with maybe 5-10 people who I trust to send me things which are safe. There are a few obscure deep hacks possible if someone penetrated their system but you are talking NSA and GRU level hacking here.

    In my case I am using this for personal PII type communications with very close trusted friends I can rarely talk to face to face where you don’t have to worry about discussing medical issues, insurance issues or other sensitive topics like banking information. The resume’s of the people involve are pretty impressive. (of course you have to take on faith that the presented resume is not puffery or bogus). Is it NSA proof, or nation state hacker proof, no probably not, but it is a whole lot better than using open text email systems like gmail for the kind of things most users need to secure, like personal finance information, discussions with business partners or lawyers and legal matters etc.

    They also have a vpn service
    [https://protonvpn.com/]

    The pricing for the paid subscriptions seems reasonable to me.

    [https://protonvpn.com/pricing]

    For what it is worth!

    This is a security discussion about protonmail which is 3 years old, it discusses some of the possible issues (local applications for smart phones are now available)

    https://www.wired.com/2015/10/mr-robot-uses-protonmail-still-isnt-fully-secure/

    Less than 1 year old
    https://www.quora.com/Is-ProtonMail-secure

    By the way a quick search on “problems with proton mail” came back with only a handful of system is down type routine outages etc. but I did not see any horror stories with a quick look.

    https://techcrunch.com/2018/06/27/protonmail-suffers-ddos-attack-that-takes-its-email-service-down-for-minutes/

    A discussion of moving to protonmail from other email services. ( I decided to split my traffic my old email will remain active but select emails will only be conducted on protonmail).

    https://www.kamshin.com/2017/02/move-gmail-protonmail-comprehensive-report-gaining-back-privacy/

    The country of Turkey has blocked protonmail so apparently it is enough of a threat to a totalitarian govt to have it denied access to their citizens

  141. beththeserf says:

    llanfar re that man behind the curtain, Mister Soros,
    that deep state, it’s deeply interconnecting. From my own readings…
    Soros’ funds action to shut down alternative view free speech via orchestrated
    protest movements that adopt violent tactics. These anti-free-speech assaults
    include the 2017 May Day Riots across the US, the California University, Berkeley,
    the violent protests \in February to prevent Milo Yiannopoulos’ speaking at the
    University, and include the Anti-Trump Inauguration protest in Washington. in
    January 2017.

    A leftwing organization called Rise-Up Org. that claimed responsibility for the
    May Day violence that erupted across the US on May 1st, 2017, is a left-wing
    organization financed by Alliance for Global Justice, one of Soros’ top 150,
    seven figure grantees. It is also funded, indirectly by Tides Foundation, number
    three on OSF grantee list. Tidegave AfGJ $50, 000, according to the AfGJ 990
    tax form.

    http://dailycaller.com/2017/02/03/look-who-funds-the-group-behind-the-call-to-arms-at-milos-berkeley-event/

    Many inter-connections, Rise-up is connected to Antifa, and Antifa is an alias of
    Refuse Fascism, which is sponsored by AFGJ which is funded by Tides Foundation
    which is also funded by Soros’ Open Society Foundation… Get it? Here are two links
    that reveal the Rise Up Org. trail.:

    https://medium.com/@Sard0n1ca/how-soros-came-to-own-or-fund-antifa-is-irrelevant-to-this-discussion-b53a5b9e3283

    Another Look Into Antifa’s Shady Connections.

    Hope links work. I’m finding other Soros inter-connections.

  142. E.M.Smith says:

    Fixed up the last link for you…

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