As the prior thread is getting slow to load, I’m adding this new thread. There’s s lot of good information in the prior threads, so folks new to the topic, or looking at it historically at some future date, may wish to start there. In chronological order:
At the time of this posting, it is a global pandemic. South America and Africa are showing no cases, but have some under observation or contact trace with an exposure. I suspect a lot of under reporting.
Cases outside China continue to grow. Taking comfort in the low numbers is an error. Exponential growth always looks small at the start. Just a month ago, almost no one saw China as being in trouble either. Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. Given the multimodal and asymptomatic transmission, I see little stopping the virus spreading to completion. Slowing it, perhaps a lot, yes. Growth curves outside China are flattening, but are still showing growth of cases.
This also means the likely cases are far higher, but the lethality far lower as it is not including those mild cases in the calculation.
The best thing to note is the generally mild symptoms in children and young adults. It may make them good germ vectors, but it also says you need not panic about the next generations. Older men need to be most careful to avoid exposure. Retired folks can just stay in the house a good long while. Those with existing health problems are most at risk, so nursing homes and convalescent facilities need to be vigilant.
Some shortages of rubbing alcohol have surfaced, yet left on the shelf are jugs of hydrogen peroxide, in some ways a superior hand sanitizer. Also, one Tablespoon or 15 ml of bleach in a quart of water works well too. Don’t just react, think.