Interesting drought happening in China.
Note in particular at 9:40 (showing halted wind turbines too ;-) where they cover the loss of power generation, 12:00 or so where they talk about Apple devices and others likely to suffer shutdown of assembly, and 12:40 where they talk about lithium and lithium batteries. The Lithium Salt refining issue causing a shortage of Lithium Batteries. That’s gonna hurt.. Crop shortages / losses along with industrial closures from too little water. .
This also, oddly enough, increases the risk of China invading Taiwan. Why? Well, one of the big issues with the 3 Gorges Dam is that IF it were blown up, a massive flood would take out just about everything to the sea AND cut off the major troop concentration (inland) from transport, that’s on the other side of the area that would be flooded. That risk / danger is gone now what with the reservoir approaching Dead Pool…
15 minutes:
71 years ago is 1951, a time of cooling into the “New Ice Age Scare” of the late 1960s into early 1970s.
Yangtze river in worse condition (17 minutes):
157 years ago is 1865, also a cold time. So my take on this is that entering a cooling period, a drought band shows up that covers the South West of the USA, and also the middle of China. I don’t know if it is just a movement of the rain band or a global reduction of precipitation. (Dig Here!)
Sichuan has shut off exterior lighting, street lights, A/C and more.
So looks like a lot more “supply chain” issues are going to show up.
China is clearly “having issues”…
My guess on what is going on is that overall lower ocean heating leads to less water evaporation. Less water in the air and less rain causes land temperatures to go up and show “heating”, but the reality is global cooling mostly in the oceans.
That’s my theory anyway. Needs some data and proving up… Also need to check for “just a move of the rain band” by looking for a band of flooding just north or south of the drought bands.
In any case, look for China to be buying up food stocks in the global market. Smithfield is the biggest pork producer in the USA and is owned by China, so look for them to export pigs to China and for your bacon and pork prices to rise as a result. Also might be a good time to put that SPAM and Rice Bag in your larder.
Musings from the Chiefio 
Another Cooling, Not Warming, site. https://electroverse.co/
Many articles posted one per day focused on cooling.
Dr Roy Spencer recently had a paper on the Colorado River watershed. Long term inflow shows no change, but outflow has exceeded inflow for over 20 years. Left a comment in the Colorado River thread.
I’ll vote for “it is just weather.”
The USA’s Southeast is wet, Pakistan is wet, major low pressure – Danielle – will impact the Douro Valley and Galicia by Monday morning. There is a major Low over the Sea of Okhotsk (see Nullschool). That should produce rain.
Cos all the rain fell in Pakistan this year. Next question?
@John Hultquist:
Thanks for the reminder about Nullschool. Went there and changed it to TPW Total Precipitable Water, noticed India (and Pakistan) looked a bit wet, and did a DDG search on “India monsoon” that turned up these top headlines:
Most of China is just sort of “Downwind” of a major Desert. The Gobi. Or blocked from the Monsoons by the Tibetan Plateau. It is mostly the coastal band that has a lot of water / humidity to turn to rain. So if winds shift just a little, they can get a lot more, or a lot less, precipitation.
So my guess would be that this is within the bounds of “normal” weather, but that China has very wide swings on the variation due to their geography being significantly “down wind” of the Roof Of The World and the Gobi for the jet stream.
It also looks like India is getting a little bit more rain (3.4%) so maybe a tiny shift of winds and rains there, but to the wetter.
Still, since it’s a dry shift for China, looks like they will have water and food issues.
I can confirm that *parts* of the US southeast is relatively wet this year (water year to date has seen roughly a foot more rain than average locally). There are parts that are not. So, yes, just a routine weather year. During the last few water years here, several have been wetter than average, one very much wetter than average, one average, and one drier than average. All it takes to turn a relatively dry year here into a relatively wet one is having several tropical systems come through and drop lots of rain. Our water year starts “dry” (October is the driest and that’s when the water year starts) and ends “dry” (September ends the water year and is next driest at about 3.5 inches of rain) in the typical year; but the variation seen is significant. Average rainfall is 4.5 feet per year. The driest month runs around 3 inches of rain and the wettest month runs around 6 inches of rain, on average. Obviously, a month can’t get less than no rain at all and there isn’t a hard cap on the maximum other than what the actual conditions were during that month.
Think triple dip La Nina, with a 4th being forecast. Altered zonal/meridional flow and Jetstream patterns.
Here ya go on the La Nina, courtesy of a Maue link.
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/september-2022-la-ni%C3%B1a-update-it%E2%80%99s-q-time
Terry Jackson, interesting link, thanks..https://electroverse.co/
The article on the extreme ( and it is truly extreme) cold in the SH Antarctica area, southern oceans, was very interesting. I saw the anomaly, and did not know what the cause was. I recommend the site.
This is the Antarctica article…
https://electroverse.net/the-south-pole-just-suffered-its-coldest-winter-in-recorded-history/
Look at the long record of Chameleon Climate . Cold and heat, they come and go, come and go… cold lasting longer.
Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is a control mechanism.
It is a divisive, terrifying theory–and one they have the gall to blame entirely on us humans (which in itself is absurd).
AGW is ideal for advancing their overarching Great Reset agenda, which includes depopulation. They are breeding a culture of fear within the general public in order to achieve political goals via emotional bias.
@BethTheSerf:
Hunters have used fear to drive the herd over the cliff since we were hunting mastodons… Same trick, just applied to ‘prey humans’ in the political hunt for power…
E.M. re over the cliff!
https://www.art.com/products/p15063337931-sa-i6845694/paul-noth-wait-a-minute-we-re-lemurs-lemurs-new-yorker-cartoon.htm
The BBC showed a new Attenborough series on Frozen areas of the planet last night. Very good although with the usual propaganda.
However, what did strike me was the dirty colour of the ice and where it cascaded into the sea it was literally black. Scoresby noted soot on ice back in 1818 and assumed it came from newly industrialising America. In this case perhaps China is the culprit.
However the point is that soot is known to melt ice but as far as I am aware there are no papers that examine the modern day impacts of the substances involved.
Forest fires produce prodigious amounts of soot. You can almost date stuff with it, like you can with pollen. Even with that, photochemistry produces soot every year from plant emissions, primarily terpenes.
@BethTheSerf:
Nice One! (I have a special fondness for lemurs… and that plays off it nicely ;-)
@ClimateReason:
Think of the megatons of “soot” put into the air via volcanoes, forest fires, and space object impacts.
http://curious.astro.cornell.edu/about-us/75-our-solar-system/comets-meteors-and-asteroids/meteorites/313-how-many-meteorites-hit-earth-each-year-intermediate
But even that has huge error bands in it and likely misses a lot of tonnage that is outside of the particular range a given study looks at.
It’s the notion that people are important and that our impact is big enough for the planet to even notice that is the flawed notion. Drive I-90 across the USA. Leaving Wyoming, you will find ash layers many feet thick as far away as Nebraska. There are literal mountains of the stuff from the last eruption. From one eruption of one volcano. You drive by it for days…
Dust from The Sahara blows all the way to Florida… and changes the weather.
I think that matters more than someone heating a kettle in London.
I remember in the UK that during our very harsh winter of 62/63 that it was my job to empty the grate of our coal fire and spread it cold on the snowy path where it would soon melt the snow. So my point is really that wherever it comes from, soot in all its form is a powerful melter of snow and ice. During 1818 Scoresby was instructed by the Royal Society to investigate the melting arctic and he wrote of the soot he saw and the impact it had.
In Attenboroughs programme I was really flabbergasted at the general amount of soot over the snow and how black it was where it calved into the sea.
Soot at that level must have some sort of impact on the melting of arctic ice
Will this image from twitter post here? Courtesy of JB.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fca_A-sWYAA1d3I?format=jpg&name=900×900
A lot of that soot comes from China and India burning coal. I am all for burning coal, BTW. It can be used without creating all the soot.
Black carbon papers:
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/jgrd.50171
more …
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?as_ylo=2018&q=black+carbon&hl=en&as_sdt=0,43
This article, posted earlier, yet perhaps lost in the shuffle…
“The eruption of the Hunga-Tonga Volcano caused the tallest ash plume ever recorded. It’s height was recorded at approximately 38 miles, poking into the Mesosphere. That’s over 200,000 feet tall.”
Contrary to the MSM’s agenda-driven narrative, the South Pole has been suffering unprecedented cold this year. Between the months of April and September, the South Pole averaged a temperature of -61.1C (-78F).
Simply put, this was the region’s coldest 6-month spell ever recorded, and it comfortably usurped the previous coldest ‘coreless winter‘ on record — the -60.6C (-77F) set back in 1976 (solar minimum of weak cycle 20).”
https://electroverse.net/category/volcanic-seismic-activity/
Recently linked by someone here, and a good site, sort of a replacement for Ice Age now, with a bit more depth in the articles.
The amount of W/V Hunga-Tonga sent into the stratosphere was very inpressive.https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/tonga-eruption-blasted-unprecedented-amount-of-water-into-stratosphere#:~:text=The%20huge%20amount%20of%20water,that%20circled%20the%20globe%20twice.
It will be curious to see if this produces stratosphere warming.
As I recall, David A, the last big stratospheric water injection caused stratospheric cooling. I may be wrong. It seems to me that water would interfere with ozone production. Again, I may be wrong.
@ cdquarles, I agree, yet NOAA had their own view. Scroll past the Greenland news, and see the unprecedented SH cooling…https://electroverse.co/greenlands-record-gains-major-stratospheric-cooling-event-over-southern-hemisphere/
I see. Dammit Jim, I’ve lived through the 70s. I was young then. I am old now. I don’t want to relive the 70s, again, now. Big SH volcanic eruption. Large mass ejection into the stratosphere. Southern hemisphere stratospheric cooling and the polar seesaw means northern hemisphere stratospheric warming. Southern hemisphere winter the coldest on record, yes, the records are short. Northern hemisphere winter is coming. Likely la nina, too; meaning cold ocean temperatures. Winter may be as brutal as it was in the 60s and 70s. Bummer. Warmer is better and carbon dioxide is plant food. Silly gits.
cd, if this cold fresh water is released into the North Atlantic it could get very interesting…https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
2018- NASA says we have entered a Grand Solar Minimum
2022- NASA says we are in a drought occuring every 1000 years.
Correlation?
@John S Howard Jr:
Yes.
FWIW, I first noticed this when learning to ski in the early ’70s. It was quite cold (snow in the Central Valley, very rare) yet there was a ‘bad drought’. So bad that at Squaw Valley they had patches of straw on Mountain Run where you got to walk over the dirt patches where there was no snow.
Cold does not evaporate as much water from the ocean so you get less to precipitate, thus drought. There can be some perverse effects at the transitions when the air has changed mode but the ocean has not caught up yet.
Other effect:
When the sun goes quiet it shifts spectrum to more IR / red and less UV / blue. The UV & Blue were depositing their energy deep in the ocean, warming the mass of it to depth over several decades. When the sun shifts to more red / IR, that is absorbed in the surface causing prompt evaporation. For a little while with hot ocean and more surface evap, you get more flooding, but the ocean has been cooling for the last decade or two and is now just driven by IR / red at the surface; so you get drought more.
This was part of why I wanted out of California when I did. To get out before the mega drought killed the place from dramatic cooling. It also was why I went to Florida where there’s plenty of water. (East Texas works too).
I’ve thought it would be fun to knock together a model of just that (solar spectrum shift / ocean temp profile / precipitation) and compare to historical, but reality has gotten in the way and I’m a truck driver and carpenter for myself instead… Maybe next year…