Ran into a Fox News clip over at Right Side Broadcasting:
WH Moves to Expedite Deportations of Illegal Immigrants
The White House moved to expedite deportations of illegal immigrants on Monday in an effort to counter the growing influx pouring through the border.
Bailee Byers 1 min ago
The Trump administration announced on Monday it is expanding fast-track deportation regulations to include the removal of undocumented immigrants who cannot prove they have been in the U.S. continuously for two years or more.
The change dramatically expands the ability of the Department of Homeland Security to quickly deport certain immigrants without any of the due-process protections granted to most other people, including the right to an attorney and to a hearing before a judge. It is set to go into effect Tuesday and is the latest escalation of the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown.
They then embed a FOX news clip (hit their link to see it) that has some numpty Talking Head (John Gihon “Former ICE Sr. Attorney” so does “former” imply Obama Drone?) saying it would be “nearly impossible” to round up and deport “A Million People” with existing orders to vacate the country. These are folks who had their day in court, lost, and have been given final orders of removal.
Part of the claim is that “there aren’t a million beds”. Well, heck, you don’t NEED a million beds. Let’s say you have planes, trains, ships, and buses leaving ONLY week days and ONLY 50 weeks of the year (taking a vacation, don’t you know, and everyone needs the weekend off…). So divide your 1,000,000 by 50 x 5 days. That’s 1,000,000 / 250 = 4000. You need 4000 beds to hold the folks leaving on any given day. Now maybe you can’t do “just in time” so you need to hold a week’s worth. That’s still just 20,000 beds. Do note that if spread over the 50 States (assuming most of the week is spent batching and moving to the deportation site) we’re back down to 400 beds / State. Not exactly a big number.
He then went on to say it would be impossible to round up that million folks anyway. Oh Really? Since ICE works every day of the year, let’s assume they don’t want the bad press of picking folks up on Christmas or Thanksgiving and call it a 360 day year as a reasonable guess of 5 “critically sensitive” days. Divide your million by 360 you get 2778 per day. That’s way less than the number of ICE agents, so you can have more than one working on each person nabbed (and often there will be multiples at any one location / pickup…).
Now again, spread that over the 50 States. That’s 56 per State on average.
There were over 10.5 million arrests for all offenses in the United States in 2017. This figure is a decrease from 1990 levels, when the number of arrests was over 14.1 million.
So that is 28,767 per day now, and we’ve done 38,630 per day.
Somehow I think we can handle 7% of a normal daily workload…
“BUT that’s ALL arrests! Not just ICE!” I can hear someone prepping to say:
The big border headline this week was that U.S. authorities arrested or turned away more than 144,000 people at the southwest border in May, including more than 100,000 family units and children, far exceeding previous monthly totals this year and putting us on pace for illegal immigration levels not seen in 13 years. The U.S. Border Patrol apprehended on average 4,200 people a day last month and now has more than 19,000 people in custody.
So we’re able to handle 4,200 per day at the border but somehow doing 2/3 of that is impossible?
I smell a great big political Lie Rat.
The logistics of getting a million folks deported who are flagrantly breaking our laws is not all that hard. First, shut down that flood at the border. Trump, via “recruiting” Mexico, has made a good start on that. Second, stop the “Catch And Release” that’s making things harder and stop letting folks flood in and run anywhere in the country “pending hearing”. Trump’s also got that going pretty good. Now you can reposition a lot of those staff who were otherwise spinning their wheels on “catch and release” and border processing and instead have them find the folks who are ignoring Court Orders, and put them on a plane, train, or bus to their country of residence.
As a sidebar to this, there was another story about the FBI and ICE hoovering up all the DMV data including photos from all the States. Match that with the directive to integrate data across agencies (as just asking on the census was blocked long enough to run out the clock) and you can do a very rapid match of deportation orders to DMV records. I’d also wager that there are photos taken of folks in the “Catch And Release” process that can be facial recognition matched to those DMV records…
So for a huge swath of the Illegal Immigrant Population, finding them will not be all that hard.
Will there be a “hard core” of folks like MS-13 drug dealers who operate without any attempt at things like drivers licences and similar? Certainly. But far far less than the Magic Million Number… And, in fairly short order, I’d expect a LOT of them to be concentrated in “Sanctuary Cities” and “Sanctuary States” as they abandon places like Texas where local police are likely to join in and help the process and make a run for “safer” places. That “concentration” alone will help in picking them up.
So as the bulk of the workload is reduced, the available officers can spend more time working on the harder cases and getting them done too.
This is a classical logistics problem and is subject to the Logistics Curve. The “S” shaped curve. At the start things are slow, they rapidly rush through the center as volume rises dramatically, then starts to tail off at the top of the S as fewer subjects are left to deal with.
It will be a large body of work, but I see nothing that makes this impossible, or even all that difficult, to accomplish inside of one year.