This is just a Delphi Poll on an idea.
I’m supposed to be “looking for a job” as a manager of some sort in I.T. ( I’ve mostly done Director of I.T., and contract Project Management the last dozen+ years, and before that, manager of data centers and systems programmers for another 7+). After I came off my last contract, doing P.M. work in Disaster Recovery in Florida, I headed back to California. Along the way I decided to ‘take some time off’. Mostly as there were a couple of years of “stuff to catch up” in California.
Time passes, and I’ve found my motivation to do “climate stuff” larger than my motivation to go job hunting. But the accumulated money from prior contracts runs out after a while. I don’t really have a choice but to look for “a new gig”. That means “letting go” of some ideas about the whole Climate Change world.
What ideas? Well, I’ve downloaded a bunch of data. The intent being to knock together a database for easy comparisons and also make a new dataset that specifically avoids averaging temperatures (wherever possible) and homogenizing. One that says history is a FIXED number, and does not ‘rewrite the past’. To do that in any reasonable time takes more than 1 hour a week, or even 1 hour a day. When working full time, I’ve got about 1 hour / day to devote the this blog and about an hour or two a week to devote to “personal projects”. So things like “make my own version of the GCMs with insolation / tidal drivers replacing CO2” and “make that PureTemp temperature dataset” largely go on hold.
Which brings me to the “bright idea”:
Is it reasonable to make a public funding campaign to fund me to do that work? Would it be a waste of time, or a golden opportunity?
In Climate Science terms, we’re talking “chump change”. I’d be thrilled with about $100,000 for the lot. I could likely ‘scrape by’ with about $40k/year. That just disappears in the massive Government Funding Machine volumes, but there isn’t such money available to the skeptics side of things. Which circles back to that question.
Is it a “pipe dream” to consider a public funding campaign for a $100,000 stake to set up an independent and ‘clean’ temperature series, based on the available public data of daily and monthly average “unadjusted” data? With the project then moving on to an ongoing effort to make a GCM without the CO2 bias and adding back in solar / lunar influences. That last part is of unknown size of work, so can’t be guaranteed to fit in any given budget. I’ve looked at the GCMs code base and it’s not that hard to work with, but it is huge and not the kind of thing you can rewrite in a month or three.
I’m not looking for ‘fan boy’ praise and “go get’em tiger” motivationals. I’m looking for more realistic estimation of what can be done via such a crowd funding effort among skeptics and maybe some advice on just which kind of campaign would work best and which sites might cater to this kind of thing. I’m not sure there is such a site, really. This isn’t a “product” to be sold, nor a personal suffering appeal, nor a charity, nor a … and “what is it” is not exactly clear. QA of Government Funded R&D? Counter point to Political Spin? Fair & balanced R&D?
Where is the crowd funding site dedicated to “Honest search for the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth”?
I know I’d like to do it. I know it needs to be done. But between those two there is a gulf of money.
For a while I’d held off on the idea thinking the needed source data was not available, but it looks to me like the available daily data covers most of what is needed, and a reasonable job can be done with the monthly MIN and MAX averages. While not ideal, a monthly average of just MIN or just MAX is likely close enough to non-averaged daily slope over the years, to be usable for a real trend discovery.
So please “kick it around”. I’ve been kicking it around for a couple of months, but I don’t have that luxury anymore. I need to either “do something” or get off the pot and go get a Real Job ™ in a company doing something that makes money, but maybe doesn’t do much to change the world… or cash in some IRA money and file for Social Security early.
That’s my 3 way split at this “hinge point” in life. So what does the Delphi Poll think?
1) Crowd fund a move into formal Climate Data R&D.
2) Back to the millstones?
3) Pack it in and “live cheap” posting as the cranky old retired guy?
(Hey, you kids, get away from that thermometer and off the lawn!! 8-)
And just how realistic is your choice?
Ideas welcome. As comments or in email.