Tips – May 2017

About “Tips”:

While I’m mostly interested in things having to do with:

Making money, usually via trading
Weather and climate (“Global Warming” & “Climate Change”)
Quakes, Volcanoes, and other Earth Sciences
Current economic and political events
(often as those last three have impact on the first one…)
And just about any ‘way cool’ interesting science or technology

If something else is interesting you put a “tip” here as you like.

You can also look at the list of “Categories” on the right hand side and get an idea of any other broad area of interest.

This ought not to be seen as a “limit” on what is “interesting”, more as a “focus list” with other things that are interesting being fair game as well.

The History:

Note that “pages” are the things reached from links on the top bar just under the pretty picture. “Postings” are reached from the listing along the right side of any given article (posting).

Since WordPress has decided that comments on Pages, like the Old Tips Pages, won’t show up in recent comments, it kind of breaks the value of it for me. In response, I shifted from a set of “pages” to a set of “postings”. As any given Tips Posting gets full, I’ll add a new one.

I have kept the same general format, with the T page (top bar) still pointing to both the archive of Tips Pages as well as the series of new Postings via a link to the TIPS category.

This is the next posting from prior Tips postings as they had gotten so large it was taking a long time to load. Same idea, just a new set of space to put pointers to things of interest. The most immediately preceding Tips posting is: https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2017/04/04/tips-april-2017/.

The generic “T” parent page remains up top, where older copies of the various “Tips” pages can be found archived. The Tips category (see list at right) marks Tips postings for easy location.

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About E.M.Smith

A technical managerial sort interested in things from Stonehenge to computer science. My present "hot buttons' are the mythology of Climate Change and ancient metrology; but things change...
This entry was posted in Tips and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

256 Responses to Tips – May 2017

  1. E.M.Smith says:

    @Jeff: per https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2017/04/04/tips-april-2017/#comment-82777

    Yeah… and here I thought a “shucking fit” was something my relatives in Iowa did when corn harvest time came ;-)

    From your: http://semiaccurate.com/2017/05/01/remote-security-exploit-2008-intel-platforms/ link:

    For the moment. From what SemiAccurate gathers, there is literally no Intel box made in the last 9+ years that isn’t at risk. This is somewhere between nightmarish and apocalyptic.

    Yeah, I’d agree with that… Gee, I’ve got something like 7 or 8 Intel based PCs scattered around the office at the moment and not one of them made in the last 9 years… I wonder why that is??… ;-)

    Now the old White Box x86 PCs and such ARE getting a bit long in the tooth. Most have a dead CD drive or are just so slow as to be painful (or, increasingly, not supported by drivers in the newer Linux kernels… so I’m facing a bind where where the new kernels don’t run and the old browsers don’t work so finding an alignment that does work become “an issue”… thus my move to new ARM chips that are now faster than old Intel chips…)

    Sometimes you can see that train coming down the tracks from a LOOOOONG ways away.

    Per the German negative electricity rates due to excess wind: Is it really Hubris, or just plain old subsidy greed and graft?… Just sayin’…

    Per the net connected pacemaker: I see a future in making tin foil shirts AND hats… only 1/2 ;-) I do think some folks will want RF blocking shirts and such. I know I’d be interested in one if I had a pacemaker with remote interrogation and setting… Wouldn’t want to be sitting in the waiting room and not know the tech on the other side of the wall had connected to the wrong pacemaker while doing the setup for that patient…

  2. pyromancer76 says:

    I don’t know whether I should put this idea here or in the “energy” category, but here goes. I haven’t read a fusion post in a while. Here is what a commenter (CTH – MVW, today, 12:30) wrote:

    “Then there is electric power for which a revolution is at our doorstep. Commercial Fusion within 8 years, possibly 7 if expedited, and not the Government institutional boondoggle Tokamak science project approach….There are at least 5, possibly more different Fusion projects that could make the 8 year commercial goal for a fraction the cost of money given to…ITER.

    The flow on effect with virtual unlimited cheap electric, low pollution power would unleash production of fresh water, and that opens up the farmable land….Microbiome and Fusion are near term. The world will be unrecognizable. This is not fiction.” [Microbiome was in the comment above – about addressing the genetics of chronic illnesses suffered by way too many.]

  3. philjourdan says:

    Re:Intel Bug – Moral – DO not connect to public hot spots! Stay behind your firewall and do not surf marginal sites! It is one thing for “us” to be on guard. It is another for our Aunts and moms!

  4. Larry Ledwick says:

    Mick Mulvaney breaks down the numbers on the new spending bill. He is not kind to some of the sales pitches made by the Democrats that they scored a big win.

    The real numbers on the spending bill without the partisan spin

  5. Zeke says:

    Alexa Won’t Answer CIA Question, dur. :42

    One of many

  6. Jeff says:

    Hmmm. Seems like Russia and China restrict (forbid?) TPM usage:
    ** TPM module disabled where use is restricted by law; for example, Russia and China.
    (from specs of HP EliteBook 2760p Tablet PC from Ingram Micro
    http://www.ingrammicro.de/pdf/2760p.pdf )
    Guess they don’t want TPM getting in the way of “election monitoring” :)
    Seems like sofa king dumb and whale oil beef hooked don’t even come close… :)

    Wrt the power debacle, it’s both. Hubris, in the sense that “we know everything, and you, the proles, don’t” and graft and corruption, because it’s what keeps the elite on their feet… One hopes that the greens would start complaining about the birds killed/cooked by solar, etc., but their “tough choices” rarely involve reality.

    About 10 years ago my son was in the ICU here and had 22 injectors (three racks full – at the neck – I’m not kidding!), three others (both hands and a foot) which needed to be separated, and a couple of intubations, all of which were regulated by electronically controlled injector units. Fortunately they weren’t on a LAN or some such where they could be hacked, and, thank God, my son’s OK now.

    But to think, any one of those could have been hacked… The medical world needs to address this, NOW.

    Sometimes/somehow “remote sensing” can’t EVER replace REAL human activity and monitoring.
    (And yes, I think they were pretty much at the limit of how much they could do/inject. It was crazy when a few of them were near empty, and they were all going off – along with the other kids’ pumps. Add to that the sound of the breathing assistance devices…).

    In the article about the med-hacking, it was mentioned that decomissioned units were purchased off of eBay. Having worked at HP when they had their medical division (now part of Philips, or at least it was), I know that 40-year (!) device history records and master records have to be kept. And if said device is decommissioned, that has to be recorded, too. Someone, somewhere, could well end up in jail for that. It was a world of hurt for us, and I was part of the teams that migrated the various apps/backup media from one generation/platform to the next).

    Kind of irritating that all of these labour-saving devices (IoT, et. al.) end up consuming 10-100 times more labour than they at first purported to save…

    I’ll take my steam-powered LaserJet, thank you :)

  7. E.M.Smith says:

    @Zeke:

    Like the dog that ate the cookies and looks away when you ask it ;-)

    Maybe someone can make an “Alexa Embarrassment” add-on device. Have a gizmo that detects the word “Alexa” and then listens for an Alexa voiced response (pretty simple very limited voice rec.) and if NO answer arrives in an allotted time ( 5 seconds from end of utterance?) slowly turns up a RED LED shining at Alexa to make it “blush”…

    Would make an interesting video:

    “Alexa, do you work for the CIA?” (blush)
    “Alexa, tell me, do YOU work for the C.I.A.?” (Blush more)
    “Alexa, are YOU SPYING on me for the C.I.A.” (FULL BLUSH!!!)…

    @Jeff:

    Glad to hear the kid recovered OK.

    I’ve worked in hospitals before. They do a LOT to keep things on different networks and keep out intruders, but frankly with the Intel chip failures, the (pervasive) Microsoft hacks, and the PRISM & Related buggery of routers et. al. like from CISCO: It’s just a huge risk.

    The only really good thing is that black hat hackers go for the financial side of things, not the patient side.

  8. E.M.Smith says:

    Hmmm…. Not a full on “hard hat” but a “bump cap” with a plastic inner liner. Perhaps just enough for Trumpers at Trump vs Antifa encounters?

    https://www.amazon.com/Titus-Lightweight-Safety-Bump-Cap/dp/B01FWWPIAW/

    I could see putting a MAGA on the front of that…

    Looks like you can also just get the insert to put in your Trump hat… wonder how to know if it would fit?

    https://www.amazon.com/Fibre-Metal-Hard-Hat-SC01-Protective/dp/B015MG2A0Y/

    At $8 worth it for a test … Anyone up for ordering one? (I never got a Trump hat, so can’t do the test myself…)

  9. Larry Ledwick says:

    At $8 worth it for a test … Anyone up for ordering one? (I never got a Trump hat, so can’t do the test myself…)

    I might pick one of those up just to see what it is like. I wish it gave a little more detail about what it is made of. It appears to be polyethylene or nylon but that is not a real picture of the actual item, looks like art work.

  10. Another Ian says:

    ” COMEY: The emails on Anthony Weiner’s laptop were NOT all duplicates — we found 6,000 NEW classified emails from Hillary Clinton. #Bombshell pic.twitter.com/1MUfmELEez
    — Newt-Trump Fan Club (@NewtTrump) May 3, 2017

    More on Comey’s testimony here.”

    http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2017/05/when-the-democr-13.html#comments

  11. E.M.Smith says:

    Yeah, watched a lot of the testimony live. Masterful butt covering and dodging…

  12. jim2 says:

    Hulu has a new service for $40 per month. Includes Fox News, live and 24/7 if I’m reading this correctly. Of course, Fox is probably going to end up like some Frankenstein combination of CNN and MSNBC. (Maddow crossed with Blitzer — YUCK!!)

    https://www.hulu.com/live-tv

  13. jim2 says:

    Hulu is rolling out a new service for $40/month. Includes Fox News, 24/7 if I’m reading this right.

    Of course Fox News will probably end up as a Maddow/Blitzer Frankenstein.

    http://fortune.com/2017/05/03/hulu-live-tv-streaming/

  14. Larry Ledwick says:

    First detailed summary I have seen on the extent of unmasked US persons picked up by NSA and subsequently searched for by the Obama administration. Unless they can demonstrated that the majority of those 5288 names were actively involved in terrorist or espionage activities this high number is certainly an issue that needs to be investigated.

    http://circa.com/politics/president-obamas-team-sought-nsa-intel-on-thousands-of-americans-during-the-2016-election

  15. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting Comey appears to confirm what several of us here have postulated that the reason Russia/Putin favored Trump is that :
    A. He was not Hillary (ie they hated Hillary)
    B. Was seen as a rational pragmatic negotiator who could be worked with.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/05/03/comey-russia-favored-trump-putin-hated-hillary-clinton/

  16. Power Grab says:

    Re “The only really good thing is that black hat hackers go for the financial side of things, not the patient side.”

    I beg to differ. Not many months ago, a person I know who has a very responsible position in a very secure (supposed to be, anyway!) facility told me about a situation where a mysterious record of a lab batch was found in their data, where only automated data should ever be passed from one system to another. The usual key identifier field was unpopulated. The systems on either side of the system where the data was found had no record of the mysterious batch.

    While the find was reported to the folks who should be able to do a forensic investigation, my contact was never given a satisfactory report as to where it came from.

    It wasn’t garbage data. They could account for the other batches in the stream.

    It struck me as an attempt to insert a false batch into the stream, but they failed to successfully populate the main identifier in the database.

    Of course, I’m just speculating about how it got there. But my main concern about having all our activities logged, even as a person whose life about as plain vanilla as you can get, is that if someone really wanted to “take you down”, they could insert records into, say, your cell phone log, or your toll-paying log, or your card swipe log, or your credit card log, that would seem to indicate you had said or been or done something that you hadn’t done.

    I just have this uneasy feeling that if things like that were entered as evidence in a trial, the jury probably wouldn’t be able to satisfactorily raise the question of where each entry in the log came from. Who has the log of the log? It’s all just data. Who is to say any entries were fabricated?

    It’s just your word against the log. Who’s gonna win?

  17. Power Grab says:

    Oh, yeah…and if they want to fabricate a voice record of you saying something that you didn’t say, they’re not far from making tools like that available to just about anyone.

  18. Power Grab says:

    Speaking of hospitals and their use of computerized systems to store and display patient data:

    The last time I was in hospital, one night a nurse came in and looked at the computer screen on the wall, then said she was going to go get my medications now. She was going to get “your blood pressure medication”. I said, “I don’t take blood pressure medication.” She didn’t respond, but froze. Since I was heavily medicated, I thought she would assume I didn’t know what I saying, so I then said, “No one has ever told me I needed blood pressure medication.” She still didn’t respond. She finally turned and looked at the screen again for a while. Then she decided she was looking at a different patient’s records. She hadn’t scanned my wrist band when she came in, but she did then. It’s weird to think someone else’s records were on the screen in the room I had occupied for 1-2 nights already.

    What would have happened if they had given me blood pressure medication when I already tend to have lower BP than many people?!?!

  19. Larry Ledwick says:

    @EM

    At $8 worth it for a test … Anyone up for ordering one? (I never got a Trump hat, so can’t do the test myself…)

    I just ordered a couple of the bump cap inserts and that red hat with the built in shell, I will let you know what I think after I play with them a bit. If they keep these sorts of constant Antifa street protests going through the summer, it might be smart to have some simple basic protective gear in the car in case you got caught in the middle of something like that going about your daily business.

    As I mentioned a while back, my preferred protective head gear for something like that would be one of the generic sports/bike helmets since they are so commonly used by all sorts of people, and some of the simple no frills versions are not that expensive (about $15.00).

  20. pouncer says:

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/grain-traders-have-a-problem-too-much-grain-1493827665?mod=djemlogistics

    I blame global warming…

    While Venezuelans and other socialist nations’ populations starve: the biggest real problem in the real markets of the rest of the world is a grain surplus caused by widespread fine weather, improved technology, bountiful harvests, and free people choosing to purchase and eat something else besides subsistence-level grains.

    Anybody who still believes Mao and Stalin could have made it work if it hadn’t been bad luck, bad weather, drought and horders needs to read contemporary headlines.

  21. Larry Ledwick says:

    Hmmmm — from twitter:
    Mike Cernovich
    🇺🇸 Retweeted
    Deplorable Greg‏ @OBgynFl 29 minutes ago

    News BIGGER THEN REPEAL today: China will not honor 1961 treaty to defend North Korea if attacked by US if they continue testing Nukes!

  22. jim2 says:

    If you for whatever reason desire a spying digital assistant, now you can get one, open source. Raspberry Pi-based, also.

    https://betanews.com/2017/05/04/google-open-source-raspberry-pi-diy-voice-kit/

  23. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting study will have to see how this shakes out, but certainly will be unpopular in many quarters.

    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160289616302975

    The book “The bell curve” discusses some of these issues as well and the author of that book has been accused of being a misogynist, or racist and hateful for even discussing the topic.

    http://www.aei.org/publication/bell-curve-20-years-later-qa-charles-murray/

    (note : different does not necessarily mean inferior, just like some people can’t carry a tune but others have perfect pitch each has skill strengths that not all others share)

  24. jim2 says:

    @Larry Ledwick says:5 May 2017 at 5:27 am

    A couple of related thoughts. If automation does take a majority of the good paying jobs, will capitalism continue to serve society as well as in the past? Already, the tech “titans” and wealthy industrialists are corralling much of the wealth and have eliminated jobs in general retail including retail real estate like malls, manufacturing, book stores, and in the medical field. It has created jobs, but many of these are low pay, perhaps part time, with low or no benefits: Uber, Mechanical Turk, etc. The wage gap is expanding again and the lower class is growing.

    Economists tend to have a knee jerk reaction that new technology makes some jobs obsolete but creates new jobs. They just can’t get past that idea. But automation has the capability to take more good jobs than it creates. After all, if robots can build cars and TVs, as they do now, they can also build robots and robots can repair robots. Coupled with the internet, robots have access to much of the knowledge of mankind, not to mention the capability to monitor the environment and coordinate.

    What kind of governmental programs will have to be created to fill in for and fulfill the contract that used to exist between government, business, and workers; where businesses supplied good jobs to citizens?

  25. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    Home schooling your children or grandchildren may be the most effective way to protect them and to defeat the growing threat of silent, one-world globalism

    https://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/2017/05/05/your-home-school-excellence/

  26. jim2 says:

    Macron hacked :)

  27. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    A question from an economist friend on which you may have some comments

    “Just re globalization – I think it has been going on a lot longer than is currently suggested. The whole Current account deficits don’t matter is globalization writ large and has been preached in universities for more than 50 years, basically, although it got really ramped up early 80’s. I feel the need for a tinfoil hat these days!”

    TIA

  28. David A says:

    Re. “The whole Current account deficits don’t matter is globalization writ large and …”

    is a curious and cogent issue. From my perspective I see deficits relevant in that stimulus often just falls into the black hole of paying debt at best, the old
    ” pushing on a chain”
    Yet considering real estate for instance, are we at another peak?
    If so how would a 2017? collapse compare to the 07 collapse. In 2017 foreign investment is very high ( compared to Japan in the 90s??) but prices relevant to citizens income is likely worse, or as bad as ten years ago. Can the Fed lose control of interest rates? Or can prices in markets keep rising?

  29. E.M.Smith says:

    @Another Ian:

    Looks like a statement to me. Don’t see what part is the “question”.

    Current Account Deficits DO matter, and it was taught that way to me only 45 years ago…

    But yes, there is a growing (IMHO manicured and planned…) movement in Economics to find it Just Fine to do things that destroy a Nation State… then offer bits of communist doctrine as The Cure. Things like the idea that you can print all the money you want and it will not matter… or that markets need to be managed, by Central Authority of course…

    @Pouncer:

    Just think about the massive corn to alcohol process sucking up something like 1/4 ? of our corn production… were that not being artificially pulled out of grain markets the world would be awash in excess food…

    Yet the “running out” scare sells…

    @Jim2:

    Robots are currently not as smart or as capable as your dog. They see about as well as a one eyed myopic squirrel. They can’t handle ANYTHING outside of a very narrow pre-programmed patterned response, and they can’t change their response to situations worth a damn. They also can’t handle the thinking or non-pattern nature of repair tasks.

    It isn’t robots that are taking jobs from America and Europe, it is smart capable dirt cheep human laborers in China.

    @P.G.:

    Not worried about it. The nature of the attack would be hard to apply to me, as a DOS Attack on aol is up against some pretty big guns… and I’m the kind of guy that inspects the mail headers in anything from / to a service provider…

    @Power Grab:

    When any in my family is hospitalized, one of us keeps tabs on what the Doctors and Nurses are up to… and ask more questions than they generally like… and don’t swallow ANYTHING unless I know what it is, why it is needed, what effect it is supposed to have, and what side effects or drug interactions are likely. (We have a PDR and we know how to use it ;-)

    @Larry:

    Yeah, can’t have any old Non-PC-Conformant Facts getting in the way of The Narrative…

    Also, that bit with China saying “No Go” on the mutual defense. That is HUUUGE.

    Basically it green-lights Trump and says the Chinese on the border are to prevent refugees, not help the North.

    Oh, and I found it just Sooo lame that Dear Leader Kim Nutjob tried to use HIS preferred assassination method in the attempted frame-up of the USA as hiring an assassin. All we would need to do is just have a very high altitude drone drop a bomb on his head and then claim it was a suicide bomber on his staff. Or, since the war isn’t technically ended in a peace treaty, just drop a B2 load of bombs on his head and claim the kill publicly. We gain nothing by hiding it, and doing it publicly might wake up some folks in Iran and get them closing down some operations…

  30. E.M.Smith says:

    @David A:

    The Fed can make interest rates whatever it wants and nothing will prevent them doing that. WILL they do it is another matter…

    Housing only goes into a bubble with nutty things like the Community Redevelopment Act telling banks to shovel money at it like there’s no tomorrow. Otherwise you just get modest boom / bust cycling with the business cycle. Right Now the bubble I see happening is the degree of commercial development being done (at least around here) with blocks of old buildings knocked down and replaced with 4 story apartment / retail Agenda 21 compliant monstrosities; funded at near zero interest and only wealthy property management companies can play in the space.

    I’m just hoping for a nice big quake to show that a supermarket under 3 stories of apartments acts just like a parking garage, and it all falls down… (they did the worst in both the Marina District (Loma Prieta quake) and the Northridge quake). Building them in quake country is just dumb. 1 or 2 story wood frame is best.

    Come on quake, daddy needs a 7+ …

  31. jim2 says:

    From the article:
    *****
    It has been hard to adjudicate this argument about whether industrial robots are helping or hurting — displacing workers, or merely allowing them to move into less dangerous, better-paying jobs. But recent economic research suggests the harm robots are causing human workers is real.

    A new working paper from MIT economist Daron Acemoglu and his Yale colleague Pascual Restrepo suggests that in recent decades at least, the losses have been substantial. Looking across local labor markets, they find that when a robot comes to town, three to six nearby jobs disappear. And average wages fall, too.

    The overall effect is not as dramatic as some other sources of job loss, like trade with China, but it adds up to between 360,000 and 670,000 jobs lost between 1990 and 2007.

    In addition, the researchers were unable to find any positive counter-effects. Jobs lost in one area don’t migrate to another. And while some groups certainly do worse than others — men, blue-collar workers, high school grads — nobody in the local community really gains from the arrival of robots: not managers, not college grads, not even those with advanced degrees.

    That flies in the face of economic expectation, insofar as the need to program and oversee robot workers should increase demand for high-skilled workers.
    *****
    https://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2017/05/05/why-aren-robots-boosting-economic-productivity/GnrAb7Lx1HCtrjMiD1KY5J/story.html

  32. p.g.sharrow says:

    Robots create real wealth with reduced consumption of the wealth created. therefore the amount of wealth available for everyone is increased. However there must be a avenue for everyone to EARN their portion of that wealth. A taxation based giverment redistribution system of bread and circuses for the displaced is the road to society ruin. The Elites believe THEY deserve a Lion’s share due to their enlightened position. Also a road to societal ruin.

    As the Chief has pointed out. There is no shortage of stuff. There can be an excess of consuming Drones and blocking government Tollgate holders that prevent production of stuff to create artificial shortages of stuff and boost their harvested share of the created wealth. True open markets always work for the best return for EVERYONE. Controlled “open” markets only work for the favored few. Government is the tool for control of the many by the few Elites.

    We don’t need them…pg

  33. E.M.Smith says:

    It isn’t a job. It is a competition. They want a minimum 10x faster code hoping for 10000 x faster. Thats nuts.

    Old FORTRAN was not badly written. It typically was better crafted or it did not run.

    The thing that they can do is recode it to use CUDA cores.

  34. omanuel says:

    Science and democracy are tightly linked. This weekend, Jon Rappoport’s blog is the “coal miner’s canary” that will tell us if there is any hope for freedom under President Trump:

    http://joannenova.com.au/2017/05/weekend-unthreaded-161/

  35. Zeke says:

    Inre robotics
    pg says, “Robots create real wealth with reduced consumption of the wealth created. therefore the amount of wealth available for everyone is increased. However there must be a avenue for everyone to EARN their portion of that wealth.”

    That is a thoughtful equation. I am still on the learning curve with automation.

    However, one thing I have learned is that when people start predicting huge disastrous societal trends, they will also be caught fulfilling these prophesies with the other hand. The predictions and forecasts give an aire of scientific validity and prepare people through fear to allow it to happen.

    Now I could be missing some of the picture, but I have noticed that the threats of full automation are always aimed at the entry level, minimum wage teenager jobs. For example, McDonald’s has been making noises about robotizing the restaurants and drive-thrus. But this is not economical until the government raises minimum wage to 15 or 16 dollars per hour. Also, McDonald’s is already failing, and if it was a choice between going to an automated McDonald’s or a Burger King with some whacky but polite and friendly teenagers, the customer is not necessarily going to go to the automated restaurant. So I think there must be an elimination of competition and serious meddling by the government into wages.

    One more example for the road. Target was planning to start some “stores of the future” which used robots to bring items up in the front of the store, rather than the customer walking through the store himself. So once again the target was the lower wage entry jobs for young people and some other locals. This idea was killed when Target suffered a PR blow for pushing a weird agenda and lost a lot of money. So it takes a lot of cash to automate, and it can only be done with lots of prognosticators claiming it will happen, along with arbitrary wage hikes. Those are important. Also, in an open market with lots of choices, I don’t think that people will want to go to the store of the future. Or at least we could say, it has not been proven that customers will do that.

    ref:
    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/02/08/amid-falling-stock-prices-retailer-target-abruptly-shuts-high-profile-growth-projects/

  36. Larry Ledwick says:

    Okay got delivery of the bump hats today.

    Larry Ledwick says:
    3 May 2017 at 8:36 pm

    My first impressions are:
    Fibre-Metal Hard Hat SC01 Protective Shell Insert for Baseball Cap, White – don’t waste your time and money on this one, unless your head is the size and shape of a small watermellon. Only covers 2/3 of the head, and way too big to fit inside a standard baseball cap.

    Occunomix V400 Insert for Baseball Style Bump Cap – conditional approve, designed for someone who wears a 7.5 – 7.75 inch hat size, but with a bit of strategic trimming so it can be compressed by the hat, it will work in a 7.25 ball cap. (I had to cut a very small wedge out of the back of the shell so the sides would pull in tight enough to fit the head snugly. With more aggressive trimming to get a perfect fit, would make a nice form to layup your own fiberglass insert to fit your needs.

    Titus Lightweight Safety Bump Cap – Baseball Style Protective Hat (Red) — winner!
    Out of the box, it will fit 7.25 inch hat size up to about a 7.5 or a bit larger. It could use a bit of extra padding on the sides “inside” (ie 1/8 inch neoprene like used in insoles would be perfect), but workable and comfortable out of the box.

    Just stick an appropriate decal or patch on the front of the hat and you would be good to go.

    It is not a crash helmet! – but it would provide substantial protection against a light weight impact like a thrown bottle or a whack with a stick. A large rock or piece of concrete would still ring your bell, but the inner shell might prevent a skull fracture and will prevent scalp wounds from random hard object impacts like flag poles and mitigate injury from weapons like bike lock saps.

  37. Larry Ledwick says:

    I messed up the close of the bold on “Occunomix V400 Insert ” (oops)

    [Reply: Fixed it for you. -E.M.Smith]

    I am going to tinker with this shell a bit more, it appears to be high density polyethylene so might be able to fit it a bit better then repair the cuts with a hot melt glue gun, but with the minor modification it works in an over the counter Trump “Make America Great Again” hat

  38. Larry Ledwick says:

    Did you turn off comments on the RT/Roku thread? I see not comment box, but RT is available online for me no problems:
    https://www.rt.com/news/

  39. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    I didn’t turn it off, but checking, the boxes for allow comments and pingbacks were not checked. Either WordPress has changed the defaults, or it is just another of the mysterious (and frequent) odd behaviours from WordPress…

    I’ve checked the boxes (that I never had to check before…) and now it is accepting comments.

    The online RT has consistently been there, it is only the dedicated RT ROKU channel that is ‘having issues’…

  40. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi Chief. Here is another excellent high-level explanation of Holocene variability by mr. Javier.

    https://judithcurry.com/2017/04/30/nature-unbound-iii-holocene-climate-variability-part-a/#more-23015

    Here is an explanation of the real science-based second law of thermodynamics. No faith-based reasoning.

    https://scienceofdoom.com/2010/10/07/amazing-things-we-find-in-textbooks-the-real-second-law-of-thermodynamics/

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future

    [Reply: His version of the “real Second Law” exactly matches my understanding of it. Note it applies to heat, not electrons… ]

  41. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi Chief. I saw this today and found it interesting. About ‘cost disease’.

    https://www.vox.com/new-money/2017/5/4/15547364/baumol-cost-disease-explained

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future

    Reply: While it IS interesting, I think an inflation deflator needs to apply. My suspicion is that services are actually staying flat in real terms and the productivity increases in goods would show up as an even greater drop in goods prices in real terms. Otherwise, I tend to agree. -E.M.Smith. ]

  42. Pearce – thanks for the SoD link. He’s got the right ideas, and has the same arguments with people that I’ve had. Like me, he’s realised that individual photons or molecules do not actually have a temperature, but only (kinetic) energy. There is thus a loophole in the 2LoT for such kinetic energy transfers. I’ve just gone a bit further than that and realised that we can actually utilise that loophole if we design the device correctly to utilise individual energy-transactions rather than only being able to interact with all such interactions at the same time. Though we hear the rattle of the dice everywhere, we can load the die (or alternatively tilt the pinball-table) provided we deal with each energy-transaction one at a time.

  43. Jeff says:

    Intel AMT: And the hurts just keep on coming
    Seems that there’s something even worse than New Age: PWNAGE. Another hole has been found in AMT, the only surprise being why it hasn’t been found before.

    Not going to put on a tinfoil hat today, I need it for my BBQ (as soon as it stops raining). (Shades of hello mudda, hello fadda).

    Just have to wonder if AMD’s similar solution is similarly buggy. I know that the new Ryzen platform has a lot of skulduggery potential, not sure if it’s enabled. At least there’s something else to look at than “the pen and the macaroon” show…

    Article at http://www.theregister.co.uk/2017/05/05/intel_amt_remote_exploit/

    Again, it is most likely to be applicable to biz platforms, but Intel has said there could well be some consumer kit involved as well. It also takes some tweaking (nulling a hash) to get this to work, but perps will be perps…

  44. jim2 says:

    “Imagine running your favorite Windows applications and drivers in an open-source environment you can trust. That’s ReactOS. Not just an Open but also a Free operating system.”

    https://www.reactos.org/

  45. E.M.Smith says:

    @Jim2:

    ReactOS is a FOSS Windows clone. It has had a very slow development cycle so still in Alpha after years, decades? Windows95 clone target, so about 20 years…though mutated to add newer version features over the years.

    Interesting, and might be fun to play with, but not sure what to do with it.

  46. jim2 says:

    “Open-source chip mimics Linux’s path to take on closed x86, ARM CPUs
    The RISC-V chip design can be licensed from SiFive”

    http://www.computerworld.com.au/article/618724/open-source-chip-mimics-linux-path-take-closed-x86-arm-cpus/

  47. E.M.Smith says:

    There is a growing Open Source maker movement including 3D print files where applicable

    https://opencores.org/projects

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-source_computing_hardware

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_open-source_hardware_projects

    https://www.opencircuitdesign.com/

    https://grabcad.com/library

    I’ve limited myself to software mostly just due to time limits, but sometimes look over at the hardware guys. You can get free CAD files for most everthing you need to make a computer or robot. Not as hot as the commercial stuff, but catching up.

    I expect some kind of critical mass during this decade when enough 3D printers hook to enough open source CAD computers and folks can make all sorts of custom stuff on demand and without involving all sorts of companies, governments, and agencies. Simply unloading all the regulatory, patent, executive bonuses, regulatory burden, taxes, legal expenses, and overhead infrastructure costs give the DIY a huge win.

    IMHO, we are already seeing it in software and media as Linux and podcasting make everyone a software factory and Movie/TV studio. Last software I bought was so long ago I don’t remember.. I think it was about 1990… Right now I’m cord cutting and finding more than enough for free on the ROKU and internet feeds. Some of it better than the commercial stuff. Different, yes, but quite fine at $120/mo less or so.

    I’ve mostly lived on nearly free castoff PCs as Linux made them quite enough. Now with DRM and PRISM and who knows what infesting them, moved to SBC like the R.Pi, but next generation I expect will be open source hardware. There’s lots of folks like me looking at the Intel holes and hacks and thinking “It is time”.

    Usually after that it is just a few years.

  48. p.g.sharrow says:

    3D printing! my what a pain in the brain for this old dog. My grandson and I bought a small one for several projects and I have to once again get up to speed in acad to build the models to be raster sliced for the printer. First real project is to build a fume scrubber/airwasher to operate with the printer. After nearly 3 weeks of design and relearning modeling, the end is in sight. Be interesting to see how well this little airwasher, the smallest so far, works…pg

  49. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item on friction between Pakistan and Afghanistan and regional political maneuvering.
    Seems that Pakistan may see improved relations with India by Afghanistan as an effort to “surround them” by India. This would certainly also be a new trigger point for hostilities beyond long standing Kashmir region disputes.

    http://www.dw.com/en/worst-border-clashes-in-years-are-afghanistan-and-pakistan-at-war/a-38743051

  50. Larry Ledwick says:

    This little item makes you wonder what the back story is.

    Russian language source ( http://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/4238892 ) so quoting the translation here:

    Almost 95 thousand schoolchildren from 85 regions of Russia joined the “Unarmia”
    Army and defense industry
    May 8, 17:52 UTC + 3
    In late May, in the park “Patriot” will host the All-Russia meeting of “Unarmy”
    Share this page

    MOSCOW, May 8. / TASS /. Almost 95 thousand schoolchildren from 85 regions of the Russian Federation joined the All-Russian Children and Youth Movement “Unarmia”. This was reported to the Ministry of Defense of Russia.

    “To date, nearly 95,000 children from all 85 regions of the country have joined the ranks of the Unarmia, in particular, another 200 schoolchildren have joined the ranks of the Unarma in the Republic of Khakassia,” the military department said.

    see also
    The Russian Unarmy: for which the All-Russian military-patriotic movement was revived

    After uttering the oath of allegiance to the Fatherland and the whole of the Young Brotherhood, the young patriots laid flowers at the Memorial of Memory, which is located on the parade ground, and Nikolai Krikyants, the head of the UNNARMIA regional headquarters, was handed the banner of the movement, told the Defense Ministry.

    Head of the CSKA Colonel Mikhail Baryshev and the Olympic champions of the army club, as well as the head of the Republic of Khakassia Viktor Zimin, arrived at the solemn ceremony of joining Unarma in Abakan. He wished the new participants of the movement “to bear with honor the proud title of a junary, always be a patriot of Khakassia and Russia,” the Defense Ministry noted.

    The military department stressed that in late May in the park “Patriot” in the Moscow region will host the All-Russia meeting of the “Unarmy.”

    The All-Russian military-patriotic movement “Yunarmiya” was established in 2016 on the initiative of Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, and has branches in all regions of the country. The main activities of the movement are youth military sports games, children and youth military-patriotic clubs, competitions in applied sports, delivery of TRP standards, watches of memory and trips to places of military glory.

    Paramilitary youth organizations tend to have negative historical associations with military adventurism and indoctrination for future generations to be mobilization ready. Makes you wonder what Putin etc. have in mind here. Do they see a major conflict coming in 3-5 years?

  51. cdquarles says:

    @Jeff, the medical world cannot do a thing about the Feds mandating electronic records that must be interconnected. That horse bolted 20 years ago and got a big kick with No-care some 7 years ago. The medical system is now a slave to Uncle Sugar. It will not end well. There will be lots of people directly and indirectly harmed, including the poor MDs/DOs that thought the alligator was going to eat some one else.

  52. Jon K says:

    Cool tool to track federal spending at a micro level. It was highly informative to see who was getting federal money in my town.

    https://www.usaspending.gov/transparency/Pages/SpendingMap.aspx

  53. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump just fired FBI director James Comey

  54. Larry Ledwick says:

    From twitter

  55. E.M.Smith says:

    Well, Al Jazeera confirms the Comey firing story, yet the Reuters ‘news” channel headlines are a story ‘what would London look like if bombed like Alepo” and “Looking for Russian hackers all over the world”. Maybe they wedge it in as one of the small points…

    It just speaks volumes that Reuters is running a fantasy bit while Al Jazeera is having in depth discussion of the implications of the Comey firing.

    I think I’ll check RT for their slant just after the A.J. story finishes.

  56. Larry Ledwick says:

    The full memo is out and is very detailed in regard to why they determined he had lost confidence due to repeated breaches in protocol and procedure and stepping out of bounds of the proper roll of the FBI in the investigations.

  57. Pingback: Musings from the Chiefio

  58. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    E.M.S., you and your readers may be interested in proposed changes to FCC’s net neutrality rules:

    https://supporters.eff.org/civicrm/mailing/view?reset=1&id=2127

  59. Larry Ledwick says:

    EM ref your mentions in the past of using mesh radio systems.

    https://defensesystems.com/articles/2017/05/09/ref.aspx

  60. Another Ian says:

    “Goldmann Sachs — bigger than fossil fuel in the climate debate”

    http://joannenova.com.au/2017/05/goldmann-sachs-bigger-than-fossil-fuel-in-the-climate-debate/

  61. LG says:

    Oroville Update 9 May Construction Fly Over “One Last Spill?”

    JuanBbrowne of BlancoLirio reports:

    One last look at the dry spillway before the final spill and construction begins in earnest….will they make it in time before next fall? Time’s is already running short…

  62. Larry Ledwick says:

    Defeating virus attack on modern bacteria by substituting an ancient version of a critical protein for the modern version.

    https://scienmag.com/four-billion-year-old-fossil-protein-resurrected-in-bacteria-protects-them-from-viruses/

  63. Larry Ledwick says:

    I love the absolute certainty expressed about the cause of global warming, and condescension about possible errors in the beginning of this article and total lack of any recognition that the exact same sort of issues about validity/adjustments apply to terrestrial measurements.

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/may/11/more-errors-identified-in-contrarian-climate-scientists-temperature-estimates

    The uninformed will see this as a “case closed” analysis, and those who understand the issues, will recognize how biased this coverage is, and could tick off a laundry list of similar factors for the land based measurements data.

  64. Larry Ledwick says:

    File this under insecurity due to boo boo.
    NYU had code breaking research reports on an unsecured internet connection accessible to anyone on the internet.

    https://theintercept.com/2017/05/11/nyu-accidentally-exposed-military-code-breaking-computer-project-to-entire-internet/

  65. E.M.Smith says:

    That NYU leak is interesting, but not surprising. When running a Cray shop for Apple we were also the security guys (by definition since it was my ass that would be tossed in jail if I accidentally “exported a munition” by letting a bad guy get to the machine…)

    Well, one of the things we did was to calculate what it would take to break passwords… We also figured out that with a few TB of data, we could pre-compute ALL the passwords possible. Unix, at that time, had the cryptext of the passwords visible to all. Well, we had 2 TB, but it was dedicated to other uses, so we didn’t precompute all passwords ;-0 We did, though, use ‘spare cycles’ to brute force attack passwords and then send folks email with “Your password, FOO, is not secure” for those weak enough to be ‘bad’ ;-) Oddly, we didn’t send email to folks we cracked but where their password was “good enough without a Cray”…

    It was at that time we did two things:

    1) Move to a hidden shadow password file (long before most others).
    2) Realized that security was entirely a matter of budget and that the Government had a very big budget…

    With enough TB and Peta Flops, anything can be cracked…

  66. E.M.Smith says:

    Oh, two other bits of tid on encryption:

    We started our crack with a high end dictionary attack. As that often worked very fast, that was when I moved to non-word based passwords. So, for example, for a while I just used keyboard patterns. Top half row, bottom half row, top specials; as an example: qwertybnm,./123456&*()-=

    VERY easy to remember, very hard to crack. Oh, and dependent on the particular keyboard you used too ;-) since specials tend to wander…

    I’ve since pondered a weakness in the idea of factoring large primes being “hard”. Simply put: What if you find lots and lots of primes ( I’ve done it…) then pre-compute their products? Then it isn’t hard to “factor” them, it is just a database lookup…. It does take a lot of storage, but with a 4 TB disk costing $120, I’m not seeing that as a big barrier. One of those things that keeps me up late at night some times after placing an order at Amazon with Paypal ;-)

    I’ve not “done the math” on it, but my sense of it is that it is a very “doable” attack. Say you need a million primes, of up to 1 kb each. That’s a TB. Now you need 1 M of them, so that’s 1000 PB. I think that is very much inside an Agency budget $120 M for slow disks? Chump change… (a lookup for one item doesn’t care how fast the disks are…)

    It is a squared function, so you really need 10^6 x 10^6 for the entire space, but I suspect there are some sparse areas, like 2 x Z that are ‘not interesting’. Plus the products of the very largest likely exceed the actual use space.

  67. Larry Ledwick says:

    The other thing that people forget it the more users you have the less secure because you only have to crack one or two passwords out of the total universe of passwords to get into a system, so you really are chasing the weakest link passwords. Your method of pre-computing passwords is basically what rainbow tables did, and why password length (entropy) is now more important than password complexity.

    If you wanted to build a really secure system you would probably want to go to very long passphrases of nonsense “see the red fox – play golf with the cow on Tuesday” would take a lot more computes to crack than some random impossible to remember password 12 characters long.

  68. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Dont let headlines scare you …

    … for 2016, here’s a perspective …

    Mexico drug war deaths- 23,000
    Syria civil war- 50,000
    US homicides- 16,000
    Iraq- 17,000
    Afghan- 16,000
    US traffic deaths- 40,000

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  69. David A says:

    Larry, took a look at the biased Guardian critque of the satellites.
    It was indeed very biased. I saw zero acknowledgment that the satellites are verified with accurate instruments on weather ballons, the arctic criticisms are not valid because the are not used, and the vast majority of the adjustments, both up and down, came from Christy and Spencer, both real scientists.

    A horrible article betraying bias top to bottom.

  70. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Monsanto glyphosate, linked to
    autism, found in some vaccines.

    http://www.blacklistednews.com/Roundup_in_Vaccines/58381/0/38/38/Y/M.html

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  71. Larry Ledwick says:

    Statement regarding possible income to Trump enterprises from Russian sources. Review of last 10 years of records show no income outside trivial secondary incomes from things like Russian individuals buying Trump branded ties, or paying for routine rentals etc.With the singular exception of incidental income that resulted from the Miss Universe pageant in Moscow

  72. Larry Ledwick says:

    Heads up looks like Chrome “improved things” with its new release and is breaking a lot of self signed certificate web pages access.

    (source http://community.nethserver.org/t/subjectaltname-for-certificates/6786)
    Beginning with Chrome 58, this version no longer supports CN for certificates and requires SubjectAltNames.

    https://groups.google.com/a/chromium.org/forum/m/#!topic/security-dev/IGT2fLJrAeo

  73. Larry Ledwick says:

    From twitter:
    (well we knew that Antifa had a twisted definition of what a Nazi was, here is “their” definition.

    Baked Alaska™‏Verified account @bakedalaska

    Official Antifa defines a Nazi as anyone who says America First, loves guns, or supports Trump. Then they advocate for violence against you.

  74. Larry Ledwick says:

    More interesting stuff may be coming out now that the FBI is under new management.
    If this info checks out it will rock the Washington establishment.

    http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2017/05/report-whistleblower-claims-evidence-showing-president-trumps-phone-calls-spied-audio/

  75. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item here, it appears that President Trump is taking the risk of a major power grid down emergency seriously. Whether cyber attack or EMP caused much of the recovery planning would be useful for both events.

    http://freebeacon.com/national-security/trump-orders-preparation-electric-grid-cyber-attacks/

  76. Another Ian says:

    Re Larry Ledwick says:
    13 May 2017 at 3:14 am

    Another look here

    http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2017/05/the-world-is-in-7.html

    Microsoft response in comments

  77. E.M.Smith says:

    Sky News is carrying the Ransomware story heavily Almost continuously. Nurses back to paper and pen in many NHS hospitals. Rotating globe showing the places hit all around the planet. California has one spot… so far.

    Very glad I’m running LINUX, but I’m shutting things down anyway, unless necessary.

  78. E.M.Smith says:

    Sky News just had a tech report claiming that a 22 year old hacker working on breaking the virus found a “kill switch” in it that checked for a web site, and if it was there stopped trying to infect other sites, so he bought the domain name for $10 (seems the virus writers had not bought it…); then popped up a server, and that is reputed to have stopped the global spread.

    If running a Windows box, I’d still keep it off for a day or two. I’m using my resetable tablet and all else is off.

    Sky had a crawler saying Russia was also being hit hard with their banks being hit along with some ministries.

    Oh, and one tech guy they interviewed said “we are seeing a cyber apocalypse playing out now”… Not what you want to hear…

    I’ve been wondering when the NSA backdoors, the CIA Crack Tools, and the Microsoft crappy security would all come together for a global day of downtime. Looks like we only missed it by one kill switch and a 22 year old hacker…

    Infected machines become attact bots, so exponential growth ought to be the pattern.

    I’m so glad I’m not on call anymore ;-)

  79. Larry Ledwick says:

    Here is an interesting discovery on a Clinton Foundation owned container ship – 14 containers full of illegal refugees (460) who bought passage for $40k each.

    http://freedomnews.today/2017/05/11/clinton-foundation-ship-caught-smuggling-460-refugees-into-america/

  80. jim2 says:

    Snopes says the CF human trafficking story is false. I also can’t find a half-believable source for it.

  81. Larry Ledwick says:

    More info on the guy who accidentally hit the kill switch for the ransomware attack.
    He warns this is not over!

    I wonder if some third party will come up with a windows xp patch to block this infection, it might be in the interest of the internet to create an accessory module to security patch common out of date systems to protect the internet at large through herd immunity.

    Sure Microsoft will want to force them to upgrade but if they haven’t by now not likely they will in the future because their systems simply cannot handle modern OS demands.

    Perhaps a simple P1 zero based module that sits between the internet and the system that could be updated to block high risk infections from getting to xp and similar obsolete systems which are beyond end of life support.

    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/may/13/accidental-hero-finds-kill-switch-to-stop-spread-of-ransomware-cyber-attack

  82. jim2 says:

    The elites will suffer from their mishandling of this. They let the vulnerabilities persist so they could spy on us. Now reaping what sown.

  83. Larry Ledwick says:

    Yes I have been poking around on that story too, and so far have not found any confirmation of that specific story, although cargo containers used for people trafficking are a known issue.

    This site does list a ship named the Chelsa as a valid ship name but there is not enough info for me to figure out ownership ( unless I don’t understand the coding they use – not sure what that first column is, perhaps a registry number?? but it appears to be the name of an ocean research vessel)
    https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/woce/woce_v3/wocedata_1/help/shipnames_by_name.htm

    31C2 CHELSEA callSign KNCX

    Also so far I can find no listing of who the key staff are on the Baltimore port authority, or any listing for the name of the harbor master, so at this point would have to agree probably bogus info.

  84. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Howdy Folks. Here’s a talk given by Alan Kay, ex PARC, Atari, and ? i met him once at Atari.

    So if you’re looking for a different drummer to march to, Here ya go …

    https://github.com/matthiasn/talk-transcripts/blob/master/Kay_Alan/NonIncrementalFuture.md

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  85. Pingback: WanaCry Ransomwear Attack | Musings from the Chiefio

  86. jim2 says:

    Maryland Port Authority covers BPA.

    https://pobdirectory.com/

    [Reply: And BPA is what, exactly? Biphenylanlanine? -E.M.Smith]

  87. Another Ian says:

    “Great Moments In Socialism”

    “The Venezuela Diet”

    http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2017/05/great-moments-i-97.html#comments

    Some interesting comments too

  88. Zeke says:

    Another Ian posted Michael Crighton–complexity: It’s a great article.
    “If we can’t even understand the basic aspects of our own systems, what makes anybody think we can understand natural phenomena, that are thousands of times more complicated?

    Because they are. Let’s take a little tour of some natural complexity.

    Here is a sequence of chemical changes, the ATP cascade, that produces energy within the cell. As you see, one chemical chain reaction is more complex than the original diagram showing the whole world.”

    Plato decided that wise philosopher-kings could direct society because they are the captains of the ship, the brain to the body.

    Results in life are more like QWOP

    dur. 0:49

    Let’s all just remember that God made almost all of your body support and movements involuntary. With good reason — so you would not mess it up and die, because He loves you.

  89. Larry Ledwick says:

    The last few comments about the deterioration of the education system and churning out more and more dysfunctional students and higher and higher cost, sounds very much like a classic “death spiral”

    Death Spiral: (definition) fatal syndrome in an aircraft where in zero zero visibility the pilot gradually puts the plane into a gentle banking and descending turn. By seat of the pants senses, it appears he is flying straight and level as the bank is canceled out by the centrifugal force of the turn. Only if the pilot sees properly interprets and trusts his instruments will he recover if the zero visibility conditions extend all the way to the ground.

    So our education system has started to turn to the left and due to the bias in hiring that turn is accelerating, while the functional decline in student skills is accelerating. The folks inside the system are so immersed in the echo chamber of their own making they literally are like the pilot who is ignoring outside input from the instruments and trusting only their instincts (dogma).

    The question is what is the final result?
    Will the higher education system auger in at full speed when they suddenly produce so few functional students that the economy implodes due to lack of skilled labor or will higher education crash when students realize they are getting no value for their education dollars and either stop going to colleges, or get sufficiently enraged by their student debt that they try to burn the colleges down.

    The only other way out is to some how lift the over cast before the get to such a low altitude that they cannot correct, and they realize they are in a terrible situation and they have to take emergency evasive action to avoid eating the trees.

    How do we lift the over cast?

    Pick a school that makes some egregious PC error and run a massive boycott and cut off of donations by alumni?

    Just sit back and wait for the activist students to burn the Deans office to the ground?

    File a massive class action lawsuit that strips one of the major colleges of most of their endowment?

  90. Zeke says:

    LarryLedwick says, “How do we lift the overcast?”

    My teens started talking about going to college. They are both talented and self-taught in computers and art. I know they can be entrepreneurs if they choose. But I felt like a heel when I pointed out that college is not always the best way to advance in a field. And they need to understand what debt really is, because they are youngsters. So I finally sat down and went through this entire reddit thread with them:

    So Larry, your question is good. But people are already starting to talk. (:

  91. Zeke says:

    PS 89 comments are balanced between benefits and drawbacks of today’s degrees.

  92. llanfar says:

    @Zeke – I will probably finish my degree one day (likely by just buying it – I was only a few credits away and I’ve more than enough cutting edge development to make a masters or doctoral degree). After 4.5 years, 6 majors, and a large debt I decided to just hit the real world…

    At this point, the degree would be for getting into the good ol’ boys network.

  93. Larry Ledwick says:

    In the computer security realm, it appears some HP laptops have a built in key logger function which was “not intended” to be shipped in the final build.

    http://news.sky.com/story/hp-laptops-secretly-recording-user-keystrokes-10873634

    https://www.modzero.ch/advisories/MZ-17-01-Conexant-Keylogger.txt

  94. dai davies says:

    This might be an appropriate time and place to seek feedback on technology I’ve been working on since the early 1980s. It anticipates a time when all information and communications technology is based on the Personal Archive and peer-to-peer interaction.

    The hardware basis for Personal Archive technology:

    Memory should be Write-Once-Read-Many: That the record be indelible is implied in the word ‘archive’. It is a permanent and exact record, even if intermittent, not a reconstructable history. This is a necessary requirement for the system to be trusted.

    Access should be restricted to a gatekeeper module: The architecture should not provide any physical means of reading the archive other than through a hardware gatekeeper. Access via the gatekeeper should be under the sole, instantaneous control of the owner of the PA. This is a necessary condition for privacy.

    It should record every action it performs: That the gatekeeper record all its actions as part of the archive is a necessary requirement for reconstruction, analysis and verification of its actions. This underpins both trust and privacy.

    The control logic should be expressed in natural language: The operational rules don’t need to be translated into a low level computer language. A human language should be the operational language of the device down to the hardware level. This gives operational transparency and a direct means for the owner to provide instructions and check that they are being interpreted correctly.

    There should be a core set of standard access rules: These would provide trusted answers to basic questions such as ‘Who are you?’ along with diagnostic evidence that the answer was derived from the core rules. The core should use an unambiguously defined subset of the natural language in use.

    Manufacture should be completely transparent: If you are going to trust this device you need to know what’s going on inside it, or rely on a wide community of users who have checked the system you start with. This is probably the most difficult requirement to satisfy since it relies on trusting others with the construction. The only way I can see this being achieved is through multiple open source projects with a diverse range of people constructing the units.

    dai

  95. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting video and discussion on how the media can “trigger” or program viewers through new media.

    http://www.dcclothesline.com/2017/05/13/mass-hypnosis-mind-control-and-trigger-words/#more-72494

  96. jim2 says:

    ‘Impeach Maxine Waters’ street art appears near Inglewood town hall meeting

    http://www.theamericanmirror.com/impeach-maxine-waters-street-art-appears-near-inglewood-town-hall-meeting/

    (Warms the cockles of my heart :))

  97. Larry Ledwick says:

    Now German government is seizing private property, renovating it (at the owners expense) then renting it to refugees to ease the housing shortage caused by the mass immigration of refugees.

    http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2017/05/germany-now-confiscating-homes-use-merkels-migrants/

  98. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All…. Falling Sky Alert, heh …
    Here I turn to the much maligned and much misunderstood project called Limits to Growth. The most frequent outcome of that modeling is the collapse of industrial society starting somewhere in the middle of this century. A common misunderstanding of that model is that collapse is the result of “running out” of resources. But a close reading of Limits to Growth produces a more nuanced and troubling answer.
    It is the lack of capital needed to grow which produces the limits referred to in Limits to Growth. We will end up spending so much just to maintain our continually bloating infrastructure (in the broadest meaning of that word), to extract the needed natural resources to do that, and to fight the effects of pollution (through, for example, water and sewage treatment) and now climate change (through, for example, the building and maintenance of seawalls), that we won’t have anything left over for investment. When that happens, growth stops. Eventually, the economy shrinks as poorly maintained infrastructure become less productive. This is a collapse, but perhaps not a rapid one.

    Rusty water mains, oil pipelines and failing rails and bridges mean there is a ‘Brazil – Venezuela’ in our near future!

    http://resourceinsights.blogspot.jp/2017/05/the-trouble-with-infrastructure.html

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  99. jim2 says:

    @pearce m. schaudies says:
    15 May 2017 at 1:50 am

    I wouldn’t count on that collapse.

  100. pearce m. schaudies says:

    @Jim2. Course it won’t be a collapse like a buildings falling down. It will be more like a pile of sand in each state and when the sand pile gets too high falls down a little bit. Rinse and repeat.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  101. Zeke says:

    llanfar says: “At this point, the degree would be for getting into the good ol’ boys network.”

    That would be one of the benefits of higher ed,

  102. Jeff says:

    That statute in Hamburg has been on the books for a while, but has been making its way through the courts. Would be ironic if the European “Justice” Court struck it down…

    Hamburg is EXTREME left, and their rot-rot-grün government is having a difficult time dealing with the real world. Considering they have the Marxist “Linke” (red #1), the falling ever leftwards “SPD” (red #2) party of Martin “the bearded egg” Schultz, and the math/logic-impaired tree-hugging greens at the helm, there’s little hope for Hamburg. Add to that it’s a major shipping port with various forms of depravity going back over a thousand years, and it’s a recipe for disaster (look up Reeperbahn, for example).

    I’d be more inclined to blame this fiasco on Hamburg as opposed to Merkel, who is facing increased pressure to close the borders, despite what the fake news outlets say – on both sides of the issue…

  103. Jeff says:

    The refauxgees, by the way, can’t vote in Germany. They need to become German citizens first, which requires a minimum of eight years residency, employment, language skills (and tests), and a loyalty oath (which will never happen, in their case).

  104. Jeff says:

    Scott Adams sounds off on very fake climate science:

    http://assets.amuniversal.com/97ed9410fd89013486fb005056a9545d

  105. Jeff says:

    Drat. Meant to put up a .jpg. Strip is here: http://dilbert.com/strip/2017-05-14

  106. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry & Zeke:

    Science, and therefor academia, advance one funeral at a time. It will take a lot of funerals AND shutting off the money supply.

    Just let student debt be repudiated if, after 4 years of looking, the student does not have a job in their degree field…

    @Dai:

    Interesting idea. Netapp already makes write only archives for Sarbox compliance.

    Biggest issue I see is your natural language requirement. Computers only speak binary, so there will always be a translation layer. Also, natural languages are notoriously ambiguous. You MUST have a restricted subset for computers. Examples?

    “Next Friday I’ll pick you up.”

    Is that the nearest Friday in the present week, or the one in the following week? Depends on the family culture of the speaker… and am I offering a ride, a date, or acrobat practice?

    “He was so bad!”

    Depending on context could be literally bad, or slang good.

    “He gave him the thing he wanted”

    Need I really point out the problem….

    “It wasn’t flamable, nor was it inflamable, it was nonflamable, but inconsistently labeled”

    Every years, a few fires from people thinking inflamable mean nonflamable… what does any given speaker mean?

    And the classic:

    “Time flies like an arrow but fruit flies like a banana. ”

    From my linguistics class… we were give a list of dozens such…

  107. E.M.Smith says:

    @Pearce:

    “The Limits to Growth” is utter trash and “computer model porn”.

    Any “close” or “nuanced” reading of it is just stuff and nonsense trying to resurrect utterly failed crap predictions (oh, pardom, “projections”- a distinction without a difference).

    BTW, I had an entire class in the ’70s at university where we studied just that book. Endless weeks on it… AND all the excellent critiques showing how horribly done it is.

    Do not ever expect to cite it as a credible source.

    BTW, it most deffinitly DID say there would be catastrophe from the running out. One resource at a time. BTW2, according to it, IIRC, we ran entirely out of natural gas in the 1980s. Think on that a while…

  108. E.M.Smith says:

    @Jeff:

    The first link works. No idea why they prune the qualifier, but some places do that…

    Love the strip, btw! Looks like he has tech clue and looked at their process…

  109. Larry Ledwick says:

    Not sure if “gotnews” is a good news source but for what is worth. The more of this stuff I see, the easier it is to accept the idea that there really is only one big uni-party as everyone in the power elite in Washington seems to be so interconnected with everyone else that there just has to be massive cross bleeding of information from one side to the other through all these secondary connections.

    http://gotnews.com/busted-sources-confirm-natsec-advisor-h-r-mcmaster-deputy-dina-powell-leaking-anti-trump-media/

    https://infogalactic.com/info/Dina_Powell

  110. jim2 says:

    I know this may perturb some of you, but why does the US let this sort of thing happen? The only way this is good is if Trump green-lights a bunch of light oil refineries. From the article:

    Port Arthur, TX is home to the U.S. refining fleet’s crown jewel. With an atmospheric distillation capacity of 603 MBbl/cd, this complex coking refinery is the largest refinery in the U.S. As of May 1st, this marvel of a complex refinery is now 100 percent owned by Saudi Aramco.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/saudis-own-largest-refinery-u-170000573.html

  111. jim2 says:

    This is the news I want the FBI to pursue. And this after the Dimowits and MSM lap dogs scream the Russians hacked the DNC to help trump. Teh Stupid – it hurts.

    On Tuesday morning, FOX News reported that Rich, who was murdered in Washington D.C. last July, sent 44,053 emails and 17,761 attachments to deceased investigative reporter Gavin MacFayden, a man with close links to Julian Assange and WikiLeaks.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-journalism/2017/05/16/silence-from-establishment-media-over-seth-rich-wikileaks-report/

  112. dai davies says:

    EM:

    Thanks for the opportunity to present it.

    My motivational breakthrough came on realising that academic NLP was restricting itself to one-way translation. Once you have interaction things change – better still if it is automated in PA to PA exchanges using disambiguation protocols. Two people can be chatting while their PAs are interacting silently on disambiguation and warning them when problems arise.

    NL to binary can have a basis in hardware with a core language verifiable with theorem provers. I did a short course in Eli years ago but never got around to applying it. Probably too expensive. The core can be quite small if all it has to do is system control and some basic verification protocols, but technically it can be as large as you like with automated verification.

    My favourite example, probably apocryphal, is “The spirit is willing but the flesh is weak.” going to Russian and back returning, “The wine is good but the meat is off.”

    The ‘time flies’ example is a classic. Some people claim hundreds of interpretations but I only managed well under a hundred.

    dai

  113. dai davies says:

    I should add that automated speech recognition is still a big problem. I tried to crack it in a PhD project and think I made a breakthrough, but the mainstream is stuck (still, I think) with using general purpose Hidden Markov Models rather than approaches tailored to the task.

    dai

  114. Larry Ledwick says:

    This puts an interesting twist on digital currencies. What happens to the value of digital currencies if some entity captures control over millions of user computers and has them running digital currency mining operations in the background unknown to the owners of the computers. No expense of power on the computers, not expense of the hardware just a means to capture the system and the over head to manage their calls home with successfully computed digital currencies. How many systems running 24×7 would be needed to out strip all the legal miners of that digital currency?

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyber-attack-cryptocurrency-idUSKCN18D00W

    Like all pyramid schemes the winners should be the guys who get in on the ground floor when it is relatively easy to generate a valid digital coin.

  115. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting alternate take on the use of bit coin in ransom wear. Apparently the folks that created wannacry, did not spend much time considering how to manage the ransoms after / if they were paid.

    http://www.dw.com/en/a-bitcoin-how-to-for-hapless-hackers/a-38861405

  116. Larry Ledwick says:

    Unfortunately people in high profile positions rarely have any clue about IT security and how exposed they are due to common errors and bad practice.

    http://gizmodo.com/any-half-decent-hacker-could-break-into-mar-a-lago-we-1795276155

  117. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    It’s no surprise that the hospitality industry has open guest networks and only slightly a surprise that the backend (private) network is full of old, misconfigured, and weakly secured systems. About like most hotels.

    I would expect the POTUS network is “something else entirely”. Were I designing it, I’d have it running on a very high GHz band reserved for the military and where no commercial gear is easily bought. I’d also use modulations that were unusual and encodings and headers that were non-standard. Just to make sure the attacker needed to do work at every single level to gain information… so the exposure time while “on the road” was shorter than the time to get through the various levels. And that only starts once someone figures out what signal in which band is the “interesting” one.

    For that reason I doubt the folks in the boat could get anything on Trump. Just the usual hotel stuff like the open printer that everyone needs.

    Having fought with a hotel printer before, just to get it to print at all, I was grateful I didn’t have to deal with “security” too. If someone wanted to read my Linux Class Teacher’s Notes, well, that’s a GOOD thing ;-) (Though I do hope they have isolation between the guest open networks and the hotel office networks… That seems to be the norm in hotels where I’ve stayed).

    BTW, even Disney World has an open guest network. It also has a locked down corporate network AND a separate PII network that even I could not get onto despite working in the department…

    We did security scans for “unapproved” WiFi nodes added even for the Guest network; using Kali boxes… You can be open and still do things like IDS / IPS servers, scans for scanners, etc. etc. So just FINDING an open network does not always mean an insecure network… just most of the time ;-)

    Basically I’m complaining that just because there is SOME open WiFi doesn’t mean that connects to the corporate networks. I’ve often put a completely open WiFi router on a PC. Doesn’t connect to anything else and the PC is scrubbable. Just to test something or other.

  118. Another Ian says:

    Not many illusions here

    “You have to thank Al Gore”

    http://www.yesterdaystractors.com/cgi-bin/viewit.cgi?bd=ttalk&th=1822282

  119. Larry Ledwick says:

    A few random bits from twitter: (like all these tweets may or may not check out)
    Jack Posobiec 🇺🇸‏Verified account @JackPosobiec 17 minutes ago

    Jack Posobiec
    🇺🇸 Retweeted Red Pill
    Hard to say if legit, but interesting read

    Surgeon who operated on #SethRich contacts /pol/ + leaks info on the death of Seth Rich. Says in 4 yrs he’s never had a case so fishy.

    Red Pill
    ⏳‏ @RedPillDropper

    /pol/ has traced all former DNC staffers to their current employers. SURPRISE, they all work for @CorrectRecord a globalist SuperPAC.

  120. Larry Ledwick says:

    One more note here on the authority of the President to terminate an FBI investigation before it goes to the judicial branch.

    View story at Medium.com

  121. philjourdan says:

    @Larry – That is why they hire folks like Chiefio.

  122. Larry Ledwick says:

    Looks to me that those complaining about drought in Colorado spoke a bit too soon, we are clearing going into our late spring wet storm cycle this year.

    Henderson is down stream on the Platte River a few miles north east of Denver metro area.
    Looks like ample water for the South Platte drainage for the near future.

  123. Larry Ledwick says:

    Article about using hydrogen as an energy storage/transfer medium for alternate energies.
    Discusses a new solution of moving the hydrogen at ammonia then stripping out the hydrogen using a new method.

    https://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2017/may/19/how-australia-can-use-hydrogen-to-export-its-solar-power-around-the-world

  124. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Besides oil consumption per capita peaking late 2015, and possible demand collapse, recent price fluctuations in spite of OpecRu cut extentions, heres another story …

    Illig, A. & Schindler, I. Biophys Econ Resour Qual (2017)

    We find that price feedback cycles which lead to increased production during the growth phase of oil extraction go into reverse in the contraction phase of oil extraction speeding decline.

    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41247-016-0016-6

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  125. jim2 says:

    From the article:

    There are areas in the enormous Permian and Eagle Ford shale fields in Texas where producers can break even at prices as low as $34 a barrel, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

    And analysts now say U.S. shale production will grow even faster than expected. Macquarie Group now thinks production will increase 1.4 million barrels a day through December, up from a previous growth estimate of 0.9 million barrels a day. JPMorgan Chase & Co. doubled its forecast to an increase of 800,000 barrels a day for the same period.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-19/u-s-shale-roars-back-at-opec

  126. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi jim2. A previous total shale chart showed 3.9 mbd jan 2014, peaking mar 2015 at 5.4 mbd, and trending down. The recent Texas field plays are the only ones left for bankers to flog and profit from, trying to cover losses on older plays.

    The global gdp trend has been decreasing since1965, and the energy demand has been following.

    This is all i found …

    Berman A (2016) Permian Basin break even price is $61: 

    My post was to highlight we’re in a contraction phase, and that would explain why OpecRu cutting production might not raise / stabilize prices close to $50.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  127. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi jim2. I’m not saying we’re running out of oil. We’re into economic diminishing returns, it now takes $10 debt to generate $1 gdp. So we’re running out of demand. Partys over, last call for drinks ( or war ), heh.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  128. E.M.Smith says:

    @Pearce:

    You are confounding two orthogonal things (oil and economics) and misinterpreting what reserves are, IMHO.

    Per oil per capita peaking: so what. We’ve had decades of legal CAFE mandates and constant nagging and a global jihad on carbon fuels. All the “peak” means is that much government force can have a mild impact.

    Then you cite an article that claims some new insight, where all I see is the same old boom and bust cycle with time lags that has always existed. Why the Texas Railroad Commission was set up in the first place. (If you are not familiar with it, you don’t know oil economics…)

    Price spikes, oil “reserves” blossom greatly due to nothing more than the definition and price. Folks drill more due to the price, but once started the process takes years. Eventually prices drop from increased supply but drillers complete their current projects before stopping. This causes an oscillation of both prices and supply and somewhat demand (see boom in compact car sales after the Arab Oil Embargo). All that is unrelated to general GDP rates or debt ratios. It is a structural aspect of oil production time lags interacting with short term price inelastic demand.

    As per debt vs GDP:

    It takes ZERO debt to produce some GDP! Some rich guy invests a few million from his bank balance in a factory, and GDP increases.

    One may CHOOSE to use debt for leverage, but that is a choice based on rates. Presently, with interest rates hovering near zero, one would be insane not to use more debt. The reason more debt is being used per unit of GDP is because the debt is nearly free and can be repudiated in bankruptcy if things don’t work out. Personal cash is sunk and can’t be brought back in bankruptcy.

    Economics is about dynamic processes in balance. Static analysis or number comparisons will fail, especially when you are ignoring the key drivers (oil price, price of debt – interest rates, total physical resource, not dynamic reserves) and key dynamics relationships (reserves depend on price, debt depends on interest rates, drilling has long time cycles relative to price, government has a very long cycle and perverse control feedback)

    Please stop putting two numbers in ratio or proportion and claiming it means something. It doesn’t. (Debt/GDP, oil/capita, oil /gdp, etc. etc.) It is just an intersection point on two dynamic curves, so leaves out the two curves and their time raltive changes of slope and position; so misleads much and illuminates nothing.

  129. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi Chief. First let me say oil is a form of energy and energy drives economics. They are not orthogonal. Second have you read Tainter and his concept of increasing complexity and the diminishing returns on this complexity as it gets too big. That’s where we are now. Diminishing returns. That is why we have to use debt to get an increase in GDP instead of energy. At this late stage in our complexity Cycle we are using debt instead of energy to make GDP increase. We should be trying to make a steady-state global GDP at a lower level because that’s what we could without growth. It is now a zero-sum game. One country’s GDP goes up another country GDP must go down.

    I will go and read about the Texas Railroad Commission thank you for the reference.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  130. E.M.Smith says:

    Pearce,

    You have a broken and simplistic view of economics. If “energy drove economics” France and Japan would be the richest economies with the highest employment in the world as they enjoy the cheapest and most steady form of energy, nuclear.

    Tainter and complexity are just another “One Size Explains All” good for a Masters, lousy in reality, thesis. The Amazon idea is drop dead simple. Use the internet to sell, ship cheap, undercut the cost structure of brick and mortar retail. It has revolutionized retail and is making ooodles of GDP. Teaching is drop dead simple. Guy who knows shows those that don’t. It makes leveraged GDP growth. It is now being leveraged with YouTube and online courses. The Cell Phone is a nearly trivial complexity. Put a phone together with a radio. (Yes, we’ve added all sorts of ‘complications’ over time to handle the astounding massive unexpected demand for more bits to flow, so?) Yet the cell phone has now changed social interaction, selling, video / TV, and made oooodles of GDP. We now cure ulcers with a simple old antibiotic, far less complex than the prior garbage treatments and avoiding spicy foods. My niece runs an entire web development and video editing / assembly shop from her bedroom on one Macintosh plus printer and a really really good monitor. A one person company. Things that needed an entire room of equipment and a half dozen folks just a couple of decades back. People now self-publish eBooks with just an electronic notepad. No giant printing presses needed. Complexity is becoming LESS, not more. One small device, not a room of different equipment, a maintenance man, and a staff of a half dozen. The thesis is simply wrong and trash.

    We are nowhere near diminishing returns. THINK, for just a minute. We’ve had cell phones (of any sort) for about 25 years, and small useful ones for about 20. They, alone, have been monumental in efficiency improvements and productivity in things from meetings to support to selling to navigation to… EVERYONE can now carry an entire atlas of maps, with a navigator, in their pocket, they can buy nearly ANYTHING and have it shipped anywhere with a few clicks, watch the news, music videos, attend a staff meeting with “gotomeeing” and check in on the kids via video from home, all in a few clicks. Diminishing returns? Hell, we’re just getting started!

    GDP fundamentally depends on UNDERSTANDING and KNOW HOW. Nothing else. We accumulate this skill over time, and that is economic growth. If we were running out of oil now, with a 10 years to dead guaranteed time line, I’d still be driving my Diesel Car in 11 based on any of a half dozen other fuel sources (biodiesel from corn, soy, waste cooking oil, or algae, FT conversion of coal, trash, ‘slash’ from farming, dead bodies even – currently done with turkey waste products). It is technique embodied in technology that makes things go. Energy is just an input (and from many many fungible sources at that. I know how to turn nuclear power into diesel fuel, and I’m not even a Chem. E.) Oil only matters because the globe is awash in it at prices cheaper than bottled water.

    “steady-state global GDP at a lower level” – That is called “Dying” and “Going out of business”.

    The future belongs to those who create a new one, not those who try to resurrect the old ways. I have no desire to go back to working at a forge as my granddad did. I’m happy to have robots and electric hammers do the metal shaping, or even computers and 3D printing of metals. That, BTW, is another “Great Leap Forward” just on the cusp of becoming. We’ve got several decades of GDP growth (more stuff from less cost in energy, labor, capital, land, etc.) ahead of us just from that. It is but one of dozens of things in devo now.

    Your embrace of Mathusian Economics places your development at about 1800 A.D. in the field. You’ve got a lot more catching up to do.

  131. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi Chief. Do not think about oil per capita peaking. Think about energy consumption per capita. This is not about CAFE. And I’m not talking about oil reserves or running out of oil. That was last month, heh.

    NOVEMBER 5, 2013 by: Guy Chazan and Ed Crooks – For years, the global oil majors have been like Formula One cars, racing flat-out to grow. Investors now want them to take their foot off the pedal.

    But even the big three are now signalling that they expect their capital expenditure (capex) to level off in the next few years. And they are likely to come under continued pressure to bring it down. END … it was more than just investor complaints that caused big cuts in capex spending. Since 2000 oil companies have been discovering fewer oil fields and costs rising, so why should they looking. Diminishing returns. Obviously what this means is sometime in the future we are going to have to be very creative.

    My understanding of economic may be simplistic but I don’t think broken. For example it takes energy to plant seeds, take care of them, harvest the crops and get the Surplus to the market. This may be a combination of human energy, animal energy, and or fuel oil energy. Your comment about France and Japan haveing a cheap energy and not so good economy is a distraction. There are many things affecting their economies besides cost of energy. I would suggest the biggest thing would be a heavy-handed government.

    Critical review of Complexity by Tainter …

    https://entitledtoanopinion.wordpress.com/2012/12/29/the-collapse-of-complex-societies/

    At one point Tainter acknowledges “In many cases this increased, more costly complexity will yield  no increased benefits, at other times the benefits will not be proportionate to costs” (emphasis in the original). This is precisely the question at issue of elite mismanagement or the out-of-control inertia of expanding administrative bureaucracies, but as noted he rejected Parkinson’s theory and mocks the idea of societies as runaway trains as self-evidently absurd. Instead he portrays collapse as a choice which is preferable once marginal returns have declined to a certain point. This didn’t entirely make sense to me, because if a society has accidentally shot past the point of zero marginal returns to one of negative returns, the sensible thing is just to reduce that marginal increase in complexity to return to the steady state with zero marginal returns.

    … towards end …

    Few people are going to read this book without speculating on their own complex society’s liability to collapse. John Robb and James Kunstler (along with some others in the “Peak Oil” camp) are going to place a high probability on it, while the Singularitarians have the opposite view. Globalization could mean the entire world is now in a state of “peer polity competition” but modern norms (and economic incentives) against conquest and giving war a chance  means “failed states” can keep failing for a long time without someone replacing the bad management. Tainter’s studied societies are also Malthusian agricultural ones, it’s hard to know if the same logic will generalize past the industrial revolution. In modern technological economies the costs and benefits of advances may not be simple increasing or declining curves. Robin Hanson doesn’t even consider nearly free energy (which would very important to Tainter) to be nearly as important as the replacement of most human labor by computers (since the latter takes up so much more of GDP). When Tainter was writing there was still just the slightest possibility of nuclear armageddon, now the most likely candidates for death by complexity are grey goo or an unstoppable manmade pandemic. My two cents are that collapse is unlikely in my lifetime, and that’s for the better considering how much worse things could be. END

    Oh well, back to the jawing board, heh.

    When you are talking about the complexity of a cell phone, It is more complex than you are suggesting. There are many small integrated circuits and other devices that require long supply chains and complex physical, chemical processes to produce them and put them together into a cell phone. They are not simple as you are trying to suggest. The idea of complexity I am talking about is for a society. For example in August of 2015 the US government employees outnumbered manufacturing employees by abt 1.8 to 1. According to BLS about 22 million work in federal, state and local government versus 12.3 million in the manufacturing sector. That is the diminishing returns of increased complexity that I am talking about.

    Per your example of a printing press being more complex than e- publishing, I disagree. A hand press with carved letters is much simpler than e- publishing, or even a desk top printer. The modern versions require long supply chains, supporting infrastructure, complex chips and assembly, etc. The Complexity thesis is not wrong or trash, it is merely you wearing blinders.

    So I guess I will just agree to disagree with you and drop the subject for now, heh. Enjoy the weekend.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  132. The cost of anything in money represents the amount of human time embodied in it, with scaling on that to represent the value each worker (or who pays them) places on their time and the amount of profit/gouging extracted at each point in the supply chain. The basic “stuff” it’s made of is free for the taking.

    At the moment one 3D printer can make another one, and then another, and those printed printers can produce more in an exponential expansion. You need to feed them energy and materials to get something that you want (presuming you’ve taken one of the printers and tasked it to make something other than a printer, that is).

    For our standard basic energy-sources, automation has reduced the cost of it. If you’ve ever spent a while chopping a tree down for fuel, then you appreciate the chainsaw, but there are large machines that will reduce a tree to lumber in less than a minute now. The amount of human time embodied in that lumber is a lot less than it used to be when it was done by manual labour. In the same way, coal-mining is largely automated and oil-mining requires far fewer man-hours per kWh of energy delivered.

    Within the next decade, the cost of energy will reduce drastically to almost-free. There are a number of alternative ways that may deliver this, but there is a lot of research going on in this sector. Automation will continue to reduce the number of human hours embodied in any particular product, which includes the supply-chain and the delivery of that item to the customer. Recycling the “stuff” into new material basically takes energy and time; that means that recycling will become cheaper than mining new materials. Since the energy cost and the cost of the automats that do it will be minimal, better to mine the rubbish-dumps than make a big new hole in the ground.

    Given that the real cost (those human hours) of any product will be reduced to a very low level, we won’t need to put many hours per week into doing some job in order to pay for what we require in the way of food, housing, or new mobile phones. Old jobs will go, and there will be fewer human hours absolutely needed to support our society. Spending 40 hours per week doing work simply won’t be necessary to repay the man-hours embodied in the products we want.

    Though this future looks both attainable and within our reach, I’m not sure how we’re going to handle the transition to it. Unless there’s a Citizen’s Wage implemented, I think we’ll probably go through a time where the majority are on welfare and told to go find a job even though there won’t be enough jobs to go around. Of course there will be a lot of new jobs invented but they won’t be producing “stuff” in the same way as we currently define it. Computer programming didn’t have university courses when I started – you picked up the manual and got stuck in. Before you could boot up your home computer, you needed to write the BIOS for it and borrow someone else’s box so you could assemble it and burn the chip.

    I think it’s likely that our kids will need to spend longer in school of some sort, and that everyone will need to change their skill-levels upwards as the remaining work that needs human time (research, development, design, fault-finding) will require more knowledge to actually perform. There will also be a demand for personal services as opposed to the ubiquitous robotic help.

    Different countries will of course take different amounts of time to get to the point of extreme automation and therefore a large leisured (if they want to be) class. That’s maybe the biggest danger, where too many people want to escape a backward society and move to the advanced one where they don’t have to work.

    It’s likely we’ve passed Peak Oil and Peak Coal, but there’s no way we’ve come anywhere close to the peak amount of energy available to a person. That time is a very long way in the future still, I think. We’ll be using different sources because they are cheaper and cleaner. In the same way, we’re nowhere near the peak of resources that an individual can control when necessary. Manufacturing will likely become distributed (those 3D printers and similar) and where something is made will be a matter of convenience. It seems likely to me that we’ll employ more people in arts and in design, where humans still have the edge over machines. If you want that mug with the potter’s thumbprints visible you’ll be able to get it, but it will cost you as much time as the potter put in to making it (and learning how to make it) so relative to today’s values it will seem expensive, especially when compared to the machine-made one which will be almost-free (and you can probably get one with the potter’s thumbprints programmed in).

    I think we still need to teach people how to make the basics of life. Unless you’ve spend the time hammering a nail from raw materials you won’t value a boxful of nails you can buy for a few minutes of work. Automation upends our sense of “what something is worth”. The throw-away plastic lighter I have in my pocket is mass-produced to an accuracy of a few microns, and it would take me quite a while to be able to actually make one that worked as well, yet I can find them on sale at around 20 cents each which is still probably around 10 times the ex-factory cost.

    There are really two aspects in the price of something. Firstly, there’s the time used in producing it, and then there’s what the market will bear. We’re fast approaching the time where the human time spent in production will approach zero, and where the market also won’t bear a high profit since few people are employed in production. We’ll have found alternatives to rare materials, so people will be mainly limited by their imagination. I hope we have enough imagination to deal with it, and that society can change as quickly as will be needed.

  133. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item on “global warming”
    Seems the folks that run the Dooms day seed vault missed out on the lessons learned 50+ years ago by the military when setting up scientific and defense installations in arctic environments.
    They quickly learned ( 1960’s-1970’s) that anything man made in the permafrost arctic will gradually melt the surrounding permafrost unless steps are taken to dump human generated waste heat.
    This is why homes in Alaska are built suspended above the ground so the cold winds can keep their foundations frozen. Same for the instillation of heat pipe supports on the Alaska Pipeline to keep the warm oil from melting the supporting permafrost.

    https://www.wired.com/2017/05/arctic-doomsday-seed-vault-flooded-thanks-global-warming/

  134. LG says:

    James Delingpole
    reports.

    Now, a pair of enterprising hoaxers has proved it scientifically by persuading an academic journal to peer-review and publish their paper claiming that the penis is not really a male genital organ but a social construct.

    Some of it was written with the help of the Postmodern Generator – “a website coded in the 1990s by Andrew Bulhak featuring an algorithm, based on NYU physicist Alan Sokal’s method of hoaxing a cultural studies journal called Social Text, that returns a different fake postmodern ‘paper’ every time the page is reloaded.”

    Peer-Reviewed Journal Publishes hoaxed paper:

    Note from the editor: Every once in awhile it is necessary and desirable to expose extreme ideologies for what they are by carrying out their arguments and rhetoric to their logical and absurd conclusion, which is why we are proud to publish this expose of a hoaxed article published in a peer-reviewed article today. It’s ramifications are unknown but one hopes it will help reign in extremism in this and related areas.
    —Michael Shermer

    “The conceptual penis as a social construct” is a Sokal-style hoax on gender studies. Follow the authors @peterboghossian and @GodDoesnt.

    The Hoax
    The androcentric scientific and meta-scientific evidence that the penis is the male reproductive organ is considered overwhelming and largely uncontroversial.
    That’s how we began. We used this preposterous sentence to open a “paper” consisting of 3,000 words of utter nonsense posing as academic scholarship. Then a peer-reviewed academic journal in the social sciences accepted and published it.
    This paper should never have been published. Titled, “The Conceptual Penis as a Social Construct,” our paper “argues” that “The penis vis-à-vis maleness is an incoherent construct. We argue that the conceptual penis is better understood not as an anatomical organ but as a gender-performative, highly fluid social construct.” As if to prove philosopher David Hume’s claim that there is a deep gap between what is and what ought to be, our should-never-have-been-published paper was published in the open-access (meaning that articles are freely accessible and not behind a paywall), peer-reviewed journal Cogent Social Sciences. (In case the PDF is removed, we’ve archived it.)

    http://www.skeptic.com/downloads/conceptual-penis/23311886.2017.1330439.pdf

  135. Larry Ledwick says:

    Big US arms deal being signed today in Saudi Arabia. Looks like the intent is to shift the manpower obligations to the Saudi’s while we provide the hardware. Instead of wearing out our own military equipment fighting wars for them we will let them buy the hardware from us and let them use their own manpower to fight their wars (ie proxy warfare against Iran via their current warfare with the Houthis in Yemen.
    ( http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-iran-houthis-idUSKBN16S22R )

  136. omanuel says:

    Comments would be appreciated on the conclusion to Jon Rappoport’s blog on logic:

    We must convince ourselves of the absolute necessity of adherence to truth before we can convince world leaders to take down the international web of deceit that now engulfs society.

    https://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/2017/05/19/my-logic-course-as-a-tool-for-the-mind/

    Corrections, criticisms or comments on this conclusion would be appreciated.

  137. Larry Ledwick says:

    Looks like folks are planning for / expecting a long hot summer brought to you by your friendly neighborhood anarchists.

  138. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump’s reception in Saudi Arabia, clearly shows that the Saudis are symbolically very honored to have been chosen as the first state visit outside the US, and are extending full honors to the President.

    As some have noted, the Saudi leaders shook hands with Melania as the King greeted the President.

  139. Larry Ledwick says:

    From twitter:

    Thomas Wictor‏ @ThomasWictor 2 hours ago
    Thomas Wictor Retweeted NC42

    🇺🇸

    Trump’s trip to Saudi Arabia is what matters.
    He achieved a massive breakthrough. I have no doubt.
    Something was accomplished in secret. [my comment – arms deal??]

    Replying to @ThomasWictor

    @_AdrianaSarabia @NCtrump42 My husband in SA now. Says the buzz over Trump is electric. Country abuzz he went their 1st.

    FriendlyJan 🌎‏ @FriendlyJMC 4 minutes ago
    Replying to @FriendlyJMC @ThomasWictor and

    miles of roadway lined with US flags. Billboards of Trump. Amazing.

    Thomas Wictor‏ @ThomasWictor 13 minutes ago

    Thomas Wictor Retweeted The Labeler 5000

    Not that I know of.

    It’s a dance of peace achieved after war.

    That could mean SO MUCH…

    The Labeler 5000‏ @TheLabeler5000
    Replying to @ThomasWictor

    Have they ever invited a @POTUS and his entourage to participate in their celebrations like that with the swords?

  140. Larry Ledwick says:

    Well this is very interesting, the greeting ceremonies in Saudi Arabia for President Trump are unusual in their degree of deference shown to the President and his family. Some are reading between the lines that this dance ( called the Ardah which is said to be a celebratory dance for the onset of peace following war is normally strictly a male only celebration)

    http://thehill.com/policy/international/334394-trump-cabinet-members-join-in-traditional-saudi-sword-dance

    Some are reading the tea leaves and saying this celebration is a symbolic gesture to indicate that the state of war between the Dar Al Islam and the US is over.

    If we see a harsh crack down on the violent Wahhabi groups in Saudi Arabia in the near term that might validate that interpretation, that both KSA and the US recognize that ISIS and Iranian provocation in the region are their real threats to peace. A deal possibly sealed with the announced large arms deal with Saudi Arabia.

    Under Islam at peace treaty is normally limited to a duration of 10 years but if an understanding has been reached to crack down on the Muslim Brotherhood and other advocates then this could be the real deal.

    (Watch how CAIR and other Muslim Brotherhood groups react to this visit!)

  141. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Based On The link below I have changed my thinking about the collapse process. It will not be as rapid As I have conceived. Also it will affect large cities much more, and possibly faster, than rural Villages or towns. It Will not be anything like Hollywood scriptwriters imagine haha.

    http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/11/collapse-was-slow.html

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  142. Larry Ledwick says:

    I suspect it is a little of both, depending on the scale you view the situation from.

    Take Libya and its collapse into chaos. Muammar Gaddafi, maintained relatively peaceful and functional government from 1969 – 2011, then in a matter of weeks the entire governmental structure collapsed into fractured power centers and local civil war. Since 2014 the country has been partitioned up into local fiefdoms controlled by at least 6 different groups.

    When viewed at the local family scale, for those who were in the wrong place at the wrong time, it was a catastrophic collapse of their entire world, many died, many became refugees. A few lucky individuals probably are still keeping their heads down and going with the flow with the war lord of the day and some basic services and functions continue even in demolished areas, as people do what they can to survive.
    When viewed on a country scale it still is a functional country but obviously seriously degraded.

    What is a catastrophic collapse to one small group could be a rumor of unrest in a neighboring community to some other, or like Saigon during the Vietnam war almost completely divorced from the general warfare in other areas for those who still had money, property and status.

    I’m sure the tribes who were nearly wiped out by systematic machete attacks thought they were experiencing an end of the world as we know it moment as they were being hunted down and killed in the fields as they fled their villages and another tribe tried to exterminate them just a few years ago. Ten years later, many of those villages probably still function and viewed over a 50 -100 time span it will be a barely perceptible blip in their existence as a civilization.

    Likewise viewed on a macro scale, middle America and the small farmer have been involved in a complete collapse since the 1930’s. Many of the small rural plains towns are now ghost towns (just like most of the mountain mining towns of the late 1800’s and early 1900’s.

    There are some small towns about 60 -100 miles east of the Denver Metro area on the high plains which are only a cluster of a couple dozen collapsing business buildings and homes, with maybe 4 or 5 actively occupied homes still in use, as the young move out and only the older residents too poor to move, or with no family stay to live out their final days.

    http://www.ghosttowns.com/states/co/genoa.html

    Where would you rank Detroit on your scale? In the 1950’s and 1960’s it was one of the highest per capita cities in the country thanks to auto manufacturing? Now there are square miles of abandoned homes and businesses and essentially no functioning government in many areas as they cannot even afford to repair pot holes, and citizens are now self policing as they cannot expect a timely emergency response to any call for police or fire.

    I think it is fair to say we are already into a major collapse that might take 50 -100 years to run its course but like the Watts riots in some areas it could take 50 – 100 hours to go from a productive community to a hell hole of devastation.

  143. David A says:

    LG, The Dellingpole article linking to the hoax unknowingly published by academics prpves, as J.D. says…”Gender studies is a fake academic industry populated by charlatans, deranged activists and gullible idiots.

  144. Pingback: Trump Trip Tracking | Musings from the Chiefio

  145. Larry Ledwick says:

    The left has been using doxxing as a weapon of intimidation now for a long time, to silence those who do no agree with their progressive agenda and behavior. It looks like the /pol/ folks and /r/The_Donald subreddit have responded in kind now with respect to Antifa.

    The Left seems to forget that there is a reason for sayings like “You reap what you sow”, “what goes around comes around”, and “don’t start something you can’t finish”

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/ryanhatesthis/trump-supporters-have-built-a-document-with-the-addresses

    Now I am sure they will whine about how unfair it is, when their own tactic is turned against them.

  146. Larry Ledwick says:

    Using WiFi signals to image a room/building from the outside.

    Very low resolution at this proof of concept stage, but it demonstrates that sufficient signal information gets reflected from objects in the room/building to allow important features to be mapped from the outside.

    http://www.businessinsider.com/wifi-camera-sees-through-walls-2017-5

  147. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Does this clown smell funny?

    Conspiracy or Assassination of clinton embarassment?

    http://www.blacklistednews.com/Seth_Rich_Plot_Thickens%3A_%22DC_Insider%22_Speaks_Of_%22Complete_Panic%22_At_Highest_Levels_Of_DNC/58596/0/38/38/Y/M.html

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  148. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Oops … heres assassination link …

    http://www.blacklistednews.com/Fmr_Speaker_of_the_House_Says_Seth_Rich_Was_Assassinated_as_WikiLeaks_Source/58597/0/38/38/Y/M.html

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  149. philjourdan says:

    We’ve had cell phones (of any sort) for about 25 years, and small useful ones for about 20.

    I had a cell phone 25 years ago (for work). It was the size of a shoe box and the battery life of toy. I have had a “pocket” one for about 20 years now. Your time frame is very accurate.

  150. Larry Ledwick says:

    What happens to our understanding of human evolution if much of what we believe appears to be wrong? Early human ancestor found in Europe that predates early human ancestors found in Chad by some 200,000 years.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/05/22/europe-birthplace-mankind-not-africa-scientists-find/

  151. Larry Ledwick says:

    Been waiting for a bit more info to show up, apparent bomb blast at Arriana Grande concert in UK tonight, confirmed multiple casualties, latest reports mention perhaps 20 killed.

    Also some video clips starting to appear now.

    http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/deaths-injuries-confirmed-after-explosions-heard-u-k-concert-featuring-n763286

  152. Larry Ledwick says:

    Latest official report.

  153. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. This idea of Burnam’s is from 1941, not 2016, but it fits. … Excerpt …

    In his essay “Second Thoughts on James Burnham,” George Orwell provided a succinct summary of Burnham’s thesis:

    Capitalism is disappearing, but Socialism is not replacing it. What is now arising is a new kind of planned, centralized society which will be neither capitalist nor, in any accepted sense of the word, democratic. The rulers of this new society will be the people who effectively control the means of production: that is, business executives, technicians, bureaucrats and soldiers, lumped together by Burnham, under the name of “managers.” These people will eliminate the old capitalist class, crush the working class, and so organize society that all power and economic privilege remain in their own hands. . . . The new “managerial” societies will not consist of a patchwork of small, independent states, but of great super-states grouped round the main industrial centers in Europe, Asia and America. These super-states will fight among themselves for possession of the remaining uncaptured portions of the earth, but will probably be unable to conquer one another completely. Internally, each society will be hierarchical, with an aristocracy of talent at the top and a mass of semi-slaves at the bottom.

    https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2017/05/new-class-war/

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  154. Larry Ledwick says:

    In tribute to those who died tonight in Manchester, and a prayer that your leaders will finally wake up and realize that there are those who have declared (actually renewed) a 334 year old war against civilized Europe and western culture. I pray that they stand firm and have the courage to say no more! before a 3rd battle of Vienna becomes inevitable. RIP

    Sabaton
    “Winged Hussars”
    When the winged hussars arrived

    Historic fact:

    During the siege of Vienna in 1683, the situation for the citizens and the small defending force was desperate. 140 000 soldiers of the Ottoman Empire was slowly but surely tearing the cities defenses apart by digging a tunnel under the moat and city walls. The plan was to detonate a series of mines under the wall to make it collapse and use the rubble as a walkway into the city itself. It was truly a race against time since nobody knew if the christian coalition called ”The Holy League”, under the command of the Polish king John III Sobieski would make it in time. They managed to arrive just in time to save Vienna, and the most fearsome of the warriors among them were the Winged Hussars!

  155. Chris in Calgary says:

    Amazon’s pricing algorithms seem to be out of whack at times. For example, some of their grocery prices: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B00CFCVJ0Q/ref=sr_1_14?s=grocery&ie=UTF8&qid=1495510615&sr=1-14&keywords=toaster+pastry

    As of a few minutes ago, that was priced at over $280 (Canadian).

  156. Larry Ledwick says:

    The thoughts of those who sacrificed greatly to keep Britain alive in WWII, have now turned to disillusionment over how the country that the fought for would be a slap in the face to those who gave all to protect it 75+ years ago.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1229643/This-isnt-Britain-fought-say-unknown-warriors-WWII.html

    I see the same in older fellow Vets of Vietnam era, growing frustration and anger at all the freedoms squandered by those who little valued them.

  157. tom0mason says:

    The UK is under assault again.
    This time at Ariana Grande Concert in Manchester.
    This concert was filled with CHILDREN and the bomber is thought to have been a suicide bomber probably using a belt or body bomb.
    So far, as of this time, 22 confirmed to be dead mostly children.

  158. Pearce – one of the things that aids this move to corporate statehood is the central generation of electrical power and our reliance on that power always being there. See what happens when there’s a weather event and the power is down for a few days. Though solar panels can give a degree of autonomy and thus independence from the grid, the need for batteries to run at night and the need to replace those batteries every few years (at the moment) is a disincentive for people to go that way – it is more complex and needs an up-front investment, and the grid power is mostly there. Once we have 24/7 renewable power then each house will be able to be totally independent of the grid and will not need anywhere near the same quantity of batteries, which is why I’ve been working on that.

    Add to that 3D printers, indoor farming, water condensed from the air, and some form of sneakernet as EM has proposed, then it will become impossible for corporates to be able to run any sort of hydraulic despotism, since they can’t cut off power, communication, food or resources to any person or group (unless they use soldiers or bombs, of course). There’s somewhat of a race on to achieve the power-independence before the corporates realise their control is slipping away, but the power-sources should be widely available within 5 years and the rest should be widespread within a decade. At that point, pg’s mantra of “we don’t need them” will be absolutely true and the balance of power will irrevocably shift to the individuals and not the corporations.

  159. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi Simon. The Elites had an unspoken social contract with the ones under them after World War II. Everything was working okay until about 1980. Since then the social contract has been unraveling. Now they only have subsidies, welfare, and the electric grid to keep control.

    I hope your project to provide cheap power comes to Market soon. If people have independence from the government they could really happy I think.

    If One Tin Soldier came along and used Magic bring down the grid for a week, deplorables might wake up and see what has been going on. I don’t think they’re going to wake up without some kind of shock treatment. No pun intended, heh.

    I read recently where in Europe they also are setting up Mega Factory for batteries. So they will come down in price as volume goes up.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  160. Pearce – there have been odd attacks on the grid, and AFAIK it’s pretty open to hacking so we can expect some big attacks since it’s a weak point. I don’t understand the rationale for the UK wanting to build a massive new nuclear power station (Hinckley C) to supply 10% of the country, since it’s too many eggs in one basket. A large number of small molten-salt reactors that can be mass-produced would have been cheaper and safer, and was a more-logical path to take.

    Apart from my project, there are a few others I know of that are near to success, so one way or another the 5-year timeline for widespread commercialisation looks reasonable. I don’t expect people will recognise patents etc. that much once people realise that what was thought to be impossible is actually pretty simple, and we already have the means to mass-manufacture the devices. Some of them should be able to be made in the back-shed or on the kitchen table, too, so we’re not limited to factory-made systems. Once it’s tested and proved, I’ll publish such a method so people can try it, but the underlying idea for that one belongs to a friend so I can’t do that prematurely.

    Though batteries will be useful for peak loads, it will also be possible to store energy as hot water (or hot rock etc.) and to get it out again as electricity with a high round-trip efficiency (at least 95%).

    The principle required is ridiculously simple, in that since energy can’t be destroyed then all that happens when we “use” energy is that the direction gets randomised. In order to recycle that energy into usable power, we simply need to make it all go in the same direction again. Though the “diode” that does this requires some thinking to get the design right, it’s not impossible to make and indeed there are several designs currently available to buy, but they are very low-power. The design challenge is not to do the impossible, but to improve things that already exist.

    As regards the welfare and other ways of keeping the populace in line, they aren’t going to work that well if everyone can grow their own food, produce their own power, and make all the essentials they need.

  161. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting look at the IT breach in the House and how it has fallen into a black hole.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-23/congressional-aides-fear-suspects-it-breach-are-blackmailing-members-their-own-data

  162. Larry Ledwick says:

    President Trump’s latest tweet on terrorism:
    Jack Posobiec
    🇺🇸 Retweeted
    Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump 21 Apr 2013

    NO MERCY TO TERRORISTS you dumb bastards!

  163. Jon K says:

    President’s budget director Mulvaney talking about the proposed budget. Very articulate and clear. I particularly like his thoughts on budget cuts and Washington speak starting at the 10:30 mark.

  164. philjourdan says:

    As of a few minutes ago, that was priced at over $280 (Canadian).

    Still is a day later. But you know how expensive organics are. ;-)

  165. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    Welcome to “Peak Sand”

    ” From those “EXPERTS ON EVERYTHING” at The New Yorker magazine
    THE WORLD IS RUNNING OUT OF SAND ”

    http://www.redpowermagazine.com/forums/topic/107813-something-else-to-worry-about/

    Comments are interesting too

  166. beththeserf says:

    Sins of omissions and emissions. Watching
    the BBC audience reactions, I luv it so…

  167. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Here’s an interesting article about how American and Global economics works really. The Japanese problem of empty villages May spread globally.

    https://econimica.blogspot.nl/2017/05/american-exceptionalism-decelerating.html

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  168. Larry Ledwick says:

    Article on how the Obama administration routinely violated their own guidelines for privacy on 1:5 of their foreign surveillance intercepts that resulted in improper surveillance on US citizens.
    Link includes full text (redacted) opinion of the Foreign Surveillance Court on this issue)

    http://circa.com/politics/barack-obamas-team-secretly-disclosed-years-of-illegal-nsa-searches-spying-on-americans

  169. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting video from Stefan Molyneux on violence and political leaning.
    “why is the left violent?”
    Dr. John Wright interview

  170. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Is another thought on not blaming Donald for the coming collapse. Happy Memorial Day.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-24/trump-collapse-scapegoat-narrative-has-now-been-launched

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  171. Another Ian says:

    “HOW TO STOP A TERRORIST DEAD IN HIS TRACKS!”

    http://pickeringpost.com/story/-how-to-stop-a-terrorist-dead-in-his-tracks-/7180

    Akin to Pershing in the Phillipines without the pigs

  172. Larry Ledwick says:

    Methane Hydrates are coming back into the news. If the capture and harvest technology is sorted out we are talking 10’s of centuries of available, recoverable reserves.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/05/25/delingpole-hello-flammable-ice-bye-bye-renewables-enter-the-greenies-worst-nightmare/

  173. Larry Ledwick says:

    Finally an explanation of the so called atrocity where it was alleged that the US conducted an air strike on civilians. Seems it was an intentional atrocity staged by ISIS to look like a US airstrike was the cause, but the over did their sabotage completely obliterating the lower floors of the building which was completely inconsistent to the damage which would have been caused by the weapon used in the airstrike.

    http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/05/25/isis-rigged-explosives-to-home-where-100-civilians-died-in-us-led-airstrike-military-says.html

  174. pouncer says:

    I’m behind on the comments upon the comments, but…

    Regarding homeschooling — Five of 7 officers on the local jr. college honors society officers board are or were homeschooled. And none of them is especially bright, they are a bunch of normal kids, simply well-prepared to deal with a thick book, a pad of graph paper, and willingness to figure out a calculator or PC or lab instrument or other tool, hands-on, using the operator’s manual.

    Regarding robots — in theory, a tavern would eschew juke boxes for live laboring musicians, who can be exploited. The robotic record machine represents an expense that must be amortized whether patrons like the choices or not, buy more beer or not, etc. Whereas a live laboring musician must earn his daily bread or be cast aside. Uhm, with that history behind us, what other live laboring professionals look at robotic replacements and tell themselves the profession as a whole is safe?

    Regarding Congressional IT teams accused of stealing equipment, holding data hostage, and blackmailing their own employers … it can’t be true. Otherwise, Dan Rather would be telling us about it, right? How is it that the institution as a whole doesn’t have its own institutional service instead of nearly 600 different contracts?

    I saw a Window 10 touch-and-keyboard micro-tablet for $45 — cheaper than the Pi — and bit. And promptly in my turn was bitten: the latest upgrade to Win-10 will not “fit” in the 1 Gbyte RAM (32 bit) reserved for system. Even though 1 Gb was the originally published spec and the device maker met the spec. I now see why the retailer was letting things go at the discount. Anyhow, now I have the exercise of reset and restore to an earlier and less secure version of the OS. (learning a lot about the new Windows, though). Anyhow, a disposable for use at the library and McD, when and if I succeed in the restore.

    The United Nations World Health Organization spent more on travel than on public health last year. The UN Commission on Refugees says the current flood of misplaced humanity is greater than any time since WWII, (co-incidentally, since that commission itself was formed.) But the good news is that the UN Peacekeepers (and cholera-spreaders) in Haiti, stationed on the half-island since the hurricane 13 years ago, has FINALLY finished whatever their mission was and will leave. Soon. In a month or so. About October of this year. Picking and leaving being a very complex task, you know. The government of the Dominican Republic on the OTHER half of the Island was not asked to comment for the media.

  175. Larry Ledwick says:

    An interesting take on the battle to control security information leaks in the current administration.

    http://www.thomaswictor.com/leakers-beware/

    Interesting question implied at the end of the article, when you identify a leaker do you expose and prosecute them or hold them hostage to their own criminal behavior and leave them in place as a controlled asset?

  176. cdquarles says:

    @ Larry, I’d say both. ;)

  177. Another Ian says:

    Larry

    Remember “The Double Cross System” where the UK ran the German spy network in WW2

  178. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting item on this today, seems there are those who are thinking that McMullin might be one of the leakers. He is former CIA and strongly associated with other former intelligence folks who have been beating the Never Trump / Trump is a Ruskie agent folks for quite a while.

    http://thehill.com/homenews/house/335340-house-gop-leaders-launch-review-into-leak

    If true this would make a lot of sense as his candidacy almost tipped the election by taking votes in Utah.

    Just today one of his strong supporters (and former Intelligence type) John Schindler posted this on twitter:

    John Schindler‏Verified account @20committee 6 hours ago

    So you know, The Lizard is a group of current & former Western spooks dedicated to exposing the truth about Team Trump & #KremlinGate

    John Schindler‏Verified account @20committee 6 hours ago

    John Schindler Retweeted John Schindler

    FYI, this is just the first segment. The Lizard is bringing more very bad news for Team Trump soon…..

    This sounds very much like a small group of folks in the intelligence community are trying to take the President down. If so, this gets into very scary territory, either there is something very sinister in Trump’s background, or they are maliciously trying to destroy a properly elected President. The question is on behalf of who’s agenda??

    At the moment I tend to think the latter is the case. This group has repeatedly issued veiled threats and promises of dire exposures that just seem to disappear like smoke a few weeks later, lots of sound and fury but no substance. One of the signatures of agent provocateurs is that they are often the most out spoken against the very agenda they support to cover the fact that they are really double agents. Some of these Never Trumpers protest too much and throw around accusations and threats a bit too freely. If they really had all this magic intelligence you would want to keep it secret and not blab it to the world – (unless you were really involved in a campaign of incrimination by innuendo, and poisoning the public discourse to weaken the President).

    Meanwhile we have these revelations coming out about long standing misuse of TLA resources and the major media are in total black out mode. While Sharyl Attkisson and others are digging into it.

    http://circa.com/politics/declassified-memos-show-fbi-illegally-shared-spy-data-on-americans-with-private-parties

    https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/icotr/51117/2016_Cert_FISC_Memo_Opin_Order_Apr_2017.pdf

  179. Larry Ledwick says:

    Aaand we have our annual call to Jihadists to commit terror attacks over the Ramadan holiday which starts this evening.

    http://www.breitbart.com/national-security/2017/05/26/islamic-state-urges-all-out-war-west-ramadan-attack-them-homes/

  180. Larry Ledwick says:

    The Miami Herald has picked up the abuse of intelligence story so finally one of the major media outlets is covering the story.

    http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/national/article152948259.html

  181. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Amekan Christian Jihadists? …
    from David Brin blog

    == The Cominionist Core ==

    The “American ISIS is called “Dominionism” – an offshoot of fundamentalist Christianity that proclaims its desire for a coming apocalypse, as foretold in the gruesomely sadistic and opposite-to-Jesus-in-all-ways Book of Revelation. Moreover, while they strive to topple our civilization, they also fervently declare that:

    * The United States once was, and should again be, a doctrinal Christian nation, denying the equality of other religions, or even other versions of Christianity.

    • Dominionists endorse theocratic visions. The U.S. Constitution should be seen as a vehicle for implementing Biblical principles.

    • Dominionists hold that wealthy people are superior to the rest of humanity and that government should be captured by them to serve only them.

    As evidence of the last point, Dominionist preachers point to themselves – rich as Midas from parishioner donations. Dominionism means they no longer hide their mansions, ranches and helicopters, but flaunt them as proof of God’s love, promising poor suckers that they, too, will have helicopters, once the unbelievers are toppled and their wealth redistributed.

    Peter Olotka wrote in with the following tabulation of Dominionists in the Trump Administration — all of them recruited and vetted by Trump’s Dominionist Vice President:

    Vice President Mike Pence
    HUD Secretary Ben Carson
    Education Secretary Betsy DeVos
    Energy Secretary Rick Perry
    Attorney General Jeff Sessions
    CIA Director Mike Pompeo
    Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue
    HHS Secretary Tom Price
    EPA Director: Scott Pruitt

    Note that Trump had never met most of the Cabinet before he was President. Then, recently added:

    Voter Fraud Commission: Kris Kobach, Kansas Secretary of State.

    And rumored to be on the shortlist for

    FBI Director: John Cornyn.

    Other powerful members of the cult include

    Steve Bannon & Kelly Ann Conway.

    Both are on the Council for National Policy a secretive Dominionist organization which has been planning a US government take over for decades. Kelly Ann is on the executive committee: Earlier notable (raving) dominionists included

    Sarah Palin and Michelle Bachman.

    There have also long been rumors – backed up by investigative reporting – of a cabal of Dominionist Air Force Generals who are high in the nuclear chain of command. (The other services have resisted this infiltration.)

    … Move along Citizen, Nothing to see here …

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  182. David A says:

    Pearce, IMV, the only sentence containing any truth in your above post is the last.
    …Move along Citizen, Nothing to see here …

  183. pearce m. schaudies says:

    For those interested in a little research here are some links to the topic of ‘Dominionism’ …

    if you feel a little rage, angst, biggotry, or confusion, jump to the next post, and enjoy the holiday, heh.

    Here is a brief broad definition of dominionism that could include a lot of people …

    Dominionism is therefore a tendency among Protestant Christian evangelicals and fundamentalists that encourages them to not only be active political participants in civic society, but also seek to dominate the political process as part of a mandate from God.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_Theology

    http://www.politicalresearch.org/2016/08/18/dominionism-rising-a-theocratic-movement-hiding-in-plain-sight/#sthash.2EnvUrab.dpbs

    https://theintercept.com/2016/11/15/mike-pence-will-be-the-most-powerful-christian-supremacist-in-us-history/

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/chip-berlet/what-is-dominionism-palin_b_124037.html

    http://www.alternet.org/story/152271/inside_the_christian_right_dominionist_movement_that%27s_undermining_democracy

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  184. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Terrorists attacking children as seen from a global, human, perspective …

    A solid 99% of people will have been filled, and rightly so of course, with a mixture of disgust, disbelief and infinite sadness when hearing of yet another attack on civilians in Europe, this one in Manchester. An equally solid 99% will have failed to recognize that while the event was unique for the city of Manchester, it was by no means unique for the world, not even at the time it happened.

    Though the footage of parents desperately trying to find their children, and the news that one of the dead was just 8 years old, touches everyone in more or less the same place in our hearts, by far most of us miss out on the next logical step. In a wider perspective, it is easy to see that parents crying for missing children, and children killed in infancy, is what connects Manchester, and the UK, and Europe, to parents in Syria, Libya, Iraq.
    What’s different between these places is not the suffering or the outrage, the mourning or the despair, what’s different is only the location on the map. That and the frequency with which terror is unleashed upon a given population. But just because it happens all the time in other places doesn’t make it more normal or acceptable.

    It’s the exact same thing, the exact same experience, and still a vast majority of people don’t, choose not to, feel it as such. Which is curious when you think about it. In the aftermath of a terror attack, the mother of a missing, maimed or murdered child undergoes the same heartbreak no matter where they are in the world.

    But the empathy, the compassion, is hardly acknowledged in Britain at all, let alone shared. Not that it couldn’t be. Imagine that our papers and TV channels would tell us, preferably repeatedly, in their reports in the wake of an attack like the one in Manchester how eerily similar the emotions must be to those felt in Aleppo, Homs and many other cities. That would change our perception enormously. But the media choose not to make the connection, and the people apparently are not capable of doing it themselves.

    The overall theme here is that 99.9% of people everywhere in the world are innocent, especially when they are children, but their governments and their societies are not. That doesn’t justify the Manchester attack in any shape or form, it simply lays equal blame and condemnation for western terror attacks in the Middle East and North Africa, perpetrated by the people we elect into power.

    This is something people in the west pay no attention to. It’s easier that way, and besides our media with great enthusiasm pave the way for our collective ignorance, by calling some other group of people ‘terrorists’, which while they’re at it is supposed to justify killing some other mother’s child.

    … link to whole article …

    https://www.theautomaticearth.com/2017/05/manchester-or-innocence-long-lost/

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  185. pearce m. schaudies says:

    @David- the term ‘Dominionism’ is not a slur or derogatory, merely a category of belief held by some folks.

    Here is a brief broad definition of dominionism that could include a lot of people …

    Dominionism is therefore a tendency among Protestant Christian evangelicals and fundamentalists that encourages them to not only be active political participants in civic society, but also seek to dominate the political process as part of a mandate from God.

    If you’re interested in a little research here are some links to the topic …

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_Theology

    http://www.politicalresearch.org/2016/08/18/dominionism-rising-a-theocratic-movement-hiding-in-plain-sight/#sthash.2EnvUrab.dpbs

    https://theintercept.com/2016/11/15/mike-pence-will-be-the-most-powerful-christian-supremacist-in-us-history/

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/chip-berlet/what-is-dominionism-palin_b_124037.html

    http://www.alternet.org/story/152271/inside_the_christian_right_dominionist_movement_that%27s_undermining_democracy

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  186. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. The term ‘Dominionism’ is not a slur or derogatory, merely a category of belief held by some folks.

    Here is a brief broad definition of dominionism that could include a lot of people …

    Dominionism is therefore a tendency among Protestant Christian evangelicals and fundamentalists that encourages them to not only be active political participants in civic society, but also seek to dominate the political process as part of a mandate from God.

    If you’re interested in a little research here are some links to the topic …

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_Theology

    http://www.politicalresearch.org/2016/08/18/dominionism-rising-a-theocratic-movement-hiding-in-plain-sight/#sthash.2EnvUrab.dpbs

    https://theintercept.com/2016/11/15/mike-pence-will-be-the-most-powerful-christian-supremacist-in-us-history/

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/chip-berlet/what-is-dominionism-palin_b_124037.html

    http://www.alternet.org/story/152271/inside_the_christian_right_dominionist_movement_that%27s_undermining_democracy

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  187. A C Osborn says:

    pearce m. schaudies says: 28 May 2017 at 10:07 am
    That article and by association you, seem to have a major problem with the difference between Terror attacks on all types of humans by Terrorist groups and Despotic Leaders on their own people and Attempts by the west at “Precision strikes” which sometimes go wrong.

    If the west really wanted to kill eveyone in an area for mass terror affect then they would just carpet bomb the area, things have changed a lot since the second world war, or even Vietnam.

    Whereas Terrorists and Despotic Leaders deliberately target the weak, unarmed public.

    Everyone knows that when wars are fought against evil accidents happen, it is not and never will be the same thing as deliberate terror attacks.

  188. pearce m. schaudies says:

    @AC Osborne- Yeah, i have a problem with killing children, humanity’s future.

    Like wiping out wedding parties.

    These ‘police operations, humanitarian interventions, regime changes’, are being fought over pipeline right of ways and oil. It would be cheaper to just buy them, except the military contractors would lose out.

    AC said …
    Everyone knows that when wars are fought against evil accidents happen, it is not and never will be the same thing as deliberate terror attacks.

    MaiLai said …
    Sir. We had to destroy the village to save it, Sir.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  189. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. Has anybody else noticed that after many terrorist events in Germany, France, England, and America, there is a brief press article saying the authorities had several opportunities to incarcerate the terrorist but failed to do so. Maybe I’m just a News Junkie and I’m mixing up things that I read in the past heh. And THEN they quickly round up the terrorist cell, once their job is finished. Attaboys all around.

    And then there’s always operation Northwood to focus fear and hate in the desired direction …

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods

    Who knew government cared so much about our opinions or what we thought?
    x. x. x. x. x. x. x

    … and in other news …

    The military industrial co-op started long before ‘I Like Ike’ …

    Marine General Smedley Butler frankly discusses how business interests commercially benefit (including war profiteering) from warfare (1935).

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Is_a_Racket

    download at bottom wiki page to read.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  190. catweazle666 says:

    “Like wiping out wedding parties.”

    Wedding parties that consisted solely of males – 40 to 50 strong – armed with AKs and RPGs who were ill-advised enough to take pot-shots at a Coalition helicopter that called up a friendly Spectre gunship to straighten them out, would that be?

    You want to stop getting your anti-Western propaganda from the Guardian and the BBC – or perhaps in your case the NYT and the WaPo, sunshine.

  191. Another Ian says:

    Guess we’ll find if fact or fiction

    “Trump tells confidants US will leave Paris deal: ClimateDepot says it would be “victory for science” ”

    http://joannenova.com.au/2017/05/trump-tells-confidants-us-will-leave-paris-deal-climatedepot-calls-it-victory-for-science/

  192. pearce m. schaudies says:

    @Catweazle666- The wedding party I had in mind is the one in Yemen more than a year old.

    From reuters …

    Death toll from air strike on Yemen wedding party rises above 130: medics

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-idUSKCN0RT0XT20150929

    Cat said-
    You want to stop getting your anti-Western propaganda from the Guardian and the BBC – or perhaps in your case the NYT and the WaPo, sunshine.E ND.

    Please be advised I am not anti-western. I love the America i grew up in and volunteered to serve in the Navy. What I am against is neocon warmongers and defense contractors profiting from continuous War. i prefer data from alternate sources than those you recommend, sunshine.

    From ‘thebureauinvestigates’ …

    The US government today claimed it has killed between 64 and 116 “non-combatants” in 473 counter-terrorism strikes in Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia and Libya between January 2009 and the end of 2015.

    This is a fraction of the 380 to 801 civilian casualty range recorded by the Bureau of Investigative Journalism from reports by local and international journalists, NGO investigators, leaked government documents, court papers and the result of field investigations.

    While the number of civilian casualties recorded by the Bureau is six times higher than the US Government’s figure, the assessments of the minimum total number of people killed were strikingly similar. The White House put this figure at 2,436, whilst the Bureau has recorded 2,753.

    Since becoming president in 2009, Barack Obama has significantly extended the use of drones in the War on Terror. Operating outside declared battlefields, such as Afghanistan and Iraq, this air war has been largely fought in Pakistan and Yemen.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilian_casualties_from_U.S._drone_strikes

    Moreover, additional reporting has found that known militant leaders have constituted only 2 percent of all drone-related fatalities.

    MQ-9 Reaper drone $16.9 Mn, 150 built since 2007

    MQ-1 Predator drone $4.0 Mn, 360 built since 1995

    * *. * *

    The main reason for having so much collateral damage in drone strikes is to provide a steady source of new motivated terrorists to justify a continuous war on terrorism.

    Otherwise we would spend the money to have Pakistan set up a Sniper Assassin Grup to take out any Arab terrorist for 1 million dollars per shot. And avoid collateral damage. Much more cost-effective than multi- million dollar drones, heh.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  193. Another Ian says:

    On IT

    “An “outsourcer and cost-cutter” and the latest hiccup at British Airways

    This comment stands out IMO in the whole thread

    http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2017/05/an-outsourcer-a.html#comment-1106705

  194. jim2 says:

    There’s no place like Texas!! From the article:

    The incident happened as more than 1,000 immigrant rights supporters flooded the Texas Capitol

    “There was a subsequent exchange between my brother Poncho and Representative Rinaldi and there was a threat made from Rinaldi to put a bullet in one of my colleague’s heads,” Representative Justin Rodriguez told reporters after the incident. “That kind of threatening language, he needs to be called out and held accountable for.”

    Rinaldi later said on Facebook that he called immigration agents “on several illegal immigrants who held signs in the gallery which said ‘I am illegal and here to stay.’” Rinaldi accused Nevárez of repeatedly threatening him on the House floor during the scuffle.

    “I made it clear that if he attempted to, in his words, ‘get me,’ I would shoot him in self defense,” Rinaldi said. “I would shoot him in self defense. I am currently under DPS protection.”

    https://www.texasobserver.org/texas-republican-sb-4-protesters-capitol-ice/

  195. jim2 says:

    “Artificial intelligence is threatening worker’s jobs in dozens of different professions, from manufacturing and legal to banking and driving, and many more. Now, it’s time to add programming to that list.”

    https://siliconangle.com/blog/2017/05/28/startup-uses-ai-create-gui-source-code-simple-screenshots/

  196. llanfar says:

    @jim2 not impressed by that AI…we could do something similar – translate a UI into code – back in the 80’s if not earlier (ref. Dan Bricklin’s Demo). Granted, this required us coding a template, but that only needed to be done once…

    Show me an AI that can put all the stakeholders in a room, listen to all the competing goals, and put out a reasonable UI…then you’ll have my attention.

  197. cdquarles says:

    @llanfar,

    Indeed. I’ve seen and used a few automated code generators. They’re quite old, since the first ones were assemblers and higher level language compilers.

  198. jim2 says:

    @llanfar – I love it when you toss around that project management lingo! I agree that no machine, or human for that matter, can look at a screen shot of a UI and determine the business rules, user stories, use cases, and planny plan. Ain’t gonna happen. But it is impressive that it can generate marginally useful code for three different platforms.

  199. Larry Ledwick says:

    That song is irrevocably tied in my mind to the movie “The Last of the Mohicans”
    Of course the movie had the advantage of a full orchestra.

    I also have great affection for the “I will find you” ballad sung by Clannad in that movie.

    The scene of the ambush in the meadow is one of the most captivating movie segments of all time for me. I have a deep visceral reaction to the battle scene it establishes, as if in some other life I confronted that same scene. It also captures the essence of the phrase “the rattle of the muskets” to describe the sound of volley fire in the time of black powder.

  200. A C Osborn says:

    pearce m. schaudies says:
    28 May 2017 at 10:43 am

    @AC Osborne- Yeah, i have a problem with killing children, humanity’s future.

    Go tell it to the terrorists and despots then, as they have killed thousands more than coalition air strikes.
    They also kill the source of the children, ie the women who bear them as well.
    They don’t care who they kill, even people of their own religion.

  201. pearce m. schaudies says:

    @AC Osborn- It seems terrorists and despots havent killed nearly as many as neocon warmongers. Probably they will catch up when the cia gives them better weapons, heh.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Iraq_War

     Updated estimates from the Iraq Body Count Project report an estimated 173,766 – 194,058 civilian deaths from 2003-2017. For troops in the U.S.-led multinational coalition, the death toll is carefully tracked and updated daily, and the names and photographs of those killed in action as well as in accidents have been published widely. A total of 4,491 U.S. service members were killed in Iraqbetween 2003 and 2014.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilian_casualties_in_the_war_in_Afghanistan_(2001%E2%80%932014)

    Over 91,000 Afghans, including civilians, soldiers and militants, are recorded to have been killed in the conflict, and the number who have died through indirect causes related to the war may include an additional 360,000 people.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  202. David A says:

    AC, you are exactly correct. Ask over 300 Russian school children. Ask 90 million Hindus over the past 6 centuries.

    Yes, disparate foreign nations have done wrong, as all have, ( my view of the Is foreign policy is that he was a great disaster) but the dominant world view of Islam inevitably leads to brutality.

    Pearce’s views on Christianity poorly reflect the last 150 years, and see only one side of Christian history.

  203. David A says:

    Typo correction, my view of the Os foreign policy”

  204. pearce m. schaudies says:

    @David. I have not expressed any views about Christianity. What i have read about Islam is that their world view will lead to brutality and ignorance, like taliban. The wiki says they believe in national socialism same as nazis.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  205. pearce m. schaudies says:

    Hi All. In the little town in south Texas where I grew up we had to memorize most of the Constitution, the preamble and parts of the Bill of Rights in the 8th grade. We also had a brief survey of Christianity, Islam, Buddhism, and Hinduism. One of the other things we learned was almost every religious sect that came to America from 1600 to 1900 was escaping religious persecution in Europe. I was brought up as a tolerant Christian.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  206. LG says:

    LIVE ! Webcam @ Oroville Dam Spillway

  207. A C Osborn says:

    pearce m. schaudies says: 30 May 2017 at 9:36 am
    ” Updated estimates from the Iraq Body Count Project report an estimated 173,766 – 194,058 civilian deaths from 2003-2017.”
    That is absolutely typical of you, the minor detail that is missing is of course who killed the civilians, you obvioulsy are blaming the coalition for those deaths, are you sure about that as I seem to remember most of them were killed by Suicide, Car and Truck bombs and over the last 3 years ISIS.
    Just as civilians are still being killed by car/truck bombs in Afghanistan.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_in_Afghanistan

    plus
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_car_bombings
    Notice it only goes up to 2012.

    Just as in Syria, most of the civilians were killed either by Terrorist groups like ISIS are Government forces and some by Russians.

    Your worldview is not the same as mine.

  208. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    Interesting article. Reads a lot like a House Of Cards episode… (I’ve just started watching it on Netflix to educate myself on how this stuff works… A critique coming shortly…)

    @Pouncer:

    You might want to search on Brand and Model and “Linux” to see if it has a port. LOTS of gizmos are getting a Jail Break and linux installed… (You can even jail break the Amazon thingy – Firestick?- and do interesting things with it ;-) The Roku is not yet subject to such uses, which is a minor part of why I got one… it’s not been cracked… yet… )

    @Another Ian:

    Maybe someone ought to schedule them for a fly-over of The Sahara… with a walking tour from Timbuktu home… or maybe just show them a rock crusher…

    The Stupid, it has gone past burning into incandescent…

    @Pearce:

    I grew up in a rural farming town. LOTS of religion. But no Church Of England. So Mum and the family went to several different churches over the years. I got interested in the whole topic, so I’ve done a few “data dives” into it. My Son is now ordained in an Evangelical church. I have a Doctorate in Religion (not that hard to get, not academic… mostly just memorizing and some questions). I like to “collect churches” in that I go to different churches for a visit or two. I study how their rituals vary from others, what beliefs they hold dear (and caused them to split from others), what are their key motivators.

    I don’t have a formal count of how many I’ve been to. ALL of the major names, for certain, including Jewish Temple (no Mosque yet… hasn’t been a good time in the last 30 years…) and a large number of the minor ones (including Mormon, Jehovah’s Witnesses, and more).

    In all that time, I’ve seen exactly zero support in even minor side conversations for your assertion of an “American ISIS” or “dominionism”. Zero. So either they are so extraordinarily small as to never see the light of day, or someone is making shit up for political effect.

    Now POTUS DJT has been talking about getting a repeal of the Johnson Amendment that forbids clergy from any political speech (or they lose tax exempt status as a church). Suddenly, right on cue, you are spouting The Party Line about this being dangerous and a threat to us all via a hokey made up “dominionism”. Golly, what’s a guy to conclude…

    I’d make the odds about 50% that you are acting on behalf of a movement (paid or not hard to tell at this point), about 40% that you just like the Troll Lifestyle and making, then raking, muck for fun, and about 5% that you are just not that bright and easily sucked into garbage. (The remaining 5% is “else” – including “intelligent and latched onto something before anyone else” but also including things like “Paid TLA Agent” and other wacko possibles that can’t be ruled out.)

    So that gives you a very low single digit percentage odds of being clueful and a trustable source of information. You might want to ponder what bringing garbage to the table does for your stage presence, whatever your motivation. (If it is to be a public fool to make “AGW Deniers” look like public fools; you are not succeeding. Making yourself look the tool and fool doesn’t generalize…)

    Per the “Ooops. We knew about him but failed to pick him up”. Standards Ops behaviour. Watch, observe, contract trace, gather all possible data and names. ONLY intervene if you have no more to gather, or an attack is clearly imminent. When the attack prep is outside of view, sometimes you miss. I don’t like it, but that’s how it is done. You don’t cut the tail off the snake… you try to roast the whole thing… Once an attack happens, you roll-up what you can since the organization knows it is now “outed” and will be looking to hide / bug out anyway. Don’t like that? Come up with a better strategy. I have failed trying.

    @Per AI and all:

    When it can accurately tell me why a Picasso sells for a lot, and which tea is best with my scones, I’ll start to care.

    Template driven coding is decades old. Still breaks its teeth on customer requirements. Too many decades of PM meetings (mostly leading them) then trying to figure out What The Hell they wanted, then building it (with full agreement) then rebuilding it twice as implementation rolls out and folks decide they want what they didn’t want before…

    Show me an A.I. that can cook an egg over medium, and have it on the pickup counter at the same time as a rare burger, crisp fries, and a steak medium rare and THEN you have my attention. Until then, it’s stuff and nonsense. Bonus points if it can whip up a jug of “Thousand Island Dressing” when the stock-out happens. Hint: Mix mayo, ketchup, and a touch of mustard to the ‘right color’ and add just enough sweet pickle relish… I will not demand that it be able to bake a great loaf of French Bread as it will be lacking the tactile sensors for the right touch in kneading the dough and adjusting moisture content. Nor will I request it be able to handle “season to taste”…

    Frankly, it’s just so much complaining that a power saw is going to be putting all the carpenters out of business as they use hand saws…

    @LG:

    I guess it’s the start of melt time…

    Time to start watching again, I guess….

  209. Another Ian says:

    E.M.

    A friend’s email on the Australian stock exchange

    “Great quote from a bloke today re the ASX

    “It’s gonna drop faster than a French rifle” ”

    Not sure what the details are sas yet

  210. catweazle666 says:

    “@AC Osborn- It seems terrorists and despots havent killed nearly as many as neocon warmongers.”

    Utter rubbish.

    You haven’t the first clue what you’re ranting about.

  211. Zeke says:

    Or how about every one here reads the The Book of Revelation in one sitting, and tell us what it means. XD

    And if you do read the text for yourself, and have a little trouble interpreting it, explain why you want to go be instructed by the NYT or the HuffPo.

  212. Zeke says:

    If I could make just one helpful remark, I would just remind readers that Y’shua many times said that He is coming back. His first coming was as the Servant & Savior, but His next coming will be in great power and judgment. So it is not “the gruesomely sadistic and opposite-to-Jesus-in-all-ways Book of Revelation,” because He said He is coming back.

    Also, the Revelation contains verses about a future anti-christ who will compel the entire world to take a mark on his forehead or on his right hand, or he would not be able to buy or sell. This is going to happen soon, in my view. Of course the globalists don’t like the Revelation of John. It describes the wicked monetary system they are trying to set up. It also tells that those who do take the mark of the beast will suffer months of anguish later on. Remember, when it comes to the mark: Pay now or pay later.

    ref: Revelation 13

  213. pearce m. schaudies says:

    @Chief. Sorry for ruffling feathers. David Brin is a scientist, futurist and best-selling author. His novels include Earth, Existence, The Postman, and Kiln People, as well as Hugo Award winners Startide Rising and The Uplift War. The Transparent Society won a Freedom of Speech Award of the American Library Assn.(me- he is also a dedicated Democrat but not rabid. He has shown on several occasions that Democratic policy has better outcomes for citizens than Republican policies.)

    chief-
    In all that time, I’ve seen exactly zero support in even minor side conversations for your assertion of an “American ISIS” or “dominionism”. Zero. So either they are so extraordinarily small as to never see the light of day, or someone is making shit up for political effect.

    me-
    *It is not my assertion, i read ‘ Contrary Brin’ blog and saw that post about Dominionists Pence and DT staff, and other notables. Then i looked up what that was, and thought it worth a ‘Heads Up’ post to TIPS. i see now that wasnt a good idea after all. Since my take on news, novelty seems off (mabe undiagnosd aspergers), i will avoid TIPS posts. plobm solved. no troll intended, had to look that up as well.

    Regards,
    Pearce M. Schaudies.
    Minister of Future
    Falling Skys &
    Wolves at Door

  214. Larry Ledwick says:

    Interesting documentation of long standing voter fraud in Virginia, and a clear pattern of toleration of illegal voting by the Democratic party. Too bad the classic media will not bother to mention it.

    http://freebeacon.com/issues/report-5500-noncitizens-discovered-virginia-voter-rolls/

  215. pyromancer76 says:

    Anything new that is serious about nuclear fusion? The ITER (globalist) project is being put in front of me for new attention and U.S. science (continuing, more) funding is being requested. Yes, I know the NYT rarely has anything truthful about science….https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/27/science/fusion-power-plant-iter-france.html

  216. E.M.Smith says:

    @Zeke:

    I’ve read it, several times. Can’t say that I have been able to come up with The One True Understanding of it. Nice bit of creative writing, has several coded layers in it, not sure I’ve worked them out right… Oh, and remember it wasn’t written in English, so there’s also “all translation transforms” to be worked out, along with cultural referents that we don’t have anymore…

    But it IS one of my favorite books…

    @Larry:

    The news this morning had a bit on Ohio having their law challenged in court. It says that if you don’t vote, you are to fill out a bit of paper saying you are still alive and at the same address. THEN, if you don’t fill out that paper AND miss voting 2 more times (or 2 more years… wasn’t paying that close an ear to it…) you get purged from the record. Democrats are fighting it (guess it’s harder to keep dead people voting that way…).

    @Pearce:

    I don’t mind “off the wall” topics getting a pointer in TIPS, but just realize I am in a daily war with Trolls, Paid Activists, and Left Wingnut True Believers. Avoid looking like one of them as it sets off alarm bells. “This looks a little nutty to me, but interesting: LINK” generally passes. “These Christian religious people are America’s ISIS” is going to be firebombed… Even “I don’t know what to make of it, but it’s interesting: Link” is usually not an issue.

    In short, it isn’t the TOPIC, it’s the PRESENTATION of it. Shit on a stick described as shit on a stick is truth. Put it on fine china and call it gourmet gets a flush…

    BTW, I had to fish that comment you posted many times (posted about 5 times…but I’ve forgotten on which thread) out of SPAM, so the WordPress system had reacted to something in it as junk (don’t know if it was the link or the term). I only pulled back a couple of the copies as the others were duplicates. A good general rule is if you post, and see absolutely nothing, it has gone to the SPAM folder automatically and you have some key word or phrase that has been “voted off the Island” by the WordPress community…

  217. Larry Ledwick says:

    Too good to pass up.

  218. jim2 says:

    I like this idea. From the article.

    The United States should invest resources in preserving aging, analog infrastructure including telecommunications networks that use copper wire and pneumatic pumps used to pump water as a hedge against the growing threat of global disruption resulting from a cyber attack on critical infrastructure, two researchers at MITRE argue.

    https://securityledger.com/2017/05/our-analog-future-experts-call-for-preserving-copper-pneumatic-systems-as-hedge-for-cyber-risk/

  219. jim2 says:

    I would add that we have a manual method of control of the electric grid, to the extent possible.

  220. cdquarles says:

    The problem with that, jim2, is that human response times are far too often too slow and get people killed. Keep the automation, but keep it off the internet. Have all telemetry encoded and subject to triple redundancy checks. Sure, have a ‘deadman’ switch, too; but only as a last or next to last resort. [Plus, I suspect this talk of our infrastructure’s vulnerability to have some disinformation in it.]

  221. jim2 says:

    @cdquarles says:31 May 2017 at 5:51 pm
    “human response times are far too often too slow” Hence “to the extent possible.”

  222. philjourdan says:

    @Pearce – if you want to slam someone, rule #1 is DO NOT use Wikipedia. That destroys your argument before you make it.

  223. philjourdan says:

    @Pearce – Only parts of the Constitution? We were not required to “memorize” any of it, but given enough time to study it in order to pass a test on it, I memorized the entire thing. But of course that was 2 amendments ago.

  224. p.g.sharrow says:

    Pneumatic pumps? Tesla and REA made those obsolete over a hundred years ago. Only a very few very specialized applications use pneumatic pumps. Now copper wire land lines are still in use. There are still places, such as where I live, where cell phone service is poor or nonexistent.
    Not sure why this preservation is being pushed as the projected problem is due to Internet connectivity and control rather then any fault caused by the copper lines…pg

  225. Larry Ledwick says:

    Looks like high energy lasers and rail gun technology just got a boost in priority in the US Navy.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4557934/Russia-successfully-launches-unstoppable-cruise-missile.html

  226. LG says:

    This is a better link to watch the reconstruction of the Oroville Spillway

    http://www.parks.ca.gov/live/lakeorovillesra_spillway

  227. Larry Ledwick says:

    Another interesting genetic study possibly related to the item about early hominids coming from Europe not Africa. This study of DNA extracted from ancient Egyptian mummies finds that they were more closely genetically related to modern day Turkey, Syria and European populations than the modern day Egyptian populations. In short the Pharaohs were probably European in ancestry not African.

    http://www.wnd.com/2017/05/were-egypts-ancient-pharaohs-european/

    Related my prior post a few days ago:

    22 May 2017 at 8:31 pm

    What happens to our understanding of human evolution if much of what we believe appears to be wrong? Early human ancestor found in Europe that predates early human ancestors found in Chad by some 200,000 years.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/05/22/europe-birthplace-mankind-not-africa-scientists-find/

  228. E.M.Smith says:

    @Larry:

    Interesting stuff…

    So someone finally admitted we have functioning hypersonic aircraft. Sheesh. We’ve had them since the X-15, fer crissakes… Maybe now the DOD will let the Aurora out to play with others and / or at least let the hypersonic suborbital transports be built. I was looking at a hypersonic jet engine design in the Engineering library (in a text on jet design) in the 1970s(!) so it isn’t like this is a new idea…

    BTW, I find it odd that they kept stressing that our defensive missiles were slower so couldn’t stop the hypersonic ones. Um, only if they are chasing them… If they are closing on each other you don’t need to be fast, just precise in the detonation. Get in front of it, and wait, detonate when close enough. At Mach 6 even a BB will rip it up.

    But yeah, a laser would be more cool ;-) or maybe more hot ;-0

    Egyptians had red headed Pharos and the dynasties were founded by cattle herding farmers that arrived from north central Eurasia. I.e. a European type. It was the later invasions of others that gives us the modern Egyptian. The other folks ran off to Western Europe. (Leaving a trail of red beards in the Berbers and mythology of Egyptian princesses in the founding legends of Ireland, well, some of them. Scythian military guy and princess run off to found Ireland… basically what they are now saying happened in those articles with a migration from Central Eastern Europe to the Coast, displacing the Basque type that was there before).

    Watch the Red Heads. Where they go, you get advanced civilizations, advanced equipment, lots of farming and animal keeping, general peace and the occasional all out bloody war of savage degree… (It’s a bad idea to piss off a redhead… did I mention my daughter is a red head?… She has a sword…) When they leave because someone made the place a bother, it rapidly goes down hill after they are gone. I can’t attribute causality, but at least they are a signal / sentinel type.

    The UK has about 30% redheads at the moment. As the influx from North Africa / India / Middle East takes hold and proliferates, watch the UK decline. I give it about 2 to 3 generations (or 60 to 100 years) at present birth ratios.

    Russia got a load of reds from the Vikings. They’ve done OK. In the USA our percentage is dropping fast. Few having kids with each other, mostly “crossing out” into the general population. Likely to hit low single digit percentages tending toward zero in the next generation. Gee, about the time the USA will be flat broke and falling fast…

    So it goes. (No, not concluding anything, just observing it. Rome had red headed Emperors, then a big influx of non-reds, then collapsed… Just sayin’…)

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