W.O.O.D. 12 January 2019


This is another of the W.O.O.D. series of semi-regular
Weekly Occasional Open Discussions.
(i.e. if I forget and skip one, no big)

Immediate prior one here:

and remains open for threads running there
(at least until the ‘several month’ auto-close of comments on stale threads).

Canonical list of old ones here:

So use “Tips” for “Oooh, look at the interesting ponder thing!”
and “W.O.O.D” for “Did you see what just happened?! What did you think about it?”

What’s Going On?

I’m back from a flash-marathon coast-to-coast-to-coast dash of about 5700 miles in about 2 weeks… Oh Joy – NOT! Don’t ask why. There were a couple of things with time dependency that I needed to do in Florida plus 2 back here just after them, one yesterday… Yes, it would have been more effective to fly, had I time to book 3 months in advance and if rental cars were not such a PITA these days… The world has made air travel pretty crappy when it is more convenient to drive coast to coast than it is to fly (deal with security lines, TSA “Your PAPERS Please!!”, getting there 3 hours early, having your fight canceled, spending the night on a bench in the Denver Airport due to wind in the Rockies, eating crap from ‘whatever is open’ at 3 AM, spending an hour getting a rental car to find out you have signed your life away, etc. etc. and getting to pay $800 for a $200 flight because you didn’t book it 4 weeks in advance on a maybe…) But everything is now taken care of for another year.

Yesterday was the California DMV. I renewed my California driver license. They seemed to know I had an out of State license (asked “Have you had an out of State license?” to which I answered truthfully “yes”) but didn’t say my California license had been canceled or anything so maybe it was still valid. In any case, it was a standard ‘renewal’ process plus written test. I failed the Motorcycle “written” (on a computer now) the first time as they have nutty ideas of what part of the lane you “ought” to ride in at various times. My rule is “ride in the best least oily part of the lane that lets you avoid accidents and tells cars it is MY lane and I don’t share well” and that varies dramatically with the texture of the road and what is going on around you. They have “fixed ideas”. Often in conflict with the MC Class mandated for my Son (I sat in on it with him) where they properly said to avoid the grease / oil stripe in the middle of the lane most of the time.) Then there were the nutty “all of them are right” choices. Like “What matters to safety?” with choices of what amounted to “situational awareness” said badly, your protective gear, or knowing your motorcycle. Well Situational Awareness matters right up until the unavoidable happens, then it’s “do I know this bike enough to avoid that jerk?”, then it’s protective gear time. They ALL are most important just at different times. So, OK, count down from 120 so the 2 minute timer to retake expires and then passed it on the second go with their stupid answers.

Now I get to wait 2 weeks for the license to arrive in the mail (no, they can’t actually make one on site, unlike Florida…) then I’ll check in with the online Florida site and see if this caused the Florida one to be cancelled. I’d originally just wanted to find out IF my California license was still valid (in which case I’d renew) or had it been cancelled via getting the Florida one (in which case I’d have just ‘let it go’ and kept the Florida one as it doesn’t expire for 4 more years anyway and I’m going to be permanently there soon enough). But there was no way I could find on line to find out “current status” and on arrival at the DMV I got tracked into the renewal process so just “road it out”. It used to be that Florida would just give you a license as a snowbird for the 6 mos you were there, and you didn’t end up with the constant flip-flop from one State to the other. Now, post “Real ID” requirements, there’s this situation where 10 days (or maybe 2 weeks) after arrival at either end you are REQUIRED by law to change licenses (which now lots of folks just ignore…) so in theory 2 x each year the Snowbirds get to do the “DMV Thing” all over again. For me, it would have been 4 times in one particular year. Just stupid. So maybe I’ll still have both, or maybe in a few more months I’ll be back at the Florida DMV…

I’ve not kept up on the status of BREXIT. IIRC it’s supposed to pick up the process again in a week or so. The Yellow Vests were partly placated, but went ahead and protested anyway. I need to find out their status too.

Trump had a meeting about The Wall – under military rules. I suspect so anyone who leaked could be put in the slammer under UCMJ rules ;-)

I still like the idea of just having the Army practice “road building and barrier erection” all along the border. There’s a new crop of recruits who get to learn all that every few months anyway (they presently build / tear down over and over again on bases…) so just assign the Military to “protect the border”.

Stock market has been on a very nice up run from a down spike, but is Not Yet Confirmed as a reversal to the upside.

SPY 1 year daily for 12 January 2019

SPY 1 year daily for 12 January 2019

Price is above PSAR (those red dots) so a trade-in situation from that last down spike. But only now is it reaching the SMA Simple Moving Average stack. This is the time of testing. In a down trend (SMA stack inverted with fastest on the bottom) the presumption is it returns to the SMA stack and then has another down leg. This holds until such time as prices managed to “punch through” the SMA stack, return to it from above and bounce off to the upside. Only then does the “trend bias” swap from Bear Market Rules to Bull Market Rules.

Looking at volume, it is FALLING as prices rise. Not good for the Bull Case… There was a good ‘trade-in’ opportunity back where MACD went to “blue on top” and where DMI had the Red cross the Black ADX line; HOWEVER we are still MACD below zero and DMI has ‘red over blue’ so still Bear Market Rules. Trades end when prices return to the SMA stack – then you decide is it another Bear Run (so trade short) or do we get a confirmed reversal?

So far, it’s just looking like a garden variety up-spike in a down market trend. (Eventually these will always reverse, but you simply can not know the number of “down legs” before the reversal becomes real. You can GUESS or you can WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION but you can not accurately PREDICT.)

With that, I’m back at my workstation and can once again post in comfort ;-)

FWIW, while transiting the country, I was pondering the best Database Structure for bringing all the various temperature datasets into one easy to compare place. I think I may have a decent idea on it, but it will take some manual work. The basic problem is that the prior structures used by the climate folks use Country as part of the ordering / key and countries change over time; plus they use “WMO” number but that has a couple of variations over time ( original was shorter, then they added a ‘version’ for when there were a few thermometers at a place, now they have ‘homogenized away’ the version number). I was thinking that an “ascension” value to denote just which / when NCDC / Hadley / whoever data set it was, then a WMO+Version key to the particular Thermometer or Homogenized would likely do it. So XXXXXyyZ where XXXXX is the WMO number (that seems to not change much) and yy is the Version for those sets that have it, and where Z is either V or H for ‘with version’ or ‘homogenized’ and with other flags possible as needed.

I THINK that would let me load all temperatures from all the data sets (with things like ‘date of ascension’, country code and continent and all as dependent values rather than key portions) for all versions. Then comparing the change of values over time and over datasets would be fairly simple to code. Maybe ;-) More on this “someday” as I putter on it.

I also put some think time on the problem of “shaping their ends”… Part of the “mystery sauce” IMHO is likely to be that they start life for a given instantiation of a thermometer in a cold period, then end it in a hot period. Now that cyclical sine wave becomes an “uptrend” and is ‘averaged in’ forever to the overall (bogus) warming ‘trend’. So how to detect that, and fix (sorry “adjust”…) it? Well, I had two thoughts. One was to fit a trend line to a given thermometer data set, then prune the lead in and exit back to the trend line. It shortens the history but reduces (doesn’t fully eliminate though) the entry and end biasing. Measuring how much of that was needed would say something about how many sets start low and end high vs start high and end low. Similarly, the “trend before” vs “trend after” would also say something about trend lines fitted to cyclical data with chosen starting point and end point…

The other thought was just to plot a scatter diagram for each thermometer for each “month” over years. So, for example, have ALL December data for Casper Wyoming plotted as temp divergence from trend up/down and year right/left. Then look at it. Is it more or less random, or do the early years diverge below trend and the later years above? Is there a cycle in the middle and the ends set the trend? Repeat for the 1200 major thermometers (so 14400 graphs) and maybe then the 6000 ish total (so about 72000 graphs) then come up with some automated way to evaluate them ;-)

Thoughts? Ideas? Likely a few months before I “go there”… and start writing some kind of code. It would be nice if there were some prior art on detecting bogus trend lines in cyclical statistics via end effects; but I’m not in touch with the field enough to know what search terms to use for my search-foo on this one.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
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168 Responses to W.O.O.D. 12 January 2019

  1. jim2 says:

    I have to wonder when enough people will protest stuff like this enough to kill it … from the article:
    Whether by generating alerts about drowsiness, unfastened seat belts or wallets left in the backseat, the emerging technology aims not only to cut back on distracted driving and other undesirable behavior, but eventually help automakers and ride-hailing companies make money from data generated inside the vehicle… Data from the cameras is analyzed with image recognition software to determine whether a driver is looking at his cellphone or the dashboard, turned away, or getting sleepy, to cite a few examples… European car safety rating program Euro NCAP has proposed that cars with driver monitoring for 2020 should earn higher ratings…


  2. Larry Ledwick says:

    The only idea that comes to mind for detecting that bogus trend due to start stop time would be to do a scatter plot but color code the dots by age (first group in the data set say yellow, middle group in the data set blue, last data i the data set red) then look at the scatter plot and see if all the yellows are below the trend line, all the blue are near the trend line and all the red above the trend line.

    If the temperature data sets were intentionally picked to let the cyclic behavior of the weather skew the results you would get that clear flag of all the early plots clustered together and all the late plots clustered together.

    Just an off the top of my head observation without a lot of deep thought.

  3. A C Osborn says:

    I think one area of research needed, especially for the USA is adding and subtracting of Weather Stations.
    In a WUWT thread on Tony helers use of Actual values instead of anomolies Zeke presented a couple of graphs of actual data.
    The US one had major step changes in the data that do not seem to exist anywhere else.
    When I pointed this out on a later thread on temp measurements a poster did an investigation and found that the sudden change in temps was because they had dropped certain sites and used others in their place.
    This is the USA

    This is the Global

    This is the same global data as gridded anomolies.

    I am not sure if I can find post where the commentor found the Site data, but if you think it worthwhile I will take a look.

  4. A C Osborn says:

    ps compare the Absolute & anomaly data, there is absolutely no correlation, you would never believe it is based on the same data.

  5. John F. Hultquist says:

    The weather is exciting in some places; southern Germany and the Alps, and in the USA sweeping across a mid-tier of places that don’t handle snow very well.
    Up off the coast of B.C., WA, & OR there is a blocking event. In our case with snow on the ground, we are getting 10 days of fog. The more interesting weather systems continue into CA. The NWS doesn’t make public a forecast beyond 7 days.
    Just for the fun of it (I don’t ski), I’d like to see the Cascades get 5 or 6 feet of new snow by Feb. 1.
    That has happened in the past, but not often.

  6. Larry Ledwick says:

    This is interesting – apprently the Putin policies in Russia and sanctions are starting to hit the people hard with food costs so high they package eggs in cartons of 9 to make the unit cost affordable to buy.


  7. Larry Ledwick says:

    Looks like they got the conversion to dollars way wrong it is not $28 USD for 18 eggs but basically the same as we pay just slightly over 10 cents an egg.

  8. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well we finally have some info on the Davis Ca shooter who killed officer Natalie Corona.

    It looks like he was someone who had long time mental issues from this description, he thought the city was beaming him with ultrasonic waves intended to control dog barking.

  9. John F. Hultquist says:

    … & I can’t live this way anymore”

    It is probably not possible to understand the reasoning going from the above to killing someone else.
    Other things are understandable, and still not accepted by polite society. Suicide of older males, for example; or a murder-suicide when one member of a couple has suffered long and the other cannot cope.

    Thou shalt not kill.
    This is no longer an accepted saying, rule, or moral imperative. It sounds too much like religion. The fellow in the photo is no longer a kid, but we do have kids killing kids. Why?
    Just maybe “Thou shalt not kill” ought to be drummed into every head

  10. Another Ian says:

    “IF YOU HAVE A GUN, YOU CAN ROB A BANK. But if you have a bank, you can rob an entire nation.”

    A bit on “how to”


  11. Another Ian says:

    Will Anti-Wanking Legislation finally secure Government Control of Internet Access?”


  12. jim2 says:

    The Greg Gutfeld show has a real talent for finding some of the best Trump and staff moments on video. The show is hilarious and a bit cheesy at times. But very funny nonetheless. One clip was this one, skip to 10:34.

  13. ossqss says:

    Hey HR, looks like Ohio weather may be coming to visit next weekend. Better find the babushka just in case it does! ;-)

  14. jim2 says:

    When buying property in Florida, how do you ensure it’s not over a potential sink hole?

  15. jim2 says:

    In that Trump video @https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2019/01/12/w-o-o-d-12-january-2019/#comment-106191, the moment in question is about 30 sec before 10:34.

  16. H.R. says:

    @ossqss; Forecast for home was 4″-6″ of snow. We got lucky and only got the 4″.

    I’ve been watching the forecast for Clearwater-St. Pete region and next week looks to be cold. Well, cold for Florida, that is. I’ll still be in shorts. What I didn’t see was any big storms leading the cold front. That seems odd to me because precipitation would be guaranteed at home with a temperature drop like that, but maybe that pattern doesn’t hold here in Florida.

  17. ossqss says:


    Well, this is not new from my old links, but would be a good start. Sinkholes, are consistent over a large, ancient, limestone peninsula map.


    I would certainly avoid high incident prone areas.

    I remember this from a few years back on such! Very sad, and updated……. definitely one of those WTF question marks…..



  18. H.R. says:

    Best… One… EVAH! (Stole this from a comment on The Conservative Treehouse)

  19. Larry Ledwick says:

    Looks like another major power grab disguised as voter rights is underway by the new congress.
    New bill being proposed will shift control of elections from the states to Wash DC.


  20. Larry Geiger says:

    You don’t have a reservation… :-)
    I’m going to chuckle all day now.

  21. Larry Ledwick says:

    Very interesting interview that discusses the long term problem with illegal immigration and some other issues from Tracy Beanz on twitter:



  22. E.M.Smith says:


    Yeah, the EU is in trouble. They are hiding it as best they can, but the internal financial pressures are huge. Germany had a big drop in car sales / production. What I find amazing is they push propaganda about how Evil and HORRIBLE it is to use a car; drive fuel prices to insane levels, cheat on smog testing; then they are surprised sales are off? Sheesh…


    If you wake up one morning and your house is disappearing into a sink hole, it was over one; don’t buy it. If not sinking, it was a good buy. For now….

    In theory some very expensive ground sonar can help, but in reality not so much as the water looks a lot like non-water. Essentially the whole place is a limestone coral bar and slowly dissolving. You might consider why Lake County has that name and try a different county ;-)

    When in the RV resort, the hotel across the street lost one building to a sink hole. Nobody seemed to care other than those on that property. It’s like tornadoes. You know the frequency, but not the exact place, so just deal with it if it happens….


    Yeah, that’s a good one ;-)


    Someone needs to polish off the 10th Amendment and start taking things to The Supremes…

  23. Larry Ledwick says:

    Hmmm looks like California power provider PG&E is going to file bankruptcy due to liabilities from the fires.


  24. jim2 says:

    If you scroll down to the bottom of the page of the first sinkhole link, there are a bunch more related maps.

  25. H.R. says:

    The sinkholes don’t appear to be related to phosphate mining. When you mentally overlay the sinkhole map on the phosphate mining map. They seem to relate more to the areas colored for Fill and Sand, though I’m having trouble telling those two yellows apart. I think one is probably orange, but they look to be the same color to me.

    I’m imagining the cause of sinkholes to being similar to a paver patio. When the base is first laid down, the pavers lay flat. But as the underlying base slowly gets washed out the pavers dip into the voids.

    As Florida ‘ages’ the sand that filled all the voids in the coral/limestone is being slowly washed away and the surface falls into the voids. That, and where the sand is gone, the coral/limestone is exposed to increasing washing by acidic water reaching ever more of the surfaces of the stone. I’d suppose that adding weight on surface doesn’t help much if there is a void starting.

    States in the Midwest have a limestone basement from the inland sea that once covered a great portion of central North America. The subsequent erosion and runoff from the glaciations exposed some of the limestone and formed caves. The difference is that the water flow and drainage over the great inland sea was a lot different than the the flow and drainage in Florida.

    Consider the ‘sinkhole’ that is the Niagra River. The falls have been retreating because there is a strong flow concentrated through that valley between the Great Lakes. The topography funnels the flow through a narrow region. Now consider the topography of Florida. There aren’t many hills and mountains to collect and direct strong flows of water. Water is everywhere close to the surface, but there’s no whitewater rafting going on without those hills to encourage swift, stone eroding flows of water.

    That’s the Reader’s Digest version of my guess as to why there are lots of sinkholes in Florida, yet elsewhere in the country where the limestone was laid down pretty much the same as in Florida, there are far fewer sinkholes, but they do occur.

    One notable example was the sinkhole that opened up in Bowling Green Kentucky about 5 years ago… right under the National Corvette Museum.


  26. corsair red says:

    One of those maps shows 0-4 sinkholes in the 4 westernmost counties. I live in one of those. I cannot remember any report of a sinkhole in this county or the ones on either side.

  27. corsair red says:

    ” There aren’t many hills and mountains . . . ”
    You misspelled any. :-)

  28. H.R. says:

    @red – Shhh! We don’t want to scare off anyone who might be interested in investing in the Florida Downhill Skiing industry, so a little promoter’s puffery is warranted in this case.

    Only two obstacles to overcome and Florida Downhill Skiing will take off like a rocket. First problem is to find some appropriate slopes. Second problem is the snow factor, but I figure the start of the next stadial will take care of that. The slopes, though… that’s a toughie.

  29. E.M.Smith says:

    The key to sinkholes is to understand Karst Topography:

    Karst is a topography formed from the dissolution of soluble rocks such as limestone, dolomite, and gypsum. It is characterized by underground drainage systems with sinkholes and caves. It has also been documented for more weathering-resistant rocks, such as quartzite, given the right conditions. Subterranean drainage may limit surface water, with few to no rivers or lakes. However, in regions where the dissolved bedrock is covered (perhaps by debris) or confined by one or more superimposed non-soluble rock strata, distinctive karst features may occur only at subsurface levels and be totally missing above ground.

    The study of karst is considered of prime importance in petroleum geology since as much as 50% of the world’s hydrocarbon reserves are hosted in porous karst

    Florida is a limestone peninsula covered in sand covered in forest. This makes an acid soil where much of the drainage is into the sand and then the limestone, that dissolves slowly over decades / centuries. The underground drainage eventually thinning the support for the surface enough that it falls in making a sinkhole, or pond, or lake.

    Per Florida Skiing: You already have competition:


    Congratulations, you have just found the greatest web-site for your snow skiing / snowboarding experience. Our snow ski club offers the best value in snow skiing from anywhere in the United States, Canada, and Europe; however our primary group departs out of Tampa, Florida.

    The more you know about snow skiing the better you will like Florida Ski Adventures.

    Optimism, it’s a thing!

  30. corsair red says:

    @H.R. and E.M.Smith,
    How many times do I have to tell you? The challenge, the money, is in The Florida Uphill Skiing Industry! Anybody can ski downhill.
    Florida Ski Adventures: What part of FL is Big Sky Montana in? Or is that the name of the lodge?

  31. H.R. says:

    @red – Uphill skiing? Now that’s a slippery slope. Pretty soon you’ll have ski bunny gangs all over Florida and the whole place will go to hell. People will start wintering in Yellowknife just to get away from the mayhem.

  32. E.M.Smith says:

    You can’t expect uphill skiing to work for long. Eventually everyone ends up running into everyone else at the peak of the mountain. Your medical liability will just kill your business model!

    What we need is circular skiing around the hills…

  33. A C Osborn says:

    No EM spiral Skiing up & dow & up etc.

  34. C M VICUNA says:

    Alkalinization or acidification are terms used for comparing with the normal situation you dumbass chemical geniuses. If I read a thermometer and said that some point of Siberia is becoming hotter with a temperature of -25 Celsius, that doesn’t mean that is not cold, that only means that is hotter compared with -26 Celsius.

  35. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item here regarding the background of John Durham United States Attorney for the District of Connecticut (may be a prosecutor working in the background to clean up the FBI ??)

  36. Larry Ledwick says:

    And for our chuckle of the day we have a congress person getting handed their ass.

  37. Larry Ledwick says:

    Authority of the President to use Emergency powers for border barrier construction.


  38. philjourdan says:

    @jim2 says:13 January 2019 at 8:55 pm

    When buying property in Florida, how do you ensure it’s not over a potential sink hole?

    Just like stocks – buy at the bottom (of the sink hole) :-)

  39. jim2 says:

    PJ @ https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2019/01/12/w-o-o-d-12-january-2019/#comment-106311

    Maybe one could build a below-ground, atrium style home? The kooks and crannies would make great storage cubbies. :)

  40. philjourdan says:

    “No EM spiral Skiing up & dow & up etc.”

    No, Mobius skiing

  41. ossqss says:

    Hummmmm, the Florida moutains are called an overpass. Just sayin…… you would be surprised, geographically, what you can see from those mountains. What is it, 18 miles for distance visability purpose with curvature?

  42. Larry Ledwick says:

    Umm I can see it now
    “Ski exit 40 or shop at our gift store and bar at the shell station”

  43. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well this is an interesting thought? The President could save enough money to build the wall by laying off unnecessary workers. (please start with the EPA Mr. President)


  44. Power Grab says:

    @ Larry Ledwick re laying off furloughed workers:

    I had wondered about how feasible that might be! ;-)

    Another option might be to offer the furloughed workers the option of going to the border and getting paid to help build the wall. Once that was done, they could be offered their old job back. The ones who didn’t want to help build the wall can go to the end of the line of job applicants for some other industry.

    Since the folks who don’t want a wall are essentially traitors (in my book), it might help wake them up if they’re allowed to twist in the wind…

    I know…dream on!

    It’s obvious why they don’t pay me to set the rules! ;-)

  45. Power Grab says:

    Oh, I agree about the EPA!

  46. Larry Ledwick says:

    Meanwhile Nancy Palosi has “disinvited” the President to address congress for the state of the Union Address. First it is Constitutional Mandate so he must do it.

    Chad Pergram
    ‏Verified account
    15 minutes ago
    President Carter submitted in writing to Congress a State of the Union in ’81, just 4 days before Reagan became President. Reagan put off his State of the Union speech in ’86 due to the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster

    So President Trump should just invite a couple thousand Angel Moms and Dads to a venue give the speech to them, and provide a written copy to Congressional Leaders.

  47. Larry Ledwick says:

    The state of Europe:

    Raheem Kassam Retweeted
    Jack Montgomery ن
    ‏Verified account
    59 minutes ago
    Remain narrative that Britain is “a laughing stock” in perspective:

    • France in flames
    • Merkel a lame duck leading German equivalent of a Tory-Labour coalition
    • Sweden unable to form a govt for months
    • Belgium’s govt collapsed over UN Migrant Pact in Dec

    I could go on…

  48. Jon K says:

    Just when you think California couldn’t invent more ways to piss it’s residents off, they dig deep and find one more lol.

  49. Jon K says:

    I can’t believe how brutal the police are at the yellow vest protests in France.

  50. Larry Ledwick says:

    It appears that the President has signed the back pay provision.

    LIVE Breaking News
    6 minutes ago
    BREAKING: White House says that President Trump has signed S.24, a bill providing back pay to affected federal workers after the shutdown ends – CBS News

  51. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well apparently the UK has started asking folks to count their knives to “cut off the supply” to malicious stabbing attackers.

  52. Simon Derricutt says:

    Larry – I suppose I’ll also need to start counting my 2x4s, hammers, axes, mauls, screwdrivers, chisels, crowbars, and scythes. Since it’s said you can kill someone with a rolled-up magazine (or other glossy paper), or even a pencil, the number of possibly-lethal things I have around will take a while to count.

  53. jim2 says:

    It’s difficult to imagine May would do this, but were she willing, would it be legal? From the article:

    Andrew Roberts, author of a number of popular history books on figures including Sir Winston Churchill and Napoleon Bonaparte, and a Visiting Professor at the Department of War Studies, King’s College London, has therefore called on the Prime Minister to use what has been described as “the nuclear option” to put an end to Remain MPs’ machinations, by calling on Queen Elizabeth II to prorogue (suspend) the parliamentary session until after March 29th, preventing them from blocking No Deal and presenting them with a fait accompli.


  54. Larry Ledwick says:

    Yeah I know it is the blaze but in these sort of stories they sometimes do good work.

    Follow the bouncing ball from Ocasio Cortez to George Soros and related leftist funding sources.


  55. Larry Ledwick says:

    This is a major step in the right direction if it actually gets implimented
    Open Government Data Law signed


  56. Another Ian says:

    Check the reserve powers.


    They were used by Sir John Kerr in the 1970’s in a big way

  57. E.M.Smith says:

    @David A: Interesting concrete. Bit of sellers puff in the article, what with it still being in testing and then double accounting (twice as strong so better but use 1/2 as much so same cost, but ignoring that loses the double strength advantage…). Complaint is crumbling cement infrastructure but the photo is an asphalt road.. bit of visual lying (but common in vidio editing where non-engineers are picking photos based just on visual impact).

    Looks like it is just very fine sand (no mention of larger aggregate…) with vinyl (fibre?) as reinforcing. So does it still use rebar? That will continue to rust out… But OK, it looks like a step forward. Save the world? Likely not. Better for some uses? Sure.

  58. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    Yeah, lots of ultimate power, but rarely used due to the political cost and risk if heavy handed. In some ways, the Crown has more authority in Australia than in the UK. OTOH, the Crown doesn’t want to piss off folks there and get kicked out….

  59. E.M.Smith says:


    So will there be a waiting period on new knife purchases? Are stores being tasked to collect IDs on knife buyers? What about metal bars and grinding wheels being bought together? When will knife serial numbers and registration begin? Will steak become a thing of the past as “Salisbury Steak” is mandated? Will Chefs require registration? What about gardeners and machetes or hedge clippers? Then there’s the question of large construction spikes… and then campers will need to give up their tent stakes… and electricians their screwdrivers…

    Oh, the horrors of Pokey Things!!


  60. Larry Ledwick says:

    Talk about a classic slap down!
    If this is real ;)

  61. Larry Ledwick says:

    If this turns out to be true, on a personal to person level sad to hear this, not unexpected following lung surgery on a woman her age.

    Deep State Exposed® ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐

    56 minutes ago
    BREAKING: First Media Outlet to Report on Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Cancer now says She Contracted Pneumonia and fighting for her life!!!

  62. Rhoda Klapp says:


    A couple of weeks back I warned y’all about that Horton guy. The article from the Lancet is an example.

    From what I saw at Sonny’s BBQ the denizens of this site would not choose the Lancet diet. At all. Ever.

  63. E.M.Smith says:

    @Rhoda Klapp:

    Anyone comes for my St. Louis Ribs is gonna leave with the nickname of “stumpy” or lefty (depending on how they reach…). I like my salads and vegetables just fine, but them’s “sides” not “dinner”!

    same goes for my 2 lbs of Texas Brisket or 1/2 BBQ Chicken or Massive Pulled Pork samwich.

    And yes, I always have nice sharp steak knives at the table…


    BTW as a SSecurity recipient, I passed my drivers eye exam without lenses and have had zero circulatory, cancer, or other health issues. I take no medications (other than the occasional aspirin for hangovers :-) IMHO I am an existance proof that BBQ in large servings is health food. (That was a period son, at the end of that sentence…)


  64. ossqss says:

    Dangit, just get home from a long day and now I am hungry and gotta go to Sonny’s ;-)

  65. jim2 says:

    Just in case you’re passing through …


  66. Larry Ledwick says:

    So wikileaks and gateway pundit have identified 65 major media talking head types which were actively coordination with Clinton and her team to sell her candidacy.
    Pure propaganda not news or journalism.


  67. H.R. says:

    @Rhoda – Yeah, and one bite of just one of those wings you had would have put you over the protein limit for the day.

    14 grams of meat a day?!? That’s 1/2 of an ounce or about the same amount as the BBQ I picked out of my teeth after my pulled pork and ribs platter.

    That’s starvation rations for a Florida mosquito.

  68. Larry Ledwick says:

    It is possible that China and Russia are setting up for a future confrontation. China is trying to move into the central Russian heartland for resources, and cash poor Moscow is so far willing, but will that last?


  69. jim2 says:

    I was just listening to some fool on the radio saying we need to stay in Afghanistan and Syria until we eliminate ISIS. He misses the overview of all this. He can’t see the forest for the trees.

    The actual situation is that enough of the people in the majority of Muslim countries in the Middle East are violent religious fanatics whose leadership will whip up organizations like ISIS no matter what we do. If we “defeat” ISIS, then leave, the idiot Muslim leaders will whip up another group of idiots to carry out terrorist plots. It will never end if we keep doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.

    Things were better in the 60’s and 70’s when the CIA kept the region strapped down with dictators and funded opposing sides in the never-ending religious and other Hatfield-McCoy wars. Set them up to fight each other and keep them occupied that way. More spies, fewer soldiers, less US blood soaking into the Muslim ground.

  70. Larry Ledwick says:

    Regarding Afghanistan:
    Avoiding the Russian trap – are the Russians trying to do to us what we did to them in Afghanistan?


  71. ossqss says:

    This scenario would not be good if it happens. Burrrrrrr!


  72. Larry Ledwick says:

    This is interesting apparently the genetic testing kits do not return repeatable results.


  73. E.M.Smith says:


    The “Mobile Polar High” attacks!

    Yeah, cold…


    Gee, folks selling fantasies don’t do rigorous science that costs a lot… who knew… /sarc;

    In large part these are just sample collection firms trying to get major inventories of data built and only send you your “report” as an afterthought to keep the samples coming. Each time they run their comparison, it is against an even larger (and likely subsetted…) set of samples, so results vary.

    Then there is the question of deciding what a “marker” means. The English are largely Celts with an admixture of Norse and German. The French are largely Celts & Germans with an admixture of Norse and Italians… The Italians are first cousins of the Celts and have a lot of German influx from their Empire days. The…. and on it goes. “Euro-Mutt” is what just about everyone in the EU is, rightly.

    They’ve been mixing genes since before the Roman Empire, then through several subsequent empires (Holy Roman, Napoleonic, Spanish, etc. etc. etc…) and these companies think they can assign an origin to any of that? Good luck…

    FWIW, I’ve traced via family history and general history my odd mix of Irish, English, Norse, German, and French ancestry back to about a 50 to 100 mile radius on both sides of the English Channel. Even my “Swiss Amish” got to Switzerland from a start on the German coast. So just what do you call them? Swiss? German? Frisian? Dutch? something else altogether?

    So periodically these companies to a reshuffle of what they think marks for a who… and all their results change.

  74. philjourdan says:

    @Another Ian – I was discussing that with an English Fellow. The irony is the Queen can do that in any commonwealth nation,but not in the UK.

  75. philjourdan says:

    OOps! In a rare statement, Mueller denies Buzzfeed! https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2019/01/18/whoops-rare-statement-special-counsel-says-buzzfeed-report-is-not-accurate/

    How many fake news organizations will devote the same amount of time to Mueller’s statement as they did the fake news? Answer – zero. Am I clairvoyant? LOL no, just observant

  76. Power Grab says:

    Re pneumonia:

    My dad said there are those who refer to it as “My Friend Pneumonia”.

    He said that a common scenario is that an elderly person falls and breaks their hip; the next most common event is that they develop pneumonia; the next most common event is that they die.

  77. E.M.Smith says:

    @Power Grab:

    I’m not afeared of dying. I’m worried about spending my kids inheritance to stay alive an extra week…

    We all die. It is just a question of when and for what. I’d like to find a reason to go out in a “Blaze Of Glory”, but mostly fear it will be simpering in a bed in a hospital…

    Such is the end of life…

  78. Another Ian says:

    “The GWPF’s prize for the tallest tale about climate for 2018 has been won.”

    Summary and link at


  79. Larry Ledwick says:

    One hour until the Presidents announcement at 4:00 pm eastern time

    RSBN youtube feed

  80. philjourdan says:

    “I’m worried about spending my kids inheritance to stay alive an extra week…”

    Amen! That is exactly my sentiment.

  81. Larry Ledwick says:

    Reference our prior discussions on how the US Navy came to have severe ship collision at sea between the USS Fitzgerald (DDG-62) and the ACX Crystal commercial ship off Yokosuka, Japan.



  82. corsair red says:

    The French are largely Celts & Germans with an admixture of Norse and Italians…
    I have always found it hilarious that the French are descendants of the Franks, a . . . Germanic tribe.

    My youngest brother had a genetic test done. He got back a report showing over 70% English Scottish ancestry. I thought that was interesting since we know my grandmother on my dad’s side of the family was in the second generation born in this country to German immigrants. On my dad’s side, though, we can connect the family name to a couple of Scottish clans. One of my brothers, stationed in Germany in the US Army, toured Scotland and decided he wanted a kilt with the family tartan. When told what it would cost, he settled for a necktie.

    @Another Ian:
    I didn’t fight my way through all that. Is coffee going extinct, or what? ;-) If it is, then there isn’t any reason to postpone the inevitable; sex, drugs, and rock ‘n roll don’t keep me going like they once did. :-) The drugs I have to take these days make me drowsy. I liked the puppy joke.

  83. Larry Ledwick says:

    A couple interesting twitter threads captured here:

    (cleaned them up a bit to get rid of the clutter from their normal character limit format for easier reading)

    PolAgnostic @PolAgnostic
    25 Jan 2018
    1. Once again, despite a better first year than Reagan, all kinds of Trump supporters are getting bent out of shape over things they hear are being “put on the table” in the immigration negotiations with the Democrats.

    Let’s talk about why you should Stay Calm.

    2. Everyone who has no experience negotiating deals summed up by 100+ pages of legalese should pay attention. You can learn the most important rule of negotiating next:
    “If you aren’t willing to walk away with NO DEAL, you’ve already lost.”
    Where’ve you heard that before?

    3. Negotiating an immigration deal falls under that rule
    One side has multiple choices they can offer (Trump) & the other side (Dems) already have deal breaker “minimums” their radical base is demanding.
    (From outside of Schumer’s house @ 3 AM)
    Only Trump can walk away

    4. Trump’s team goes in KNOWING what the Dems MUST HAVE for a WIN.
    That’s like the Eagles handing the Patriots their playbook two weeks before the Super Bowl – it’s going to be a one sided outcome.
    The Dems WIN is to get a path to citizenship for 3.6 million (or more) illegals.

    5. So Trump puts out an offer of a path to citizenship for 1.8 million illegals.
    How can the Dems agree to that?
    Are they going to say to their base,
    “OK half of you got lucky but the other half are screwed.”
    And guess what happens then?

    6. The Dems are going to push for MORE.
    Big mistake.
    Because Trump’s team says,
    “Sorry, that was a one time offer & now it’s off the table. Let’s discuss border security instead.”
    Now the Dems don’t have a deal for 50%, they’re back at 0%
    Would you want to break that news?

    7. Nope, the folks outside Schumer’s house would burn it to the ground if you told them you had 50% in hand but lost it.
    It doesn’t matter they would have been angry at 50% – you HAD 50% for them & YOU lost it.
    This is known as the Monty Hall Problem

    8. If you click on the link, be warned! Just the mathematical proof has caused heated arguments for decades.
    The psychology behind it gets even more contentious.
    Trump & lots of other master negotiators use this because it works.
    As long as you can walk away & say, “No Deal”

    9. In September, the conventional wisdom of DC put a tax cut, much less reform, at a 0% chance of happening … EVER … during a Trump administration.
    And by Christmas — POOF! The largest tax reform & cuts EVER.
    Stay Calm & Let President Trump worry about Making a Deal

    10:55 PM – 25 Jan 2018

    (original link)

  84. Larry Ledwick says:

    PolAgnostic @PolAgnostic
    Chuckie’s solution? The ‘Schumer Shutdown’, a total PR disaster for the Dems.
    In the last year, the Dems have learned NOTHING.
    Even when Trump invited the media into their ‘private meeting’ & then warned there would be a shutdown “he would own”.

    New conversation

    For the last month, President Trump has been following another classic negotiating strategy which requires a LOT of setup.
    You’re year into these same negotiations. You’re MILES apart from a deal. So you:

    1. Piss off the other side – you WANT them angry.
    The meeting the media was invited into embarrassed Chuck & Nancy.
    Step 1 complete.

    2. Next, you have your people “try to work something out” with their people knowing the other side will come in unwilling to give an inch. Your goal:
    Burn time off the clock.

    Anyone remember “The Four Corners Offense”? It was invented by Coach Dean Smith of UNC. It made a basketball game against a powerhouse, fast playing team as exciting as a cricket match. ZZzzzzzzzzzzz
    And it BURNED the clock while pissing off the other team.

    Step 2 complete
    Clock is used up but is the other side REALLY ANGRY?
    You need to make this process PERSONAL – really get under their skin but a Troll Master gets them to take the first ‘shot’.

    Nancy: “Your SOTU is canceled because of this shutdown you wanted”
    TM: “Your flight is canceled too”.


    Time to appear reasonable to those watching.

    You make a very public offer of a package you know THEY will reject … but the R Squishes in the Senate will support. Cocaine Mitch even schedules a vote on it.

    All along your real goal has been …

    To get to Day 30 of the Shutdown without making a deal.
    The Dems & MSM really pushed the “holding government employees hostage”!

    Do the American PEOPLE love government employees? HELL NO!
    As of Day 30 under existing law, Trump has the power to LAY OFF (RIF) those hostages.

    What is otherwise IMPOSSIBLE is now possible & BULLETPROOF because President Trump will be acting under authority granted to the President by CONGRESS.

    Go ahead & challenge it in court, Dems. By the time it gets to SCOTUS, Trump will have a 3rd Justice on SCOTUS.

    For the naysayers on both sides.

    What has Jared Kushner been working on for almost 2 YEARS now?

    Kushner leads the White House Office of American Innovation which has been studying “how to streamline government”.

    Let’s see, reduce EPA by 75%, DOE by 90%, …

    Tick Tick …

    Original link (https://twitter.com/PolAgnostic/status/1086838847760187392)

    Shutdown count down clock:


  85. E.M.Smith says:

    Interesting well thought out game theory….

    I’ve often wondered if The Wall was mostly a political laser pointer to keep the DemoCATS off balance and chasing the wrong thing…

  86. Larry Ledwick says:

    If you have not been paying attention to Twitter and the major media today you may not know about an ambush video publicity stunt that was conducted today in Wash DC. The media are trying to frame this as a bunch of MAGA TRUMP hat wearing teens harassing and mocking a Native American. That is actually exactly backwards the agitator wearing Indian Regalia was the instigator and the media has intentionally misrepresented the events.

    A response from one of the students.


  87. Another Ian says:


    Re the Trump strategy

    “30 Minutes before President Trump began to outline his compromise proposal (4:00pm, from the White House), Speaker Nancy Pelosi auto-published the response position of Democrats, NO DEAL:”


  88. H.R. says:

    @Another Ian re Pelosi response.

    Hahahahaha! The speech was supposed to be given at 3:00 pm EST. A Democrat response at 3:30 pm would make it appear that they had listened to the address, considered it, and then responded.

    Ooopsie… President Trump made an “unscheduled” visit to Maryland so the address was delayed until 4:00 pm, so the Democrat response at 3:30 pm just showed that they aren’t negotiating in good faith or at all, actually.

    I wonder if President Trump got wind of the 3:30 pm response and made the trip to Maryland to delay the address just for the purpose of exposing the Dems? President Trump is good, really good. But was that planned or just a bit of good fortune?

    That news is not going to go over well with the furloughed employees. I’m positive they are at the point where they are saying, “Just give him the damn wall already!”

  89. jim2 says:

    LL @ https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2019/01/12/w-o-o-d-12-january-2019/#comment-106512

    On Meet The (De)Press(ed) there is a Dimowit bringing up the image of the kid in the MAGA hat in the Indians face. Of course, no one corrected him. An entire panel of LYIN’ DIMOWITS!

  90. jim2 says:

    The teen is not smirking in this clip, and Phillips has his an entourage with cameras. One of the Indian activists argues with a Covington teen, who argues back. This and other clips have shown the Indian activists racially taunting the teens, saying things like “go back to Europe.” Phillips has claimed that the teens were chanting “build the wall!,” but that isn’t in any of the videos that circulated Saturday. Based on what can actually be seen and heard, it’s looks as if Phillips and his crew sought out Catholic teenagers and tried to make them uncomfortable. And of course, they recorded it. (Notably, however, both the Indian activists and the Covington teens rein in the activist and teenager who get into a shouting match. An appropriate attempt at restraint was has been completely ignored.)


  91. Larry Ledwick says:

    Official summary of accomplishments in the first two years of President Trump’s administration.


  92. corsair red says:

    Thank you for the link. I am sharing it with all of my liberal relatives.

  93. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well this is going to get interesting the Parents of Covington Catholic School students who were digitally lynched by the left and the media yesterday are lawyering up, and a project is developing to capture and archive posts, articles, tweets etc that made unsupported or out right slanderous and libelous claims.

    CJ Pearson
    ‏Verified account
    11 hours ago
    More CJ Pearson Retweeted Ali Alexander
    I’ve been in touch with the students at Covington Catholic and have offered them my full and total support.

    They’re scared, angry, and confused. But I told them we won’t let the Left win. They can bet on that.

    CJ Pearson
    ‏Verified account
    7 hours ago
    Database of Covington Catholic slander tweets is almost 1,000 strong. Petition calling for the reversal of student suspensions has garnered 682 signatures in less than 20 minutes.

    To every kid at Covington – please know that you have an entire army behind you.

    238 replies 3,215 retweets 7,309 likes
    Reply 238 Retweet 3.2K Like 7.3K Direct message


    Robert Barnes <- – – offered to represent the student families pro-bono
    16 hours ago
    A reminder to media folks lying about those kids. Libel is much easier to prove & win when you target kids who are not public figures.

    Robert Barnes Retweeted <- – – note who retweeted this verification
    Jack Posobiec 🇺🇸
    ‏Verified account
    8 hours ago
    Can confirm Covington Catholic parents are reaching out to @Barnes_Law

    460 replies 2,172 retweets 6,932 likes
    Reply 460 Retweet 2.2K Liked 6.9K Direct message

  94. Larry Ledwick says:


    Robert Barnes
    13 hours ago
    More Robert Barnes Retweeted Kathy Griffin
    Hey, @kathygriffin, if someone wants to serve you a libel & invasion of privacy suit for these kids, do they send it to @LisaBloom or is she still busy helping Harvey?

    Robert Barnes Retweeted
    Paul Joseph Watson
    ‏Verified account
    13 hours ago
    If you spent the day inciting hate against and trying to ruin the lives of some teenagers for the crime of wearing MAGA hats and still think you have the moral high ground, you’re pretty much beyond redemption. #CovingtonCatholic

    Robert Barnes Retweeted
    Tim Pool
    ‏Verified account
    15 hours ago
    An angry mob is calling for violence against teenagers right now.

    It doesn’t matter if you think these kids are awful you need to stand up and reject doxxing, harassment, and calls for violence

    Robert Barnes
    12 hours ago
    More Robert Barnes Retweeted USA TODAY
    This is libel, @USATODAY

    Robert Barnes
    12 hours ago
    More Robert Barnes Retweeted Marcus Baram
    Three libels here. 1, they didn’t “surround” him; he invaded their space; 2, he got in their face; 3, they were not “mocking” him. Lazy journalism with a political bias = libelous journalism.

    Robert Barnes
    11 hours ago
    More Robert Barnes Retweeted
    Anna, does that email address work as a place to serve you with the libel suit that’s coming? https://twitter.com/annamerlan/status/1086761689645834240

    Robert Barnes Retweeted
    11 hours ago
    BREAKING: Covington Catholic High School ‘may sue’ mainstream media outlets for spreading ‘fake news’ about their students allegedly ‘harassing a Native American veteran’

    Robert Barnes Retweeted
    Cassandra Fairbanks
    ‏Verified account
    15 hours ago
    I have zero chill about this. If you aren’t defending these children what the fuck is wrong with you? Childless 30-something hipster fuck leftists are attacking, doxing, endangering 15 year olds because they support trump. I’m ready to tar and feather some bitches.

    Robert Barnes
    9 hours ago
    More Robert Barnes Retweeted Ana Navarro
    Retract this libel @ananavarro, or let us know where we can serve the lawsuit.

    Ana Navarro
    ‏Verified account
    Follow @ananavarro
    More Ana Navarro Retweeted Unceded Clothing
    Must Watch: Native-American elder taunted by racist MAGA-hat wearing teens, speaks and cries for America, the country he defended and sacrificed and wore the uniform for. It is people like Nathan Phillips who make America great.
    Thank you for your dignity, sir.

    Jack Posobiec 🇺🇸
    ‏Verified account
    9 hours ago
    OAN is now in contact with Covington Catholic parents and families

    Will update when we can


  95. Larry Ledwick says:

    Okay a little cliff notes summary of yesterday’s events if you have not been following this story (or more likely your local media is missing in action)

    Yesterday a group of students from Covington Catholic School went to attend the right to life rally. That rally was also adjacent to some other events. They were told to assemble on the Lincoln Memorial steps to wait for their bus to arrive. They were doing school cheers to pass the time and keep occupied waiting for the bus when a Native American professional agitator named Nathan Phillips in full tribal regalia pushed his way into the group and started chanting and banging on his drum.

    The kids were a bit dumbfounded at first and some of them joined in to clap with the drum beat, as Nathan pushed into the personal space of one student. The kid stood his ground and just smiled refusing to react and push back (the expected reaction of the provocative act) or to yield his ground.

    The leftists then deceptively cut the video and alleged that the boys were taunting the “elder” and shouting things like build the wall. The leftist media and twitter sphere went into full melt down and began calling for violence against the kids, doxxed them and slandered and libeled them.

    This was a bridge too far for the conservative twitter sphere and we went nuclear on the disinformation and actively shredded their assertions as fast as we could find them. They ambushed these poor kids and enough was enough. Within a couple hours full videos were assembled from (as I recall) 4 view points and the leftist narrative was clearly a blatant lie.

    By late evening most of the rational folks were either backing off and apologizing or just going radio silent, but some political types and media types kept pushing the false narrative.

    It was quite a digital battle but we demonstrated if you jump on them hard enough the left propaganda machine cannot get traction if you keep crushing their narratives and correcting every post you see that misscharacterizes a situation.

    I think you will see more of this the Twitter deplorables just blew the leftist hacks out of the stadium.

  96. E.M.Smith says:


    That’s what we need to see a lot more of; and I’m pretty sure a large number of folks have reached the “never again” point on this crap.

    I know that were I at any such event, I’d either be filming it for “in their grill” truth postings, or I’d be getting between the perps and the kids. Let them go “nose to nose and belly to belly” with 100 kg of Old Fart who doesn’t intimidate worth a damn… (I do a pretty good “touch me and lose that part” stare. Something about a few years of karate sparing where you do just that – look your opponent square on with “splatter vision” and react to whatever comes.)

    So good to see folks “catching clue” on this stuff.

    (Fortunately or unfortunately, I’m not sure which, I’ve so arranged my life that I have not had any actual conflict, verbal or physical, in over 20 years… I’d like to keep it that way, but if forced…)

  97. cdquarles says:

    What will be funny, in a way, is the day people realize that the Asiatic derived folk got here *after* Europeans/North Africans did, especially with regard to the eastern coasts of the American continents. Bwah ha ha ha ah. Will the Lame Stream media discuss that? Inquiring minds want to know (and some of us know that they won’t touch that with a barge pole).

  98. Larry Ledwick says:

    Comment by Jack Posobic
    Jack Posobiec 🇺🇸
    ‏Verified account
    17 minutes ago
    The attacks on Covington Catholic have the base unbelievably motivated. This is what real grassroots mobilization looks like #StandWithCovington

  99. Terry Jay says:

    Is there long term strategic thinking in the shutdown? https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2019/01/trump_playing_the_xanatos_gambit_with_shutdown_strategy.html

    This argues that it may last until Sept 30, and the battle space preparation was pretty much ignored while it happened.

  100. E.M.Smith says:

    @Terry Jay:

    Interesting article… Had not heard of that name for the strategy. I’ve tended to call such things a “Knight Fork” attack as in chess your Knight can bring to bear an attack on more than one piece none of whom can attack it. You are guaranteed a win over the opponent, they get to choose which win you get…


    For years, while attending hockey games, I wanted to get a Ref’s Jersey with the name “Yzerov” on the back; like Yzerman https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Yzerman and Federov https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergei_Fedorov and pronounced Eyes-r-off… Also works in the Cyrillic spelling which I also wanted, but thought that would be a “language too far” bi-lingual bi-alphabet pun for anyone else to be likely to “get it” ;- 0

    Sometimes I still think I’d like one ;-)

  101. Another Ian says:

    ossqss says:
    21 January 2019 at 6:52 pm

    Brings to mind the “Shakespearian Baseball Game” and

    “Hie the to an optomotrist”

  102. beththeserf says:

    Good link from ossqss 8.44pm. Show the evidence in Court versus these greedy trial lawyers seeing dollar signs in fear ‘n guilt corrupt action.

  103. ossqss says:

    This was an interesting take on the Yellow Vest movement.


    BTS, I enjoyed your write up last month on the models. Nicely done.

    For those who did not see it, here ya go.


  104. ossqss says:

    Since I am hogging Chiefio blog space, I was going through some old links and thought some might enjoy this. Quite enlightnening on process and adaptation of messaging and language ;-)

  105. Larry Ledwick says:

    The Left’s organized effort to destroy influential conservatives.


    The document link in the above goes to a scribd page


    An Infowars page also has a version you can scroll through imbedded in this page:


  106. Power Grab says:

    Re: “I’m not afeared of dying. I’m worried about spending my kids inheritance to stay alive an extra week…”

    Hear hear!

    I’ve pretty much decided that is my position.

  107. Larry Ledwick says:

    This is interesting, I wonder if Ukraine is getting a quid pro quo here from Saudi Arabia to help them build a defensive weapon system against the Russians in the Crimea and Donbass region.


    This is a non-nuclear explosively pumped EMP weapon which would have localized effects, not wide area effects.

  108. Larry Ledwick says:

    California getting ready to try to seriously limit ammunition sales to make guns essentially useless.
    Expect a rush to buy before these regs take effect and an ammo shortage in California.
    Also expect people to start boot legging ammunition from near by states.

  109. Another Ian says:


    Re above

    “Supreme Court Takes Major NRA Second Amendment Case from New York”


  110. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well this is going to leave a mark!
    The Indian activist that initiated the confrontation with the Covington boys, claimed to be a native american Vietnam veteran. Turns out that story is bogus, and to make it worse the grandfather of one of the boys getting media lynched is in fact a Vietnam Vet and an Indian.


  111. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well someone got hold of the Native drummer dudes military record information.
    Proving CCN sucks as a propaganda ministry, the Dems should get better propaganda specialists if they expect anyone to believe their BS.

  112. E.M.Smith says:


    There is also a “crime” attached to bringing in ammo and bypassing the State rules, so folks doing the importing to Kalifornia will “have issues”.

    I figured this was coming a couple of decades back and bought a bunch of reloading stuff, plus learned to cast bullets. I’m set for a few years, at least. I’ll be in Florida before I run out of what I’ve already got.

    My “odd caliber” stuff was already given to the kids. I’ve mostly kept the 12 Gauge shotguns and a bunch of .38 / .357 Mag / 9mm stuff that can all use a .356 bullet. ( 9mm is nominally .355 and the .38 / .357 stuff is nominally .357 but a typical cast bullet is NOT accurate to the 1/1000 th inch and is highly deformable anyway). I can reload all of those nearly endlessly. For shotguns especially you can even remanufacture the primers trivially. ( I have an interesting book about guys in the Philippines in W.W.II and how they made their own primers and “shot” from all sorts of stuff).

    The other interesting point:

    This now opens a Brand New Lucrative Market to all the existing Drug Dealers. Since they all need guns and ammo anyway, and get their supplies illegally, and have loads of connections in Mexico – that has lots of guns and ammo… I’m pretty sure it will be “One Stop Shopping” to pick up your Mexican Coke and 9 mm in one go. Sigh. The Stupid, it burns….

    Also, buried in the law, is a requirement than any litigation challenging it be funded out of the fees. Yes, gun owners will be forced to fund the legal apparatus against themselves. One hopes The Supremes knock this law down pronto…

  113. Larry Ledwick says:

    It is also effectively a back door gun registry they know everything about you except the brand and serial number of you guns. They even know the caliber.

    I expect it to be shut down like the serial number stamping of ammunition as a covert effort to make firearms functionally illegal without actually outlawing them.

    As you say it will create a boot leg industry and the most well positioned to do that are the folks who are already moving black market goods and human trafficking.

    1930’s Chicago here we come.

  114. jim2 says:

    Mueller’s going to set off a powder keg if he doesn’t step lightly … from the article:
    The special counsel’s team was curious to learn more about how Donald Trump and his operatives first formed a relationship with the NRA and how Trump wound up speaking at the group’s annual meeting in 2015, just months before announcing his presidential bid, Nunberg said.
    Nunberg’s interview with Mueller’s team in February 2018 offers the first indication that the special counsel has been probing the Trump campaign’s ties to the powerful gun-rights group. As recently as about a month ago, Mueller’s investigators were still raising questions about the relationship between the campaign and the gun group, CNN has learned.


  115. jim2 says:

    Look’s like it’s time to make another donation to the NRA!

  116. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump officially recognizes new interim President of Venezuela as the proper government authority in the country.

  117. Larry Ledwick says:

    J Michael Waller ❌

    21 seconds ago
    Venezuelan General makes hard-core, no-turning-back statement of rebellion against the #Maduro regime and in support of the elected Congress. He is identified as Division General Jesús Alberto Milano Mendoza. https://youtu.be/LPY1FFaNaOk via @YouTube #Venezuela #Vzla

  118. Larry Ledwick says:

    And now we have the call or fold moment:

    World Events Live 🇻🇪
    1 minute ago
    #BREAKING: Sources incoming reporting Dictator Maduro has ordered the arrest of Juan Guaido who this morning declared himself interim President of #Venezuela.

    Maduro is opting for civil war.

  119. Larry Ledwick says:

    Map of the countries which have so far recognized the interim president of Venezuela.

  120. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well this is interesting :

    Allen Sutton
    2 minutes ago
    Replying to @steph93065
    The Speaker of the US House has just denied access to the House Chamber to the President of the United States. This is unprecedented; and the Democrat party, determined to impose socialism on America, is moving the nation toward further division, and risking civil unrest ~

  121. E.M.Smith says:

    Per Venezuela:

    Well the fat is in the fire now… Guess it is time to pull my head out of SQL for a while and watch some Latin News ( I have a few Spanish Language and S. American channels in the Roku…) and see what’s up on the ground…


    Um, can the Speaker do that? Is it one of their Constitutional powers?

    If not, this could cause a world of hurt if there is legal recourse…

    Does look like Pelosi and Trump are starting a full on battle.

  122. Larry Ledwick says:

    I think yes the speaker can deny the house chambers but there are other options. One would be to use the Senate Chambers or some other Federally controlled venue.

    The president has the power to call a joint session of congress so that is another option.

    I am sure Trump has an option in the works. The interesting thing is that until recently the State of the Union was given in written form. President Trump could give the speech in an aircraft hanger, or football stadium and email the text to Congress and satisfy the Congressional Mandate, or just do a youtube video.

  123. Larry Ledwick says:

    On Venezuela
    Sky News Breaking
    ‏Verified account
    5 hours ago
    The White House says Donald Trump recognises Venezuela’s opposition leader Juan Guaido as the country’s interim president

    Sky News Breaking
    ‏Verified account

    3 hours ago
    Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro says he is breaking off relations with the U.S. and American diplomatic personnel have 72 hours to leave the country after Donald Trump recognised opposition leader Juan Guaido as the country’s interim president

    Sky News Breaking
    ‏Verified account
    6 minutes ago
    The European Union’s high representative for foreign affairs and security policy Federica Mogherini says in a statement on behalf of the EU that the voice of the Venezuelan people “cannot be ignored” and has called for “free and credible elections” in the country

  124. Larry Ledwick says:

    More from the President on the SOTU address

    Donald J. Trump
    ‏Verified account
    9 minutes ago
    As the Shutdown was going on, Nancy Pelosi asked me to give the State of the Union Address. I agreed. She then changed her mind because of the Shutdown, suggesting a later date. This is her prerogative – I will do the Address when the Shutdown is over. I am not looking for an….

    Donald J. Trump
    ‏Verified account
    4 minutes ago
    ….alternative venue for the SOTU Address because there is no venue that can compete with the history, tradition and importance of the House Chamber. I look forward to giving a “great” State of the Union Address in the near future!

  125. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump is playing generous tit for tat with Pelosi.

    Now we see if she will give bit of if her vindictive nature will make her twist the knife.
    That next mover for her will determine how Trump wrecks her agenda.

  126. E.M.Smith says:

    He’s already shown her up as a vindictive little weasel… At this point she’s in a no-win box. Let him in the house, she’s folded. Keep him out, she’s petty and vindictive. Let the SOTU happen post shutdown, her tantrum was for naught and Trump gets the big stage. Block the SOTU, violating the Constitutional requirements….

    Well Played, Mr. POTUS Trump…

  127. Larry Ledwick says:

    If this is accurate reporting, it looks like Russia / Ukraine is about to go hot.


  128. H.R. says:

    @E.M. – Nancy’s mistake was using the shutdown excuse to block the SOTU speech. The Dems own the shutdown. The shutdown won’t end until there is funding for the wall.

    If/when the Dems break ranks and fund the wall – there are cracks beginning to show – then there will be a SOTU address before both houses. I don’t think reneging on the SOTU after the shutdown is politically viable.

    The speech will include some praise for the Dems’ cooperation in ending the shutdown followed by President Trump adding “Build the Wall” to his list of Promises Kept. The tiff generated lots of attention so I’d expect an unusually large viewing audience.

    Nancy will be sitting behind the President and will get the smile and nod for ending the shutdown AND she will be right there for the Wall portion of the speech. (I hope she makes an appointment with her dentist the day after the speech, because there will be a fair amount of damage due to all the gnashing she’ll be doing during the speech.)

    Nancy would have been better off with a petty “No speech, no way, no how.”

    Well played, indeed.

  129. E.M.Smith says:

    It is winter, near the worst of it. Ideal time for a Russian Military operation (they are very good in cold and snow…). Then “The USA Government is shut down” giving a sort of cover for us to ignore what they do, at least long enough for them to be done.

    Ukraine and Russia are very close cousins. There isn’t a whole lot of difference between the peoples or the languages. When Old Church Slavonic was breaking up into the various Slavic derivatives, Russian was kept closer to it (at one time had a movement to return closer to it, even…) while Ukrainian picked up more “loan words” and style from old Polish. They are often / mostly mutually intelligible. Like American English and British English ;-) or maybe that’s Olde English…

    Putin is of the (valid) opinion that the Russia leaning leader of Ukraine was replaced in a coup lead by Western Powers. As Soros and his pawns / NGO groups have basically taken credit for it as one of his “Color Revolutions” done with the active support of the Clinton / Obama machine: there is much truth in that position. (Was the prior government legitimately elected or not? I don’t know. A “Dig Here!” I’ve not cared enough to dig into… but once he was in office, the deposing was clearly “rigged” by Soros & the Globalist Left.)

    So look at it from Putin’s POV: Ukraine would be a fairly simple “walk over” militarily. He’s got about 1/3 of the country already. It could easily be a “done deal” before anyone in the west could react. The EU is in a mess right now, and getting worse fast. The UK is out to lunch until at least April, navel gazing over BREXIT and uninterested in much else. The USA is in shutdown mode and with divided government that can’t agree on anything, with a strong leader but one under incessant attack from the Left, who will be unlikely to engage in a military adventure in Eastern Europe under those conditions…

    So what’s to stop him bagging Ukraine, putting back in the guy who was driven out (after a “free & fair & controlled” election /sarc;) and then pulling back to the present border (after signing a military base agreement…)? I think he could be done before the House could be put back in session to vote on anything… (IF the House is in session, Trump gets his SOTU Address…)

    I just wish I cared more about who “owned” Ukraine… I used to care more. Then it became clear that the Color Revolution Game was just The Great Game between The Crown / The EU and Russia all over again; with the intent to take down Russia too. “Move it into the west”… They ALMOST got it done with the collapse of the USSR, then along came Putin who put their stooges (“Oligarchs”) in prison. Yes, I’m of 2 minds about it all. They needed that move to a capitalist system, but it is clear now that it was not a move that treated the Russian People well. (Folks with pensions and small holders got royally screwed by The Approved Oligarchs). Putin fixed some of that. (Did he also do corrupt things for himself? I suspect so but don’t know. Kind of don’t care. ALL folks at the tops of governments eventually become corrupt if in place longer than a few years… so he would just be normal…)

    Oh Well. It will be a fun show to watch. Spin that wheel and place your bets… who wins Ukraine this time? That’s a $Billion on red from the fellow at the end of the table…

    I just don’t see any way in hell that the UK, EU, or USA is at all interested in any kind of military adventure in Ukraine right now. Maybe lots of hand wringing and more bleating about “leaving the sanctions in place”, but that’s basically just gum flapping. Putin won’t care. (Especially if Venezuela blows up and the USA gets involved there at all… so it becomes a priority and ‘who cares about Ukraine? and where is it anyway?” sets in.)

  130. Larry Ledwick says:

    I just got to thinking today that the shut down and the Covington Catholic circus are covers for the Democrats and the current health condition of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. She might be on life support for all we know, and the media is certainly not paying attention. This whole square dance going on now might be a distraction to let the Dems figure out how to block the likely replacement (who by all accounts is likely to be a Catholic Woman Amy Barrett so this Covington circus might be preparing the ground for blocking her confirmation.

  131. E.M.Smith says:


    IMHO, the “circus” aspect of Covington and the Cohen /Trump direction were unexpected by the Dims. They expected them to be “hot stories” created for effect and 4 walled. They did not expect the blow back. So they must be assessed for motive in the context of “had they succeeded”.

    They are to paint Trump, and all White Men, as fundamentally evil and horrible.

    Why men and whites? Got me.

    Per RBG: It will be interesting if this time the (3 or 4 times now?) returning cancer isn’t a done deal. Then the bones breaking… Could just be old age osteo issues, or could be metastasized tumors causing bone issues. We won’t know until the doctors tell us, or the old bat dies.

    IMHO, the Dims are scared spit-less that she will die soon / retire / be incapacitated and Trump will get another judge. As it is a Senate confirmation and they are still Republican, I expect the “difficulty” to be about the same as Kavenaugh. So you can bet hard money that Pelosi is plotting a guaranteed Articles Of Impeachment before that happens so they can claim any judicial appointments are tainted and invalid. (Never mind that the law doesn’t say that until after the Senate hearing and findings and expulsion from office… it will be used as a propaganda tool to stop consideration of appointments).

    So it’s a race between RBG dying, Pelosi impeaching, and Trump appointing, IMHO.

    That the “IMPEACH!!!!” was 4-walled within moments of the FALSE story about Cohen says it was teed-up and ready to fly in advance. That’s their big goal. A “Color Revolution” funded by Soros to take down a sitting US President.

  132. E.M.Smith says:

    Looks like Ukraine saw the same thing I did and has thrown a legal block. Sentenced Vicktor {whatever} in absentia to prison for 13? years for “treason”. Making it harder to “restore” him.

  133. Larry Ledwick says:

    So you can bet hard money that Pelosi is plotting a guaranteed Articles Of Impeachment before that happens so they can claim any judicial appointments are tainted and invalid.

    I suspects President Trump is way ahead of her and has a drawer full of indictments waiting for the right moment to throw a monkey wrench into the Democratic leadership in the House.

  134. Larry Ledwick says:

    Food for thought


    Direct lnk to the pdf of the report:

  135. Larry Ledwick says:

    Meridith McGraw
    ‏Verified account
    Follow @meridithmcgraw
    The WH pool was just called to gather unexpectedly — there’s nothing on President Trump’s public schedule today

  136. Larry Ledwick says:

    On a different important scientific question:

    Dj Rankan
    ‏Verified account
    21 hours ago
    On an average flight there’s 368 liters of fart expelled into the air… 🤢

    Where do all the farts go on airplanes? Please tell me there’s a fart filter for the air somewhere.. @Delta

    – Sincerelly Diamond Medallion RanKan

    ‏Verified account
    21 hours ago
    Hello DJ RanKan. I’ll be more than happy to investigate the Fart Filter. Give me just a moment to retrieve and review that information. *HPF

    Dj Rankan
    ‏Verified account
    21 hours ago
    This is why you’re the best airline on earth!

    ‏Verified account
    Follow Follow @Delta
    Replying to @DJRanKan
    These systems actually gradually allow the air to seep out of the cabin, while bringing fresh air back in. So, do we have a “Fart Filter”… Not really, we just allow the airplane to fart the human farts out of the aircraft… *HPF

    9:52 PM – 23 Jan 2019

  137. ossqss says:

    I was thinking about all the censorship stuff we have seen for a while on the net and news, then I saw this, and thought, is this next?

  138. Larry Ledwick says:

    So this morning the FBI did a early pre-dawn raid on Roger Stone, arresting him on a multi count warrant. Interestingly although his lawyer apparently got no pre-warning, CNN just happened to have a video crew on hand to record the whole thing.

    Dinesh D’Souza
    ‏Verified account
    18 minutes ago
    More Dinesh D’Souza Retweeted CNN
    These media outlets are the propaganda wings of the Deep State. I believe it was Goebbels who invented this technique. “Come early. Bring your cameras and watch us take down these Jews!”

    Link to the indictment:

    I guess only time will tell if there is any real basis to this indictment or if this just a dog and pony show perpwalk as a distraction from the govt shutdown, by the establishment.


  139. ossqss says:

    @EM, this is the best deal on a VPN I have seen for a while. It is on a countdown clock however.


  140. jim2 says:

    The Stone indictment is more obstruction charges, no collusion. Mueller is toxic to democracy. His pogram is based on a lie (the Steele document) and his entire prosecutorial edifice is illegal. Why he hasn’t been prosecuted himself is a mystery to me.

  141. Jon K says:

    The reason Mueller, and others like the Clintons, Comey, et al, have not been prosecuted is because we have a multi-tier system of justice in this country. There isn’t enough integrity among the political class in DC to float a turd. They’re [mostly] all guilty of some form of corruption any anybody that breaks rank to do what’s just will bring down a firestorm on their own asses. Everything done at this point is, first and foremost, to protect the “elites” and help them remain “elite”.
    God, I hate that it’s common terminology to call that group of scum “elite”.

  142. E.M.Smith says:

    @Jon K:

    I prefere to think of them as GEB Overlords and avoid the elite connotations…

  143. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump is signing a temporary funding bill to re-open the government until Feb 13.


    He is also issuing a warning that if the issue is not resolved he will take care of it using other means.

    Ryan Saavedra
    ‏Verified account
    President Donald Trump: “If we don’t get a fair deal from Congress, the government will either shutdown on February 15th again or I will use the powers afforded to me under the laws and the Constitution of the United States to address this emergency.”

  144. Larry Ledwick says:

    More on what is probably really going on: (Trump wins by giving the Dems a no cost victory)


  145. Larry Ledwick says:

    Trump’s response to comments that his temporary deal is a loss.

    Donald J. Trump
    ‏Verified account
    Following @realDonaldTrump
    I wish people would read or listen to my words on the Border Wall. This was in no way a concession. It was taking care of millions of people who were getting badly hurt by the Shutdown with the understanding that in 21 days, if no deal is done, it’s off to the races!

    5:33 PM – 25 Jan 2019

  146. Another Ian says:

    How not to run a railway – or an electricity supply system. Latest Oz example.

    “Nearly a billion dollars for electricity for just one day — $500 per family”


    “Three days and you could buy a HELE plant with the money wasted.”

  147. corsair red says:

    Speaking of fun. I saw a post on Facebook that members of Congress should be drug tested. There was this comment:
    Congress should volunteer enthusiastically. Then they can take the results and say, ” See? It was the drugs. It wasn’t just more random stupid. “

  148. Larry Ledwick says:

    Telegraph gets burned by their own incompetence and have to issue a lengthy retraction and pay a large settlement to Melania Trump.


  149. Larry Ledwick says:

    EM I think this is 90% of the way toward what you are thinking about. It might be a good time to put in some suggestions right now as they begin formulating plans, such as your idea for a uncontrollable (by the major powers) local internet sharing matrix option to inter-connectivity.

  150. Larry Ledwick says:

    Video of Russian Jet crash the other day, came in way too hot and slammed the runway breaking the planes back. (about a minute into the video, watch for landing lights to appear in upper right quadrant of video)

  151. Another Ian says:

    Unintended consequeces

    “High and dry.”

    Link at


  152. Pingback: W.O.O.D. 26 January 2019 | Musings from the Chiefio

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